Service Plays Monday 10/19/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKALL FOOTBALL PLAYS

• Game: (277) Kansas City Chiefs at (278) Buffalo Bills
  Date/Time: Oct 19 2020 5:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Kansas City Chiefs -3.0 (-120)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Wow is this gonna be a tough one for the home team here....Chiefs are off a whipping at the hands of division rival Vegas for their first lost...and the Bills are getting games moved all over the calendar while also letting Tannehill do ABSOLUTELY ANYTHING he wants to on offense!
  This won't be a FG for long.....and holy hell is this a solid play of the year type price!!!!

[WeWantMoehr]

VSI

7 - Dallas/Arizona 54.5 over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Circa Consensus top 5 (5-0 last week)
Baltimore -7.5 loss
KC - 3.5
Pittsburgh -3.5 win
Greeen Bay Pick loss
Dallas +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 3:15 PM

DALLAS +2.5
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
Wish I'd gotten a full 3 but I'll still back the Cowboys with a capable Andy Dalton taking over. The Cardinals won't have Chandler Jones and they're also dealing with offensive line injuries. Grab the points.

6-3 IN LAST 9 NFL ATS PICKS | +275
4-2 IN LAST 6 ARI ATS PICKS | +169


Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
YESTERDAY 2:23 PM

DALLAS +2.5
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
Believe it or not, the Cowboys are going to be better with Andy Dalton. He's not bad and they'll run the ball more. Ezekiel Elliott is going to have a big game. Dallas is going to be much more controlled, use more clock and keep its defense off the field. Instead of throwing for 500 yards, they're going to be more conservative and rest their defense.

4-1 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS | +285

Zack Cimini
CONTRARIAN WITH CHUTZPAH
TUE 10/13

ARIZONA -2.5
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
An old NFC East matchup will take place Monday night as the Arizona Cardinals travel to face the Dallas Cowboys. This marks the third straight road game for the Cardinals, and their first with fans in the stands. Expect the Cardinals to amp up their offense against a poor Cowboys defense. Playing from behind will force the Cowboys to throw more with Andy Dalton versus sticking to a ground attack. Play Arizona.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS | +95
8-1-1 IN LAST 10 ARI ATS PICKS | +699

7-3 IN LAST 10 DAL ATS PICKS | +378

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 10:33 PM

KANSAS CITY -3.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
I think this line is destined to rise, so I'm going to hop on this number now. We saw on Tuesday that Buffalo clearly isn't in the same tier as Kansas City, a team I'm not docking much for losing to a fired-up division rival. The Chiefs have the No. 2 offense and No. 9 offense in DVOA, while the Bills defense has played a lot worse than expected. The Bills offense also doesn't have a quality rushing attack to take advantage of the Chiefs' defensive weakness. If Josh Allen has to rally back, I think he'll have trouble against a pass defense that ranks second in DVOA. The Chiefs offense should score in bunches against a struggling defense, and that'll get the cover.

6-3 IN LAST 9 NFL ATS PICKS | +285
14-9-1 IN LAST 24 BUF ATS PICKS | +417


Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 3:27 PM

KANSAS CITY -3.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
The Chiefs suffered their first loss in 14 games last Sunday, falling at home to the Raiders. K.C. will regroup under Andy Reid, and will have a significant rest advantage entering Week 6 at Buffalo. The Bills' defense is too banged up to slow down Patrick Mahomes. Lay it as the Chiefs win and cover in a shootout.

6-3 IN LAST 9 NFL ATS PICKS | +275
9-1 IN LAST 10 KC ATS PICKS | +795

14-10-2 IN LAST 26 BUF ATS PICKS | +304


Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
YESTERDAY 2:25 PM

KANSAS CITY -3.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
After losing at home to the Raiders last week, the Chiefs are going to be out for blood. Buffalo is on a short week because of having to play a Tuesday game. Look what Ryan Tannehill did to this Bills' defense. What is Patrick Mahomes going to do? K.C. has extra rest. Coming off a loss, the Chiefs will win and cover.

4-1 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS | +285
11-4-1 IN LAST 16 BUF ATS PICKS | +658

4-3 IN LAST 7 KC ATS PICKS | +65

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pete Prisco

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills (+3.5)
The Bills looked bad against Tennessee, while the Chiefs didn't play well against the Raiders in their loss. So who re-groups here? I think if the Bills have Tre'Davious White back they will win it, and I think he will play. Josh Allen will beat Patrick Mahomes in a battle of gunslingers.

Pick: Bills 33, Chiefs 31

Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) at Dallas Cowboys
This will be Andy Dalton starting for the Cowboys with Dak Prescott gone for the season. The Cardinals are playing a third consecutive road game, which is tough — and it's in prime time. But I think Kyler Murray and the offense will show up big here. This will be a shootout.

Pick: Cardinals 34, Cowboys 30

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
YESTERDAY 1:19 PM

ARIZONA -1.5
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
My Cowboys rating has plunged after every one of their games this season. They've failed to cover each time,and the biggest plunge happened last Sunday, when I dropped them four points as Dak Prescott (ankle) got injured and their defense failed to stop the Giants' anemic offense. The Cardinals aren’t consistent, but their offense is going to give Dallas problems. I’m on the Cardinals.

6-3 IN LAST 9 NFL ATS PICKS | +270
2-1 IN LAST 3 DAL ATS PICKS | +90

2-1-1 IN LAST 4 ARI ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Dallas Cowboys

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Side - Monday, Oct 19 2020 8:15PM
276 DAL 3.0(-115) Bookmaker vs 275 ARI triple-dime bet

Analysis: Overreaction to the Dak injury. The look ahead line on this game was Cowboys -3, and despite Dak obviously being a better quarterback then Andy Dalton, the difference is just not worth the line move.


Dallas has arguably the best wide receivers in the NFL, and an excellent running back to help offset the loss of Dak. Andy Dalton in Cincinnati was more then serviceable when he had top end weapons around him.


The weakness of this Cowboys offense is the offensive line, however, the Cardinals are 28th in the NFL in pressure rate this season. And that was with superstar edge rusher Chandler Jones, who is now out for the season. Jones is one of the few defenders in the NFL actually worth 0.5-1 point to the point spread.


The spot favors Dallas, as a team who's back is now against the wall and must rally around Andy Dalton, while the Cardinals are playing their third straight road game.


I make this game PK

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

nfl

5 Dallas +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

NFL

7 dall +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges' PIcks of the Pole

SINGLE PLAYS:
Buffalo +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker | NFL Total - Monday, Oct 19 2020 5:00PM
277 KAN / 278 BUF UNDER 58.0 Bookmaker BB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Midwest NFL Handicapping

KC -3 (Buy Point)
DAL +1

Over/Under
KC/BUFF UNDER 58