Friday 10/23/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2020, 03:57 PM

Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Florida International -10' College FB Friday

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2020, 10:36 PM

Weekly Bankroll Builder: October 23 Stronach 5 Play

October 21, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau

Back to battle in this week’s Stronach 5, and we’ve got another 100k guarantee, and a prospective pool that should far surpass that. To refresh, the Stronach 5 is a Pk5 wager spread across as many as four tracks and up to three surfaces (dirt, Tapeta and turf), inside of 90 minutes, with a $1 minimum and ridiculously low 12% takeout. I’ll be putting together some prospective tickets in this space each week for a wager that is undoubtedly as good as it gets for the bettors.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update. ***

Leg 1: Laurel Park Race 8 (4:18 ET) – 3up AOC (35k/N2X) at 6 furlongs

Speed, speed, and more speed, so unless scratches decimate the field, I’m looking for someone to come from off the pace, which lands me on #7 Awesome D J, #8 Buddy’s Run, and #2 Charge to Victory, who all have the ability to stalk early and punch late, and all enter in good form as well.

Pk5 A horses: 7,8,2 (listed in order of preference)

Post position says #4 The Cairo Kid is in a better spot than #1 Stroll Smokin, so I’ll use them in that order, but it’s tough to think either lasts if they hook up early and often, which is why they are on the second line, even though their recent form is as good as anyone else’s here.

Pk5 B horses: 4,1

Potential B add-ins: #5 Steadytillready

Leg 2: Gulfstream Park West Race 9 (4:32 ET) – 3up 12.5k MCL at 5 furlongs (turf)

Since I can see them building an ark outside my window as I type this late Wednesday afternoon here in Fort Lauderdale, I’m going to assume this one if going to be OFF the turf, and so I’ll handicap it that way. (I will also give turf selections down below, just in case). Being outside the other speed—and dropping out of a N2L—should help #8 He’s Royalty, so he gets a tepid top vote over the dropping #1 Discreet Tune and #2 R Uncle Eric, and lightly raced #3 Shortlister, in a race that you’re going to need to pay close attention to the scratches.

Pk5 A horses: 8,1,2,3

I may come back and add #4 Cold Warrior and/or #7 Maquiavelo, if more than one or two are scratches above, but if the field stays in tact I’m OK not using either, since they are both 0-for-13 with no upside, even though both have a bit of dirt form to fall back on.

Pk5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add-ins: #4 Cold Warrior, #7 Maquiavelo

Leg 3: Laurel Park Race 8 (4:50 ET) – 3upfm SAL (16k/8k) at 5 ½ furlongs (turf)

I’ll handicap this one for the turf, but it too could come off, so make sure to pay attention to the surface and scratches. Provided we’re on the grass, it looks like the outside attack post and tactical speed of #9 La Piu Bella will make her tough, and a repeat of the Del 2nd last time would too, while getting back to the turf should help #7 Bath and Tennis, as she has some big form here earlier this year against similar.

Pk5 A horses: 9,7

There are mixed signals with #10 Olive Kat, as Gorham is 29% off the claim, but 0-for-23 in turf sprints, and he’s trying to move this one up from Ness, so while she fits on paper, I’m a bit leery too. The same can be said for #6 Algodonal, who should like getting back to the turf but didn’t fire in a trio on the dirt, yet has run well on the main in the past, which could suggest he’s going the wrong way.

Pk5 B horses: 10,6 (to keep the cost of the B ticket down I’ll be singling #3 City Rage in Leg 4)

Potential B add-ins: #3 Caterina One, #1 Madame X.

Leg 4: Santa Anita Race 3 (5:00 ET) – 3up 50k starter-allowance at 1 mile (turf)

With just six entered tactics will be at a premium, and the versatile style of #3 City Rage gives him an edge on the closing style of #6 Liberal, so if you need to narrow, you may want to single the former. With that being said, I’ll use them both, as there is some speed signed on, and if ‘Rage gets caught up in it, then the advantage swings heavily to Liberal, who will be sitting back and licking his chops.

Pk5 A horses: 3,6

I’m worried that #4 Rip City is the one who will be caught between a rock and a hard place, as he could be in a pace sandwich, which is why he’s a B, and it’s worth noting his win over ‘Rage last time might have been more a product of the latter’s tough start than the former’s good work.

Pk5 B horses: 4

Potential B add-ins: NONE

Leg 5: Golden Gate Fields Race 3 (5:15 ET) – 3upfm MSW at 5 ½ furlongs

Can’t say I have much feel for the finale but a big post swap makes #4 Sweet and Softly a huge threat, as she was inside #1 With Open Eyes last time and tired late, but (presumably) gets to be the presser today, which might enable her to turn the tables, while going second-off the break too. If they both duel each other into the ground then #3 Perfect Stories is the one to fear late, and she figures to be tighter second-off the long break, and gets a better post too.

Pk5 A horses: 4,3

You have to use #1 With Open Eyes, and she could easily be on the top line too, but the post is a worry, and she figures to take all the worst of it, so I’m going to limit her use to a supporting actress today.

Pk5 B horses: 1

Potential B add-ins: #6 I’ll Do It for You

The tickets:

Main Ticket: 7,8,2 with 8,1,2,3 with 9,7 with 3,6 with 4,3 = $96
Leg 1 B Backup: 4,1 with 8,1,2,3 with 9,7 with 3,6 with 4,3 = $64
Leg 3 B Backup: 7,8,2 with 8,1,2,3 with 10,6 with 3 with 4,3 = $48
Leg 4 B Backup: 7,8,2 with 8,1,2,3 with 9,7 with 4 with 4,3 = $48
Leg 5 B Backup: 7,8,2 with 8,1,2,3 with 9,7 with 3,6 with 1 = $48

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2020, 05:42 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis

October 23, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
The Meadowlands has 13 races set to go this evening. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10, the sequence has a 15% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

1-Broadway Bruiser (9/2)-Took the long way around from the 10-hole in last to finish 2nd. Not sure trying to set the pace will help chances but can be forwardly placed. Big chance with the right trip.
3-Trixie Dust (8-1)-Like #1 had a tough trip but kept coming to get a 2nd place check. Should get a better journey and could improve in 3rd straight Big M start.
7-Shady McCoy (10-1)-Is only 2-17 on an off track but did race big in the slop last week. Tried hard in both Big M starts and looks like a player but is 0-22 this year. East Rutherford record, 11 wins in 66 starts, is cause for hope.
10-Chiplosive (3-1)-Smoked everyone last week from the 10-hole and drew off by 4 lengths on a "good" track. Form has been good in last 2 efforts and did notch 1st Big M win. This post will make it tough but best to respect.

Race 11

2-Teal Hanover (3-1)-Drops back to a better level. In last start followed cover and was not a threat but did pace a quick 2nd half. Looking for similar but needs the right steer and to follow live cover.
3-Shellie De Vie (9/2)-Shellie was better when dropped to this level but did not get the best of trips. Should be put in play early and may leave to get the top.
4-Sudden Passing (7/2)-Burke trainee ships in from Philly and faces easier. Allard will likely have the pedal down from the start and it will be a question of how far this 5-year-old mare can carry her speed.

Race 12

1-Commanding Officer (3-1)-Returns from the Red Mile to a class were this colt had 2 straight wins. Has been off almost 2 weeks so will look for a return to better form on a track where his record has been a perfect 2-2.
4-JK Objection (4-1)-Has been idle since 8/4 but tuned up nicely with a 56.2 back half in a qualifier at the Big M. This will be the 1st start for Takter for a freshman who has shown very good speed.

Race 13

2-Muay Hanover (15-1)-Will toss last start on a sloppy track from the 9-hole and record on an off track is 1-24. Bailey can leave from this post and get sucked around. So, will look for a repeat of 10/9 win when faced 4 from this field.
4-Explosive (10-1)-Will overlook last on a sloppy track. In previous start raced wide and had a rough trip but kept coming and that was the 1st start in 5 weeks. Could be sitting on a big try in 3rd local start and should be a nice price.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,3,7,10/2,3,4/1,4/2,4
Total Bet=$24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2020, 05:44 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 10/23/20

October 23, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Big Chick; 4-My Princess Ellie

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Big Chick made up a ton of ground and galloped out strongly when a distant but better-than-looked fourth vs. maiden $32,000 foes on turf at Golden Gate Fields earlier this month and today returns to the main track, adds blinkers, picks up U. Rispoli and draws the inside post in this soft maiden claiming miler for juvenile fillies. She appears to be progressing with experience and if she can display improved tactical speed the T. Yakteen-trained daughter of Mr. Big may be capable of producing a winning late bid. My Princess Ellie is the logical top pick and one to beat after being considered good enough to be entered as a maiden in the Juvenile Fillies Turf S. at Del Mar last month. Clearly, this is an infinitely easier group, and with high percentage jockey/trainer combo of P. Miller and F. Prat combining with the class drop into the maiden $40,000 ranks this daughter of Temple City projects to be a short priced favorite. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics and then, because she’ll be a better price, press a bit using Big Chick in the win pool.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: X
Use: 4-Flash Magic; 5-Beautiful Gift

View Video Analysis

Forecast: This maiden-special-weight main track miler drew just five entrants, two of which are stable mates in the B. Baffert barn. Beautiful Gift finished a decent third sprinting in her debut at Del Mar in a race that produced the one-two finishers of the last Sunday’s Anoakia Stakes and in doing so earned a speed figure that is good enough to beat this field. The daughter of Medaglia d’Oro seems likely to improve with distance and experience and shows a recent bullet gate drill (5f, :59 1/5, fastest of 38) to indicate she came out of her first start in fine fettle and likely will step forward. Flash Magic was a highly-promising runner-up to Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies S.-G1-bound Princess Noor in her debut in August but then missed by a nose as the 3/5 favorite in a subsequent maiden sprint here last month. Instead of producing a forward move as expected, the daughter of Pioneerof the Nile had her Beyer speed figure drop 13 points and really didn’t have any apparent excuse. She stretches out to a distance she’s bred to like, and if she bounces back to the effort that she produced in her first start she’ll be tough. In a race that probably is best left alone, we’ll use the two Baffert fillies in our rolling exotics but otherwise not get involved.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:09 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-City Rage; 4-Rip City

View Video Analysis

Forecast: This starter’s allowance miler on grass boils down to a pair of familiar rivals. Rip City, an impressive high-priced maiden-claiming winner over this course and distance on New Year’s Day, didn’t make it back to the races until late August but returned as well as he left when registering a game starter’s allowance win by a desperate nose over City Rage, who franked the from by scoring in convincing fashion earlier this month. They meet again under similar conditions and are extremely difficult to separate. Rip City has more tactical speed of the two and projects to draw into an ideal stalking position behind the likely pacesetter Dr. Troutman and then have every chance to get the first jump on ‘Rage when cut loose at the top of the lane. ‘Rage retains F. Prat will be within range throughout and certainly can win. On pure speed figures, the two are practically dead-even. We’ll give Rip City a very slight edge on top but use both equally in our rolling exotic play.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:41 PT Grade: B+
Single: 6-Pretty Saylee

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Let’s take a stand with Pretty Saylee in this six-runner maiden $32,000 claiming sprint for juvenile fillies. Drawn comfortably outside and sporting the always-dangerous blinkers off angle, the daughter of Shackleford easily projects as the lone speed, and in a field with suspect closers she’ll have every chance to keep on going. Freshened since early August and showing a bullet half mile drill (:47 2/5, fastest of 65) since raced, the L. Mendez-trained filly is a logical rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:13 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Master Ryan; 6-N. K. Rocket Man

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Master Ryan projects to be the favorite again in this state-bred maiden turf sprint, but can you trust him? In the frame in seven of eight career starts but a beaten choice five times including his last four starts, the son of Grazen shows speed figures that have stagnated, so what you’ve seen is probably what you’ll get, However, in a below average race for the level the P. D’Amato-trained gelding may have found a field he can outlast. N. K. Rocket Man, a close fifth in the same race ‘Ryan exits, may be more appealing. With just four career outings the son of Unusual Heat probably has a bit more upside than ‘Ryan and today will race without blinkers for the first time after appearing erratic and unfocused in each of his four starts. It’s debatable whether the equipment change will help, but if he drops his head and concentrates on the task at hand the D. Pederson-trained 4-year-old has enough natural ability to produce a dangerous late kick. Both should be included in rolling exotic play but due to price considerations we’ll give N. K. Rocket Man the edge on top.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:44 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Bam Bam Again; 2-Gryffindor; 5-Next Revolt

View Video Analysis

Forecast: The three listed above exit the same race, with Bam Bam Again, who was even money in that Oct. 3 event over this track and distance, trying to make amends after failing to land a blow when checking in a well-beaten fifth. A $16,000 claim by R. Santana out of that affair, the son of Awesome Again has a right to rebound for his new connections from an inside draw that guarantees a ground-saving, pace-stalking trip. A repeat of his race before last (second, beaten less than a length while four clear of the others) is good enough to win. Gryffindor and Next Revolt finished two-three in that Oct. 3 race won by Debt Monger and both have a strong look right back. Gryffindor was used hard after a sluggish start to make the running and in a form reversal proved hard to down, beaten less than a length. Next Revolt had every chance when finishing reasonably well to be third, retains F. Prat, and shows a bullet half mile workout (:47 flat, fastest of 53) seven days ago that really catches the eye. All three should be included on your rolling tickets; we’ll give Bam Bam Again a very slight nod on top while hoping that he’ll recapture his best form for his new connections.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:14 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Hurley; 5-Nice Ice; 6-Clearly Gone

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Nice Ice was in too tough when setting the pace but weakening late vs. stronger first-level allowance competition but she returns to the straight $40,000 claiming ranks today and catches a field that should allow her to be on or near a soft early pace throughout. A repeat of her clever score two runs back should be good enough to beat this field, and it’s significant that while she’s dropping in class the J. Mullins-trained mare still remains well above her claim level. A sharp recent training track breeze is another positive factor. Clearly Gone, first off the claim for P. Miller (an amazing 35% with a massive flat-bet profit with this angle), likes to lag well off the pace and blast home, and if she can get some help up front she should make her presence felt in the final furlong. The raise from $25,000 to $40,000 is a very good sign that she’s well-liked by her connections. Hurley, a $32,000 claim by E. Truman in mid-August at Del Mar, returns on the raise, gets a good inside post, and switches to U. Rispoli, so we’re expecting the Mucho Macho Man filly to fire a big shot. Nosed out by Clearly Gone last time out, she shows a healthy recent series of workouts and projects to enjoy an ideal second flight, ground-saving trip. In a race that any one of the three listed above can win, we’ll give the potential pacesetter Nice Ice a very slight edge on top.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:44 PT Grade: B (Leg 1 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Use: 2-Camby; 3-Posterize

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Posterize should be too quick for this $20,000 claiming group and we’ll prefer him on top while using Camby as a saver on our rolling exotic ticket. In his second start since being claimed for $25,000 by D. O’Neill at Del Mar, the Shackleford gelding drops a notch below his purchase level after finishing third in a race that was marked by torrid early fractions. The pace flow projects to be considerably softer today and a solid five furlong workout last week in addition to the monumental jockey switch to F. Prat should have him set for a strong effort over a track that has produced all three of his career victories. Camby just won at this level in game style and has finished first or second in six of eighth career outings over the local main track. The son of Candy Ride should be set for another good try but most likely will have to deal with quicker early splits.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 8: Post 4:59 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Check Out; 4-Mime

Forecast: Mime drops considerably in class and returns to sprinting, so we’re expecting the Q, Howey-trained filly to regain her winning form in this restricted (nw-2) $6,250 dash for fillies and mares. She has several back numbers in one-turn races that are better than par for this level, and with the break in the weights with the switch to bug rider S. Rivera she should be along in time. Check Out represents inside speed in a field with little of it so it’s not inconceivable that she makes an easy lead and gets brave. Her maiden win over this all-weather surface last spring charts very well in this modest spot. Both should be used in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Mime.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:14 PT Grade: B (Leg 3 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Use: 1-Squared Shady; 6-Mensa On Tao; 8-Westward Breeze

View Video Analysis

Forecast: The nightcap is an abbreviated turf sprint for state-bred juvenile fillies. For the purpose of this analysis, we’re going to assume that the certain favorite Allie’s Pal will not draw into the field from the also-eligible. Obviously, if she does, she’ll be the one to beat and we’ll update our wagering strategies later in the morning. Squared Shady lands post one (a good place to be when the rails are out 30 feet), adds blinkers, and switches to grass, so J. Bonde-trained filly seems likely to improve a ton. After displaying promise when flashing good early speed but weakening late in her debut at Del Mar, she went backwards with a very wide trip in her most recent appearance but should be capable of doing much better over this course and distance. Westward Breeze is a first-timer by Munnings with a useful series of drills, and while we doubt she’s any world beater and the barn doesn’t often win with debut runners, she still should be competitive. We really have no idea whether the San Luis Rey Downs-based shipper Mensa On Tap can run, but she’s bred for turf and to have early speed. The barn hasn’t won a race this year but the work tab looks promising, so at the price this daughter of Smart Bid is worth including somewhere on your ticket.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 4 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 9: Post 5:29 PT Grade: C
Use: 1-Awesome Silver; 5-Punaluu; 7-Tina’s Exchange

Forecast: This restricted $6,250 contains several old pros that are eligible due to the non-winners since August 1 restriction so we’ll triple the race on our ticket but suggest to those with bigger budgets to spread as deeply as you believe is necessary. Tina’s Exchange won a $20,000 turf sprint in late August but today surfaces for $4,000, so assuming he passes the morning veterinarian inspection the S. Miyadi-trained 7-year-old obviously will be the one to beat. He’s never raced over an all-weather surface, which prevents us from taking a stand and making him a single. Punaluu is another plummeting in class and is just 1-for-13 over this all-weather surface but based on his recent speed figures and a break in the weights the I. Tamayo-trained gelding looks reasonably dangerous. He likes to settle and produce a late run and with clear sailing could be heard from late. Awesome Silver has won 10 races at Golden Gate Fields and 15 overall and today he’ll be making his 75th career start. His recent numbers aren’t bad but he’s returning of short (12 days). Out of respect, we’ll toss him in.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2020, 05:46 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #1

#5 Plum Awesome	Pletcher firster has a slew of very sharp works for this, is bred to be a star, and drew the perfect outside attack post; look out.
#1 Millefeulle	ML favorite was a close 2nd on debut and will be tough, but that was a slow race and the pick looks like a runner; second-best.
#2 Wedding Band	Breen filly debuts for a solid 18% first out barn, and she has plenty of works too, though the top pair might be too tough; tabbing.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the pick, but $7 or so seems fair and would warrant an aggressive win and place bet, though her real value comes in kicking off the early Pk5, where you can single her, which is not a move the betting public likes to make in the opening leg, and by doing so you'll be able to spread deeper in the upcoming legs.

Belmont Park - Race #4

#7 Twelfth Labour	Stretch runner has been facing much better, should like getting back to the main, and catches a group with plenty of speed; mows them all down late.
#4 Steam Engine	The chalk is another dropper who has faced better, and he may be the speed of the speed, but dueling early and lasting late won't be easy; may get fried.
#5 Coral Legacy	Turf runner has no main track form but the right running style to make a late dent here, and the price will be right if you believe; can rally for a share.
Race Summary	Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and it will really help the 7, while hurting the 4, so play the pick aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying him in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, as he looks like he's getting all the best of it here, yet a win over 'Engine will knock a ton of tickets out of both sequences.

Belmont Park - Race #7

#7 Bears Mafia	Streaking sort has aired in six straight, and the last came here on the big circuit, and with a perfect outside attack post, in a race there for the taking, he can hit again; onward and upward.
#5 Build to Suit	Class dropper will be bet hard for Brown, and he has been facing much better than he meets here, though he really bombed last time at 7-5, so there are some concerns; tread lightly here.
#1 Fort Worth	Dicey ML favorite was a meek 3rd last time, in a race where he probably bounced off the big return off the long break two-back, but the rail is no bargain, and he'll be overbet; not sold on.
Race Summary	That 7-2 ML seems awfully juicy on the 7, who is as good as anyone here on figures, drew perfectly, and doesn't have any form questions to worry about either, so play him aggressively to win and place, and especially use him number in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, as there's no reason to think he can add another notch to his belt, especially with the way he ran here last time.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2020, 05:48 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #4

#9 Unaquoi	Briefly led at this level in that most recent run before settling for second, and she should be in line for another perfect trip from close range.
#4 Too Much Tip	Should appreciate getting back to the turf where she ran some pretty big races last year with tough groups. Demand a fair price.
#1 Hollywood Hoopla	Cuts back to the scene of an allowance score in July, and she's likely to get a bit overlooked in here. Gimmick booster?
Race Summary	Unaquoi has tactical pace to find a good spot early, and the recent form is as good as anything the others are bringing. The 9/2 ML offering would feel more than fair.

Laurel Park - Race #7

#2 Sir Wellington	Rolled on the front end in the off going in that debut score, and while those types of easy wins on off tracks are always suspect, it came back fast, and he'd be interesting enough to give him a chance at anything like the 8/1 ML price.
#3 Jaxon Traveler	Romped in the debut win at Pimlico, and there's little doubt he's the one to beat in this spot. He's likely to have some company early, but Asmussen sprinters often don't care.
#1 Royal Number	Finished nicely to post the Delaware win, and there is definitely a scenario in which this races melts down, and he comes along late to land this. I'd want him on my tickets.
Race Summary	Sir Wellington is interesting if something like the ML price holds, and I would want to have Royal Number covered on my multi-race plays.

Laurel Park - Race #8

#5 Steadytillready	Tactical type should be able to get a good go of it from behind a couple of decent pace players, and he can spy and pounce to a score here.
#3 Rock and Fellers	Pace drew near the inside in the comeback off the long break, and he unsurprisingly faded late. Perhaps he can hang around better today with that race under his belt?
#1 Stroll Smokin	On form he's one of the ones, but the rail draw could prove tricky with his running style. He has run poorly in all three races in which he drew the rail that show on his page, and he's going to need a few things to work out his way to land this.
Race Summary	Steadytillready draws well to spy a few speedy types drawn further inside of him, and the price may be playable enough, too.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2020, 05:49 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #2

#10 WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE	Spurted clear in early stretch, wilted late as fave, figures tough on drop.
#2 PRINCESS ABIE W	Packs late kick, draws inside, ran third at this level two back at 68-1.
#4 SMOKE N REACTOR N	Tipped 3-wide for stretch drive, paced evenly but willingly to the wire.
Race Summary	Windsongmagnifique was cruising on the lead into the final turn, shook clear of pressure at the top of the stretch and tired very late. She takes another class drop but is compromised by post 10 starting spot. Play 10-2 and 10-5 exactas.

Meadowlands - Race #8

#6 SKYWAY KON MAN	Blew past the field while widest in same spot on sloppy track.
#2 POUND STERLING	Had some traffic trouble late on turn, use in all gimmicks at good price.
#8 WHAT CHAPTER	Been burning serious money during 0-14 season but can’t be discounted.
Race Summary	Skyway Kon Man advanced in lively outer flow on the final turn and exploded while 6-wide in mid-stretch to beat many of the same rivals going away. Hit the repeat button for today’s Best Bet.

Hoosier Park - Race #9

#2 DONNA SOPRANO	Has done little wrong, has the looks of a champion 2-year-old.
#5 ITERATION	Stakes wins at four tracks, including Hoosier, in last 10 weeks, mostly in photo finishes.
#1 YOU ATO DREAM	Has speed and the rail and seven seconds in nine starts.
Race Summary	Donna Soprano’s perfect record was tarnished with a runner-up finish against the boys in the Mohawk Million, but she has been most impressive visually and is strictly the one to beat in this division. Don’t expect anywhere near her 2-1 morning line in tonight’s elimination heat.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2020, 05:50 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park West - Race #3

#1 Bienville Street	Lost a photo in the Monroe Stakes two back, was third at this level last time and looks like the one to hold off.
#2 Fujairah	Was outrun in a race that came off the turf and had been in good grass form; was third in the Miss Gracie and can get back to good form on the turf.
#6 Picara	Her best races have come close to the pace and she'll a great chance at that today; has the credentials and her best can make her very tough.
Race Summary	Bienville Street lacked late punch and a clean trip can get her to the winner's circle; big player at this level.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #5

#3 Half Rich Legacy	Ran an even third in a race that didn't have a particularly fast pace; comes out of a third in the Hollywood Beach Stakes and fits very well here.
#6 Carson City Kid	How a great deal of speed in all four of his races and comes in off a second at this level; should be able to transfer his talents to grass.
#1 Lamplighter Jack	Lost a photo in his first against winners and moves over for his first attempt on turf; probably a pace factor and he's shown gameness in his first two.
Race Summary	Half Rich Legacy can let others battle out front and can win if he runs from just off the pace, like he did in a third-place finish last time in a much tougher spot.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #8

#2 Unpublished	Was very sharp in a win over claimers over this strip last time and despite the step up in class can be very tough to beat.
#1 R Mercedes Boy	Set the pace and tired to third going longer and should fit in going this distance; has mixed it up with decent rivals.
#5 Septemberten	Makes a strong run from back in the pack and just missed last time, which was at this level; in very good form.
Race Summary	Unpublished was strong in his first over this strip this season and is now is two of three at GPW; likes the place and can be a big player in his return off a win.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2020, 08:58 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Hour Wagers

Golden Hour Wagers - Race 2	Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Pick 4
Claiming $6,250 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 4:59P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * CHECK OUT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/sur face. MIME: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RED DAHLIA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	CHECK OUT	7/2	7/2
4	MIME	2/1	5/1
5	RED DAHLIA	4/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	CHECK OUT	1	7/2	Stalker	87	77	73.0	71.6	68.1
4	MIME	4	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	81	78	60.8	68.6	65.1
5	RED DAHLIA	5	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	76	71	60.2	68.0	61.5
2	JAZZY EINSTEIN	2	5/2	Trailer	72	63	28.2	59.7	49.7
6	THUNDER WOMAN	6	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	77	58	75.8	62.8	55.3
3	RAELEE	3	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	56	52.6	64.8	54.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2020, 08:59 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Century Mile

Century Mile - Race 3	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 8:15P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR ALBERTA BREDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SNEAKY SISTER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. PRINCESS ROBBI: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TROOPER JENNY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5	SNEAKY SISTER	2/1	9/2
6	PRINCESS ROBBI	9/5	9/2
1	TROOPER JENNY	3/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	TROOPER JENNY	1	3/1	Front-runner	67	66	26.5	58.8	52.8
6	PRINCESS ROBBI	6	9/5	Alternator/Front-runner	70	65	68.2	54.5	50.0
5	SNEAKY SISTER	5	2/1	Stalker	69	65	58.1	63.9	60.9
2	VICTORY SHADOW	2	6/1	Stalker	60	63	51.0	51.0	42.5
4	SAY IT'S NOT SO	4	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	64	62	46.8	46.8	37.8
3	NORTHERN BREEZE	3	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	56	32.2	41.7	32.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2020, 09:00 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $9500 Class Rating: 81

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 UNTOUCHABLE LOVER 7/2
# 6 GLACIAL RULE 5/2
# 4 HIGH ROCK TELLER 5/1

My selection in this event is UNTOUCHABLE LOVER. With Mendez aboard him, this gelding should be able to break out early in this competition. Must be considered given the class of races run lately. GLACIAL RULE - The speed figure of 68 from his last race looks strong in here. Knight and Ayala have won 33 percent of their races giving this horse a very good chance. HIGH ROCK TELLER - Could provide positive returns based on quite good recent speed figs with an average of 71. Had one of the strongest Equibase speed figs of this field in his last race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2020, 09:01 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Keeneland - Race #3 - Post: 2:12pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 88

Rating:

#5 ON YOUR MARK (ML=8/1)
#4 EEL POINT (ML=2/1)
#3 CHARLIECANDO (ML=6/1)

ON YOUR MARK - Really think this thoroughbred is going to be right there at the wire. EEL POINT - Have to make this gelding a strong challenger; he comes off a strong race on October 2nd. I'm optimistic this gelding will run well today. Last workout was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me he's sharp right now. Trainer, Brisset, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. CHARLIECANDO - Ran a winning race Sep 25th, but just couldn't topple the winner. I am keen on that last outing on Sep 25th at Arlington where he finished second. Have to forget about that last race on the grass. This gelding should do better hitting the dirt in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SOVIET (ML=9/5), #1 PERFECT SENSE (ML=8/1),

SOVIET - Don't think that this colt has value at 9/5 in today's event. PERFECT SENSE - Improbable that this animal will finish better than he did last out when placing eighth. Recorded a common speed rating in the last race in a $50,000 Maiden Claiming race on Sep 19th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that rating.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - EEL POINT - Put a prime bet on this gelding. Uppermost in earnings per start and has a lot more to offer as well.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 ON YOUR MARK is going to be the play if we are getting 4/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[3,4,5] with [3,4,5] with [3,4,5,7,8] with [3,4,5,7,8] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2020, 09:02 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park West - Race #9 - Post: 4:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#4 COLD WARRIOR (ML=15/1)
#10 TOOK A CAB (ML=6/1)
#6 GRAND UNION (ML=5/1)
#7 MAQUIAVELO (ML=12/1)
#2 R UNCLE ERIC (ML=5/2)

COLD WARRIOR - Trainer, Broome, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Out of the money finish in the last race at Gulfstream Park was better than it looked on paper. He improved position in the lane and never gave up. This gelding is number one in earnings per race. Give the once over to this animal in the saddling ring. TOOK A CAB - This gelding's last speed fig is good enough to score here, I'll play him back again this time around. GRAND UNION - Colt is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a big performance today. Avila is hoping to get a little more out of this colt by adding blinkers today. MAQUIAVELO - The jock and handler combination have a profitable return on investment when they join forces. R UNCLE ERIC - Likes to go to the front and the fact that today is a shorter trip should be beneficial. This trainer brings horses to the grass ready to win, winning over 20 percent of the time under similar conditions. This horse has to be one of the key horses in your betting. His trainer Baxter excels in prepping horses to race on turf from the dirt. Trainer Baxter moves this animal down in the class scale to face a lower rated field. Look for a solid performance in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 DISCREET TUNE (ML=2/1),

DISCREET TUNE - All kinds of crazy zip on board for this clash. Slight chance for this speed merchant.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #4 COLD WARRIOR to win. Have to have odds of at least 9/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[4,10] with [4,6,10] with [2,4,6,7,10] with [2,4,6,7,10] Total Cost: $24
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	[4,6,10] with [2,4,6,7,10] with [2,4,6,7,10] with [2,4,6,7,10] with [2,4,6,7,10] Total Cost: $72

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2020, 09:03 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 76

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 CIMARRON 5/2
# 1 FRUITFULLY 3/1
# 6 MISS YOU MOM 9/5

CIMARRON is my choice. Ran a strong last race. Is hard not to examine given the company run in lately. Has earned reliable speed figures in dirt route races in the past. FRUITFULLY - Has performed admirably as of late in route races, posting a nifty 76 avg speed rating. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group lately. MISS YOU MOM - Has to be given a chance - I like the figs from the last outing. Earnings per start in dirt route races is reliable for this equine.