Sunday 10/25/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 01:41 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Golden Hour Pick 4 Ticket for Sunday

October 24, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
The Golden Hour Pick 4 has been a popular play and a good handicapping challenge, and we’re back for another Sunday for the sequence that includes the last two at Santa Anita and the last two at Golden Gate Fields.

The bet has a $1 minimum and has a 15-percent takeout, making it a hit with multi-race players.

Sunday’s action features an allowance optional claiming race and maiden test from Santa Anita, and an allowance race and maiden gathering at Golden Gate.

Here’s a look at the horses included on the $72 suggested play:

Santa Anita Race 10 (8 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming).

HEARTFULLOFSTARS closed in his last three at is set up nicely for the 6.5-furlong encounter. Last win came three races back and while he’ll need some luck with his running style, he’s set for impactful late run.

JAMMING EDDY won his last two – both on turf – and he has several quality dirt-track performances and has the speed to be a danger.

BIG SCOTT DADDY lacked a closing move in a rapid face last time and have a few races on his form that would put him in the hunt. Makes his third start off a 13-month layoff and can improve here.

APPRECIATED just missed with a strong run last out and has been on the board in his last three, with a victory three races back. Probably won’t be as far back early and can become engaged turning for home.

Golden Gate Fields 9 (8:15 p.m. ET, allowance)

NO COVER CHARGE is always a candidate for a gate-to-win triumph and drops out of strong races for this. Has two wins over the strip and figures well here.
LOTSA PEPPER is perfect in two starts, both on the turf. It’s his first all-weather start but several swift workouts indicate he can handle the change in footing.

Santa Anita Race 11 (8:30 p.m. ET, maidens)

MISS ADDIE PRAY has been calling out for more distance and gets a bunch of it today in this 1 1-4-mile turf encounter. She closed well for second going 1 1-8th miles three race and appears to be very well spotted here.
DISAPPEARING ACT closed steadily through the last half-mile and was a strong second last out. Can be closer up going long and should have what it takes to be a factor to the end.
WIND AND HOPE is much improved in her last two and was a half-length behind Disappearing Act at the end. Could be able to grind out the win in this spot.

Golden Gate Fields Race 10 (8:45 p.m., ET, maidens)

BLUE JAYS ships from Santa Anita, where he was fourth in a mile maiden race in January and has worked very well when asked. Looks ready for his first visit to Golden Gate Fields.
I’M A COOL DUDE was second and third in his two starts and stepped up from maiden claiming to maiden special in his latest. Can probably be in contention from the start, but he can also rally if the circumstances dictate it.
BANG FOR YOUR BUCK getting close to a maiden win with third-place finishes in his last two. Has the experience and has closed well in three of five. Legit late threat today.

Here’s the suggested ticket for $1 Golden Hour Pick 4 on Sunday:
SA 10) #1 Heartfullofstars, #3 Jamming Eddy, #6 Big Scott Daddy, #7 Appreciated.
GG 9) #4 No Cover Charge, #8 Lotsa Pepper.
SA 11) #1 Miss Addie Pray, #4 Disappearing Act, #5 Wind and Hope.
GG 10) #4 Blue Jays, #8 I’m a Cool Dude, #9 Bang for Your Buck.
$1 Golden Hour Pick 4: 1-3-6-7 with 4-8 with 1-4-5 with 4-8-9 ($72).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 09:04 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 10/25/20

October 25, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Bud Knight; 3-Table for Ten

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Table for Ten is steadily improving, and while he lacks a true turn of foot his late-running, grinding style should be well-suited for this mile and one-quarter turf distance. F. Prat stays aboard and will have him within range from the head of the lane to the wire. Bud Knight is similar to our top pick in that he doesn’t blast home but instead usually produces a steady late bid. He’s another that may truly appreciated today’s longer trip. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics and then press a bit keying Table for Ten on top.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-With Due Cause; 7-Acting Cat

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Acting Cat shows up in a maiden claimer for the first time and appears to have found his friends. The Tale of the Cat gelding also will be making his dirt debut, and after a nice recent blowout over the main track he appears capable of handling the switch in surface against this modest group. Gate-to-wire tactics surely will be employed. With Due Cause drops to the bottom and should be capable of producing some type of late kick. Usually sluggish from the gate but with speed figures that make him a fit in this league, the son of Creative Cause might find this abbreviated sprint trip a bit sharp but nonetheless is worth tossing in as a saver or a back-up.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Awesome Drive; 6-Hollywood Girl

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Hollywood Girl closed relentlessly off slow fractions to just miss in a similar first-level allowance turf affair in August at Del Mar while earning a career top speed figure and today gets nine furlongs to work. The Giant’s Causeway filly retains M. Smith, and while the pace scenario looks soft she should enjoy clear sailing and every chance in the six-runner affair. Awesome Drive, an ex-maiden claimer, continued her improving pattern when a strong third in a fast miler last month. She’s another with a decent late kick that should be effective at this mile and one-eighth journey. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have a few extra tickets keying Hollywood Girl on top.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B
Single: 1-Mon Camo

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Bay Area shipper Mon Camo drops well below his claim level for a high percentage outfit, returns to what might be his preferred surface (dirt) and brings with him speed figures that are better than par for this $12,500 claiming level. The barn’s “go-to” rider A. Cedillo picks up the mount and should have this veteran gelding within striking range throughout with a ground-saving trip. Several of these exit the race that Black Storm won and they’re hard to separate, so let’s take a stand and single ‘Camo and use him in the win pool at or near his morning line of 4-1.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B+
Use: 3-One Bad Boy; 4-Murad Khan

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Last year’s Queen’s Plate winner One Bad Boy was given a run in his first ssteart off a long layoff when facing a similar field at Del Mar in late August, but with regular rider F. Prat back aboard today we’re expecting a much more serious effort from the R. Baltas-trained son of Twirling Candy. Always most comfortable when on or near the lead but inexplicably allowed to drop far off the pace last time out, the 4-year-old ridgling seems certain to be in the first flight throughout and then have his chance to exert his superiority when the pressure is turned on. Though the main push goes to One Bad Boy, you may want to have a ticket or two that also includes Murad Khan, a genuine, consistent, and prototype turf miler with a solid late kick.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: C
Use: 2-Desert Smoke; 5-Destiny’s Journey

View Video Analysis

Forecast: We’ll use the two listed above in our rolling exotics but in a chaotic affair that could be won by any of the nine entrants, the best advice is to include as many as your budget allows. Destiny’s Journey seeks her third straight score but was a voided claim for $16,000 in her victory more than two months ago and today shows up in a $10,000 event, hardly a healthy pattern. Additionally, the S. Knapp-trained filly is a need-the-lead type, but with the presence of speedy Desert Smoke drawn inside she may be related to a stalker’s role. She can win, but she can lose, too. ‘Smoke has won over this main track in the past, has numbers up north that make her dangerous and picks up F. Prat. In a field in which the closers are suspect, she might make the running and get very brave. There are lots of question marks in this race, so tread lightly.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Concise Advice; 7-Dr Wysong

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Concise Advice walked out of the gate and never had much chance in her first start in more than a year at Del Mar in August, so let’s draw a line through that race and give her another chance in this first-level allowance grass sprint for fillies and mares. The daughter of Slew’s Tiznow had won her debut sprinting on grass as a 2-year-old so she does have ability, and recent workouts indicate the M. Puype-trained filly is set to show her best stuff. There’s good value at 8-1 on the morning line both in the win pool and in the rolling exotics. Dr Wysong, first off the claim for high percentage trainer I. Tamayo (a sensational 34% with this angle) has a good closing kick and will be rolling late over a course and distance that promotes her style. With room to rally and a decent pace to chase the daughter of Cyclotron will be heard from late. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll press with extra tickets keying Concise Advice on top.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Rain Diva; 3-Time for Ebby

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Rain Diva got loose on the lead and crushed a softer group of restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claimers over this track and distance earlier this month, and if she can turn in two alike the M. Glatt-trained filly can be dangerous right back despite the class hike. The race lacks speed, so if the daughter of Temple City breaks running from the rail and can clear early she may never look back. Time for Ebby has five prior victories of the Santa Anita main track and may be the best of the closers. She’s back on the main track, gets an extra half-furlong to work with, and will be a threat if the pace flow cooperates. Preference on top goes to Rain Diva but we’ll include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 9: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Maxim Rate; 3-Raymundos Secret

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Raymundos Secret managed to win the Mabee S.-G2 in gate-to-wire fashion in her last start, though she barely found enough late energy to hang on at a mile and one-eighth. She’s much more comfortable at today’s mile trip (she’s 4-for-5), so given the projected pace flow the P. D’Amato-trained daughter of Treasure Beach should be capable of grabbing control early and then staying on throughout. Maxim Rate, a strong runner-up in the Rodeo Drive S.-G1 at a mile and one-quarter last month, is dangerous at any distance but can be especially difficult to beat over a flat mile on grass, having won three of her six starts at this trip. She’s certain to draft into a comfortable second flight, stalking position and then have dead aim on Raymundos Secret from the top of the stretch to the wire. We’ll give ‘Secret a slight edge on top but truthfully they’re very difficult to separate and both must be used in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 10: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B+ (Leg 1 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Single: 3-Jamming Eddy

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Jamming Eddy seeks his third straight win, and while he’s returning to dirt after a pair of sharp victories on grass he’s equally effective on any surface and seems well-placed to extend his streak. The Square Eddie gelding likes to settle in the second flight and blast home, and with regular rider F. Prat staying aboard the P. Miller-trained Cal-bred should find a proper early position and then build from there. At 2-1 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic play.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 9: Post 5:15 PT Grade: B-
Use: 10-Sing in the Wind; 2-Legalito; 8-Lotsa Pepper

Forecast: Sing in the Wind is most effective as a late-running sprinter and in a race that should have faster-than-par early fractions the veteran mare seems likely to have every opportunity to settle early and produce the last run. Legalita won at first asking with a decent speed figure earlier this month and should be competitive on the raise. The daughter of Gotham City likely will be outrun early but the projected quicker-than-par early pace should complement her style, so at 8-1 on the morning there may be good value to be found. Lotsa Pepper is unbeaten in two starts and has rising speed figures, but both of her victories came over five furlongs on turf and today she’ll need to carry her zip three-quarters on the all-weather surface.
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RACE 11: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B- (Leg 3 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Use: 2-This Tea; 4-Disappearing Act

View Video Analysis

Forecast: This Tea has rising speed figures and a pedigree that strongly suggests she’ll improve considerably as the distances increase. The daughter of Curlin is drawn comfortably inside, adds blinkers for the first time, switches to F. Prat, and catches a modest field of older maiden fillies and mares. We’ll put her strongly on top but as a back-up include Disappearing Act on our rolling exotic tickets. As a daughter of Magician she’s bred to love this 10-furlong trip and with improving form and a steady, grinding late kick she’s likely to make her presence felt in the final quarter mile.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 4 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 10: Post 5:45 PT Grade: B
Single: 4-Blue Jays

Forecast: Blue Jays, away for almost 11 months, returns in a winnable spot following a series of good workouts at Santa Anita that should have him fit and ready. The K. Desormeaux-trained colt is facing considerably easier company than he saw in his first two starts and we’re expecting the son of Street Sense to take full advantage of the opportunity. At 9/2 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 09:05 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #1

#4 So Darn Hot	Stalker was in too tough last time in the G2 but looked good breaking her maiden here, and there's a chance she gets overlooked on board; can surprise.
#2 Mrs. Danvers	Underachiever loves running 2nd at short odds, and while she's best on paper, the margin is slim, and she will be way overbet, as always; second-best, again.
#1 Say Moi	Fellow underlay hasn't fire in two straight, so why she's 8-5 is a guess, and there's no reason to take twice that, let alone even shorter; just not seeing it.
Race Summary	The 7-2 ML on the pick seems like a lot of value, especially when you view her in lieu of her two biggest rivals, so play her aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by using her to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since there's a chance the public will key on the two inside gals, even though they have some real knocks to them.

Belmont Park - Race #4

#6 Crystalle	Stretch runner has some class to her and certainly needed her comeback, so off that tightener she has every reason to improve open lengths here; look out.
#7 Capital Structure	Lightly raced miss was a good 3rd for Brown while tackling winners here last month, which should set her up nicely now that she knows what it takes; big chance.
#1 Windfall Profit	The chalk was a close 4th taking on winners and did well to draw inside, though she's going to be overbet, with little margin for error as well; capable, but no lock.
Race Summary	That 9-2 ML on the pick seems like a lot of value, as she has the most upside of anyone here, and should only build on her comeback, so play her in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she hinted at big things at 2, and might now finally be able to deliver at 3.

Belmont Park - Race #8

#1 Last Judgement	Stretch runner catches a group with plenty of speed to set him up, and the 5th last time was against a very good group; mows them all down late.
#7 Pete's Play Call	Stalker did well to draw outside all of the speed, as there's plenty here, though chasing wide might catch up to him in the lane; still, looks a must-use.
#4 High Velocity	Tricky read didn't fire off the long break and trainer change but now cuts back, which should have him sitting just off all the speed; eligible to rebound.
Race Summary	Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and that should really help the chances of the 1, who is as good as anyone here anyway, so play him aggressive to win and place, while getting some added value by singling him in the late Pk4/Pk4, as he looks to be getting all the best of it in here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 09:06 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #2

#7 Acting Cat	Have thought a bit more of this guy than his price has suggested through two starts, and now he gets some significant class relief. Graduates here.
#4 Wild Cat Canyon	He has had 15 starts, so there are no excuses left, but he has some forward ability that might allow him to stick around for a share in a soft spot.
#1 With Due Cause	Drops in for the lowest level yet, but he hasn't shown a whole lot along the way with better. Still, this is a weak spot, and he could land this.
Race Summary	Acting Cat showed some pace last time out and now drops sharply while trying the main track. He should be able to flash a bit of speed and wire these.

Santa Anita - Race #5

#2 Majestic Eagle	Has been in with some pretty tough groups over the last year or so, and the price should still be right on the drop out of GII company.
#6 The Black Album	That Golden Gate try was a disappointment, but he's capable of something much better than that and should offer a fair price to see if he can bring that today.
#3 One Bad Boy	Second start off the long layoff, and he can probably flash a bit better pace this time around. Classy guy has a big chance.
Race Summary	Majestic Eagle is worth a look at a square price as he drops in class for this one out of a really decent effort behind BC-bound Mo Forza.

Santa Anita - Race #9

#6 Silberpfeil	Makes the first North American start for a team that does some good work with longshots in this kind of company. She earned a Group III placing last time out and might be a good fit here.
#2 Maxim Rate	Tactical type was simply second best last out in Grade I company, and she should be able to get another good trip near the top with these.
#3 Raymundos Secret	Forward player handled the hike into Grade II company last time out, and she figures tough right back with this group. Capable underlay?
Race Summary	Silberpfeil is worth a price look for a team that connects with longshot players in tough spots from time to time, and while she's meeting some horses with recent success, this isn't too deep a spot for the level.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 09:07 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park West - Race #3

#5 Remember the Maine	Didn't fire in a race that came off the turf and has races at this level that would make him tough here.
#8 Can't Trump Kitten	Drops in class off a 4th-place finish and seeks a return to top form; late player.
#9 National Honor	Was up in time for a higher price at Parx and won a race at GP in March; makes his second off a layoff.
Race Summary	Remember the Maine can close ground on the turf and his last one is a throw-out due to switch in surfaces; will be overlooked in the wagering and his best can put him in the hunt.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #8

#1 Don't Get Khozy	Made a good run for second last time out and does her best from off the pace; can save ground and this pace and distance should be right for her.
#7 Tiz Possible Dear	Won two straight and then finished sixth in the slop at a higher level; has be close throughout.
#4 Worth Avenue	Rallied mildly to fourth last time after two straight wins; game mare is usually a factor when she fires her best shot.
Race Summary	Don't Get Khozy should get a good trip jus toff the pace and she only attempt at this distance produced an easy win.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #9

#3 Speed Franco	Goes for his third straight win and has found a home going two turns on turf; his last two wins were in each fashion and he was claimed by Catanese last out.
#6 Donji	Ran on for third against similar last out and a good pace will help him out in his late run; hasn't won since may but has shown interest in most of his races for this price.
#9 Sir Seamus	Loves it on the front end and until a fourth last time won three straight; could dictate the pace.
Race Summary	Speed Franco has been very good recently and doesn't do much wrong at this level; capable of extending his streak.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 10:27 AM

Football Jesus NFL PODCAST Free picks Patriots, Rams 2-0 last week

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 10:27 AM

Betting Recap - Week 6
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Broncos (+7.5, ML +290) at Patriots, 18-12
Falcons (+3.5, ML +170) at Vikings, 40-23
Buccaneers (+2.5, ML +130) vs. Packers, 38-10
49ers (+2.5, ML +110) vs. Rams, 24-16

The largest favorites to cover

Dolphins (-8.5) vs. Jets, 24-0
Titans (-4) vs. Texans, 42-36 (OT)
Lions (-3) at Jaguars, 34-16
Steelers (-3) vs. Browns, 38-7

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

The Green Bay Packers-Tampa Bay Buccaneers game in the late afternoon window on Sunday was expected to be one of the two best games of Week 6. The Cleveland Browns-Pittsburgh Steelers game in the early window was expected to be a good battle, but that turned out to be a dud. The Pack and Bucs was a good battle for about a quarter and a half, and then it went downhill, too.

The Packers fired out to a 10-0 lead after one quarter, and the favorites looked like they were going to be in control. However, Jamel Dean had a pick-six against QB Aaron Rodgers, and the Bucs scored their first touchdown with their defense. Just 100 seconds later, it was Ronald Jones II punching in a 2-yard touchdown, and the home side was up 14-10, and they would not look back. They scored two more touchdowns by halftime, leading 28-10, and the over (55) was looking good, right?

The Bucs posted 10 more points, giving them 38 unanswered points, and over bettors were just seven points shy of a push heading into the final quarter. Unfortunately for over bettors, there were ZERO points in the final quarter. It wasn't quite a bad beat, but over bettors were likely feeling very good after 45 minutes, only to have the carpet whipped out from under their feet.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

The Houston Texans-Jackonville Jaguars game was a seesaw battle, and Texans (+4) side bettors had to be feeling good when the visitors went ahead 36-29 with 1:50 to go in regulation. However, A.J. Brown reeled in a seven-yard touchdown, and Tennessee elected for the point after rather than the two-point conversion try with four seconds remaining, forcing overtime. Houston moneyline bettors were dejected, but side bettors catching the six were feeling OK. Right?

Well, with 6:30 to go in the extra session, Derrick Henry scored from five yards out, and the touchdown ended things. Instead of a cover, moneyline bettors were holding a losing ticket, and so were side bettors. Ouch.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board on the Sunday slate was the Washington Football Team-New York Giants (42) game, and the Bookmakers were close to being right on the nose. The Giants gritted out a 20-19 home victory, their first of the season. A scoreless third quarter tossed over bettors off pace, and despite a total of 16 points in a final quarter flurry, this NFC cellar-dweller battle ended up as an 'under' result. The under is now 4-2 in six games overall for the G-Men, including 2-1 at home. They're averaging just 15.0 PPG in three games at MetLife Stadium.

The highest total on Sunday's board was the aforementioned Packers-Bucs game (see above). The second-highest game was the Atlanta Falcons-Minnesota Vikings (53.5) battle. The Falcons fired out to a 20-0 lead at halftime, and the under was well on pace. The Falcons posted 10 points in each quarter, but over bettors needed the Vikings to show up if they were going to cash. They did, eventually, as the Vikings posted 16 points in the final quarter to inch the total over the finish line with 63 total points.

The only primetime game in Week 6 so far was the Los Angeles Rams-San Francisco 49ers (51) game, and it went well 'under', with just 13 total points in the final 30 minutes. The first-half 'over' did end up hitting with 27 total points. The rescheduled Kansas City Chiefs-Buffalo Bills (56) and the Arizona Cardinals-Dallas Cowboys (55) game on Monday promise to give us some doubleheader fireworks, at least if the odds makers are right.

So far this season the over is 8-10 (44.4%) across 18 primetime games. In 2019, the 'over' was just 17-31-1 (35.4%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 7

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Giants hit the road with a quick turnaround, but at least it's a quick jaunt down to the City of Brotherly Love. They're coming off their first victory of the season, 20-19, over Washington. The Eagles made a valiant comeback, but fell just short against the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, 30-28. Philly swept the season series in 2019, winning 23-17 in Philadelphia in overtime on a Monday night game in early December, and they doubled up the G-Men 34-17 in Week 17 in the Meadowlands. They also swept the season series in 2017 and 2018, too. In fact, Philadelphia hasn't lost to the Giants in the past seven meetings, although New York has covered its past three trips to Lincoln Financial Field.

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

The Browns were knocked down a peg, falling 38-7 in Pittsburgh on Sunday. They're 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in four games against everyone other than the Ravens and Steelers. Against those two division rivals the Browns are 0-2 SU/ATS, and they're averaging just 6.5 PPG while allowing 38.0 PPG. They'll play their final road divisional game of the season, and it's a rematch with the Bengals. Cincinnati picked up a backdoor cover in Week 2 in a Thursday game in Cleveland, covering a six-point number in a 35-30 loss. QB Baker Mayfield (ribs) aggravated his rib injury in Pittsburgh, so that will be a situation to watch here.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

As mentioned, the Steelers bludgeoned the Browns, and they remain unbeaten. They'll take on the other big kid on the AFC block, as the Titans are also unbeaten. The Steelers are 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS, including a cover in their only road game back in Week 1 against the Giants. After failing to cover in their first three wins, the Titans are 2-0 ATS in the past two while hitting the 'over' in four consecutive contests. Tennessee has scored 31 or more points in four in a row, too. Of course, the Browns had scored 30 or more points in four in a row heading into Week 6, and the Steelers defense completely shut them down, so we'll see what happens.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Las Vegas Raiders (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Buccaners flexed a little muscle against the Packers, winning 38-10 in a bummer of a game. It was great for Tampa, but a bummer for NFL fans who wanted to see a good game between two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks. The Bucs are already 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS in two games against AFC West teams, including a win and road cover against the Denver Broncos back in Week 3. While the Bucs are 4-2 SU overall, they're just 1-2 SU/ATS in three road contests to date. The Raiders are coming off a bye, resting in Week 6 after their 40-32 road win against the Kansas City Chiefs. In a SNF game back in Week 2, the Raiders pushed past the Saints 34-24 to cover as four-point home 'dogs at Allegiant Stadium, a.k.a. 'The Big Al'. We'll see if they can remain hot on the Strip.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 10:27 AM

NFL odds Week 7: Opening lines, sharp money & line movement
Patrick Everson

Jared Goff and the Rams, who tumbled to the 49ers on Sunday night, are back in prime time next Monday at home against the Bears. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Los Angeles -6.5.

NFL Week 6 is almost a wrap, save for Monday's twinbill, and NFL Week 7 odds are on the betting board and taking action. Among the noteworthy matchups, the Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans meet in a battle of unbeatens, and the Chicago Bears head to the West Coast to face the Los Angeles Rams.

The SuperBook at Westgate's John Murray provided insights on NFL Week 6 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting.

NFL Week 7 odds

These are the current NFL Week 7 odds, as of October 20.

Teams on bye: Minnesota Vikings, Baltimore Ravens, Indianapolis Colts, Miami Dolphins

Giants at Eagles odds

Opening line
Eagles -6.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Philadelphia's comeback fell short in a 30-28 home loss to Baltimore on Sunday, but it impressed the oddsmakers more than New York squeaking out a 20-19 home win over Washington. That said, after opening the Eagles -6.5, The SuperBook ticked down to -6 shortly after posting the line Sunday evening.

Browns at Bengals odds

Opening line
Bengals +3.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Cincinnati was a 7.5-point underdog Sunday at Indianapolis and had an upset in the making, but got outscored 10-0 in the fourth quarter and lost 31-27. Cleveland wasn't nearly as crisp in its role as a popular 3-point pup at Pittsburgh, where the Browns got boatraced 38-7.

That certainly impacted the Browns-Bengals line at The SuperBook, as 4-2 Cleveland opened -3.5 against 1-4-1 Cincinnati.

Cowboys at Washington odds

Opening line
WFT +3, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Washington fell just short at the New York Giants on Sunday, losing 20-19 after a failed 2-point conversion in the waning seconds. Dallas, which is without Dak Prescott (ankle) for the rest of the year, still has Week 6 work to do in the Monday night game against Arizona.

Still, The SuperBook opened the Cowboys -3, and there was no line movement Sunday night.

Lions at Falcons odds

Opening line
Falcons -3, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
In its first game since firing coach Dan Quinn, Atlanta rolled over host Minnesota 40-23, and Detroit had a similarly easy time in a 34-16 win at Jacksonville. The SuperBook opened the Falcons -3, and there was no line movement Sunday night.

Panthers at Saints odds

Opening line
Saints -8, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
New Orleans is rested up, coming off a bye week, while Carolina was dealt a 23-16 Week 6 home loss as 2-point chalk against Chicago. That prompted The SuperBook to post the Saints as a touchdown-plus favorite for this NFC South clash, and there was no movement Sunday night.

Bills at Jets odds

Opening line
Jets +10.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
New York continues to make its case for the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft, losing at Miami 24-0 to fall to 0-6 SU and ATS. Buffalo is 4-1 SU (3-2ATS) and atop the AFC East, though it still has some heavy Week 6 lifting to do, in a 5 p.m. ET Monday clash with visiting Kansas City.

Packers at Texans odds

Opening line
Texans +3, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
The Packers opened -3 at The SuperBook, and in the wake of their 38-10 blowout road loss to the Buccaneers, the line didn't move Sunday night.

"Today’s performance may give some bettors pause on taking Green Bay, but I’d still expect to need Houston big at kickoff," Murray said Sunday evening. "It'll probably be one of the biggest decisions of the week."

Seahawks at Cardinals odds

Opening line
Cardinals +3, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Seattle opened -3 at The SuperBook, with no movement Sunday night.

"The Seahawks are coming off their bye, and it's a short week for Arizona," Murray said, alluding to the Cardinals' Monday night game at Dallas. "Seattle's defense has been very shaky. There should be money both ways, but we will need Arizona."

49ers at Patriots odds

Opening line
Patriots -4, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
New England opened -4, and per The SuperBook's standard operating procedure, the game came off the board Sunday night when the Rams-49ers game kicked off. The game will go back up Monday morning.

"I’ll be interested to see how the public plays this game, after the New England performance today," Murray said Sunday evening, noting the Patriots' pathetic performance in an 18-12 home loss to Denver as 7-point favorites.

Chiefs at Broncos odds

Opening line
Broncos +8.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Denver is coming off a stunning 18-12 victory at New England, but all 18 points came on field goals, which surely won't hold up against the explosive Kansas City offense. The Chiefs still have their Week 6 game Monday at Buffalo, but The SuperBook pegged K.C. 8.5-point road chalk in this Week 7 AFC West matchup.

Buccaneers at Raiders odds

Opening line
Raiders +2.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Tampa Bay opened -2.5 on the road, and there was no movement Sunday night at The SuperBook. But there'll be no shortage of cash flying on this Sunday Night Football contest.

"This will be a huge-volume game," Murray said. "The Bucs' D looked awesome today (vs. Packers), but there should be a lot of support for the Raiders, especially in this market. The Raiders are off a huge win (at Chiefs) and a bye week. The Bucs are very popular this year, but the Raiders will see a lot of support, too."

Bears at Rams odds

Opening line
Rams -6.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
There was no early movement at The SuperBook off the opener of Los Angeles -6.5, and this game came off the board when the Rams-49ers game kicked off Sunday night. Bears-Rams will go back up Monday morning.

"The Bears don’t get any respect, but they just keep winning," Murray said of the NFC North leaders, who are 5-1 SU (4-2 ATS) heading into the Week 7 Monday nighter. "There will be moneyline bets on the Bears. It’s a long way off, but I’m guessing we will want the Rams to win but not cover at kickoff."

Steelers at Titans odds

Opening line
Titans +1, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
"We opened Steelers -1 and are now up to -2.5," Murray said of a big Sunday night move at The SuperBook. "The Titans just keep winning, but haven’t gotten much respect in the betting market. We will definitely need them here."

Jaguars at Chargers odds

Opening line
Chargers -9.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
The Chargers, coming off their bye, are 1-4 SU, and the Jaguars are 1-5 SU. But Los Angeles has played well and is in pretty much every game, as evidenced by its 4-1 ATS mark, while Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS. So The SuperBook pegged the Bolts 9.5-point favorites Sunday night, and bettors didn't dispute it, as there was no early movement.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 10:28 AM

NFL betting tips for Week 7: Bet Now or Bet Later
Jason Logan

Aaron Rodgers' revenge tour rolls into Houston coming off an embarrassing loss in Tampa Bay last Sunday. Since Rodgers took over QB duties in 2008, the Cheeseheads are 39-29-1 ATS coming off a loss.

Holy crap, we’re almost at the midway mark of the 2020 NFL season. By this point in the schedule, the NFL betting intel is growing richer by the snap and oddsmakers have a much deeper understanding of what makes teams tick.

Because of that you need a sure-fire NFL betting strategy: get the best number for your bet.

Locking in the best spread or total for your opinion is the only way to beat the bookies, so we share our NFL betting tips for the best lines to bet now and which ones to bet later in NFL Week 7.

Green Bay Packers (-3) at Houston Texans: Bet Now

Boy I feel sorry for the Texans. After Aaron Rodgers and the Packers were embarrassed in Tampa Bay this past weekend, Green Bay’s redemption tour rolls into Houston to take on a 1-5 home team. Books opened the Cheeseheads as field-goal favorites for this 1 p.m. ET Week 7 kickoff and it won’t be sticking around long.

The Texans just gave up 36 points in regulation to the Titans and have allowed four of their six opponents to crack the 30-point plateau on the scoreboard (Pittsburgh could only muster 28 points… pffffft!). While the offense does seem to be figuring something out since shedding the stink of Bill O’Brien’s play calling, it's walking into a shootout Sunday afternoon.

Since Rodgers took over as the No. 1 gunslinger in Green Bay (2008), the Packers have posted a 39-29-1 ATS mark (57 percent) coming off a loss. Yes, Sunday’s defeat to the Bucs was a bad one but it’s only giving us extra value on this short spread. Also, the Pack are back indoors Sunday, where they’ve averaged 38 points per game this season. I wonder if they've ever considered putting a roof on Lambeau? Nahhhhhhh.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans (+1.5): Bet Later

The Titans don’t get any respect. Maybe it’s sour grapes from their whole COVID-19 outbreak. Maybe it’s the bad taste leftover from Ryan Tannehill’s days in Miami. Whatever the case, Tennessee is catching the points at home hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers in a Week 7 battle of undefeated teams.

There’s enough on either side of this spread to make a case for Pittsburgh or Tennessee, but if you are siding with the home team, you may want to wait this one out and see how many extra points you can grab before clicking submit on the Titans.

This line opened as low as Steelers -1 and is out there as high as -2. Tennessee needed a last-second drive to force overtime and secure the win versus Houston at home (albeit playing its second game in six days) but Pittsburgh’s convincing win over Cleveland will puff this one up – especially with the Steelers boasting a surplus of public support each and every week.

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (Under 51): Bet Now

It’s the 2020 NFL season soooooo… you get a 50-point total! And you get a 50-point total! And YOU get a 50-point total! With scoring still at a record pace, oddsmakers are stuffing as much cushion as they can into these weekly totals until the universe balances itself out.

The Panthers-Saints Week 7 showdown opened with the total at 51 points and while there hasn’t been a hint of movement in the first few hours of action, I believe this is headed downward. The Saints have had a bye week to study up and tighten the bolts on a defense that still ranks sixth in DVOA at Football Outsiders. And while there’s a slim hope that Carolina will return RB Christian McCaffrey (most likely Week 8), the Panthers offense has slowed down after a fiery start to the season with efforts of 23 and 16 points the past two games.

Another thing to consider is how well New Orleans knows not only Carolina QB Teddy Bridgewater (played for the Saints for two seasons) but also Panthers offensive coordinator Joe Brady (Saints offensive assistant for two years), who pretty much ripped pages out of the New Orleans playbook for his tenure at LSU and is running similar systems in Charlotte this year. If you’re on board with the Under, you'll want to get it sooner rather than later.

Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons (Under 56.5): Bet Later

This Over/Under opened as low as 55.5 at one select sportsbook and lasted less than a half-hour before action tacked on another point and the rest of the industry posted 56.5 for Lions at Falcons. And why not? Both teams love to score and hate to defend, ranked 28th and 30th in defensive DVOA (heading into Week 6).

But if you're zigging when everyone else is zagging on this total, wait and see how much higher the number climbs before jumping in on the Under. Detroit and Atlanta are each coming off an offensive outpouring in Week 6, with the Lions laying 34 points on the Jaguars and the Falcons flipping the Vikings for 40 points. That recency bias has built this lofty number.

We’ve seen these groups fall flat on their face at times this season. Atlanta scored just 16 points in back-to-back outings before Sunday’s explosion, and Detroit hadn’t cracked 30 points until this weekend’s run-in with lowly Jacksonville. These teams have faced some tall totals in past meetings and have gone just 2-4 O/U in their last six head-to-head encounters.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 10:28 AM

Tech Trends - Week 7
Bruce Marshall

Week 7 of the NFL season kicks off on Thursday, Oct. 22 and we've identified betting trends and angles for all 14 matchups. We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Thursday, Oct. 22

N.Y. GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA

Giants have covered last three trips to Linc as road team has covered last four in series.
G-Men now 3-0 as road dog in 2020 (visiting team has covered first five NY games), 7-2 since 2019 in role, 13-3 since 2018.
Birds on 5-14 skid vs. line last 19 at Linc.

Tech Edge: Giants, based on team and series trends.

Sunday, Oct. 25

CLEVELAND at CINCINNATI

Bengals have covered 10 of last 12 meetings including Sept. 17 at Cleveland.
Browns have covered three of last four in 2020 after 5-12-1 spread skid prior.
Cincy has also covered 4 of last 5 this season.
Browns “over” 4-1 last five in 2020 and 7-3 “over” since late 2019.
“Overs” 5-0-1 last six meetings.

Tech Edge: “Over” and Bengals, based on “totals” and series trends.

DALLAS at WASHINGTON

Into Monday vs. Cards, Dallas 0-5 vs. line in 2020, though WFT only 1-3-1 vs. spread.
Cowboys have won and covered last three and five of last six meetings.
Dallas “over” 7-2 last nine since late 2019, Wash “over” 6-2 last eight since late 2019.
“Overs” 8-1 last nine meetings.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

DETROIT at ATLANTA

Falcs 0-3 vs. line at home in 2020, 6-12 last 18 vs. spot at Mercedes Benz Stadium.
Lions however have lost 12 of last 14 SU, and 1-5 last six as road dog.
Detroit “over” 14-7 since 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

CAROLINA at NEW ORLEANS

Panthers have won and covered 3 of last 4 in 2020, and have also covered 3 of last 4 in series.
Saints 2-6 vs. number last 8 at Superdome.
Carolina 11-6-1 “over” since early 2019, NO “over” seven straight reg season.
“Overs” 9-2 last 11 meetings.

Tech Edge: “Over” and Panthers, based on “totals” and team trends.

BUFFALO at N.Y. JETS

Jets 0-6 SU and vs. line in 2020, 2-9 last 11 on board since late 2019.
Bills “over” 4-0-1 this season into KC on Monday night, “overs” 4-2 last six meetings

Tech Edge: Bills and “over,” based on team and ”totals” trends.

GREEN BAY at HOUSTON

Pack 4-1 SU and vs. line in 2020, now 6-2 last 8 vs. spread in reg season since late 2019.
Texans 4-10-1 vs. line last 16 on board.

Tech Edge: Packers, based on recent trends.

PITTSBURGH at TENNESSEE

Titans now 14-4 SU with Tannehill at QB, also 14-4 “over” in those games.
Though Steel “under” 8-1 last nine away.
Tomlin 10-2 as dog since 2018.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on Titan “totals” trends.

SEATTLE at ARIZONA

Road team is 9-1-1 vs. line last 11 in series.
Hawks 8-3-1 vs. points last 12 on road.
Cards “under” 4-0-1 in 2020, 7-2-1 “under” since late 2019.
Last five in series at Glendale have been “under” as well.

Tech Edge: Seahawks and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.

SAN FRANCISCO at NEW ENGLAND

Visiting team is 5-1 vs. line in Niner games TY (SF 2-0), and Shanahan has covered five straight and 8 of last 10 as visitor.
After Rams win, Niners now 5-0 as dog since last season.
Belichick only 3-5 vs. line last 8 at Gillette Stadium after Denver loss.

Tech Edge: 49ers, based on team trends.

KANSAS CITY at DENVER

Chiefs have won last nine SU in series (8-1 vs. line), longest SU win streak vs. Denver since 1964-69 when KC won 11 straight.
Even after Raiders loss, Chiefs 13-1 SU, 12-2 vs. spread last 14 since mid 2019 (prior to bills on Monday).
Fangio, however, 9-3 last 12 as dog.
Series also “under” last four meetings.

Tech Edge: Chiefs and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.

JACKSONVILLE at L.A. CHARGERS

Bolts 1-4 SU, 4-1 vs. line in 2020.
Chargers 1-1 vs. line at SoFi, though just 2-9 against number last 11 as host.
Jags 4-9 last 13 vs. points away.
Bolts “under” 7-1 last 8 as host.
11-3 “under” last 14 at home.

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

TAMPA BAY at LAS VEGAS

Arians “under” last two in 2020 but still “over” 15-7 with Bucs and “over” 30-15 dating to mid 2016 with Cards.
Raiders “over” 4-0-1 in 2020.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

Monday, Oct. 26

CHICAGO at L.A. RAMS

Matchups between these two have been way “under” each of past two seasons.
Bears 3-0 vs. line away, 4-1 as dog in 2020.
Bears “under” 21-8 since late 2018.

Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Bears, based on “totals” and team trends.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 10:28 AM

451CLEVELAND -452 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game in the last 3 seasons.

453DALLAS -454 WASHINGTON
DALLAS are 6-20 ATS (-16 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - averaging <=285 yards/game since 1992.

457DETROIT -458 ATLANTA
DETROIT is 8-27 ATS (-21.7 Units) vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game since 1992.

461CAROLINA -462 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 26-9 ATS (16.1 Units) vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game since 1992.

463BUFFALO -464 NY JETS
NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in the 1rst half of the season in the current season.

465GREEN BAY -466 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 2 seasons.

467SEATTLE -468 ARIZONA
SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=4.5 rushing yards/carry in the last 3 seasons.

469SAN FRANCISCO -470 NEW ENGLAND
NEW ENGLAND is 101-63 ATS (31.7 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse since 1992.

471KANSAS CITY -472 DENVER
DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus terrible rushing defenses - allowing >=5 rushing yards/carry since 1992.

473TAMPA BAY -474 LAS VEGAS
LAS VEGAS are 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in home games after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games since 1992.

475CHICAGO -476 LA RAMS
CHICAGO is 13-34 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992.

477PITTSBURGH -478 TENNESSEE
PITTSBURGH is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a home win in the last 3 seasons.

479JACKSONVILLE -480 LA CHARGERS
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 10:29 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 7

Sunday, October 25

Carolina @ New Orleans

Game 461-462
October 25, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
129.212
New Orleans
131.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 2 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 7 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+7 1/2); Over

Cleveland @ Cincinnati

Game 451-452
October 25, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
124.753
Cincinnati
129.860
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 5
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+3 1/2); Under

Green Bay @ Houston

Game 465-466
October 25, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
135.181
Houston
128.987
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 6
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 3 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-3 1/2); Over

Pittsburgh @ Tennessee

Game 477-478
October 25, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
137.542
Tennessee
140.720
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 3
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(+1 1/2); Over

Detroit @ Atlanta

Game 457-458
October 25, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
126.963
Atlanta
136.269
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 9 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 3
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-3); Over

Buffalo @ NY Jets

Game 463-464
October 25, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
131.705
NY Jets
117.456
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 14 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 12 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-12 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Washington

Game 453-454
October 25, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
121.398
Washington
121.927
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 3
49
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+3); Under

Seattle @ Arizona

Game 467-468
October 25, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
132.376
Arizona
137.787
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 5 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 3 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+3 1/2); Over

San Francisco @ New England

Game 469-470
October 25, 2020 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
130.532
New England
131.080
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 1
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 2 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+2 1/2); Under

Kansas City @ Denver

Game 471-472
October 25, 2020 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
139.529
Denver
132.884
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 6 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 9 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+9 1/2); Over

Jacksonville @ LA Chargers

Game 479-480
October 25, 2020 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
118.203
LA Chargers
127.475
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 9 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 7 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-7 1/2); Under

Tampa Bay @ Las Vegas

Game 473-474
October 25, 2020 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
137.663
Las Vegas
137.165
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
Even
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3
53
Dunkel Pick:
Las Vegas
(+3); Over

Monday, October 26

Chicago @ LA Rams

Game 475-476
October 26, 2020 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
127.587
LA Rams
137.235
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 9 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 5 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(-5 1/2); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 10:29 AM

NFL TRENDS

Sunday, October 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (4 - 2) at CINCINNATI (1 - 4 - 1) - 10/25/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (2 - 3) at WASHINGTON (1 - 5) - 10/25/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 94-127 ATS (-45.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 94-127 ATS (-45.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 94-127 ATS (-45.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-51 ATS (-30.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (2 - 3) at ATLANTA (1 - 5) - 10/25/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 149-188 ATS (-57.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (3 - 3) at NEW ORLEANS (3 - 2) - 10/25/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (4 - 1) at NY JETS (0 - 6) - 10/25/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
NY JETS are 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-2 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY (4 - 1) at HOUSTON (1 - 5) - 10/25/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 201-147 ATS (+39.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (5 - 0) at ARIZONA (3 - 2) - 10/25/2020, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 40-64 ATS (-30.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 3) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 3) - 10/25/2020, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 272-211 ATS (+39.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 272-211 ATS (+39.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 200-154 ATS (+30.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 132-92 ATS (+30.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 73-49 ATS (+19.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS CITY (4 - 1) at DENVER (2 - 3) - 10/25/2020, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (4 - 2) at LAS VEGAS (3 - 2) - 10/25/2020, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 39-64 ATS (-31.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PITTSBURGH (5 - 0) at TENNESSEE (5 - 0) - 10/25/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 83-56 ATS (+21.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 67-37 ATS (+26.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (1 - 5) at LA CHARGERS (1 - 4) - 10/25/2020, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS are 31-6 ATS (+24.4 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 26

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CHICAGO (5 - 1) at LA RAMS (4 - 2) - 10/26/2020, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 57-83 ATS (-34.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS are 151-194 ATS (-62.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS are 73-105 ATS (-42.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 1-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 1-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-25-2020, 10:30 AM

NFL TRENDS

Sunday, October 25

Carolina @ New Orleans
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

Green Bay @ Houston
Green Bay
Green Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games

Buffalo @ NY Jets
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 10 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Buffalo

Detroit @ Atlanta
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Cleveland @ Cincinnati
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Dallas @ Washington
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Tennessee
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 8 games at home
Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Seattle @ Arizona
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home

Kansas City @ Denver
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Denver's last 17 games at home

San Francisco @ New England
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
New England
New England is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco

Jacksonville @ LA Chargers
Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Jacksonville's last 11 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 9 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Las Vegas
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Monday, October 26

Chicago @ LA Rams
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
LA Rams
LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games at home

Sunday 10/25/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 10/25/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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