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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #16
    NFL Week 7 Injuries, Weather
    Patrick Everson

    Week 7 Injuries

    Tennessee Titans: Left tackle Taylor Lewan, protecting Ryan Tannehill’s blind side, is done for the year after suffering a torn ACL in Sunday’s overtime win against Houston. The SuperBook opened Tennessee +1 at home against Pittsburgh, and that line quickly shot to +2.5 Sunday night.

    San Francisco 49ers: Running back Raheem Mostert has a high ankle sprain and is definitely out against New England, and he’ll likely land on injured reserve and miss a few weeks. Left tackle Trent Williams (ankle) is uncertain for Sunday’s game.

    Week 7 Weather

    Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals: The early-week forecast called for a 40 percent chance of rain Sunday in Cincinnati. However, there was no early adjustment to the line of Browns -3.5 nor the total of 51.5.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #17
      Hot & Not Report - Week 7
      Matt Blunt

      Who's Hot

      1) NFL home teams in divisional games are 18-7 SU overall this year; 12-4 SU since the beginning of Week 2
      2) NFL divisional favorites (no matter the site) are 17-8 SU this year overall, and 13-3 SU since beginning of Week 2

      These look like some conflicting runs for some of the divisional games in Week 7, as there are numerous divisional road favorites this week. Those recent runs since Week 2 have more or less lined up with just having the home team deserving of laying chalk, and it is the run related to the home teams I do want to lean on here.

      Week 7 NFL Division Matchups

      N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia (-4)
      Cleveland (-3) at Cincinnati
      Dallas (-1) at Washington
      Carolina at New Orleans (-7.5)
      Buffalo (-13) at N.Y. Jets
      Seattle (-3.5) at Arizona
      Kansas City (-9) at Denver

      As you can see above, five of the seven games actually have road favorites this week, so one of these runs is likely to be tough this week.

      During that 18-7 SU run for NFL home teams in divisional games, those same teams have gone 16-9 ATS, so taking the points with some of those ugly home underdogs should definitely be worth a look.

      Who Do You Follow?

      Eagles
      Bengals
      Football Team
      Saints
      Jets
      Cardinals
      Broncos

      But this is still more about the outright wins here, and with Cincinnati, Washington, and Arizona all catching about a FG or less at home this week, an outright win by at least one of them shouldn't be all that far fetched.

      Expecting Denver or the New York Jets to pull off an outright upset – it would be two in a row for the Broncos as big dogs – are far less likely, but you just never know in this league.

      Of the two divisional home favorites this week, Philly and New Orleans definitely come with their share of warts this season, but the Eagles showed a lot of character in fighting back against Baltimore like they did and New Orleans is coming off their bye week.

      Philly continues to get hit hard by the injury bug everywhere on their roster, and the fact that their game this week is the TNF contest on a short week, you can understand why that opener of Philly -6 has been bet down the way it has. But outright wins by home teams in divisional games are what make up the bulk of both of those runs, so maybe a ML option on the Eagles is worth considering if you've got enough faith in the starters they are putting out there.

      But Week 7's divisional games in the marketplace will be decided overall by what these home underdogs do in those five contests, which brings me to...


      Who's Not

      1) NFL divisional road favorites are 0-5 ATS and 2-3 SU this year

      The Los Angeles Rams were the latest victim of this trend last week on Sunday Night Football when they lost to the 49ers, as they joined Kansas City not covering (Week 2 vs LAC), Buffalo not covering (Week 2 vs Miami), Philadelphia not covering (Week 1 vs Washington), and Indianapolis not covering (Week 1 vs Jacksonville) in their opportunities as divisional road favorites.

      Only the Chiefs and Bills were able to escape with a "W" in the win column for those games, and we've got five games that fit this scenario in Week 7 to potentially fire on?

      Who do you Fade?

      Browns
      Cowboys
      Bills
      Seahawks

      To start with, just like last week's “Not” run giving the market yet another reason to fade Dallas again (and successfully doing so vs Arizona), going against the Cowboys pops up again this week in a game that's already been bet down to a pick'em.

      Tough to like anything you're seeing out of the Cowboys these days, but despite all that, they are still in first place in the division and remain the favorites to win the NFC East. If that's the line of thought you generally subscribe too, it means you must believe the rest of the NFC East to really be that bad, which makes holding a Washington ATS/ML ticket at this current price a little tough to really get behind.

      Tough to go with Dallas for sure, but this winless run for road divisional favorites aside, if you didn't grab Washington at the opener of +3, they are probably one home division dog that's easier to pass on this week.

      Of the rest of the games, Cincinnati is in a rematch spot after losing 35-30 to Cleveland on a Thursday Night Football game back in Week 2.

      That was one of those SU wins but ATS losses for divisional home favorites that day, and if you go on what you saw from Cleveland in Week 6, fading them here in Week 7 with a Bengals team with revenge, is 4-2 ATS, and having both of these runs working in their favor. Seems quite an attractive home underdog to me.


      Which leaves plays on Arizona (+3.5), NYJ (+13), and Denver (+9) to consider, and as ugly as it will feel, perhaps taking the points with those two big underdogs at least are something to think about.

      Denver played well enough to get the win in New England on Sunday, but that was likely more to do with everything the Patriots have dealt with in recent weeks.

      A Broncos cover will only come with another strong day from this defense – and likely a surprisingly productive one from the Broncos offense – but the Chiefs have been flirting with more ATS losses than their 4-2 ATS record actually shows.

      Kansas City was able to just sneak over the number against the Bills on Monday Night – partly because KC's RB ran out of bounds late in the game – KC lost outright to the Raiders, covered a -11 number vs New England thanks to a pick-six off of Edelman's hands among a multitude of errors for New England that day, throttled Baltimore as a small road dog, and needed OT to knock off the Chargers.

      That's four games with the Chiefs listed as a favorite that they could have easily gone 0-4 ATS rather than the 2-2 like they did, and it was the perceived two worst teams of that group (Las Vegas, L.A. Chargers) that arguably gave KC the most trouble.

      But those two organizations are also the only two division rivals of KC on that list, so it does suggest there is plenty to know about Mahomes and this Chiefs offense and what to expect. Denver's right there in that same boat.

      I don't need to mention how bad the Jets are, and after getting shutout 24-0 in Miami, the Jets are probably going to be the most faded team this week in straight bets, survivor pools, teasers, and ML parlays.

      New York deserves every part of that reputation right now, but there does come a point where the points a team is getting is too far ballooned away from reality because of the market perception/reality being what it is on a team.

      Is that the case here with New York catching nearly two TD's at home versus a Buffalo team that's a little unsure of what day of the week they are even supposed to be playing on right now? I'm not sure. But as gut-wrenching as it is to write these words for my bankroll, taking the points with the Jets is the only way I'd look in this game.

      But let's see just how high this line climbs as Sunday approaches. After all, Buffalo's gone through all those rescheduling dates lately and has this Jets game sandwiched between home games against the Chiefs and Patriots.

      Very easy to overlook a brutal team like the Jets have shown they are this season.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #18
        NFL

        WEEK 7

        Browns (4-2) @ Cincinnati (1-4-1)
        — Browns got crushed by Ravens/Steelers, won other four games, scoring 37.5 ppg.
        — Cleveland gave up 38 points in all three road games, losing two of them.
        — Browns were outscored in second half in five of their six games.
        — Last 4+ years, Cleveland is 1-4 ATS as a road favorite.
        — Four of their last five games went over the total.

        — Bengals lost last two weeks, 27-3/31-27; they blew a 21-0 lead at Indy last week.
        — Cincinnati is 4-1-1 ATS this season.
        — Bengals split their two home games, losing 16-13 to Chargers.
        — Cincy is 2-6-1 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.
        — Divisional home underdogs are 5-0 ATS so far this season.

        — Browns (-8) beat Cincy 35-30 in Week 2; they ran ball for 215 yards, averaged 9.5 yards/pass attempt- they scored five TD’s on eight drives.
        — Cleveland won five of last six series games, but lost four of last five visits to Cincinnati, with all four losses by 10+ points.

        Cowboys (2-4) @ Washington (1-5)
        — Short week for Dallas after their dismal home loss Monday.
        — Last five games, Dallas is minus-13 in turnovers.
        — Cowboys are 0-6 ATS this year; their two wins by total of 4 points.
        — This is their first road game since Week 3; they lost first two road games, 20-18/38-31.
        — Cowboys are 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
        — Four of their last five games went over the total.

        — Washington lost its last five games, giving up 29 ppg.
        — Last four games, Washington was outscored 46-16 in second half.
        — Backup QB Allen gets his third straight start here they outgained the Giants 337-240 in LW’s 20-19 loss. Allen is 6-9 as an NFL starter.
        — Washington is 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a home underdog.
        — Divisional home underdogs are 5-0 ATS so far this season.

        — Dallas won seven of last eight series games, with four of last five wins by 10+ points.
        — Cowboys won six of last seven visits here.
        — Dallas scored 31-31-47 points in last three series games.

        Lions (2-3) @ Atlanta (1-5)
        — Detroit scored 26-29-34 points in last three games; they won last two road tilts.
        — Lions allowed 27+ points in their three losses; 23-16 in their wins.
        — Detroit has six takeaways in last three games (+4); they had none in first two games (-2)
        — Lions are 10-12 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog.
        — NFC North teams are 11-5 ATS outside the division.

        — Falcons won their first game under interim coach Morris LW, at Minnesota.
        — Atlanta lost all three of its home games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
        — Falcons are 5-9 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
        — Four of their six games went over the total.
        — NFC South teams are 1-6 ATS in non-divisional home games.

        — Atlanta won four of last five series games; last meeting was 2017.
        — Home side lost five of last seven series games.
        — This is the Lions’ first visit to Atlanta since 2008.

        Panthers (3-3) @ New Orleans (3-2)
        — Bridgewater plays against his old team here.
        — Carolina won three of its last four games.
        — Panthers won two of three road games, losing 31-17 in Tampa.
        — Team leading at halftime won all six Carolina games.
        — Carolina is 14-10 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog- they won both their games on artificial turf this year.
        — Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

        — New Orleans scored 30+ points in four of its five games.
        — Saints allowed 23-29-27 points in their wins, 34-37 in losses.
        — New Orleans is 7-13 ATS in its last 20 games as a home favorite.
        — Saints are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 post-bye games.
        — All five of their games went over the total.

        — Saints won six of last seven series games; three of their last four series wins were by 5 or fewer points.
        — Carolina lost four of last five visits to Bourbon Street; three of their last four losses here were by 5 or fewer points.

        Bills (4-2) @ NJ Jets (0-6)
        — Short week for Bills after their home loss to KC Monday.
        — Buffalo lost its last two games, giving up 42-26 points, after a 4-0 start.
        — Bills scored 27+ points in their wins; 16-17 in their losses.
        — Buffalo is 4-3 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
        — Last four games, Buffalo opponents converted 29-48 third down plays.
        — Five of their six games went over the total.

        — Jets haven’t won or covered yet, losing home games by 18-9-20 points.
        — Weird thing is, they’re +5 in turnovers the last three games, but were still outscored by a combined 91-38.
        — Jets are 4-7-1 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog, 0-2 TY.
        — Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
        — Divisional home underdogs are 5-0 ATS so far this season.

        — Buffalo (-6.5) beat the Jets 27-17 at home in Week 1, outgunning Jets 404-254- they led 21-3 at halftime, won field position by 19 yards with an even turnover ratio.
        — Bills are 6-5 in last 11 series games; they won 41-10/17-16 in last two visits here.

        Packers (4-1) @ Houston (1-5)
        — Green Bay won four of its five games, losing LW in Tampa.
        — Packers are already 2-0 in domes TY, winning 43-34/37-30.
        — Green Bay went 3/out on 7 of 13 drives LW, after it happened only once in their first 35 drives this season.
        — Packers are 3-4 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
        — NFC North teams are 11-5 ATS outside the division.

        — Texans scored 30-36 points in splitting first two games under interim coach Crennel; they scored 20 ppg in their 0-4 start.
        — Tennessee gained 601 yards vs Houston LW, running ball for 263.
        — Texans averaged 8+ yards/pass attempt in each of last three games.
        — Houston is 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.
        — AFC South non-divisional underdogs are 2-5 ATS.

        — Green Bay won three of four series games; the loss was in ’08.
        — Packers won 16-13/42-24 in their two visits here.
        — JJ Watt is from Waukesha, Wisconsin.

        Seahawks (5-0) @ Arizona (4-2)
        — Seattle won its first five games, scoring 33.6 ppg.
        — Seahawks have scored 23 TD’s on 52 drives this seasom
        — Seattle won its first two road games, 38-25/31-23; they’re 7-4-4 ATS in last 15 games as a road favorite.
        — Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
        — Four of their five games went over the total.

        — Short week for Cardinals after their win in Dallas Monday.
        — Arizona scored 30+ points in three of its four wins- they scored 23-21 in their losses.
        — Redbirds are 4-3 ATS in last seven games as a home underdog.
        — Five of their six games stayed under the total.
        — Divisional home underdogs are 5-0 ATS so far this season.

        — Road team is 9-1-1 SU in last 11 series games.
        — Seahawks won their last six visits to the desert, with four of the wins by 12+ points.

        49ers (3-3) @ New England (2-3)
        — Garoppolo returns to Foxboro to face his former team.
        — 49ers won both their road games, which were against Jets/Giants in New Jersey.
        — Niners are 3-0 if they score 24+ points, 0-3 if they score less than 24.
        — 49ers are 12-7 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.
        — NFC West teams are 12-7 ATS outside the division.

        — Patriots lost last two games, scoring two TD’s on 21 drives, with seven turnovers.
        — New England won two of three home games, winning by 10-16 points.
        — New England is 26-14-1 ATS in last 41 games as a home favorite, 2-1 TY.
        — Under is 3-2 in Patriot games this season.
        — AFC East teams are 5-10 ATS outside the division.

        — New England won four of last five series games, with last three wins all by 9+ points.
        — 49ers are 4-3 in Foxboro; their last visit was in 2012.

        Chiefs (5-1) @ Denver (2-3)
        — Short week for Chiefs after their win in Buffalo Monday nite.
        — Chiefs are 3-0 on foreign soil, winning by 3-14-9 points.
        — KC is 7-3 ATS in its last ten games as a road favorite.
        — Chiefs ran for 245 yards Monday, most-ever under Andy Reid.
        — Four of their last five games stayed under the total.

        — Denver won its last two games; they won LW without scoring a TD.
        — Broncs lost both their home games, 16-14/28-10.
        — Denver allowed 321-288 yards in its wins; they’re 0-3 allowing more than 321.
        — Broncos are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog.
        — Divisional home underdogs are 5-0 ATS so far this season.

        — Chiefs won last nine series games (30-6/23-3 LY).
        — KC won its last five visits to Denver; three of their last four wins here were by 4 or fewer points.

        Steelers (5-0) @ Tennessee (5-0)
        — Steelers won first five games (4-1 ATS), scoring 31.2 ppg.
        — This is only 2nd road game for Pittsburgh; they beat Giants 26-16 in Swamp in Week 1.
        — Steelers are 5-9-2 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite.
        — Steelers outscored last three foes 46-15 in second half.
        — Three of their last four games went over.
        — AFC North teams are 11-3-1 ATS outside the division.

        — Tennessee has three wins by 3 or fewer points, plus an OT win.
        — Titans scored 21+ points in 2nd half, in each of their last three games.
        — Tennessee is 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.
        — Titans’ last four games went over the total.
        — AFC South teams are 6-9 ATS outside the division.

        — Steelers won five of last seven series games.
        — Pittsburgh lost four of its last six visits to Nashville.

        Buccaneers (4-2) @ Las Vegas (3-2)
        — Tampa Bay won four of its last five games, scoring 32.8 ppg.
        — Bucs are allowing only 64.7 rushing yards/game.
        — Last 4+ years, Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
        — Three of their last four games stayed under.
        — NFC South non-divisional road teams are 5-3 ATS.

        — Jon Gruden hosts the team he led to their only Super Bowl title.
        — Raiders scored 34-34-40 points in their wins, 20-23 in losses.
        — Las Vegas has led only one of its games at halftime, beck in Week 1.
        — All five of their games went over the total.
        — AFC West teams are 10-4-2 ATS outside the division.

        — Raiders won seven of ten series games.
        — Buccaneers lost five to six visits to play Raiders in LA/Oakland.

        Jaguars (1-5) @ LA Chargers (1-4)
        — Jaguars lost last five games, are 0-4 ATS in last four.
        — Jacksonville gave up 32 ppg in last five games; their road losses are by 3-7-16 points.
        — Jaguars are 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.
        — Three of their last four games stayed under.
        — AFC South teams are 6-9 ATS outside the division.

        — Chargers lost their last four games, two of them in OT.
        — Last two games, Bolts were outscored 44-14 in second half.
        — LA lost its two home games, by total of eight points.
        — Chargers are 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
        — AFC West teams are 10-4-2 ATS outside the division.

        — Chargers won seven of last eight series games; they won 45-13 in Jacksonville LY.
        — Bolts scored 31+ points in six of those eight games.
        — Jaguars lost their last four visits to San Diego, all by 13+ points.

        Bears (5-1) @ Rams (4-2)
        — Chicago has three wins by 4 points each, another win by one point.
        — Bears won all three of their road games SU, and were underdog in all three.
        — Chicago is 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
        — Four of their last five games stayed under.
        — NFC North teams are 11-5 ATS outside the division.

        — Rams won both their home games, 20-17/17-9.
        — LA has outscored opponents 79-25 in second half of games.
        — Under McVay, Rams are 11-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.
        — LA’s last three games stayed under the total.
        — NFC West teams are 12-7 ATS outside the division.

        — Home side won five of last six series games.
        — Teams split last four series games.
        — Bears split their last eight visits to StL/LA.
        — Last two years: Bears 15-6 (icy weather), Rams 17-7
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #19
          JOHN MARTIN

          NFL | Oct 25, 2020
          Packers vs. Texans
          1 Unit FREE PLAY on Packers/Texans OVER 56.5

          This game has all the makings of a shootout Sunday. The Packers average 32.4 points and 396.6 yards per game on offense and just got Devante Adams back. They should make amends for their first poor offensive performance of the season last week against the Bucs, who definitely have an underrated defense. And the Packers have problems of their own on defense as they give up 27.8 points per game on the season. The Texans are a one-trick pony, great offensively but terrible defensively. Deshaun Watson led them to 36 points against the Titans last week, but it wasn’t enough as they allowed 42 points. They give up 30.3 points and 423 yards per game on the season. Both teams should get to 28-plus in this one to easily top this 56.5-point total Sunday. Give me the OVER.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #20
            JACK JONES

            NFL | Oct 25, 2020
            Steelers vs. Titans
            Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5

            The Tennessee Titans are one of the most fraudulent 5-0 teams in the history of the NFL. They have four wins all by 6 points or fewer against the Broncos, Jaguars, Vikings and Texans, who are a combined 5-18 on the season. And even their win over the Bills was misleading as they were outgained by 36 yards in that contest.

            The Titans will get exposed this week by a legitimate 5-0 Pittsburgh Steelers team. The Steelers are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS this season with all five wins by 5 points or more and by an average of 12.4 points per game. They are outgaining opponents by 72.8 yards per game on the season, which is the sign of an elite team.

            Pittsburgh’s offense is back to its offense of old with a healthy Big Ben running the show. The Steelers are averaging 31.2 points per game on the season. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL in giving up just 18.8 points and 285.2 yards per game. And they have the recipe to stop the Titans, which is stopping Derrick Henry. They give up just 66 rushing yards per game and 3.3 per carry.

            And that’s the biggest difference between these teams. One has a defense and one doesn’t. The Titans give up 25.2 points and 409.8 yards per game this season. That’s 6.4 points and 124.6 yards per game more than the Steelers allow. The Steelers are rightful favorites here because of their edge on defense and should be 3-point favorites or more.

            Pittsburgh is 9-1 ATS off a home win over the last three seasons. The Steelers are 10-2 ATS vs. terrible pass defenses that allow a completion percentage of 64% or higher over the last three seasons. Pittsburgh is 52-25-2 ATS in its last 79 October games. Bet the Steelers Sunday.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #21
              Chip Chirimbes

              Dallas at Washington 1:00 ET

              DC Swampers (+) over Cowgirls- Hey, 'How 'bout dem Cowboys'...yep 2-4 SU but 0-6 ATS allowing 479 yards and 36.3 points per game. Washington on the other hand surrenders 303 yards per contest and almost 10 less points per game. Internal problems abound in Dallas as grumbling about coaching staff and McCarthy's leadership are surfacing (Maybe Rogers knew something). DC Swampers have shown no quit and in this division game they will be ready. Take WASHINGTON
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #22
                RED DOG SPORTS

                Soccer | Oct 25, 2020
                Everton vs. Southampton
                OVER 2½ -130

                Everton 2

                Southampton 1

                I like over 2.5 (-130) in this match that takes place on Sunday.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #23
                  PRO COMPUTER GAMBLER

                  NFL | Oct 25, 2020
                  Chiefs vs. Broncos
                  UNDER 48½

                  The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. -- Now 54-18 for the Under -- Active on the Under in Denver
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #24
                    MATT FARGO

                    NFL | Oct 25, 2020
                    Jaguars vs. Chargers
                    Chargers-7 -120

                    The Chargers and Jaguars both come in with just one win on the season, but these are two completely different teams. The Chargers have been a hard luck team as their four losses have come by an average of 4.5 ppg including two games that went into overtime and those losses came by teams that are a combined 15-8, all of which are .500 or better. Los Angeles has the No. 9 ranked offense in the league, and it squares off against a Jaguars defense that is ranked No. 29 overall and the way Chargers quarterback Justin Hebert has been playing, he has a chance for another monster game. The Jaguars have lost five straight games and three of the last four have come by 18, 16 and 18 points. Jacksonville cannot run the ball so the Chargers will make Gardner Minshew beat them and since that has not happened yet, it will not happen here either. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) since 1983. Play (480) Los Angeles Chargers
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #25
                      JESSE SCHULE

                      NFL | Oct 25, 2020
                      Seahawks vs. Cardinals
                      Cardinals+3½ -110
                      This is a Free play on Arizona Cardinals.

                      The Seahawks are undefeated, and they come into Arizona as a significant favorite. This is a familiar spot for these NFC West rivals, and more often than not it hasn't worked out well for the Seahawks. Arizona has covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the underdog is 9-1 ATS in the those games. The Seahawks 5-0 record doesn't seem as impressive when you realize that the only team they have beat that doesn't have a losing record is the Miami Dolphins. Arizona's defense was a problem for the Cowboys on Monday night, and they should make life tough on Wilson and the Seattle offense here at home. The Seahawks still rank dead last in total defense allowing over 470 yards per game. With the league's worst defense and not a single win against a team with a winning record, Seattle has no business being a favorite on the road here.

                      GL,

                      Jesse Schule
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #26
                        JIMMY BOYD

                        NFL | Oct 25, 2020
                        Steelers vs. Titans
                        1* Free Pick on Steelers/Titans under 52½ -109
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #27
                          DAVE PRICE

                          NFL | Oct 25, 2020
                          Seahawks vs. Cardinals
                          Dave’s Sunday Free Play:

                          1* on Arizona Cardinals +3.5

                          The Key: The Arizona Cardinals are one of the most improved teams in the NFL this season. They are off to a 4-2 start this year with 3 of those wins coming by 15 points or more. They are outscoring the opposition by an average of 9.0 PPG on the year. Compare that to Seattle, which is 5-0 despite only outscoring teams by 6.8 PPG, and you could make the argument that the Cardinals are the better team. They are out to prove it this week and there will be no letdown factor here facing a division rival who owns 1st place in the NFC West currently. The Cardinals have the way better defense in this matchup, yielding only 18.7 PPG and 346 YPG on the season. The Seahawks are frauds as they give up 27.0 PPG and 471 YPG this year. It’s just hard to see Seattle keep winning at this rate with such a soft defense even though they have the early MVP candidate in Russell Wilson. I like the price with the Cardinals catching more than a FG at home here Sunday. Take Arizona.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #28
                            PURE LOCK

                            Pure Lock's FREE NFL play Sunday 10-25-20

                            New Orleans -7.5 -104
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #29
                              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Hour Wagers

                              Golden Hour Wagers - Race 2
                              Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Pick 4
                              Allowance • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up CR: 96 • Purse: $31,000 • Post: 5:15P
                              FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (CAL-BRED OR CAL-SIRED HORSES THAT HAVE WON THE OPEN FIRST CONDITION ALLOWANCE RACE IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA MUST CARRY AN ADDITIONAL 2 LBS.).
                              Contenders
                              Race Analysis
                              P#
                              Horse
                              Morn
                              Line
                              Accept
                              Odds

                              Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LOTSA PEPPER is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LOTSA PEPPER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. CHIEFTAIN'S LADY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HEATSEEKER BABY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. J ockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
                              8
                              LOTSA PEPPER
                              5/2
                              3/1
                              7
                              CHIEFTAIN'S LADY
                              6/1
                              7/1
                              6
                              HEATSEEKER BABY
                              10/1
                              10/1

                              P#
                              Horse (In Running Style Order)
                              Post
                              Morn
                              Line
                              Running Style
                              Good
                              Class
                              Good
                              Speed
                              Early Figure
                              Finish Figure
                              Platinum
                              Figure
                              8
                              LOTSA PEPPER
                              8
                              5/2
                              Front-runner
                              87
                              97
                              115.8
                              93.2
                              86.7
                              5
                              SQUARE PEGGY
                              5
                              9/2
                              Front-runner
                              93
                              79
                              96.2
                              73.4
                              62.9
                              4
                              NO COVER CHARGE
                              4
                              4/1
                              Front-runner
                              83
                              87
                              90.8
                              79.6
                              69.1
                              6
                              HEATSEEKER BABY
                              6
                              10/1
                              Front-runner
                              89
                              87
                              81.8
                              83.8
                              71.8
                              7
                              CHIEFTAIN'S LADY
                              7
                              6/1
                              Alternator/Front-runner
                              93
                              86
                              78.8
                              84.0
                              77.5
                              2
                              LEGALITA
                              2
                              8/1
                              Trailer
                              79
                              83
                              67.3
                              78.7
                              70.2
                              1
                              SING IN THE WIND
                              1
                              7/2
                              Trailer
                              93
                              87
                              49.6
                              87.6
                              81.1
                              3
                              MEET MISS KITTY
                              3
                              20/1
                              Trailer
                              93
                              82
                              44.2
                              79.0
                              68.0
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #30
                                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park



                                Lone Star Park - Race 8
                                WPS / Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 8-9-10-11)
                                Optional Claiming $30,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 85 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 9:55P
                                QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $30,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000.
                                Contenders
                                Race Analysis
                                P#
                                Horse
                                Morn
                                Line
                                Accept
                                Odds

                                Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CARRY THE MEMORIES: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. BLACK ONYX: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 y ards if a Quarter Horse race). CRAWFISH CARTEL: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. APOLLITICAL JAZZ: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. FINITO DASH: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Ra ting.
                                8
                                CARRY THE MEMORIES
                                6/1
                                5/1
                                2
                                BLACK ONYX
                                9/2
                                6/1
                                5
                                CRAWFISH CARTEL
                                3/1
                                7/1
                                3
                                APOLLITICAL JAZZ
                                10/1
                                9/1
                                9
                                FINITO DASH
                                2/1
                                10/1

                                P#
                                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                                Post
                                Morn
                                Line
                                Running Style
                                Good
                                Class
                                Good
                                Speed
                                Early Figure
                                Finish Figure
                                Platinum
                                Figure
                                1
                                JESS JJ WATT AW
                                1
                                8/1
                                Average
                                83
                                73
                                5.3
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                2
                                BLACK ONYX
                                2
                                9/2
                                Average
                                92
                                85
                                4.5
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                3
                                APOLLITICAL JAZZ
                                3
                                10/1
                                Average
                                73
                                80
                                4.6
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                4
                                A TEXAS CARTEL
                                4
                                12/1
                                Fast
                                73
                                69
                                3.4
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                5
                                CRAWFISH CARTEL
                                5
                                3/1
                                Average
                                80
                                84
                                4.1
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                6
                                THREE XO
                                6
                                15/1
                                Average
                                66
                                71
                                5.2
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                7
                                LIL GAME DEALER
                                7
                                20/1
                                Average
                                69
                                75
                                5.0
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                8
                                CARRY THE MEMORIES
                                8
                                6/1
                                Average
                                89
                                90
                                4.5
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                9
                                FINITO DASH
                                9
                                2/1
                                Average
                                85
                                74
                                4.8
                                0.0
                                0.0
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