Service Plays Sunday 10/25/20

[golden contender]

Rob V: Sunday Comp Play

Sunday NFL Executive Level Tier One move + 32-2 AFC North Play of the Year, Sunday night total of the Month + 2 more best bets. MLB World Series Game 5 and Soccer headline. NFL Comp Play Below.

The NFL comp play is on the Las Vegas Raiders. Game 474 at 4:05 eastern. Vegas fits one of our favorite home dog systems that pertain to winning home dogs of less than 7 off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home game. These team have covered with a 42-8 spread mark. Vegas has the extra week of rest off the massive road dog win at +11 in KC. All their Lineman are testing negative now. The Bucs pulled off the win at home over Green Bay and could bounce a bit here. Look for the Raiders to get the cover. On Sunday we have a Huge 5 game NFL Pack with the 32-2 AFC North Game of the Year, NFL Executive Level Tier one Move, the Sunday night Total of the Month and World Series Game 5 and more. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Free Play. Take the 3-4 points with the Raiders. RV- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Kezarian

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500 T Chargers - Saints

[Lexdeoh20189]

WunderDog NFL Pick:

Game: Cleveland Browns (451) @ Cincinnati Bengals (452)
Time: Sunday 10/25 1:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Cleveland -3 (-118) at BetAnySports
Tools: Public Consensus | View Matchups | Bet this game at BetUS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Warren Sharp

Add: 457 Detroit Lions +3 -130 (0.75 units)
___
461 Carolina Panthers +7.5 (0.75 units)
465 Green Bay Packers first half Over 27 -115 (0.75 units)
476 LA Rams first half Under 23 -115 (0.5 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Oct 25 2020 4:25PM
471 KAN / 472 DEN UNDER 48.0 Sportsbook.ag double-dime bet

Analysis:

SUNDAY PROPS (long term clients.. be on the look out on twitter or in the forums for a possible MNF PROP)




Drew Lock (DEN) U222.5 pass yds -120 (DK)
Jimmy G (SF) U239.5 pass yds -115 (PB)
George Kittle (SF) U67.5 rec yds -110 (MGM)
Phillip Lindsay (DEN) O36.5 rush yds -110 (FD)
James Robinson (JAX) O19.5 rec yds -110 (FD)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 25 2020 1:00PM
451 CLE -3.0(-110) Westgate vs 452 CIN double-dime bet

Analysis: I make this game Browns -3.5, but the matchup edges for Cleveland is what really has me liking them on Sunday.


Baker Mayfield threw for a season-high 9.5 yards per pass attempt when these teams met in Week 2. In no other game this season did he throw for over 7 yards per attempt. The Bengals will be without stud CB William Jackson, and are already dealing with cluster CB injuries from earlier in the season in Trae Waynes and Mackenzie Alexander.


The Bengals are also dealing with cluster DL injuries in D.J. Reader, Sam Hubbard, and Mike Daniels. DL Geno Atkins and DE Carlos Dunlap have voiced frustration towards the coaching staff about their reduced playing time, and rumors have even circulated that those locker room leaders (as well as A.J. Green) have caused some friction in the locker room.


When comparing each individual teams rush offense and rush defense, the Browns are best in the NFL in YPC differential, while Cleveland is 31st. The Bengals will also be missing stud RB Joe Mixon.


The Bengals offensive line is also amongst the worst in the NFL, while the Browns are led by defensive player of the year candidate Myles Garrett in the trenches.


All these matchup issues are why the Browns statistically dominated the Bengals to a tune of 7.5 YPP to 4 YPP in their week two matchup. This matchup issue isn't a fluke.

[rocky57]

Toby Maxtone-Smith
VegasInsider Soccer Handicaper
England Premier League

Play #1
Southampton vs Everton
TV: NBCSN - Time 10:00am
Best Bet - DRAW +255

Play #2
Arsenal vs Leicester City
TV: Peacock - Time 3:15pm
Best Bet - UNDER 3 goals (-115)

[rocky57]

Vince Akins (VegasInsider NFL)
Sports Data Query Language

NFL
Green Bay Packers -3
Las Vegas Raiders +5.5
Detroit Lions +2
Cleveland Browns/Cincinnati Bengals Over 51
Pittsburgh Steelers/Tennessee Titans Under 51

[B*mb07]

• Marco D'Angelo
• 4% NFL 2 TEAM TEASER OF THE WEEK
• Game: (457) Detroit Lions at (458) Atlanta Falcons
  Date/Time: Oct 25 2020 1:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Detroit Lions +8.5 (-120)
  
  4% NFL 2 TEAM 6 PT TEASER OF THE WEEK
  DETROIT +8.5
  WASHINGTON +7.5
  Note this is a 6 PT 2 Team Teaser. If you have to use a 6.5 point teaser to get to 7.5 on Washington that is ok.
  
• 3% NFL PLAY
  Game: (451) Cleveland Browns at (452) Cincinnati Bengals
  Date/Time: Oct 25 2020 1:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Cleveland Browns -3.0 (-120)
  
  4% (451) Cleveland -3
  For me the knee jerk reaction here is to grab Cincinnati and the points given the way the two teams looked last week. After the Steelers pounded the Browns the narrative was same old Browns. The game got out of hand due to TO’s and Cleveland was forced to have to throw the football to try and catch up. Never a good thing against the Steeler defense. Even in a 38-7 Blowout loss the Steelers had less than 300 yards. Cleveland abandoned what had been working for them in their previous games as they only attempted 22 running plays. Cleveland will run the football this week and with success as the Bengals are the 29th ranked defense at stopping the run allowing 5.1 YPP. Everyone will point out that Cincinnati only lost by 5 at Cleveland in Week 2. I’ll point 2 things out that was a Thursday Game with just 3 days to prepare for a QB they never faced before and that Final score is misleading as it was a 12 point game before Cincy scored a TD with 43 seconds left in Garbage Time. One of my favorite 2nd meeting angles is to take the road favorite in the 2nd meeting if they won but didn’t cover the first meeting at home. Since 2016 this angle has gone 10-3 ATS. CLEVELAND 31-20. TAKE CLEVELAND as my 4% AFC GAME OF THE WEEK.
  
• 3% NFL PLAY
  Game: (465) Green Bay Packers at (466) Houston Texans
  Date/Time: Oct 25 2020 1:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Houston Texans +3.5 (-120)
  
  3% (466) HOUSTON +3.5
  
  The knee-jerk reaction here is to play Green Bay in a bounce back role. Green Bay is 4-1 and Houston is 1-5. But we have already pointed out several times no one has played a tougher schedule than Houston so far. Houston has played two undefeated 5-0 teams in Pittsburgh and Tennessee and two 1 loss teams in Baltimore and Kansas City. Yes Green Bay is 4-1 but they have only played 2 teams with a winning record and they are 1-1. The Win was against New Orleans and they won by 7 as the Saints fumbled late in the game with the score tied to lose. The other team with a winning record was Tampa Bay last week and they were dismantled 38-10. My point is Green Bay isn’t as good as their 4-1 record and Houston is not as bad as their 1-5 record which makes Houston a very live home dog. HOUSTON 31-30. TAKE HOUSTON as my 3% NFL PLAY.
  
• 5% NFL HIGH ROLLER PLAY
  Game: (477) Pittsburgh Steelers at (478) Tennessee Titans
  Date/Time: Oct 25 2020 1:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Tennessee Titans -1.0 (-115)
  
  5% (478) TENNESSEE -1
  This is the Monster of All Sandwich Games as you can’t get a bigger Sandwich. The Pittsburgh Steelers just came off a major blowout win over the upstart and their 2nd biggest rival the Browns. That win gave them sole possession of 1st place and even though they are playing another Undefeated team in Tennessee it’s the game next week that matters most to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh plays their Biggest rival Baltimore next week and Baltimore is the team they have to beat to win the division. And it doesn’t matter Win or Lose this week if they lose next week they are in 2nd place as they would be tied but Baltimore would own the tie breaker. Tennessee was lucky to win last week and their defense sucks and that’s what they have heard all week. This is their statement game. This is one of those games where it’s defense vs offense. Well I have to point out two very important things. Yes Pittsburgh is the best defense that Tennessee has faced but there’s a big but. LB Devin Bush one of Pittsburgh’s Best Defensive Players is gone for the season which is going to hurt that stout run defense and let’s be honest Tennessee is the best offense the Steelers have faced so far this season. TENNESSEE 31-24.TAKE TENNESSEE as my 5% NFL HIGH ROLLER GAME.
  
• 4% NFL DOMINATOR PLAY
  Game: (469) San Francisco 49ers at (470) New England Patriots
  Date/Time: Oct 25 2020 4:25 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: New England Patriots -150
  
  4% (470) NEW ENGLAND (-150 ML)
  Note this is a Moneyline Wager: San Francisco is coming off a Big Sunday Night Win over the Rams a game they absolutely had to have. Now they have to travel cross country to face New England off a home loss. If that wasn’t tough enough already next week they play Seattle. This is a tough spot for them and let’s not forget Bill Belichick is 21-8 ATS off a home loss as HC of New England. This will be the first time Jimmy G faces his old team and I’m sure Bill has dialed up a few surprises in coverages for him this week. NEW ENGLAND 27-20. TAKE NEW ENGLAND as my 4% NFL DOMINATOR GAME.
  
• SNF SEATTLE/ARIZONA WINNER
  Game: (467) Seattle Seahawks at (468) Arizona Cardinals
  Date/Time: Oct 25 2020 8:20 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Arizona Cardinals +3.5 (-120)
  
  3% (468) ARIZONA +3.5
  This game is what we refer to from a betting standpoint a Pro’s vs Joe’s. The public is going to bet the Undefeated Seattle Seahawks and Russell Wilson. While the sharps who are betting for a living will be on Arizona. Offensively Seattle has been unstoppable and it’s a good thing because the Seattle defense is bad and Seattle has to outscore everyone. For Arizona this is what I like to refer to as a Statement Game as a Win here and they legitimize themselves as a Contender. Kyler Murray should have a big game against this defense both with his arm and legs. Seattle has a big scheduling edge as they are coming off a bye week while Arizona is coming off a short week playing on Monday night which was their 3rd road game in a row. Even with that said the Sharps will bet Arizona here as even though Seattle is 5-0 their advance statistics don’t have them as a 5-0 team thus making Arizona a +EV Play. Seattle is dead last in pass defense and really shouldn’t be laying over a FG on the road. ARIZONA 31-28. TAKE ARIZONA as my 3% SNF WINNER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee Sterling

35 GB
35 TN
30 ATL
25 CAR
25 NE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

top 5 picks from Westgate NFL Supercontest Week 7

Car
GB
Pitt
TB
NE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports 10/25

New England
Cincinnati
Carolina
Green Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Supercontest picks - week 7
1) carolina +7.5 (501)
2) green bay -3.5 (422)
3) pittsburgh +1 (401)
4) tampa bay -3.5 (370)
5) new england -2 (356)


Week 1: 3-2 (60%)
Week 2: 3-2 (60%), Overall 6-4 (60%)
Week 3: 1-4 (20%), Overall 7-8 (46.7%)
**Week 4: 2-4 (20%), Overall 9-12 (42.8%)
Week 5: 4-1 (80%), Overall 13-13 (50%)
Week 6: 2-3 (40%), Overall 15-16 (48%)



Circa consensus picks - week 7
1) carolina +7.5 (1,349)
2) pittsburgh +1.5 (1,110)
3) green bay -3.5 (1,072)
4) new england -1.5 (1,016)
5) tampa bay -3.5 (995)


Week 1: 3-2 (60%)
Week 2: 3-2 (60%), Overall 6-4 (60%)
Week 3: 2-3 (40%), Overall 8-7 (53.3%)
Week 4: 3-2 (60%), Overall 11-9 (55%)
Week 5: 5-0 (100%), Overall 16-9 (64%)
Week 6: 2-3 (40%), Overall 18-12 (60%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

49ers +2.5 (1.5 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10 Detroit +3
10 Kansas City/Denver under 47.5
10 Tampa Bay -3
10 Cleveland -3
10 Carolina +7.5
10 New England -2.5