Service Plays Sunday 10/25/20

[moneyline]

Dave Cokin:

49ers +2.5 (1.5 units)

Is this the 5% play?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

FEATURED PICK

SEATTLE -3
SEATTLE @ ARIZONA | 10/25 | 8:20 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:52 PM
Pete Carroll generally has Seattle ready to roll after bye weeks. The Seahawks have won four in a row straight-up and six of seven. Let’s not overreact to Arizona goring the Dallas defense on Monday; everybody else does it. Four Cowboys turnovers made an easy task much easier. The Cardinals (4-2) have fattened up on the fourth easiest schedule in the league. A shootout looms, and wouldn’t you rather have Russell Wilson in such a scenario?

15-6-1 IN LAST 22 SEA ATS PICKS | +829

5-1-1 IN LAST 7 ARI ATS PICKS | +400

KANSAS CITY -7
KANSAS CITY @ DENVER | 10/25 | 4:25 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:50 PM
Snow? What’s a little snow to QB Patrick Mahomes, who was efficient with flakes falling last December in Kansas City? It was the Chiefs’ opponent, the Broncos, whose offense seemed affected by the conditions. And, if K.C. needs to rely more on the ground game, RB Le’Veon Bell, jettisoned by the Jets this week, arrives in the nick of time. It is rare to secure the NFL’s premier team at such a small spread. Denver depended on PK Brandon McManus for all of its points last Sunday with a half-dozen field goals. Inclement weather could limit his contributions.

14-6 IN LAST 20 KC ATS PICKS | +735

NEW ENGLAND -2.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ NEW ENGLAND | 10/25 | 4:25 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:48 PM
In Bill Belichick we trust. The Patriots coach has followed straight-up losses with ATS wins in 52 of 79 outings. The current team is one of his weakest as its transitions from QB Tom Brady, but successor Cam Newton gets a break with both San Fran safeties -- Jimmie Ward (quad), Jaquiski Tartt (groin) -- out. The 49ers sent top rusher Raheem Mostert (ankle) to injured reserve, and a third-stringer is in line to start for an offense already stuck in second gear.

14-6 IN LAST 20 NE ATS PICKS | +738

5-4 IN LAST 9 SF ATS PICKS | +50

CAROLINA +7
CAROLINA @ NEW ORLEANS | 10/25 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:45 PM
For every three games the Saints are favored at home with QB Drew Brees, they cover one. Now Brees must cope without his two primary WRs, Michael Thomas (hamstring) and Emmanuel Sanders (virus). Since its opener, Carolina has held one foe to 21 points and the other three in the teens. A moderate-score game favors an underdog getting spotted a TD (or more). Panthers QB Teddy Bridgewater thrives on the road, as indicated by his 14-2 ATS record, and he is an equally impressive 18-4 ATS as an underdog.

4-3 IN LAST 7 CAR ATS PICKS | +73

GREEN BAY -3.5
GREEN BAY @ HOUSTON | 10/25 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:40 PM
Let’s draw a line through last week's result for Green Bay. The Packers entered the game with the No. 1 offense and without a turnover. Two damaging interceptions flipped the game to the Bucs, and Green Bay never recovered. Next, the Packers confront a far weaker defense against which QB Aaron Rodgers can ring up astronomical numbers while avoiding picks. (Houston has only one). Green Bay has covered after the last five straight-up losses.

10-4 IN LAST 14 GB ATS PICKS | +552

9-5-1 IN LAST 15 HOU ATS PICKS | +353

CLEVELAND -3
CLEVELAND @ CINCINNATI | 10/25 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:36 PM
The more TV commercials Baker Mayfield appears in, the worse he gets. The Bengals reappear on the Browns’ schedule at an opportune time for him. Cleveland rolled up 35 points on them in Week 2. With Cincy allowing 5.1 yards per carry, tied for second most, Mayfield can lean on his top-ranked rushing unit. RB Nick Chubb’s season is out, but his absence is more than offset by Joe Mixon (foot) missing. Another key absentee: Cincy CB William Jackson (concussion), who intercepted Mayfield in the prior meeting.

14-4 IN LAST 18 CIN ATS PICKS | +956

4-2 IN LAST 6 CLE ATS PICKS | +180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Is this the 5% play?

was posted without rating so not sure

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
FRI 10/23

L.A. CHARGERS -7.5
JACKSONVILLE @ L.A. CHARGERS | 10/25 | 4:25 PM EDT
The Chargers are 1-4, but deserve a much better fate than what the record indicates. They lost in overtime to the Chiefs and Saints, and let one slip away vs. the Buccaneers. Los Angeles has been banged up a bit on offense, but the play of Justin Herbert has given this team life and chances to win. The Jaguars are playing horribly. They are banged up on defense and will have a hard time slowing down a Chargers team that is desperate for a win. Jacksonville has been losing by an average of nearly 13 points per game since Week 2. The Jaguars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 October games and 0-8 ATS in the last eight meetings overall.

16-12 IN LAST 28 NFL ATS PICKS | +295

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Charlies sports

New Orleans Under 51 Points.
Cincinnati+3' Points.
Dallas @ Washington Over 45 Points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
WED 10/21

UNDER 45
CHICAGO @ L.A. RAMS | 10/26 | 8:15 PM EDT
The Bears' defense is really good and neither team is explosive offensively. The last two meetings have been very low-scoring, and this will be no different. Go Under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Ma- 14-13-1 record
cowboys
lions
browns
patriots
jags
seahawks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker | NFL Total - Sunday, Oct 25 2020 4:05PM
467 SEA / 468 ARI UNDER 56.5 Bookmaker LOCK

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Silverstein

NEW ORLEANS -6.5
CAROLINA @ NEW ORLEANS | 10/25 | 1:00 PM EDT
12:01 PM
Looks like I'm going out on a limb here by backing the Saints, but it's not without reason. Yes, New Orleans is down two key playmakers entering the game, but they still have the best one on the field in Alvin Kamara. The question is whether Sean Payton well get his head out of ... well, let's just say the question is whether Payton will get over his ridiculous Taysom Hill obsession and ensure the best player in the game gets 22-25 touches. Given that the Saints are coming into this game off a bye week, the spread has fallen below a key number and the Panthers are 0-3 ATS against the best defenses they've faced this season, I'm going with the known quantity in a game New Orleans needs to win with the schedule only getting tougher.

20-11 IN LAST 31 NO ATS PICKS | +793

3-2-1 IN LAST 6 CAR ATS PICKS | +80

PITTSBURGH +1
PITTSBURGH @ TENNESSEE | 10/25 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:59 PM
The Titans' impressive offense will meet its match Sunday against a Steelers defense ranked second in DVOA. That defensive disparity and Pittsburgh's ability to limit -- albeit not eliminate -- Derrick Henry will be the primary difference in the game as the Steelers themselves are quite efficient offensively. There's a reason Tennessee is not getting three points as a home favorite, though I'm not quite sure why this line has shifted in this direction over the last couple of days. Neither of these teams has been tested that much against tough competition, but what the Steelers have done is limit scoring, something the Titans largely have not.

9-3 IN LAST 12 TEN ATS PICKS | +568

8-3 IN LAST 11 PIT ATS PICKS | +469

GREEN BAY -3
GREEN BAY @ HOUSTON | 10/25 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:54 PM
The Packers are coming in at a bit of a value here after getting routed last week by the Buccaneers. Aaron Rodgers and Co. are looking for a get-right game; enter the Texans defense. Even though Green Bay will be without Aaron Jones, Jamaal Williams should do fine carving up the last-ranked run defense in the NFL. Rodgers will find his mojo again, and the Packers will do what they always do lately by covering the game following a straight-up loss (5-0 ATS). This is a meager price for Green Bay, especially without the hook.

9-2 IN LAST 11 GB ATS PICKS | +690

7-1-1 IN LAST 9 HOU ATS PICKS | +590

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker NFL
Peabody’s pick
Detroit

We take
Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob

Pittsburgh Steelers @
Tennessee Titans
Sun, Oct 25 10:00 AM PT
Rotation: 477, Odds: Tennessee Titans -1, Total: 51
Game Analysis view matchup stats
Note: The Under is a Strong Opinion at 51 points.

1-Star Best Bet – Under (52) – TENNESSEE (-1.5) vs Pittsburgh

The Titans haven’t faced a team with a pressure rate above 25% all season and the Steelers boast a league-high 39% pressure rate. To make matters worse, Tennessee’s offensive line won’t have starting left tackle Taylor Lewan (torn ACL) and backup LT Ty Sambrailo has surrendered 2 sacks in only 65 pass blocking snaps thus far and has no chance of staying in front of Steelers’ edge defender Bud Dupree, who ranks 3rd in pass rushing efficiency. Ryan Tannehill has been much worse versus the blitz since joining the Titans, averaging just 6.1 yards per pass play against blitzes compared to 8.6 yppp against a standard rush. Pittsburgh’s defense blitzes at by far the highest rate in the NFL and Tannehill won’t have as much time to look downfield on those play-action passes.

I think the loss of Steelers LB Devin Bush is being overplayed. In general, linebackers are the least important players for defenses with coverage and pass rush significantly more valuable. If anything, Bush’s absence could incentivize offensive coordinator Arthur Smith to use the ground game more often than he normally would’ve in this matchup, which would help keep the clock moving and limit scoring.

Ben Roethlisberger is averaging a career low in air yards and he likely won’t have time to look downfield on Sunday. Interior defender Jeffery Simmons ranks 12th in pass rushing efficiency and he will take advantage of a banged-up RG David DeCastro and C Maurkice Pouncey, both of whom had to depart last week’s game with injuries.

There is a chance CB Adoree’ Jackson makes his season debut for Tennessee’s defense this week, which would be a boost to the Titans’ defense. Last year, the Titans were 0.5 yards per pass play better in the 11 games Jackson was healthy than the 5 games he missed with a foot sprain.

Tennessee’s rush defense ranks last by our numbers and I expect Pittsburgh to use the ground game heavily in this matchup, especially if Jackson returns. Pittsburgh tends to play more conservative under Tomlin away from home and the Steelers have gone under in 63% of road games under Tomlin (since 2007), including 36-8-1 Under on the road since 2015.

Our model favors the Steelers by 1.2 points with a predicted total of 48.3 points and the Under is a 1-Star Best Bet at 51.5 points or more (Strong Opinion Under 51).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

gold key club 200 tenn

late info 200 tb

masters edge 200 arizona

vegas high rollers 300 carolina

vip sports 300 cleveland

[moneyline]

was posted without rating so not sure

thanks!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive

600 LA Chargers -7 1-2
400 NE -3
300 TB -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Circa Leader picks (PRESENCE 1)

Cleveland -3.5
New England -1.5
Jacksonville +7.5
Steelers +1.5
Chicago +6