Wednesday 11/4/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Nov 04 '20, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Ball State vs Miami-OH
Play on: Ball State +2 -110 at William Hill

Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Ball State +2
The Key: Ball State finally has the team that should break through and challenge for a MAC title in 2020. Mike Neu is in his 5th season here with his best team yet that returns 14 starters. They have one of the best quarterbacks in the conference in senior Drew Plitt, who completed 64.3% last year for nearly 3,000 yards and 24 touchdowns against only 7 interceptions. He also rushed for 5 scores. He has 3 of his top 4 receivers back along with 1,275-yard rusher Caleb Huntley. Miami was very fortunate to win 8 games last year as they went 5-0 in games decided by a TD or less. They do have a lot coming back, but they will be without their top 2 RB’s in Bester and Shelton who combined for over 1,300 yards and 16 TD last year on the ground. The won the MAC last year miraculously and will probably not have the same kind of hunger coming into the season that Ball State will. And I just think the Cardinals have the better squad this year. The Cardinals are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games as road dogs of 7 points or less. Take Ball State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Nov 04 '20, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Central Michigan
Play on: UNDER 60 -110

PICK - Ohio/Central Michigan UNDER 60
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 296
I think we are getting a great price here with the UNDER at 60 in Wednesday's MACtion that has Central Michigan hosting Ohio.
Both of these teams are legit contenders to win the MAC this year. Central Michigan was one of the biggest stories of 2019. First year head coach Jim McElwain took over a Chippewas team that went just 1-11 and wound up leading CM to the MAC title game and 8-6 record.
Ohio went 5-3 in conference play, which T-2nd in the East, but could have easily been 8-0. All 3 losses were by exactly 3-points.
Both teams lit up the scoreboard last year. Bobcats averaged 34.3 ppg and Chippewas put up 30.4 ppg (up from 15.0 ppg in 2018).
However, both teams will likely be going into 2020 with a red-shirt freshman at QB. With senior David Moore likely suspended early, Daniel Richardson will likely start for CM. Kurtis Rourke will start for Ohio.
While there's concerns with both offenses given the lack of experience at the most important position, both teams are loaded with talent on the defensive side. I just don't see both teams going off and that's what you need to get over a total like this.
Not only do I think both teams run a little more given they are trying to ease in a new QB, but there's expected to be close to 15 mpg winds, which I feel will take some points off the board. Give me the UNDER 60!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

Nov 04 '20, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Central Michigan
Play on: Central Michigan +3 -114 at pinnacle

Rocketman Sports FREE CFB play Wednesday 11-4-20
Ohio @ Central Michigan (7:00 PM EST)
Play On: Central Michigan +3 -114
The Ohio Bobcats travel to Central Michigan to take on the Chippewas on Wednesday night. This is the start of the MAC season so it's both teams first games of the year. Ohio is 3-7 ATS last 10 games overall. Ohio is 3-7 ATS last 10 games on turf. Ohio is 2-8 ATS last 10 games as a favorite. Central Michigan is 6-1 ATS last 7 home games. Central Michigan is 6-2 ATS last 8 games on turf. Central Michigan is 5-2 ATS last 7 conference games. Ohio is 0-4 ATS last 4 meetings in this series. We'll recommend a small play on Central Michigan tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Nov 04 '20, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Ball State vs Miami-OH
Play on: Miami-OH PK -110 at jazz

1 Dimer on Miami-OH PK -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Nov 04 '20, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Central Michigan
Play on: UNDER 58 -113

Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Ohio/Central Michigan UNDER 58
Both Ohio and Central Michigan were two of the best teams in the MAC last year. A big reason for it was their quarterback play. But they both lose their starting quarterbacks this year, and I think both offenses will be behind the eight ball in their season openers tonight as a result.
Ohio loses three-time All-MAC performer Nathan Rourke, who has started the last 37 games for Frank Solich and has consistently been of the conference’s best. He threw for 2,820 yards with a 20-to-5 TD/INT ratio to go along with 867 rushing yards and 13 scores last year. He is simply irreplaceable for this team.
Central Michigan has to part ways with Quenten Dormandy, who completed 64.6% of his passes for 2,312 yards with a 14-to-9 TD/INT ratio last year. Backup David Moore also started four games for them last year but hasn’t been reinstated yet due to a suspension for a banned substance. That leaves freshman Daniel Richardson to get the start in the opener for the Chippewas.
Both teams can rely on solid defenses in the opener. Ohio could have the best defense in the MAC with eight starters back from a unit that gave up 26.5 points per game last year. Central Michigan returns seven starters from a defense that allowed 28.3 points per game last season and should be one of the most improved units in the MAC. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last four meetings. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Nov 04 '20, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Central Michigan
Play on: Central Michigan +3 -114 at Draft Kings

My free play is on Central Michigan at 7:00 ET.
The Mid-American Conference became the first FBS conference to postpone the fall season because of concerns surrounding the coronavirus pandemic back on Aug 8 but 'reversed field' on Sep 25 by announcing that a season would be played, one which would feature a six-game, conference-only schedule. All 12 MAC schools will open the season Wednesday, Nov 4, and then play their next two games on Tuesdays or Wednesdays before transitioning to Saturdays for the final three weeks. Each team will play five division opponents and one crossover opponent in Week 1. Ohio U (7-6 in 2019) will visit Mt Pleasant on Wednesday to take on Central Michigan, which was 8-6 last season, winning the MAC West title (6-2) but losing 26-21 to Miami-Ohio in the MAC championship game.
Head coach Frank Solich came to Ohio in 2005 after he spent six years as Nebraska's head coach where he succeeded Tom Osborne. Solich was 58-19 in six seasons and led the Cornhuskers to the BCS national championship game in the 2001 season, where they lost 31-14 to Miami-Fl. Solich won only one Big 12 North title and conference championship in six seasons and had a 1–9 record on the road against ranked teams (0–9 in conference play). He was fired after the 2003 season. He arrived in Athens in 2005 and didn't have much success the first four seasons. However, Solich has led the Bobcats to 10 bowls in the last 11 seasons. Think that's NOT a big deal? Ohio's first football game was played in 1894 and the school had made just TWO bowl appearances prior to Solich's arrival.
Ohio takes the field in 2020 without QB Nathan Rourke, who put up over 10,000 yards of total offense while accounting for 111 TDs in leading the Bobcats to THREE straight bowl wins. His replacement will be either his brother (Kurtis), a redshirt freshman or true freshman CJ Harris. RBs Sullivan (869 yards / 6.3 YPC / 6 TDs) and Tuggle (644 yards / 6.4 YPC / 11 TDs) return, as do WRs Cox (39 catches / 17.0 YPC / 2 TDs) and Hooks (26 catches / 19.8 YPC / 5 TDs) plus TE Luehrman (28 catches / 5 TDs). Solich typically fields a solid defensive team and I expect Ohio to have among the better defenses in the MAC but two key players, CB Brooks & LB Conner opted out.
Jim McElwain made a name for himself at Colorado St, which got him the head coaching gig at Florida in 2015. The Gators went 10-4 and 9-4 in his first two seasons but he had problems with "powers that be" and was let go after a 3-4 start in 2017. He resurfaced at Central Michigan in 2019, taking over a team that went 1-11 in 2018. Things couldn't have gone much better in his first season, as the Chippewas won the MAC West (6-2) and finished the season 8-6 overall, although they lost the MAC title game 26-21 to Miami-Ohio and their bowl game 48-11 to SD State
While the season ended with back-to-back losses, it was quite a bounce-back season for CMU. The Chippewas have questions at QB similar to Ohio U, with two unproven candidates in Richardson and Pearson. The running game is in solid hands with Kobe Lewis (1,074 yards / 5.9 YPC 12 TDs) and exciting freshman Lew Nichols. All three WRs are back, led by Kalil Pimpleton (82 catches / six TDs) plus so is TE Tony Poljan (33 catches / 15.0 YPC / 5 TDs). CMU ranked second in the MAC in yards allowed (363/0 YPG) and McElwain, a defensive coach, has eight starters back.
Here's the bottom line. Central Michigan was a perfect 6-0 SU at home in 2019 and has won EIGHT of its last 10 meetings with Ohio U, including FOUR in a row. At this price, CMU is the play.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Nov 04 '20, 7:30 PM in 1h
Soccer | Columbus vs Orlando City SC
Play on: Orlando City SC +115 at William Hill

1* Free Play on Orlando City SC +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Nov 04 '20, 7:30 PM in 1h
Soccer | Columbus vs Orlando City SC
Play on: Orlando City SC +115 at William Hill

1* Free Sharp Play on Orlando City SC +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Nov 04 '20, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Bowling Green vs Toledo
Play on: Toledo -19½ -109 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Toledo -19½ -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Nov 04 '20, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Bowling Green vs Toledo
Play on: Bowling Green +24 -103 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Bowling Green +24
This line has moved way too much toward Toledo this week to provide some line value on Bowling Green now. This is a Toledo team that finished just 6-6 last year after going 2-5 in their final seven games with their five losses coming by an average of 23.0 points per game. They may be better, but they shouldn’t be laying 24 points to Bowling Green. One of those losses came to the Falcons by a final of 7-20 as 26-point favorites. Keep in mind Bowling Green wasn’t very good last year and went just 3-9. But they were in the first year under head coach Scot Loeffler and will be much better in his second season. They were a very young team last year and now are a much more veteran team with 16 upperclassmen starters. And there’s no question they will get better QB play with BC transfer Matt McDonald. The top three receivers from last year return for McDonald plus leading rusher Bryson Denley. The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Give me Bowling Green.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia

Event: (291) Bowling Green at (292) Toledo

Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: November 4, 2020 8PM EST

Play: Toledo -22.0 (-110)

Scot Loeffler accepted a paycut of up to 100K due to COVID-19, which is admirable. He'll look to help lift the Falcons to previous heights since they haven't had a winning season since 2015, which is when Dino Babers left for Syracuse. He's got his QB in Boston College transfer Matt McDonald, who was denied a waiver in 2019. Bowling Green has gone 3-9 in consecutive seasons but did win this rivalry game last season, pulling off a stunning 20-17 home upset as a 26-point underdog to snap a nine-game winning streak in the series.

Count on that being a motivating factor for the Rockets, who fell well short of expectations in 2019. Since Bowling Green has a new quarterback, nine true freshmen and seven redshirt freshmen on its two-deep, you can count on a long night filled with mistakes and learning experiences. The Falcons haven't won in the Glass Bowl since 2008 and should wear down given the collective strength of a a Rockets' offensive line that gets back standout center Bryce Harris, which should make the difference. Lay the points and ride Toledo -22.