Saturday 11/7/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andrew McInnis

Event: (24109) Ian Heinisch at (24110) Brendan Allen
Sport/League: MMA
Date/Time: November 7, 2020 10PM EST
Play: Brendan Allen -110
Brendan Allen takes on Ian Heinisch this weekend at UFC Fight Night at a very interesting matchup at 185.
Allen is 24 years old and has been competing at a pro-level since he was 19, he’s 15-3 as a pro but 4-0 in the UFC and is a complete fighter, a very strong standup, a good wrestling base, and very strong BJJ, he has faced very strong competition at 185 in Kevin Holland and Tom Breese and is a serious Prospect at 185, and will continue to impress this weekend.
Ian Heinisch on the other hand is a very solid stand up fighter who also has a good wrestling base, he has power and is gritty, he’s 3-2 in the UFC, Allen is the more well-rounded fighter, the more skilled fighter and it’s a good stylistic matchup for Allen and I see him getting his hand raised in this bout.
Play Brendan Allen this weekend in the UFC.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three CFB Picks 11/7

100* Over 61 Texas Tech/TCU
100* USC -11
100* Maryland +27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs

Will Rogers Downs - Race 10	Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Pick 3 (Races 10-11-12) / Daily Double
SO $15,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 86 • Purse: $12,200 • Post: 3:45P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $15,000 OR LESS OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CORONA RELENTLESS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. A MAJOR CARTEL: Qu arter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. JJ FLYINGINTHEWIND: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. OCEAN DYNASTY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3	CORONA RELENTLESS	5/2	5/1
2	A MAJOR CARTEL	3/1	6/1
5	JJ FLYINGINTHEWIND	5/1	6/1
6	OCEAN DYNASTY	10/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	ICE EAGLE	1	10/1	Fast	70	63	2.5	0.0	0.0
2	A MAJOR CARTEL	2	3/1	Fast	74	82	2.8	0.0	0.0
3	CORONA RELENTLESS	3	5/2	Fast	77	83	2.1	0.0	0.0
4	RELENTLESS MEMORY	4	8/1	Fast	80	58	3.4	0.0	0.0
5	JJ FLYINGINTHEWIND	5	5/1	Average	81	77	4.6	0.0	0.0
6	OCEAN DYNASTY	6	10/1	Average	79	77	5.0	0.0	0.0
7	SHOULDABEENAREDHEAD	7	8/1	Average	75	69	6.0	0.0	0.0
8	SAY IT SO	8	6/1	Average	67	67	4.8	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct

Aqueduct - Race 7	Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9) Pick 4 (.50) Races (7-10), Double Wagers
Maiden Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $35,000 • Post: 2:22P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (1.5% AFTERCARE ASSESSMENT DUE AT TIME OF CLAIM OTHERWISE CLAIM WILL BE VOID).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * LIQUOR: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RINGGOOD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. TALESPIN: Horse h as run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FUSILLI: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed F igure at the distance/surface.
9	LIQUOR	15/1	5/1
7	RINGGOOD	9/2	5/1
1	TALESPIN	8/1	6/1
12	FUSILLI	10/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
10	EMPIRE EXPRESS	10	3/1	Front-runner	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	BRICKYARD	4	10/1	Alternator/Front-runner	0	0	72.0	43.6	34.1
5	MIGHTY WIND	5	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	67.3	48.3	29.3
7	RINGGOOD	7	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	76	67	59.7	56.9	53.4
12	FUSILLI	12	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	67	64	56.2	54.8	42.3
2	NEVER HOLD BACK	2	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	43.2	48.1	29.6
6	RIVER NILE	6	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1	TALESPIN	1	8/1	Trailer	78	64	27.4	55.8	45.8
11	MR. FIDGET	11	12/1	Trailer	66	63	0.0	37.9	28.9
9	LIQUOR	9	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	84	68	24.5	63.9	52.9
8	POSSE CAN DISCO	8	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	29.4	46.5	28.0
3	HAVE A HEART	3	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	21.6	21.1	0.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Claiming - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 80

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 MAGGIES RUNAWAY 10/1
# 3 BLUEAINTYOURCOLOUR 12/1
# 1 OUR HOT TOPIC 2/1

I've got to go with MAGGIES RUNAWAY and is a strong value bet given the line at 10/1. Could best this group here, showing solid figures of late. She has competitive class ratings, averaging 85, and has to be considered in this competition. Is worth looking at and may be a bet - strong speed figures (72 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. BLUEAINTYOURCOLOUR - Will likely be one of the front-runners of the pack going into the midpoint of the contest. Must be carefully examined in here if only for the decent Equibase speed fig garnered in the last outing. OUR HOT TOPIC - This trainer has done well lately with entries racing at this distance and surface.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #6 - Post: 2:12pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 64

Rating:

#8 AUNT MARY (ML=8/1)
#4 JOYFUL JILL (ML=6/1)
#2 LUCKY LORRAINE (ML=7/2)


AUNT MARY - Looking at the past performances on all of these horses, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long look at this thoroughbred. Looking at today's class rating, this pony is encountering an easier field than in the last race at Presque Isle Downs. JOYFUL JILL - Last out, this one was in a race at Parx Racing in a race with a class rating of 71. Dropping significantly in class figure this time out puts her in a solid position in this field. Got to like a horse who can make up a ton of ground in the stretch. This filly came flying late sprinting last time out and should relish the longer distance of today's race. LUCKY LORRAINE - Have to make this filly a win candidate; she comes off a nice contest on October 12th. This animal collects a lot of dough per start. Tops in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 MIT MAZEL (ML=3/1), #5 HELLO GRACIE (ML=5/1), #9 SHE'S ON POINT (ML=6/1),

MIT MAZEL - This filly recorded a speed rating in her last clash which likely isn't good enough in today's event. HELLO GRACIE - Doesn't look to be worth 5/1 this time around. Pass on her this time. SHE'S ON POINT - Doesn't seem to have enough good qualities to justify the value.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - AUNT MARY - I virtually always bet on the top TrackMaster power-rated race horse if she goes off of odds of 5/1 or higher.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #8 AUNT MARY to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	8 with [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[2,4,8] with [2,4,8] with [2,4,8,9,10] with [2,4,8,9,10] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Gate Fields - Race #2 - Post: 2:00pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating:

#2 BLAISIN' EAMON (ML=8/1)


BLAISIN' EAMON - This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Frey gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SARNI (ML=2/1), #4 REVEREND AL (ML=5/2), #7 HYDROGEN (ML=4/1),

SARNI - October 10th is the last time we've seen this gelding around. Have to be a little bit leery. Just cannot wager on this pony. Didn't show me anything positive in the last race or on September 25th. REVEREND AL - This animal likes to be on the board, but doesn't usually win. Leave out of the top spot. This bunch is a whole lot tougher than the ones he met in the last affair. HYDROGEN - Don't feel this runner will do much running in today's event. That last speed figure was pedestrian when compared with today's class rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #2 BLAISIN' EAMON on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Allowance - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 82

QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 EYE AM TUFF 6/1
# 1 JUNIORS SOLDADO 5/1
# 3 MAGICAL JESSE 4/5

My pick for this event is EYE AM TUFF. He looks competitive in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the most competitive class numbers of this field. JUNIORS SOLDADO - He has posted formidable figs under today's conditions and will most likely fare well versus this field. Has a strong shot in this event if you like back class. MAGICAL JESSE - He has been running soundly lately while recording strong speed figures. Posted a strong speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

11/07/20, KEE, Race 12, 5.18 ET
11/07/20,KEE,12,1 1/4M [Dirt] 2:00:00 STAKES. Longines Breeders' Cup Classic. Grade 1. Purse $6,000,000. FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. Northern Hemisphere Three-Year-Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs.; Southern Hemisphere Three-Year-Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. All Fillies and Mares allowed 3 lbs. $75,000 to pre-enter, $75,000 to enter, with guaranteed $6million purse including travel awards of which 52% to the owner of the winner, 17% to second, 9% to third, 5% to fourth, 3% to fifth, 2% to sixth, 1% to seventh, 1% to eighth, 1% to ninth, 1% to tenth; plus travel awards to starters not based in Kentucky.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	2	Tiz the Law	3/1	Franco M	Tagg Barclay	SFC	69	26.09	1.88/$1
099.7843	10	Maximum Security	7/2	Saez L	Baffert Bob	E	69	26.09	1.88/$1
099.0528	9	Authentic	6/1	Velazquez J R	Baffert Bob	L	69	26.09	1.88/$1
098.4986	8	Improbable	5/2	Ortiz. Jr. I	Baffert Bob		87	31.03	1.78/$1
098.3863	1	Tacitus	20/1	Ortiz J L	Mott William I.		69	26.09	1.88/$1
097.9549	3	By My Standards	10/1	Saez G	Calhoun W. Bret	W	87	31.03	1.78/$1
097.6144	7	Global Campaign	20/1	Castellano J	Hough Stanley M.		87	31.03	1.78/$1
097.4495	6	Higher Power	20/1	Prat F	Sadler John W.	J	87	31.03	1.78/$1
096.8159	4	Tom's d'Etat	6/1	Rosario J	Stall. Jr. Albert M.		69	26.09	1.88/$1
095.0253	5	Title Ready	30/1	Lanerie C J	Stewart Dallas		87	31.03	1.78/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.6300, ROI 1.6111/$1
. . . .
100.0000 2 Tiz the Law
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]NotMorningLineFavorite(not entry) with
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]RaceAge3Up