Service Plays Sunday 11/8/20

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HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Nov 8 2020 1:00PM
455 CHI 6.5(-110) Westgate vs 456 TEN double-dime bet

Analysis: You can try to hold out for a +7 but I don't think we see it.




Yes, the bears have offensive line injuries, but the titans are dealing with defensive injuries themselves and also still dearly miss LT Taylor Lewan. The titans rank 31st in the NFL in sack percentage and lack the pass rush to be able to take advantage of the Bears offensive line.


The titans also lack the defense capable of putting teams away and winning by margin. They struggled to win outright against the Broncos, Jags, Vikings, Texans, and lost outright to the Bengals. The titans were +3 in turnover margin against Pittsburgh, yet they still failed to beat them. This is an overrated team that could easily be under 500 for the season if not for some fortunate late game endings.


Chicago is also an overrated team with a winning record, but the market is more then accounting for it. I make this game Bears +4, giving us clear value in taking Chicago!

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Winning Sports Plays (J.R. Stevens)

VIP PICKS (NFL- GAME OF THE YEAR)
[452] Buffalo +3/ML +140


VIP PICKS (CFB)
[455] Chicago +7/ML +250

[461] Carolina +11/ML +390

[465] NY Giants +3/ML +135

[470] Dallas +15/ML +690


*Buy half point if necessary
*Play ML for half your normal amount when listed

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John Rainey / Rainman

All 1☆ (Regular Plays)

Colts +1
Dolphins +5'
Jaguars +7
Buccaneers -4'

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Al Demarco

Biggest NFL Play of the Season Goes Again

Raise The Bar 20 Dime Winner # 27 of 42
- and 10 of 14 -


Tampa Bay

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marco dangelo

5% two team teaser

tenn & chargers

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Great Lakes Sports
Top Opinions
Buffalo +3
Minn-4
Houston-7

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Jeff Ma- Seahawks, titans , Texans, cardinals & saints

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big al

atlanta falcons-4
tennessee titans-6.5
under 52.5 - raiders - chargers
dallas cowboys+14.5
under 51 - saints - buccaneers

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algorithm sports

bills+3
colts-1
under 48.5 - broncos - falcons

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Dr bob

added

1* bears +6.5

and an opinion on kc -10

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CIRCA contest leaders

Sunny SanDiego Green Bay -6.5 Tenn -6.5 Baltimore -1.5 KC -10.5 Miami +4.5

Presence (3 entries) Bills +3 (x3) Las Vegas pick (x3) Patriots -7.5 (x3) Chicago +6.5 (x2) Denver +4 (x2) Jacksonville +6.5 (x2)

SheilaBoys Green Bay -6.5 Seattle -3 Minnesota -4.5 Baltimore -1.5 Miami +4.5

ChickenDinner Bills +3 Minnesota -4.5 Baltimore -1.5 Kansas City -10.5 LA Chargers pick

AaronWhite Seattle -3 Carolina +10.5 Las Vegas 0 Miami +4.5 New England -7.5

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R.J. White

Westgate Contest

When you're looking for advice on whom to pick on gameday in the NFL, nobody beats R.J. White. In fact, if you placed $100 on each of R.J. White's NFL spread picks since the start of the 2017 season, you'd be up more than $2,300. Smart bettors tail his selections.

White has been SportsLine's top pro football analyst for three-plus seasons. Over that span, the CBS Sports NFL editor and nationally recognized NFL Draft expert has gone 316-264 on against-the-spread picks, returning $2,318. Anyone who has followed him is WAY UP.

In the last five years the stats guru, whose picks are coveted by fans everywhere, has cashed huge twice in the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest. From 2015 through '19 White went 233-174-18 in the SuperContest, nailing more than 57 percent of his picks and cashing in 2015 and '17.

Because of the coronavirus pandemic, White did not travel to Las Vegas to enter this year's contest. But he is still offering his five weekly SuperContest picks to SportsLine members.

Using the Las Vegas SuperContest lines for Week 9, we can tell you White loves the Chicago Bears (+5.5) at the Tennessee Titans. (Find the latest NFL lines for every game this week on our NFL odds page.)

"While the Titans are excelling on offense, with great third-down and red-zone numbers to go along with a great DVOA, the Bears can match them on each front, ranking sixth in DVOA and first in both third-down and red-zone success rate," White tells SportsLine. "And the absence of Taylor Lewan should make a difference against a team with a good pass rush on the edge. On the other side of the ball, the Titans' defense is awful, especially on third down, where they have the worst success rate of any team through seven games in the last 30 years. The Bears offense isn't good, but it's good enough to have some success here and keep this one close, perhaps with a chance to win."

White also is taking a road underdog that "makes plenty of sense" in one of the Week 9 games. Which team it is may surprise you. Anyone who uses this team could hit it BIG.

Here are White's picks and analysis:

Seattle Seahawks (-3) at Buffalo Bills
The Bills have not been as impressive as their 6-2 record suggests, particularly lately. The defense posted a pair of good games against limited offenses over the last two weeks but still ranks 22nd in DVOA against the pass, and that's not going to get it done against Russell Wilson. The Seahawks also have a bad pass defense, but Josh Allen has been incredibly inconsistent and has cooled off considerably from his run during the first four weeks. I think the Bills will have to catch some breaks to win this game, and though we're not laying less than three on the SuperContest line, I still like the Seahawks to continue their ATS dominance in 1 p.m. ET games.

Carolina Panthers (+10.5) at Kansas City Chiefs
Teddy Bridgewater is 19-4 ATS as an underdog in his career and 17-3 on the road. Doubt him in this matchup at your own peril. The Chiefs thrashed the worst team in the league but haven't been firing on all cylinders lately aside from that, and their struggles defending the run line up well with a Carolina offense ready to welcome Christian McCaffrey back into the fold. The Panthers have lost by more than one score just once all year, and that was thanks to turning the ball over four times. Trust Teddy to protect the ball and keep the Panthers close.

Chicago Bears (+5.5) at Tennessee Titans
While the Titans are excelling on offense, with great third-down and red-zone numbers to go along with a great DVOA, the Bears can match them on each front, ranking sixth in DVOA and first in both third-down and red-zone success rate. And the absence of Taylor Lewan should make a difference against a team with a good pass rush on the edge. On the other side of the ball, the Titans' defense is awful, especially on third down, where they have the worst success rate of any team through seven games in the last 30 years. The Bears offense isn't good, but it's good enough to have some success here and keep this one close, perhaps with a chance to win.

Indianapolis Colts (+2.5) vs. Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore's success on offense has been due to its elite run game, as Lamar Jackson hasn't been as effective passing the ball as he was last year. But the problem for Baltimore is that the Colts bring a great defense into this matchup, one that not only defends the pass well but also ranks second in yards per rush allowed and fifth in DVOA. I do worry about the Colts offense being able to have consistent success against an equally great Ravens defense, but with several players on the unit having to miss time this week due to COVID-19 protocols, there's at least a chance Baltimore is less locked in on Sunday. I liked the Colts at this number anyway, so consider that the cherry on top.

New Orleans Saints (+4.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs defense did a great job limiting the Saints offense in Week 1, but New Orleans was able to prevail thanks in large part to a Bucs offense that didn't seem to be on the same page yet. While that's no longer the case, I do think this will still be a close game, and taking the points at this number makes plenty of sense. The Bucs blitz a ton, but Drew Brees is second only to Patrick Mahomes in passer rating when blitzed since 2019. With his weapons back, Brees should have success and turn this into a shootout where they can cover even if New Orleans defense struggles.

[rocky57]

MidAmerican Sports (Raiderman)
NFL
Chiefs -10
Buccaneers -3.5
Jaguars/Texans Under 49
Washington Football Team/Giants Over 43
Raiders/Chargers Under 53
Bears/Titans Over 46.5

[rocky57]

Rockdeman Sports
NFL
Falcons -4
Colts -1

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Marc Lawrence
Bufflao
New Orleans