Service Plays Saturday 11/14/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Moore

5* Miami Florida Hurricanes +2.5 (noon est) ESPN (155)

Give me Miami here since they are rolling along nicely lately winning 3 games in a row SU and they have covered 4 in a row against V Tech with revenge. The Hokies are off of a huge, crushing defeat after losing SU as 17 point favorites last week at home to Liberty. That is going to be a tough game to recover from and V Tech is just 2-7 ATS against teams with conference revenge. Take Miami here to get this win or at least this cover. Thank you and good luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

(8-0 ATS) NCAA UNDERDOG GOM
Boston College

11-0 ATS NCAA MWC GAME OF THE MONTH
San Diego State

15-4 ATS NCAA SATURDAY NIGHT SUPERPLAY
Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Erin Rynning

Michigan-Wisconsin under 53.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ultra sports 11/14

louisville
michigan st
miami fl
arkansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Feinberg

ole miss
UCF
Boston College

[citybeat]

B

Date	Expert	Rating	Game	Play
Nov 14	Oskeim Sports	3%	[CFB] (165) Northwestern at (166) Purdue Time: 5:00 PM EST	Purdue +2.5 (-110)
Analysis: My math model only favors Northwestern by 1.79 points in this game and the Wildcats are a money-burning 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a win and 2-8-2 ATS in their last twelve games as favorites. Northwestern enters off a misleading 21-13 win over Nebraska in which the Wildcats were outgained 478 to 367 yards and had fourteen fewer first downs (28-14). The Cornhuskers entered Northwestern's red zone on eight separate occasions but averaged just 1.6 points per trip (three trips in the second half resulted in zero points). Let's also note that Nebraska committed two costly turnovers deep in Northwestern's territory in the second half. Similarly, the Wildcats managed to beat Iowa in Week Two despite gaining just 273 total yards because they forced three second-half turnovers. Northwestern has landed on the right side of turnover luck in its three games this season but that good fortune is unsustainable going forward. Northwestern's offense has been 0.4 yards per play worse than average this season (5.0 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.4 yards per play to a mediocre attack) and averaged just 273 total yards at 3.5 yards per play in its lone road game. In contrast, Purdue's attack has been 0.5 yards per play better than average and could have the services of star wide receiver Rondale Moore, who has been upgraded to 'questionable' for Saturday's game. Purdue quarterback Aidan O'Connell is completing 71% of his passes for 653 yards and five touchdowns this season. The Boilermakers are ranked 31st in the nation in passing success rate and O'Connell will have ample time to fund open receivers downfield because the Wildcats have not generated a pass rush this season. From a technical standpoint, Purdue is a profitable 19-7 ATS in its last 26 games as an underdog, 5-0 ATS in its last five games versus .501 or greater opposition, 5-0 ATS in its previous five November affairs and 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a bye week. With Purdue head coach Jeff Brohm standing at 9-2 ATS as a home underdog, grab the points with the Boilermakers and invest with confidence.

Nov 14	Oskeim Sports	4%	[CFB] (225) Louisville at (226) Virginia Time: 3:30 PM EST	Louisville +3.0 (-110)
Analysis: This game was originally scheduled to be played last week but was postponed due to a coronavirus outbreak on Louisville's campus. Fifteen members of the Cardinals tested positive for the virus, including ten players and five members of the support staff, and seven others are in quarantine. While those results sounded ominous at the time, Athletic director Vince Tyra stated that the outbreak wasn't as extensive as originally reported. "While the number of players probably isn't as high as you have heard from other programs that have taken a pause, we felt it was necessary due to the fact that the support staff tested positive," Tyra said. Head coach Scott Satterfield gave a press conference on Monday and the news was encouraging for the Cardinals. "On Friday, the whole organization tested again. Yesterday we had zero positives from any of our athletes as well as Friday. Yesterday we had zero positive total and we were able to practice last night." Satterfield continued, "we’re back to a normal routine now as far as practicing on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, travel day on Friday, and be ready to go on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. Obviously, we game planned all last week for Virginia and then of course we hit pause and now you’re right back on and again this week that having, most of all the work pretty much done." Satterfield indicated that the defensive line would be shorthanded on Saturday but expressed confidence in that unit's overall talent. Louisville arrives with a potent offense that is averaging 6.6 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow just 5.6 yards per play to a mediocre attack. The Cardinals' aerial attack has been 1.3 yards per pass attempt better than average and should move the chains at ease against a terrible Virginia pass defense that is allowing 9.9 yards per play to quarterbacks who would combine to average 8.2 yards per pass attempt against a mediocre stop unit. Overall, the Cardinals' offense possesses a significant 1.1 yards per play advantage from the line of scrimmage over Virginia's stop unit. While Louisville's stop unit is expected to be shorthanded once again this week due to COVID-19 issues, the Cavaliers do not possess an offense that can exploit that lack of depth. Indeed, Virginia is 0.5 yards per play worse than average this season (5.0 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.5 yards per play to a mediocre offense). Virginia starting quarterback Brennan Armstrong is expected to return for this game, which is an immediate upgrade over backup Lindell Stone, who was averaging just 4.4 yards per pass play with a 3:3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. However, Armstrong is still ranked just 14th among qualified ACC quarterbacks in both yards per attempt (6.6) and completion percentage (55.0). He has also thrown the fourth-most interceptions (7) among ACC quarterbacks this season. Finally, my math model favors Louisville by 2.45 points in this game so the wrong team is favored. With Louisville standing at 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games following a loss and 5-0-1 ATS in its previous six games off an against-the-spread loss, grab the points with the Cardinals and invest with confidence.
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FujitaPunter

Texas Tech - Baylor : O 56

Louisiana Lafayette - South Alabama : O 54

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence



CFB - 4* Game 162 - Michigan (+4.5) - CFB Underdog GOM
Edges - Wolverines: 4-0 ATS since 1988 as a home dog versus opponents coming off a win of 25 or more points; and 5-0 SUATS in game Four of the season under Jim Harbaugh … Badgers: 0-3 ATS in the first of consecutive away games; and head coach Paul Chryst 3-12 ATS as a favorite in conference games after scoring 25 or more points when facing an avenging opponent, including 0-5 ATS when favored by fewer than 12 points … We cement the call with this from our well-oiled machine as it notes that college football teams in Game Four of the season who won 9 or more games last season, coming off a SU favorite conference loss in which they scored 10 or more points are 9-1 SU and 10-0 ATS since 1980 when facing a conference foe off a SU and double-digit ATS win. With that, we recommend a 4* play on Michigan. Thank you and good luck as always.




CFB - 3* Game 148 - Boston College (+10.5)
Edges - Eagles: 8-0 ATS as a home dog of 15 or fewer points … Fighting Irish: 0-9 ATS as a double-digit favorite when coming off a SU underdog win … We seal the deal with this from our College Football Perfect System Club as it tells us to: PLAY AGAINST any college football Game 7 or later road favorite of more than 3 points if they are undefeated and facing a winning opponent seeking revenge that was favored by more than 10 points in their last game. We do this because these teams are 14-0 ATS in this role when playing against them since 2000. With Notre Dame off the upset win over former No. 1 Clemson last week, and the noose getting tighter for the 7-0 Irish, we recommend a strong 3* play on Boston College. Marc Lawrence


Marc Lawrence

CFB - 3* Game 141 - TCU (+3) - 12 Noon ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

NC State -9, South FLA + 14 1/2, Louisville +3,

Mia FLA + 3 1/2, Army +4, SD State/Hawaii UNDER 53

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Krackomberger-sat ncaaf

207 Smell My Underwear - PICKEM
141 over TCU-WV 45
203 Army 3.5
185 Oregon -10.0
168 Rutgers -5.5
226 UVA -3.0
192 SD St -10.0

[stevelew1]

Illinois +6.5 (20*)- from in game trap

[joejoe99]

[QUOTE=stevelew1;676008]Illinois +6.5 (20*)- from in game trap These are free plays dont belong here

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel

ARK +17.5
ARK @ FLA | 11/14 | 7:00 PM ESTTHU 11/12
Kyle Trask is a legitimate Heisman candidate, so there's little doubt the Gators have the right QB under center. Even so, Feleipe Franks put in an underappreciated tenure for Florida before an injury gave Trask the opportunity to take the job. Franks was a prized pickup for the rebuilding Razorbacks and a major reason for their return to respectability. He will be motivated to have a big game against his former team, which could be in a letdown spot following last week's big win over Georgia.

32-23 IN LAST 55 CFB PICKS | +664
6-1 IN LAST 7 FLA ATS PICKS | +489

3-0 IN LAST 3 ARK ATS PICKS | +300

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

WASHST +10.5
OREG @ WASHST | 11/14 | 7:00 PM EST12:51 AM
Both of these teams opened their seasons with impressive wins and this should be a much closer game than the line suggests. These are two very young and inexperienced teams. This line first opened up at -7.5. The Cougars are always tough at home and the line should have stayed right where it opened up. The Ducks ended a four-game losing streak in this series with a dramatic 37-35 win last year and are now just 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings. They have dropped five straight ATS on the road. Oregon is just 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games following an ATS win. Washington State is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 home games.

12-4-1 IN LAST 17 CFB ATS PICKS | +755

WISC -5
WISC @ MICH | 11/14 | 7:30 PM EST12:37 AM
The Wisconsin Badgers are dying to get back on the football field and pick up where they left off, while the Michigan Wolverines are having some serious issues. Michigan hasn't lost at home to the Badgers since 2010 and head coach Jim Harbaugh continues to struggle in big games and just can't seem to get his team over the hump. The rumors about him leaving for the NFL won't help his team’s focus. This Wisconsin team is simply going to physically dominate the Wolverines and outcoach them in the process. The Badgers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite and 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

12-4-1 IN LAST 17 CFB ATS PICKS | +755
2-1 IN LAST 3 MICH ATS PICKS | +89

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure

SMU @ TULSA | 11/14 | 7:00 PM EST
SMU -1
SMU offers nice value at -1 on the road in Tulsa. My simulations make the Mustangs -3.5 favorites with Shane Buechele under center against this Tulsa defense. SMU's only loss came against a very strong Cincinnati team where they shouldn't have been favored in the first place.

+565 10-4 IN LAST 14 CFB ATS PICKS