Service Plays Saturday 11/14/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

OVER 60
ARK @ FLA | 11/14 | 7:00 PM EST7:03 AM
Arkansas QB Feleipe Franks spent his first three years in Gainesville as a Florida Gator. In 2020 Franks is putting up tremendous numbers, completing 67 percent of his passes for a career-best 8.6 yards per pass with 14 touchdowns to just three interceptions. The Gators are averaging 42.4 points per game while allowing 29 and they are 4-1 Over in 2020. Florida is coming off a 44-28 win over Georgia. Look for a shootout with Franks against his old team.

6-2 IN LAST 8 CFB PICKS | +380
3-0 IN LAST 3 FLA O/U PICKS | +300

GAS -10.5
TXSTSM @ GAS | 11/14 | 3:30 PM EST7:01 AM
The Eagles run the triple option, averaging 260 rushing yards per game at 5.4 yards per carry, and their defense is holding opponents to 101.6 rushing yards at 3.7 yards per carry. Texas State allows 190 rushing yards per game at 4.7 yards per clip. Texas State's defense allows 36 points per game. Even in the day of the passing game, if you can run the ball and stop the run, you will win and cover in a high percentage of games.

6-1 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +490

PSU -3
PSU @ NEB | 11/14 | 12:00 PM EST6:58 AM
Penn State is 0-3, but outgained 10th-ranked Indiana the first week 488 to 211, a 2.2 yards-per-play advantage, but lost 36-35. The Nittany Lions were competitive against a far better Ohio State team (ranked 3rd in the country) and then let down versus Maryland, who has played extremely well the last two weeks. I'm expecting Penn State to be at its best this weekend, whereas Nebraska is still rebuilding under head coach Scott Frost. Nebraska is 0-2 SU/ATS in 2020.

6-1 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +490

SMU -1
SMU @ TULSA | 11/14 | 7:00 PM EST6:56 AM
Tulsa has been given a lot of credit for a big 34-26 win over Central Florida as a 20.5-point underdog. Tulsa also battled Oklahoma State right down to the wire in Week 1. Oklahoma State and Oklahoma are Tulsa's top rivals, with their best chance of a win against Oklahoma State. OSU also lost starting QB Spencer Sanders early in that game. Last week Tulsa won 34-30 as a 17-point favorite. SMU head coach Sonny Dykes upgraded the talent level quickly in Dallas, winning 10 games last year and starting this season 7-1. My power ratings have SMU a seven-point favorite.

6-1 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +490

MICH +5
WISC @ MICH | 11/14 | 7:30 PM EST6:54 AM
Wisconsin has been inactive the past two week because of COVID-19. Original starting QB Jack Coan is out with a foot injury and rFr. QB Graham Mertz has not practiced for two weeks because of COVID-19. If Mertz doesn't play, the drop off is three points. I had a five-point drop from Coan to Mertz but adjusted Mertz's rating up three points after his Week 1 victory over Illinois. Michigan is 1-2 but has gained more than 450 yards in two of its three games. The Wolverines still have talent and if they come to play, they should win the game straight up.

6-1 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +490

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt

NEVADA -17
NEVADA @ NMEX | 11/14 | 6:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 4:49 PM
The Nevada Wolf Pack's offense is one of the most explosive in college football. They are playing with a ton of confidence and are executing at a high level. I don't think their defense gets enough credit, with how quickly they are able to get teams off the field. New Mexico will need to have its best day offensively in order to keep up with the Wolf Pack.

27-20 IN LAST 47 CFB ATS PICKS | +497
3-1 IN LAST 4 NMEX ATS PICKS | +190

3-1 IN LAST 4 NEVADA ATS PICKS | +189

GAS -10
TXSTSM @ GAS | 11/14 | 3:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 4:45 PM
I am all-in on the Eagles' option offense, led by QB Shai Werts. Defensively, they will have to generate pressure up front, as Texas State has the ability to attack deep down the field. This game will be more about the Texas State defense and whether it can contain Georgia Southern enough to steal a few possessions. I don't believe it can.

27-20 IN LAST 47 CFB ATS PICKS | +497
7-1 IN LAST 8 GAS ATS PICKS | +590

3-2 IN LAST 5 TXSTSM ATS PICKS | +80

ARK +17
ARK @ FLA | 11/14 | 7:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 4:42 PM
We know Florida can score, and score frequently. Arkansas has the ability to do that as well, plus, the Razorbacks have a running game with Rakeem Boyd that they can lean on. I like how their young defense has started to mature and make more plays on the ball. The Razorbacks, because of how they are built, along with former Gator QB Feleipe Franks, will put up a better fight than the Georgia Bulldogs did last weekend.

27-20 IN LAST 47 CFB ATS PICKS | +497
3-0 IN LAST 3 ARK ATS PICKS | +300

9-6 IN LAST 15 FLA ATS PICKS | +240

MIAMI +2.5
MIAMI @ VATECH | 11/14 | 12:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 4:41 PM
Miami, when motivated, is a top-10 team. The hope is that the disinterested Hurricanes squad that showed up in Raleigh last week, doesn't show up to Blacksburg on Saturday. I won't hold the Hokies' loss to Liberty against them. However, they faced a QB that has similar skill set to Miami's D'Eriq King, and King is a much more polished passer. Look for Miami to play up to the competition and take care of business.

27-20 IN LAST 47 CFB ATS PICKS | +497
MRSHL -24
MTSU @ MRSHL | 11/14 | 12:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 4:39 PM
Marshall is playing back-to-back games in what seems like forever, due to some Covid-related cancellations. The Herd were impressive last week, showing their that offense and defense were still as strong as it were earlier in the year. Having been able to knock that rust off, in a game in which they scored 51 and gave up 10 points, doesn't bode well for MTSU.

27-20 IN LAST 47 CFB ATS PICKS | +497
2-1 IN LAST 3 MTSU ATS PICKS | +89

3-2 IN LAST 5 MRSHL ATS PICKS | +80

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

Miami +2
Virginia Tech is favored here as if this game will be played before a typical, pre-coronavirus rowdy crowd at Lane Stadium in Blacksburg. That home edge the Hokies enjoyed in the past is gone, but it appears to be built into this number. Also not being factored are the huge strides QB D’Eriq King has made in Miami's three wins following its lone loss of the season against Clemson. Virginia Tech has dropped three of its last five after falling to Liberty last Saturday. The Hokies can’t forget it about it either because it’s all the local media is asking about. I’m on Miami.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CFB PICKS | +90
3-1 IN LAST 4 MIAMI ATS PICKS | +190

[FATMANWINS]

ATS
9 miami fla
9 smu
9 w virg
8 penn st
8 northwestern

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

CFB Late ACC Investment

10* Virginia -3.5

[joejoe99]

WHO HAS A G. O. Y. TODAY? TIA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli

ARMY +4
ARMY @ TULANE | 11/14 | 12:00 PM ESTTHU 11/12
The only thing I want to do less than play Army is play an angry Army that's been sitting at home stewing in its anger. Coach Jeff Monken is still mad and vocal about his displeasure over last week's game against Air Force being canceled, and it looks like Tulane will be the team that is forced to deal with it. Tulane did play Navy earlier this season, and did a good job of limiting Navy's option attack. But, Navy isn't this Army team. The Knights offense ranks 34th nationally in rushing success rate. Navy ranks 84th. Tulane's defense has been good enough against the run to slow Army down a bit, but I don't think it's successful enough to stop it altogether.

5-2 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +280
2-1 IN LAST 3 TULANE ATS PICKS | +88

BC +13.5
ND @ BC | 11/14 | 3:30 PM ESTTHU 11/12
The last time Notre Dame beat a No. 1 team in South Bend before last weekend was in 1993 when it upset Florida State. The next week the Irish lost to Boston College. I'm not sure history will repeat, but BC will cover. Notre Dame hasn't been shy about the fact it was focusing on Clemson for a few weeks, so a letdown is natural. Plus, this is the Red Bandana game at Boston College, which is a big deal. The Eagles will be fired up for it, as well as the opponent, and they'll make a game of this one much like they did against Clemson.

5-2 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +280

UNDER 57
BAYLOR @ TXTECH | 11/14 | 4:00 PM ESTTHU 11/12
Neither of these offenses has been prolific. Tech ranks 73rd nationally in points per drive and has gone three-and-out on 38.3% of its possessions, ranking 100th nationally. Baylor's offense is a bit jealous, as it ranks 98th nationally in points per drive (1.77) and 108th in three-and-out rate (41.5%). Defensively, Baylor is the superior option. The Bears rank 46th in points allowed per drive and have forced opponents to go three-and-out on 36.2% of their possessions, ranking 28th nationally. Texas Tech's defense hasn't been nearly as good, but I don't trust Baylor's offense enough to take advantage of it. Plus, current forecasts call for 20 mph winds in Lubbock, Texas.

7-4 IN LAST 11 CFB PICKS | +270
2-1 IN LAST 3 BAYLOR O/U PICKS | +89

NWEST -2.5
NWEST @ PURDUE | 11/14 | 5:00 PM ESTTHU 11/12
Purdue is 2-0 on the season but it's wins have come against the same Iowa team that Northwestern beat, and Illinois. In that Illinois game, the Illini were down numerous starters, and had to rely on their fourth-string QB. Illinois turned the ball over four times, and still managed to outgain the Boilermakers on offense. The Illini even had a chance to tie the game in the final minute before coming up short, and Purdue held on to win by a touchdown. It wasn't the kind of performance that gave me much confidence in Purdue's 2-0 start. Also, under Pat Fitzgerald, Northwestern is 51-33-1 ATS on the road.

5-2 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +280
4-1 IN LAST 5 NWEST ATS PICKS | +290

OVER 54
WISC @ MICH | 11/14 | 7:30 PM ESTTHU 11/12
The Michigan defense hasn't shown an ability to stop anybody. There's no pass rush, and the secondary is drawing more flags than kids draw hand turkeys this time of year. With Graham Mertz likely to return, the Badgers offense should have plenty of success despite the layoff. As for Michigan, it's now or never. The Wolverines either win this game or risk seeing their season spiral out of control. It won't be a shootout, but it'll be higher scoring than many think.

7-4 IN LAST 11 CFB PICKS | +270
4-2 IN LAST 6 MICH O/U PICKS | +179

ARK +17.5
ARK @ FLA | 11/14 | 7:00 PM ESTWED 11/11
It's very hard for me to trust Florida to cover spreads this large with how bad it has performed defensively. Even against an Arkansas offense that hasn't lit the world on fire, I expect the Hogs will find ways to get enough points on the board. Plus, Arkansas' defense has been tough this season, particularly against the pass, and we don't know the status of Florida's Kyle Pitts. The Gators offense stalled out against Georgia last week once Pitts had to leave the game.

5-2 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +280
5-2 IN LAST 7 FLA ATS PICKS | +279

VATECH -2.5
MIAMI @ VATECH | 11/14 | 12:00 PM ESTMON 11/9
I live by a few rules in my life, and one of them has always been to beware the ranked underdog. You see a matchup between a top-10 team against an unranked opponent and wonder how the unranked team can be favored. You think "I'd be stupid not to take the points with the top-10 team!" Don't, that's what they want you to think. It's a trap! Also, Miami isn't nearly as good as its ranking suggests. The 2020 season is weird, and Miami being in the top 10 is just another symptom of it. Take the Hokies.

5-2 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +280
7-1 IN LAST 8 MIAMI ATS PICKS | +589

UNDER 41
AF @ ARMY | 11/07 | 11:30 AM ESTTUE 11/3
The totals for these games keep getting lower, but the trend hasn't changed. Since 2005, the Under has gone 36-9-1 in games between service academies. The average total between these two in the last six meetings has been 29.5 points. Get it before the total gets lower.

7-4 IN LAST 11 CFB PICKS | +270
4-0 IN LAST 4 ARMY O/U PICKS | +400

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence

---

From vegas insider
mich
tcu
boston college


also his data play is on

arkansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi/PPP

#142 3% WEST VIRGINIA (-3) Noon ET Fox
#155 3% Miami FL (+2-) Noon ET ES2
#165 4% Northwestern (-2-) 7:30 PM ET
#192 4% SAN DIEGO STATE (-10-) 4:00 PM ET
#204 4% TULANE (-4) Noon ET
#205 3% Penn State (-3) Noon ET FS1
#207 6% SMU (+2-) 7:00 PM ET ES2 Official November Nockout Selection

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Great Lakes Sports

Top Opinions
Mia Fla+1.5
Boston College-6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

4* Washington -13.5
3* Northwestern -2.5 -115
3* Mississippi -12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bondi

5* West Virginia
4* Virginia Tech
3* Wake Forest
3* Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL MCMORDIE - 5 pack

APPALACHIAN ST.-16

HOUSTON-14

USC-14

STANFORD-7.5

TULSA-2.5

[Hombre de Burro]

Lee Sterling Paramount Sports:
West Virginia -3 vs TCU
Boston College +14 vs Notre Dame
Baylor - Texas Tech > 57
Arkansas +17.5 @ Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole

CFB 2** OVER of the DAY

mich state over