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Jack winningham
Ravens the Steelers and the Packers. Money line three team parlay
Ravens the Steelers and the Packers. Money line three team parlay
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Jen Ryan
Here are the Ryan's top prop bets for Week 10 (odds from William Hill):
We have hit Week 10, the double-digit point of the season. It's hard to imagine we're here already. As we start looking ahead to the playoffs and of course, the Super Bowl, now is the time to get some futures in. There is still sharp action to be had on teams to win their division, conference and the big game. Those lines will tighten as the weeks roll on, so don't forget to at least check those lines out while you are pouring over props.
You love fantasy, and that is why you are here. If you love fantasy, chances are you enjoy some sports betting, too. Props are not only fun and another way to get skin in the game, but they have fantasy implications. Super high on a guy in your season-long or daily leagues? Go ahead and hammer his props. Worried about a player you are up against? Do not be afraid to hedge and throw a little action on your opponent's studs.
While I am not suggesting you gamble any of your money on these props, here are a few that are on my radar this weekend.
Washington Football Team at Detroit Lions
J.D. McKissic's Total Receptions Over 4.5 (+115)
You could also bet Antonio Gibson total receptions over 2.5 (-115) in this game, too (I am!). The Lions are giving up a ton of points to running backs, especially through the air. They have allowed five receiving touchdowns to the position.
Alex Smith is getting the start, and thanks to this stat from Tyler Buecher (@TylerBuecher) on Twitter, I am all over both props:
"After losing Kyle Allen to IR, Alex Smith projects to take over for Washington. In the two games Smith has played, 21-of-49 attempts (43 percent) have gone to the RB position, a +10 percent rate over most RG target-heavy squad, NO (33 percent)".
When both props hit, I will run to Twitter to thank Tyler for the pro tip!
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants
Carson Wentz Total Interceptions Over 0.5 (-140)
Oh look, one of our favorite props is back! We aren't picking on Wentz here, though I am a sucker for a good pun. This game is going to feature a lot of passing from two turnover machines. You could easily look to the other side of the ball for a turnover prop.
Wentz has thrown 12 interceptions to 12 touchdowns and has just a single game without an interception, and two contests in which he only threw one.
That is not exactly a stat to be proud of, but if we are looking for something that is close to a sure thing to anchor a parlay with, look no further than the home-team Giants grabbing (at least) one from Wentz in the air.
Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins
DeVante Parker Total Receptions Over 4.5 (-150)
William Hill, you sharp devil, you! The book is way too sharp to give us a Parker receiving yardage prop this week. You have to love Parker's upside in this pass-heavy offense. The running back rotation this week is expected to be a combination of Jordan Howard, Salvon Ahmed and DeAndre Washington. Did I mention there will be no Preston Williams in this game?
Any prop you can get for Parker is enticing this week, and that reception line is looking like one that can not only hit, but hit early. There is hesitation here, as with all props. Parker is coming off a six-catch game, however, he only combined for six in his previous three games.
A sharp, tight line that I still feel very good about, due to the elevated opportunity Parker will see. Plus, it doesn't hurt that he's a good wide receiver, too.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
Mike Davis Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-120)
Christian McCaffrey returned last week to remind everyone that he is one of the best running backs in the league, if not the best. True to form of McCaffrey's bad-luck streak, he suffered yet another injury that will see him miss time. We will miss him in our Fantasy leagues, and we will miss his criminally underrated prop lines.
Enter Mike Davis, who has performed just fine in McCaffrey's absence. Maybe running backs don't matter? Don't mind me while I just stir the pot a little bit, for fun.
The Buccaneers tout a solid run defense, and through 10 weeks have given up just seven rushing touchdowns. What is worth noting is that they have been beat up a bit in scoring situations by backs, with four of those seven touchdowns coming in the past four weeks.
Given Davis' usage and Tampa Bay's recent generosity on the ground in scoring situations, you have to like Davis to score this week.
Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals
Christian Kirk Total Receptions Over 4.5 (+115)
We have a close one here, friends, but at a plus payout, we're going for it. It's easy to forget about every receiver on the Cardinals not named DeAndre Hopkins, but Kirk is quietly putting up a solid receiving floor as second fiddle to one of the top wideouts in the game.
In his past three games, he's turned 19 targets into 12 catches for 246 yards and five scores. The yardage and scoring props look good here, too.
With a 56-point total and the Cardinals favored by less than a score (-2.5), we have a, say it with me, shootout!
Look for Kirk to be heavily involved in this game and for that floor to remain solid. Five catches are a tall order, but a tall order we are on this week.Comment
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gold key
300 washingtonComment
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Bryan Leonard
3% WashingtonComment
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inside edge
500 PackersComment
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lockeroom
300 clevelandComment
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masters edge
200 washingtonComment
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national sportsline
300 baltimoreComment
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Kenny White
FEATURED PICK
BAL -7
BAL @ NE | 11/15 | 8:20 PM EST10:09 AM
First of all, there is no home-field advantage here. The Patriots are a well-below average football team. Their offense ranks 24th in DVOA and their defense 31st. The Ravens are outscoring their opponents 28.4-17.8 - a 10.6-point difference versus an average NFL team. I have the Patriots rated four points below an average team. They are on a short week after beating the league-worst New York Jets on Monday night. Baltimore will dominate on both offense and defense.
14-5-2 IN LAST 21 NFL PICKS | +840
2-1 IN LAST 3 NE ATS PICKS | +95
2-1 IN LAST 3 BAL ATS PICKS | +91
DEN +3.5
DEN @ LV | 11/15 | 4:05 PM EST10:25 AM
This is a big game in the AFC West. The Raiders are 5-3 and Denver is 3-5. I'm still not a believer in the Raiders, mainly because their defense ranks 30th in DVOA. The Broncos rank 9th on the defensive end but just 31st in offense. The excuse for Denver was a loss of a solid wide receiver and offensive lineman early in the year, but in its last two games, it scored 31 and 27 points. QB Drew Lock is entrenched as the starter, and I look for the offense to score big against the Raiders' defense.
14-5-2 IN LAST 21 NFL PICKS | +840
4-2 IN LAST 6 LV ATS PICKS | +187
OVER 48.5
LAC @ MIA | 11/15 | 4:05 PM EST10:22 AM
The Chargers rank 11th on offense and 16th on defense according to DVOA. Los Angeles is 5-3 with the Over. Justin Herbert is the main reason the Chargers have gone from an Under team to an Over team. Miami is now lead by Tua Tagovailoa, another rookie sensation. What we may not get on offense from rookie quarterbacks, we can get in turnovers. Average scoring in the NFL is 49 points per game, and we have two exciting rookie QBs here.
14-5-2 IN LAST 21 NFL PICKS | +840
2-1 IN LAST 3 LAC O/U PICKS | +90
ARI -2.5
BUF @ ARI | 11/15 | 4:05 PM EST10:06 AM
Arizona ranks second in rushing yards, right behind Baltimore, and 13th in passing yards. The Cardinals are ninth in offensive DVOA and 10th in defensive DVOA. Buffalo's offense ranks 10th while its defense is 18th. The Bills are coming off back-to-back wins over New England and Seattle. However, they will be without several players - including CB Josh Norman - because of COVID-19. I have the Cardinals by eight.
14-5-2 IN LAST 21 NFL PICKS | +840
4-1 IN LAST 5 BUF ATS PICKS | +290
PHI -4
PHI @ NYG | 11/15 | 1:00 PM EST10:03 AM
Philadelphia is starting to get healthy at the right time. Its offensive line right now ranks 22nd, up from 26th last week. The Eagles have a big advantage at QB with Carson Wentz over Daniel Jones, but the biggest is their 11th-ranked defense in DVOA, where the Giants rank 22nd. My power ratings have the Eagles a 7-point favorite in this big game.
14-5-2 IN LAST 21 NFL PICKS | +840
5-1 IN LAST 6 PHI ATS PICKS | +388
2-1 IN LAST 3 NYG ATS PICKS | +85Comment
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preferred picks
100 sea,lacComment
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sports advisor
200 philadelphiaComment
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vegas high rollers
300 baltimoreComment
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tex insiders
300 houston overComment
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vip sports
300 PackersComment
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NY POST
Dunleavy (20-7)
TB -5
Buf +1.5
Bal -7
Serby (17-9-1)
Gia +3
Sea +1.5
NE +7
Stitches (16-10-1)
Buf +1.5
Sea +1.5
Chi +2.5
Kussoy (15-12)
Hou +3.5
NE +7
Chi +2.5Comment
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