Thursday 11/19/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Hakeem Profit

Event: (305923) Panathinaikos at (305924) Saski Baskonia
Sport/League: BSKT
Date/Time: November 19, 2020 2PM EST
Play: Saski Baskonia -3.5 (-110)

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Hakeem Profit

Event: (305921) CSKA Moscow at (305922) Bayern
Sport/League: BSKT
Date/Time: November 19, 2020 2PM EST
Play: CSKA Moscow -4.5 (-110)

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Hakeem Profit

Event: (321) Arizona Cardinals at (322) Seattle Seahawks
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 19, 2020 8PM EST
Play: Arizona Cardinals +3.0 (-120)

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Steve Janus

Nov 19 '20, 4:30 PM in 1h
Soccer | Audax Italiano vs Colo Colo
Play on: Colo Colo +100 at Draft Kings

1* Free Sharp Play on Colo Colo +100

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Jimmy Boyd

Nov 19 '20, 7:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Tulane vs Tulsa
Play on: Tulane +6½ -108 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Tulane +6½ -108

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Brandon Lee

Nov 19 '20, 7:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Tulane vs Tulsa
Play on: Tulsa -5½ -110 at BMaker

PICK - Tulsa Golden Hurricane -5.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 426
I will gladly back Tulsa laying less than a touchdown at home against Tulane. I've really been impressed with what I've seen out of this Green Wave team. Tulsa is 4-1 with their only loss being a 16-7 setback at Oklahoma State in their opener, a game they easily could have won. Golden Hurricane have wins over two ranked teams, beating UCF on the road earlier this season and just last week rallying to take out No. 19 SMU.
For the most part Tulsa's defense has been outstanding. They have allowed just 30 points once all season and are giving up a mere 21.8 ppg, almost a full 10 points under what their opponents are averaging.
The strength of their defense is their run game, which is giving up just 133 ypg and 3.6 yards/carry. That's huge in this matchup, as Tulane's offense is really centered around their running game. If you can take that away, they aren't nearly as potent.
Not to take anything away from the Green Wave, but I just feel like they are getting a little too much respect here due to the fact that they come in having won 3 straight and covered 5 in a row.
I just don't know that they are in the same class as Tulsa this year. These two have played 3 common opponents in AAC play. In those 3 games Tulsa is outscoring their opponents 32.0 to 26.7 and outgaining them on average by 19.6 ypg. Tulane has been outscored 35.3 to 36.3 and outgained by an average of 145.3 ypg. Also worth noting Tulsa's defense held those 3 opponents to just 5.3 yards/play, where Tulane allowed 6.6 yards/play. Give me the Golden Hurricane -5.5!

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Cole Faxon

Nov 19 '20, 7:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Tulane vs Tulsa
Play on: OVER 53½ -110

FREE PLAY on Tulane/Tulsa over 53½ -110

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Rob Vinciletti

Nov 19 '20, 7:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Tulane vs Tulsa
Play on: Tulsa -6 -110 at BMaker

The NFC West Play of the Year Headlines Thursday Night Football. College Football Comp Play below.
The Comp play for Thursday is on Tulsa at 7:30 eastern. Tulsa has the better defense here and has covered 5 of the last 6 overall. In the series they have covered 6 of 7 and 13 of 15 when favored against Tulane.. The Green Wave have failed to cover 5 of 7 as a road dog and 5 of 7 off a win. In games on the road vs a team with a winning home record Tulane has failed to cover 11 of 16. Tulsa is the better team and we will back them to get the win and cover. On Thursday night football the NFC West Play of the Year headlines and is backed with a powerful system and a Thursday night specific Angle. For the college comp play.Take Tulsa. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

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Ben Burns

Nov 19 '20, 7:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Tulane vs Tulsa
Play on: Tulsa -5½ -110 at BMaker

Tulane has been playing really well recently. That strong play has kept this line below a touchdown. I still believe that Tulsa is the stronger team. Now ranked #25 in the country, the Golden Hurricane rallied from down 21 points, last week, to beat SMU, which was ranked #19 at the time. That's the type of victory that a team can build momentum from. Remember, that the Golden Hurricane also rallied to beat UCF. In addition to that game, they came back to beat ECU. That's three wins where they rallied from deficits of 14 points or more. That's the mark of a resilient team. This is the first time that Tulsa has been ranked since 2010. A loss here and the Golden Hurricane fall right back out of the rankings. I don't think that they're ready to let that happen. If the line stays below seven, consider laying the points.

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Sean Murphy

Nov 19 '20, 7:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Tulane vs Tulsa
Play on: UNDER 55 -113

Thursday CFB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Tulane and Tulsa at 7:30 pm et on Thursday.
I'll back the 'under' in this Thursday night AAC showdown. Tulane is riding high off three straight wins, fueled by some rock solid defensive play. Note that the Green Wave have given up just 36 points over that stretch. In their last two games against more conventional offensive attacks (they faced Army's option-based offense last week), they racked up eight sacks. Tulsa has dealt with its share of Covid woes this season, with four games canceled or postponed. The Golden Hurricane have still managed to thrive, winning four of five contests to date. While they have gotten involved in a couple of shootouts, they've also proven capable on the defensive side of the football and I see this as a manageable matchup on Thursday night. Keep in mind, they limited an explosive SMU squad to just two offensive touchdowns in last week's victory. Take the under (8*).

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Totals Guru

Nov 19 '20, 8:20 PM in 5h
NFL | Cardinals vs Seahawks
Play on: UNDER 58½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On Cardinals vs Seahawks under 58½ -110

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Will Rogers

Nov 19 '20, 8:20 PM in 5h
NFL | Cardinals vs Seahawks
Play on: Cardinals +3 +100 at William Hill

The set-up: These teams are moving in opposite directions. Arizona actually leads the league in rushing, so playing in blustery conditions tonight in the Pacific Northwest shouldn't impact the Cards as much as some people think in my opinion. Arizona has won four of its last five, while Seattle has dropped three of four.
The picks: Seattle's early sparkling numbers this season were due in large part to poor competition. Note that the Hawks are just 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. teams with winning records. The Cardinals on the other hand are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 as a road underdog, and 5-1-2 ATS in their last eight on the road. This one has the feel of whichever teams has its hands on the ball last is going to win, and in case like that, I'll grab the points. Consider the Cardinals on Thursday.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on Arizona.

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Betting Recap - Week 10
Joe Williams

Overall Notes


The largest underdogs to win straight up

Patriots (+7, ML +270) vs. Ravens, 23-17
Giants (+4.5, ML +185) vs. Eagles, 27-17

The largest favorites to cover

Saints (-9.5) vs. 49ers, 27-13
Steelers (-7) vs. Bengals, 36-10
Buccaneers (-6) at Panthers, 46-23
Raiders (-3.5) vs. Broncos, 37-12

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

The Houston Texans-Cleveland Browns (46) matchup was boring. Boring, unless you like wild weather, defense and 'under' results, that is.

The Browns posted a field goal in the first half, and they led 3-0 through three quarters against the Texans in the wind and rain along the shores of Lake Erie. It's the second consecutive low-scoring weather game in Cleveland, and neither the Week 8 home loss to the Las Vegas Raiders, 16-6, or Sunday's 10-7 win over the Texans will be used in the Cleveland Chamber of Commerce video.

The Browns took a 10-0 lead with a RB Nick Chubb fourth-quarter touchdown run, and Texans (+4) side bettors were feeling awful. How could an offense with QB Deshaun Watson get blanked by a Browns D which had allowed 31.6 PPG across its first seven games? Well, the Texans were eventually able to break through for the backdoor cover, as Watson struck with a TD to TE Pharaoh Brown in the closing minutes of regulation.

Browns side bettors were exhilirated late, as Chubb broke through again for a 59-yard gallop and he was headed for the end zone and a cover in the final minute. Well, that is until he elected to voluntarily step out at the Houston 1-yard line. Instead of scoring and giving the ball back to the Texans, the Browns ended up kneeling twice to run out the clock, winning 10-7. The underdog held on for the cover, and Browns side bettors were left shaking their heads.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

The Buffalo Bills-Arizona Cardinals (56) game will be remembered forever, as we had one of the craziest finishes in recent history. If you were a moneyline bettor for the Bills (+130), or you were holding an under ticket from earlier in the week when the total was 56.5, you were likely pulling your hair out.

The Bills struck for a 21-yard diving touchdown grab from WR Stefon Diggs from QB Josh Allen, putting the visitors up 30-26. It looked like that was going to be the game-winning play with just 34 seconds left in regulation, and the Cardinals having to drive the entire field. But there was more. Much more.

With just two seconds remaining, QB Kyler Murray evaded pressure, spun to his left and threw up a prayer to the left corner of the end zone into a sea of defenders. WR DeAndre Hopkins outjumped three white jerseys for the 43-yard miracle touchdown in what is being called the 'Hail Murray' play. The total was a push at most shops before the miracle play, but the touchdown made it an 'over' across the board.

That's not all, though. Arizona lined up for the two-point conversion, but that was to avoid a potential blocked extra point getting returned by the Bills. Instead, the Cardinals elected to take a knee. If they would have kicked the extra point, they would have pushed on the -3 line at most shops, and if they went on to covert for two, they would have covered. Crazy finish!

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part III

The Baltimore Ravens-New England Patriots (44) saw the same cold front and inclement weather which passed through Cleveland earlier in the day. We had a scoreless first quarter, but then a total of 23 points in the second quarter, and 17 in the third. There were 40 points on the board heading to the fourth, but that's when the weather picked up.

We saw zero points in the final 15 minutes, and the Ravens got the ball back in a deluge in the final minutes. QB Lamar Jackson tried to make it happen on the ground, but was forced to have to take to the air in a driving rain. It didn't work out well, and they weren't even able to get past midfield before turning it over on downs. It ended with a total of 40 points, short of the total thanks to the scoreless fourth.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board for the Sunday slate was the aforementioned Ravens-Patriots game.

The highest number on the board was the Bills-Cardinals game mentioned above, too. The second-highest game on the board was the Seattle Seahawks-Los Angeles Rams (55.5), and the 'over' was never threated. Seattle actually showed up and played defense for once.

The first quarter started looking like it might be a track meet, totaling 17 points through 15 minutes. We also had 30 points on the board at halftime, so it was on track for an 'over'. But we saw just nine points in the second half, cashing the 'under' rather comfortably.

In the first two primetime games of Week 10, the over/under went 1-1. Thursday's game between the Indianapolis Colts-Tennessee Titans (49) saw just seven points in the fourth quarter, but that was enough in the 34-17 win for Indy, cashing the 'over'. The primetime game was the soggy Ravens-Patriots battle, with the Minnesota Vikings-Chicago Bears (43.5) battle on Monday Night Football still pending.

So far this season the under is 20-11 (64.5%) across 31 primetime games. In 2019, the 'under' went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 11

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The total for Thursday's NFC West Division showdown opened with the highest total of Week 11 at 56.5, and it quickly shot up to 57.5 in the matter of a few hours. That's likely due to Arizona hitting the 'over' in three consecutive games, going for 32, 31 and 37 in the past three games, including a 37-34 overtime win by the Cardinals on Sunday Night Football in Week 7. The Cardinals are hoisting up 29.6 PPG to rank seventh in the NFL, and they're first in total yards (425.4) and rushing yards (168.9) per game. For the Seahawks, they hit the 'under' in Week 10 in a 23-16 loss to the Rams, snapping a 3-0 'over' run.

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NFL odds Week 11: Opening lines, sharp money & line movement
Patrick Everson

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs should be rested and ready for their Week 11 Sunday night showdown against the Raiders in Las Vegas. The SuperBook opened Kansas City -6.5 and moved to -7 Sunday night.

NFL Week 10 has just one game left, while NFL Week 11 odds are on the betting board and already getting some action. The week starts strong with a Thursday night clash between the Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks, and the Kansas City Chiefs have a revenge game Sunday night against the Las Vegas Raiders.

The SuperBook's John Murray provided insights on NFL Week 11 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting. Covers will update this report with NFL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.

NFL Week 11 Odds

These are the current NFL Week 11 odds, as of November 13.



Teams on bye: San Francisco 49ers, New York Giants, Buffalo Bills, Chicago

Cardinals at Seahawks Odds
Opening line
Seahawks -4.5, Over/Under 57.5

Why the line moved
Arizona converted a Hail Mary from Kyler Murray to DeAndre Hopkins to notch a stunning 32-30 home victory over Buffalo, while a lackluster Seattle unit fell to the host Los Angeles Rams 23-16 Sunday.

"We opened Seattle -4.5 and quickly moved down to Seahawks -3.5," Murray said Sunday evening. "The move makes sense. People don’t trust the Seahawks. Their defense is no good, and even Russell Wilson has looked human the last couple of weeks. I expect very good handle on this game. This should be one of the better Thursday games of the season."

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Week 11 Weather

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks: There's an 80 percent chance of daytime showers, but that tails off to 30 percent in the evening for this week's Thursday night game. However, the total was an early upward mover at The SuperBook, from 57.5 to 58.5, then ticked back to 58 Monday afternoon.