Friday 11/20/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 05:59 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Pick 4 Analysis

November 20, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Hoosier Park has a 14-race card scheduled for this evening. Tomorrow will be the last night of racing in Anderson until next season. The 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 3 and it will be my focus.

The driver with the hottest hands on Thursday was Trace Tetrick with 4 wins. Three conditioners, Tyler George, Louis Quevedo and Lewayne Miller made 2 trips to the winner's circle.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 3

1-Rose Run Vision (3-1)-Will toss last on a sloppy track and was racing well in previous two starts. Likes to win and should be a player versus this crew.
6-Off To Win (4-1)-Was off more than 2 weeks before last start and faded down the lane. Putnam should be able to find live cover and be there at the wire.
9-Atoritotell (6-1)-This is another who was off more than 2 weeks before last start. Wrenn may look to blast out, could get a close-up seat and roll by down the lane at a square price.

Race 4

2-Just For Us (5-1)-Won 2 and then returned here, started slowly and did trot the 2nd half in 58.1 but wasn't in the hunt. Starts inside of the chalk and could trip out and surprise for 8th win in 22 starts this year.
5-Bargain Bob (9/5)-Has faced better company but being 9/5 in the morning line says more about the quality of this field than Bobs recent form. Will respect chances but is 0-5 at HoP.

Race 5

1-Family Recipe (7/2)-On 11/6, took advantage of an efficient trip and captured 7th win in 26 starts at Hoosier. Three-year-old faces older but should be competitive and starting from the rail could help.
4-Sawyer's Desire (3-1)-Burke trainee has banked over $244k. Recent form has slipped but this is a spot for a bounce back effort.
10-Tulhurstsantanna A (9/2)-The 10 hole makes for a better price and should like the company. Looks like a player with a decent trip and has held its own versus Open company.

Race 6

6-Dave And Dennis (3-1)-Six-year-old gets the services of Widger and has been in the money in 21 of 45 starts at HoP. Hasn't raced since 10/29 but a little time off may help at this time of year.
7-Shadyjake (6-1)-Raced with broken equipment in last start, before that was facing tough foes. Could be put in play early and should be a solid price.
10-Shark Play (8-1)-Makes 2nd start since late August and this is the last shot at a HoP picture for this year. Camera shy 4-year-old is worth a look and the price should be right.

0.50 Pick 4

1,6,9/2,5/1,4,10/6,7,10
Total Bet=$27

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 06:01 AM

Jeff Siegel's National Best Plays - 11/20/20

November 20, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s National Best Plays for Friday, November 20, 2020

Aqueduct Sixth Race – Post Time: 2:15 ET
5-Palamos-GB (9/2)

Was given an educational run in her debut at Keeneland last month and did well to finish third after breaking slowly and then being allowed to finish on her own courage in a fast, highly-rated race for maiden fillies. The 3-year-old daughter of Blame should be much more serious today with that bit of experience behind her, so at 3-1 on the morning line the G. Motion-trained sophomore offers excellent wagering value in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

*

Del Mar Eighth Race – Post Time: 4:00 PT
5-Theluteismine (2-1)

Barn excels with second-time starters (30% with a massive flat-bet profit) so we’re expecting this P. Miller-trained gelding to produce a significant forward move in this five furlong grass sprint for 2-year-olds. Didn’t get the best of runs when finishing a respectable fifth over a mile at Santa Anita in September but has trained well since, switches to F. Prat, and can be along in time with good racing luck.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 06:02 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Aqueduct - Race #1

#6 Twiddle	Terranova firster (12%) has a slew of works showing for her unveiling, catches a tough to trust heavy favorite, and should offer a hint of value as well; call at first asking.
#4 Well Kept Secret	The stiff chalk will be in front and probably wins this with that 2nd last time, but note it was in the slop, so she's got to prove it on dry land; plenty scary, but no lock either.
#7 Tap the Barrel	Underlay was an OK 6th against NYB MSW foes on debut then was eased when clipped heels last time, so what you get here is a guess, those Irad is here; tricky read.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 6, as you'd like to see her live and taking money, especially in a field like this, and if that's the case then give her a long look to win and place, and especially to kck off the early Pk5 as well, as the 4 is certainly no great shakes, which means the pick won't have to freak to have a big say.

Aqueduct - Race #4

#4 Durkin's Call	Stretch runner rarely gets there but drops in class off a distant 3rd and catches a group with plenty of early speed, and the price figures decent enough to come along; finally runs them down.
#6 McErin	Pace presser and heavy favorite did well to draw outside but there's plenty of speed here, and being on the hard chase and holding off the pick, at short odds, isn't appealing; backwheel time.
#3 Topper T	Versatile sort was likely too close early last time and paid the price late, but on his day he can settle, and with plenty of lick here that's the trip he should pull today; logical exotics contender.
Race Summary	Pace makes the race and there's plenty here, and that could hurt the chances of the 6, while really helping those of the 4, so play him in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since budget players will be singling the chalk, which means a win by the pick would add plenty of value to both sequences.

Aqueduct - Race #7

#1 Miss Mimmy	Stretch runner looked good drawing clear late last time for a decisive win, and while this is a significant rise in class, this is also a field loaded with early speed, which will only flatter her style, and new trainer Toscano might be able to move her up off Anderson as well; mows them all down late.
#11 Speightstown Gal	Turf miss has run just once on the dirt and it was a painfully slow win in the slop on debut, but she's been in sharp form on the turf, and is clearly a much better gal now than she was on debut, and most important of all is that she's another who can settle early and fire late; huge threat late.
#4 Fair Regis	The class and gal to beat is another who will like all the heat she can track up front, and there's little doubt she's been facing much better than she meets here, but she's also lost nine straight and will be overbet, so sure, she's best on paper, but taking an underlaid price doesn't entice; not sold on.
Race Summary	The pace here could be supersonic, and that means anyone that wants to be close early could get fried late, so the top-3 all have their merits, but the pick will be a very square price off a big win, while going to a solid new barn too, so play her in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, since she gives the impression she's ready to fire another biggie, with a great race flow to boot.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 06:03 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #7

#2 Lucky Find	Square price has been slowly heading the right way, and her tactical pace should keep her in a good spot from the start. Interesting.
#9 Pilot Episode	Rolled a short group when adding blinkers two starts back before settling for second in that first try with winners, and she should offer a bit better price this time around.
#3 Break Curfew	The blinkers experiment didn't go as planned, so now she's back without the hood while stretching out to this mile trip. Not totally sold she's staying the distance at what might be too short a price.
Race Summary	Lucky Find should offer a nice number on the board, and she caught a tough winner at Delaware in her most recent start. She has been putting things together in recent races and can probably trip out here.

Laurel Park - Race #8

#6 Hanalei's Houdini	Has put together some pretty nice form since adding blinkers, and he has taken advantage of short off-turf fields in his recent wins. That said, he's got really good tactical pace and should offer a fair price on the step up.
#2 Golden Brown	He has been hitting pretty hard when in with NJ-bred stakes company, and he's a good fit in this allowance spot. Versatile type is capable of some big things here while racing outside of stakes company for the first time in a long while.
#10 Taco Supream	Figures to get a good run of things while spying the pace, but I'd probably want a better number than he's going to offer. Capable underlay?
Race Summary	Hanalei's Houdini has posted a couple of easy wins of off-turf races, and his overall form stacks up pretty well with these. The 8/1 ML price would be more than fair.

Laurel Park - Race #9

#8 All About Audrey	Her form has kind of been all over the place, but she has run a couple of decent races and will get blinkers on for the first time today. Seeing her wake up enough to score would be no surprise.
#6 Popeye's Oyl	Showed a little sign of life last out, and this drop in class gives her a chance to show up with something better as she tries this level for the first time.
#10 Belly Flop	She hasn't really taken a step forward since the debut, but she held her own on the grass with better last time out and isn't out of the question with these.
Race Summary	All About Audrey might be able to wake up a bit with blinkers on today, and the price will be right in a race with no clear standouts.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 06:03 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Meadowlands - Race #1

#1 ROSE RUN VICTORIA	Woodbine invader arrives in top form, runs late, draws rail.
#9 BETTORS HEART N	Took serious money in otherwise useful U.S. debut, moves inside out.
#4 MARLOE HANOVER	Paced evenly against millionairess, won October stakes with McCarthy.
Race Summary	Rose Run Victoria arrives from Canada with two winning rallies and a second in her last three starts. She out-kicked the 8-to-5 favorite for one victory and the 1-to-2 choice through a :55.4 back half for the other. Play 1-4 and 1-9 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1

#2 FERN HILL BELLA	Roy could hold trump card, price attached for recent $100,000 Club member.
#9 TOWN DELINQUENT	Won going away, third in faster follow-up, must use in current form.
#6 ERIKA’S SHADOW	Numbers translate well to this level, needs confidence boost.
Race Summary	Fern Hill Bella failed to sustain a first-over bid last week, but she draws favorable and is re-united with Roy, who coaxed an upset victory from her the last time he was in the bike. Play 2-6 and 2-9 exactas.

Yonkers - Race #7

#8 MELADY’S MONET	Continues to impress and he builds $1.7 million bankroll.
#2 STORMY KROMER	Classy 6yo reverted to front-end tactics, led until late.
#7 MISSISSIPPI STORM	Caught ‘Stormy’ to enhance gaudy 71/21-13-14 resume.
Race Summary	Melady’s Monet inhaled rivals with a 3-wide bid on the final turn and won geared down for his 67th win. Post 8 will be no problem if he duplicates that rally. Play 8-2 and 8-7 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 06:04 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park West - Race #7

#1 Passion Plus	Didn't fire in a race that came off the turf last out but had been in top form. Shows a good closing move on turf and can collar the leaders.
#2 Vitaemi	Won four of her last five, including one on the turf; has a good chance on grass and will be the one to beat if it comes off the turf.
#8 Isadorable Aida	Was up in time over this course last time, takes a step up in class and could make a run into the gimmicks last in the game.
Race Summary	Passion Plus is back to the turf, where she has been solid in recent attempts; can prevail with her rally in the stretch

Gulfstream Park West - Race #8

#3 Li'l Meatball	Has been a good sprinter but has been running longer recently; turns back to seven furlongs and can finish full of run.
#4 Love Nest	Was fourth last time, but claimed by Cartagena and is back at a lower price; troublesome up front today.
#5 Meade	Stopped going longer last time and turns back to seven furlongs; odd to see this kind of class drop for a Maker trainee.
Race Summary	Li'l Meatball has second two back and gets a more preferable distance; can dig in late.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #9

#2 Quick Enough	Was up in time on turf two back and comes off a nine-month layoff; Pletcher charge ready for his return.
#3 Saint Larned	Was second in his last two and has the speed to be a big player from the outset.
#11 Geography	Lost by a length at Tampa in his latest, which came in May; can be in the mix from the start.
Race Summary	Quick Enough comes off a vacation and lands in a good spot for his return; has decent works to his credit and looks ready to roll.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 07:43 AM

Cappers Access

(Fri) NCAAF Louisville -18-
(Fri) NCAAF Purdue -2-

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 08:01 AM

NCAAF
Week 12

Friday’s games

Syracuse (1-7) @ Louisville (2-6)
— Syracuse lost its last five games, giving up 35.4 ppg. .
— Orangemen lost their three road games, by average of 33-12.
— Syracuse has 7 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Syracuse has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Syracuse’s junior QB has started 19 games.
— Under Babers, Orangemen are 12-8 ATS as a road underdog.

— Louisville lost six of its last seven games, giving up 42-31 points in last two games.
— Cardinals split four home games, beating WKU, Florida State.
— Louisville has 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Cardinals have 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Louisville has a junior QB with 27 starts.
— Cardinals are 20-29 ATS in last 49 games as a home dog, 2-0 TY.

— Louisville won eight of last ten series games.; they beat Syracuse 56-34 LY
— Syracuse lost their last five visits here, giving up 56-56 points in last two.
— Favorites covered last six series games.

Purdue (2-1) @ Minnesota (1-3)
— Purdue is off to a 2-1 start, winning only road game 31-24 at Illinois.
— Boilers lost 27-20 at home to Northwestern LW, running ball for only 2 yards.
— Purdue has 7 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Boilers have 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Purdue’s junior QB has started 19 games.
— Boilers are 12-8 ATS as a road underdog.

— Minnesota lost three of their first four games.
— Gophers allowed 1,045 YR (261.3 ypg) in their first four games.
— Minnesota scored 85 points in its last two games.
— Minnesota has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Gophers have 127 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gophers have a junior QB with 23 starts.
— Since 2013, Minnesota is 10-6 ATS as a home underdog.

— Minnesota won six of last seven series games.
— Underdogs covered last four series games played here.

UMass (0-2) @ Florida Atlantic (4-1)
— UMass lost its first two games by a combined 92-10.
— Minutemen were outgained 929-381 in those games.
— UMass has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Minutemen have 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UMass has been using multiple QB’s, with little success.
— Minutemen are 2-10-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.

— FAU won four of its first five games, losing only road game 20-9 at Marshall.
— Owls allowed total of 28 points in their last three games.
— FAU has 6 starters back on offense, 3 starters back on defense.
— Owls have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— FAU has a junior QB with 30 career starts.
— Owls are 12-8-2 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.

— These teams haven’t met in the last five years.

New Mexico (0-3) @ Air Force (1-2)
— New Mexico lost its first three games, by 17-6-7 points.
— Lobos allowed 491.3 ypg in their first three games, 410.2 thru air.
— New Mexico has 8 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Lobos have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— New Mexico has a junior QB with 15 career starts.
— Lobos are 7-10 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.

— Air Force lost two of first three games; they haven’t played in three weeks.
— Falcons have run ball for 330 ypg in their three games.
— Air Force has 4 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Falcons have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Air Force has a new QB who completed 13-26 passes in three games.
— Falcons are 6-4 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite.

— Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
— Lobos covered three of last four visits to Air Force.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 08:07 AM

325SYRACUSE -326 LOUISVILLE
LOUISVILLE is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992.

327PURDUE -328 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 39-23 ATS (13.7 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better since 1992.

329NEW MEXICO -330 AIR FORCE
AIR FORCE is 19-44 ATS (-29.4 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 08:08 AM

Tech Trends - Week 12
Bruce Marshall

Week 12 of the College Football season kicks off on Tuesday, Nov. 17 with MACtion and concludes on Saturday Nov. 22.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Friday, Nov. 20

SYRACUSE at LOUISVILLE (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Cards coach Scott Satterfield 6-4 vs. line at home since last year
Home team has won and covered big last three in series
Cards have also won and covered in 5 of last 6 meetings

Tech Edge: Louisville, based on series trends.

PURDUE at MINNESOTA (Big Ten, 7:30 p.m.)
Purdue 8-3 spread uptick since late last year
Boilermakers have covered eight straight as a 'dog prior to NU last Saturday.
Gophers have won and covered 4 of last 5 meetings.
However. Minnesota coach P.J. Fleck 1-5-1 vs. spread last seven in regular season.

Tech Edge: Purdue, based on recent trends.

NEW MEXICO at AIR FORCE (FS1, 9:30 p.m.)
Lobos cocach Bob Davie had great spread success vs. Force the past 8 years, covering all but one of the games
Lone non-cover came in 2018
Winning three of five outright 2013-17.
Rocky Long (now Lobos DC) won all seven outright vs. Falcons while at SDSU.
UNM only 6-16 last 22 on board but has covered two in a row.

Tech Edge: New Mexico, based on extended trends.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 09:29 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

Laurel Park - Race 7	EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 7-8) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
Allowance • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $42,000 • Post: 3:23P
(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR MD SIRED OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 20 ALLOWED 3 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BREAK CURFEW is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BREAK CURFEW: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. PILOT EPISODE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 day s. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3	BREAK CURFEW	5/2	7/2
9	PILOT EPISODE	3/1	7/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	BREAK CURFEW	3	5/2	Front-runner	87	78	82.8	82.8	73.3
9	PILOT EPISODE	9	3/1	Front-runner	86	77	81.1	76.3	71.3
6	SPEEDY VANESSA	6	12/1	Front-runner	83	73	62.5	70.6	55.1
8	A GIRL NAMED JAC	8	10/1	Stalker	85	71	78.7	72.0	57.0
1	LOOKIN DYNAMIC	1	10/1	Stalker	85	88	63.4	69.2	61.7
2	LUCKY FIND	2	8/1	Stalker	77	75	60.1	71.4	61.4
5	GRACETOWN	5	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	80	73	71.9	72.1	61.6
7	SAVEDBYTHEBELLE	7	6/1	Trailer	87	80	55.6	69.0	54.5
10	GLOBAL AMBITION	10	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	84	80	68.0	60.8	45.8
4	FAIRY WISH	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	77	64.8	70.8	59.8
11	ONE LAST TRIAL	11	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	79	62.7	61.0	47.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 09:51 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs

Evangeline Downs - Race 8	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 95 • Purse: $7,000 • Post: 8:30P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR ACCREDITED LOUISANA BRED TWO YEAR OLD QUARTER HORSES WHICH HAVE BEEN NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE 2020 LQHBA MILLION FUTURITY. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. ALL ENTRY PAYMENTS MUST BE ON ACCOUNT WITH THE HORSEMENS BOOKKEEPER PRIOR TO 10:30 A.M. ON THE MORNING OF ENTRIES.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SAN LORENZO: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post pos ition next to it gets out of the gate fast. FAST DASHIN DIAMOND: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. APOLLITCAL BYE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designat ion and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4	SAN LORENZO	8/5	3/1
6	FAST DASHIN DIAMOND	4/1	9/2
1	APOLLITCAL BYE	5/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	APOLLITCAL BYE	1	5/1	Fast	86	75	2.8	0.0	0.0
2	ICE CREAM CARTEL	2	15/1	Slow	56	54	7.8	0.0	0.0
3	TRIPLE VODKA JESS	3	12/1	Slow	61	66	6.8	0.0	0.0
4	SAN LORENZO	4	8/5	Fast	91	94	3.0	0.0	0.0
5	TDZ ROLEX RATTLER	5	6/1	Average	80	77	4.3	0.0	0.0
6	FAST DASHIN DIAMOND	6	4/1	Fast/Trouble-prone	90	94	3.5	0.0	0.0
7	JESS LIGHT IT	7	15/1	Average/Trouble-prone	74	70	5.5	0.0	0.0
8	GERI P	8	8/1	Average	78	70	3.6	0.0	0.0
9	APOLLITICAL B SPARK	9	20/1	Average	0	0	5.3	0.0	0.0
10	CALLENS LIL BLUE	10	20/1	Average	0	0	5.7	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 09:53 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 76

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 MILAN RED 5/2
# 3 NOMADESS 4/1
# 4 WOWZERS 3/1

I have to consider MILAN RED here. Has run solidly when running a short race. Has been running in the most competitive company of the group recently. Boasts solid Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this field. NOMADESS - Her 59 average has this filly with among the top Equibase Speed Figures for this event. Andrade and Willoughby are a potent pair for profits. WOWZERS - Ran a strong last race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2020, 09:53 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #6 - Post: 9:32pm - Allowance - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating:

#7 WE SHOULD TALK (ML=5/1)
#1 SHAMROCK KID (ML=9/2)
#3 TOP HAT TITAN (ML=4/1)

WE SHOULD TALK - The jock and handler combination have a profitable ROI when they team up. SHAMROCK KID - All systems look good for this gelding. Last morning work, 2nd fastest of the day, shows he's fit and ready. This thoroughbred is a hot commodity. Claimed in his last two races. TOP HAT TITAN - The rider and handler combination here have a high winning percent when they combine forces. This front runner should benefit from this shorter distance. Gelding got a healthy speed rating last time he tried this distance. That number would be good enough to win today. I like the fact that this gelding's last speed figure, 89, is tops in this field. Starting from the inside, this horse should have a distinct advantage. His front running style should serve him well in this short race of 4 1/2 furlongs.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 SEA LOVER (ML=5/1), #2 COMMAND THE CAT (ML=6/1), #8 MYWALKTOFREEDOM (ML=8/1),

SEA LOVER - Ran erratically on September 24th. Be leery this time out. This gelding hasn't had any recent good results in short distance races. Tough to play him in this event. COMMAND THE CAT - This was a live one, but now this one hasn't been doing anything in the morning. Have to be a little leery with this horse. Tough to take this mount at these odds after the finish position (third) in the last race. MYWALKTOFREEDOM - Not easy to wager on any steed in a short distance clash if he hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last sixty days. A bit of a less than stellar effort when this gelding finished seventh. Don't feel this questionable contender will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed rating was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's class figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #7 WE SHOULD TALK on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,7] Box [3,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,3,7] with [1,3,7] with [1,3,4,5,7] with [1,3,4,5,7] Total Cost: $36