Service Plays Sunday 11/22/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[dawggy]

HUNTER ENGLEHART



Game: (457) New England Patriots at (458) Houston Texans

• Date/Time: Nov 22 2020 1:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Total Over 47.0 (-110)

Play: 5% Over 47 (-108) 4% at 48.5 3% at 49.5 No play 51

Analysis: New England travels down to Houston to take on the Texans. The Patriots have had to play in the Northeast their past 3 games with not ideal weather for points yet they scored at least 23 points in their last 3 games 2 of those games against pretty good defenses with the Bills and Ravens. Coming off a big win against the Ravens on MNF Cam and Bill have some momentum heading down to play inside against Houston defense who has given up 30 points in 6 games so far and over 20 every game except 1 game against the jags (not counting my 4% over last week when they were in Cleveland) The Texans also have proven to be able to put up points this season especially at home. I expect Watson to have a big game on the ground and Cobb in the slot to be his leading WR in yards. I think this game will be a shootout and will come down to a FG at the end. I see this total going above 50.

[dawggy]

LAS VEGAS CRIS


Game: (461) Green Bay Packers at (462) Indianapolis Colts
Date/Time: Nov 22 2020 4:25 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Indianapolis Colts -1.0 (-110)

[Yellow]

Essler 3* GOY

Colts -1

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris

8 unit: Chiefs -8

[Lexdeoh20189]

Prediction Machine NFL PICK: Philadelphia Eagles +3.5

Why will Philadelphia cover the spread?

Baker Mayfield’s performance has dropped off a cliff under pressure throughout his career, and his numbers this season are especially bleak. Without being pressured, Mayfield has completed 125 of 184 attempts (67.9%), produced 7.9 yards per attempt (YPA), 14 TDs, and 3 INTs for a 108.9 passer rating. When Mayfield has seen pressure this season, he’s 24 of 59 (40.7%), has posted 4.2 YPA, 1 TD, and 4 INTs alongside a 30.8 passer rating (data from PFF). The difference is clearly massive. The Eagles have been very successful generating pressure this season, having pressured QBs on 25.3% of opponent dropbacks (sixth most) while recording 31 sacks (third most). They’ve managed these numbers while blitzing just 23.6% of the time, which is the seventh lowest rate in the league (Pro Football Reference).

Philadelphia should be able to exploit a Browns secondary that has been very poor throughout the season. Their overall numbers look much better thanks to their wind-aided performances against the Raiders and Texans, which saw Derek Carr and Deshaun Watson combine to complete 35 of 59 attempts for 274 yards (5.07 YPA). To illustrate how much of an outlier those performances are, consider that the Rams’ defense leads the NFL with 5.7 yards per pass attempt allowed this season. In the Browns other seven games, Cleveland has surrendered 7.52 yards per attempt to opposing quarterbacks, which would rank 27th in the NFL. The Eagles’ passing attack has gotten healthier in recent weeks as Jalen Reagor, Dallas Goedert, and Alshon Jeffery have all returned to the field.

[Lexdeoh20189]

WUNDERDOG NFL PICK:

Game: Tennessee Titans (465) @ Baltimore Ravens (466)
Time: Sunday 11/22 1:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Baltimore -5 (-105) at BetAnySports

[golden contender]

Rob V: Sunday Comp Play

Sunday card has an Executive Level TIER 1 Headliner early, the AFC West Game of the Year on SNF a 32-1 Rare 6* Side and the NFL Total of the Month with a 45-3 totals System. Comp play below.

The Sunday NFL Comp Play is on Baltimore at 1:00 eastern. Ravens sitting on a big game here at home after last weeks loss. The ravens have not been as good this year but are still solid. They have covered the last 4 at home vs a team with a winning road record. The Titans fall into a system that is 82% playing against road dogs against teams that do well running the ball. The Titans have failed to cover the last 4 on the road and 6 of 7 after allowing 250+ pass yards. Look for the Ravens to cover. On Sunday a huge card is up with an early Executive Level Tier 1 move, the AFC West Game of the Year on SNF, a 32-1 rare 6* Side and the NFL Total of the Month from a huge 45-3 totals system. NFL swept last week. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Comp Play. Go with Baltimore. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Nov 22 2020 1:00PM
463 CIN 7.5(-120) Bookmaker vs 464 WAS triple-dime bet

Analysis: 6 PT TEASER: Bengals +7.5/Chiefs -0.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Warren Sharp

461 Green Bay Packers Over 50 (0.75 units)
471 Kansas City Chiefs Over 55 (1 unit)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Side - Monday, Nov 23 2020 8:15PM
474 TAM -3.0(-120) Bookmaker vs 473 LOS double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White

UNDER 45
MIA @ DEN | 11/22 | 4:05 PM ESTYESTERDAY 7:55 PM
The Dolphins have seen their point totals inflated recently due to the performance of the defense and special teams, and their offense will face a Broncos defense that ranks a respectable 13th in points per drive despite some tough matchups leading to big point totals allowed in recent weeks. The Broncos offense is either going to start Brett Rypien or a banged-up Drew Lock, and I don't see them scoring much against this Miami defense that's playing well. A total of 45 isn't that high in 2020, but it's a bar I think these teams will have trouble clearing, though I'm getting in now in case the total drops any lower.

36-26-3 IN LAST 65 NFL PICKS | +700
7-3 IN LAST 10 MIA O/U PICKS | +370

NE -2
NE @ HOU | 11/22 | 1:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 7:54 PM
With this line moving well off the lookahead number and the Patriots coming off a big win on national TV, this is the type of spot where I'd look to fade the favorite. But the matchup is just too perfect for the Pats, taking a dangerous rushing attack into a game against the league's worst run defense. The Texans have given up 200-plus rushing yards three times this year, and their only two wins have come against the Jaguars. I trust Bill Belichick to solve this limited offense and walk away with another win, and getting this number under 3 is a definite value for bettors, though I'm not ready to fully buy in to the Patriots being a playoff-caliber team.

29-19-3 IN LAST 51 NFL ATS PICKS | +765
4-2-1 IN LAST 7 HOU ATS PICKS | +180

2-1 IN LAST 3 NE ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

MIA -3.5
MIA @ DEN | 11/22 | 4:05 PM ESTYESTERDAY 2:50 PM
My model says the Dolphins cover almost 60 percent of the time, so you're getting value at this number. Miami is riding a five-game winning streak, with rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa under center for the last three. The Dolphins are averaging 30 points on the road while the Broncos rank in the bottom 10 in the league in scoring (20.7 points). Denver also is 1-3 at home. Take Miami.

11-7-1 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +310
5-1 IN LAST 6 DEN ATS PICKS | +389

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 6:03 PM

ATLANTA @ NEW ORLEANS | 11/22 | 1:00 PM EST
ATLANTA +5
This pick is not all about injured QB Drew Brees, though the drop-off to James Winston or Taysom Hill is substantial. Since Raheem Morris replaced Dan Quinn as coach, the Falcons are 3-1 straight up, with the only loss occurring on the final play. The bye week came in handy, especially for oft-ailing WR Julio Jones, who has had two monster receiving games (137 yards apiece) and a 97-yarder with Morris in charge. Atlanta has covered in all but one of its last eight road games.

+230 9-6-1 IN LAST 16 NFL ATS PICKS
+476 7-2 IN LAST 9 ATL ATS PICKS
+185 3-1 IN LAST 4 NO ATS PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brett Anderson

KC -6.5
KC @ LV | 11/22 | 8:20 PM ESTTUE 11/17
"Andy Reid off the bye" has been music to bettors' ears for years (Reid is 18-3 off the bye in his career, including beating the Raiders 40-9 last year), and there are other reasons to expect a Chiefs cover here. K.C. will be motivated to avenge its only loss, and Reid seems irritated by the victory lap Raiders buses took after that Week 5 game. The Raiders have won three in a row, but one was aided by crazy wind (Browns) and another by an overturned TD (Chargers). The Chiefs will be rested and ready; I want to take them while the line is less than a TD.

14-12-1 LAST 27 NFL SIDES | +90
2-1 IN LAST 3 KC ATS PICKS | +95

4-3 IN LAST 7 LV ATS PICKS | +86