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R.J. White
Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest
When you're looking for advice on whom to pick on gameday in the NFL, nobody beats R.J. White. In fact, if you placed $100 on each of R.J. White's NFL spread picks since the start of the 2017 season, you'd be up more than $2,200. Smart bettors tail his selections.
White has been SportsLine's top pro football analyst for three-plus seasons. Over that span, the CBS Sports NFL editor and nationally recognized NFL Draft expert has gone 323-271 on against-the-spread picks, returning $2,218. Anyone who has followed him is WAY UP.
In the last five years the stats guru, whose picks are coveted by fans everywhere, has cashed huge twice in the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest. From 2015 through '19 White went 233-174-18 in the SuperContest, nailing more than 57 percent of his picks and cashing in 2015 and '17.
Because of the coronavirus pandemic, White did not travel to Las Vegas to enter this year's contest. But he is still offering his five weekly SuperContest picks to SportsLine members.
Using the Las Vegas SuperContest lines for Week 11, we can tell you White loves the Atlanta Falcons (+4.5) to cover at the New Orleans Saints. (See the current NFL lines for every Week 11 game on our NFL odds page.)
"I liked the Falcons earlier in the week and would've jumped all over the number had I known Taysom Hill would be starting this game," White tells SportsLine. "The lookahead line for this matchup was Saints -7, and you need to adjust more than four points for the drop from Drew Brees to Hill based on what we've seen so far from the versatile offensive weapon. The Falcons are playing well under Raheem Morris, but the one area where they've had consistent trouble is running the ball. That wasn't going to happen anyway against an elite Saints rush defense. With the Atlanta offense healthy, the Falcons will do enough to cover this number and could win outright unless Hill has a hidden gear we don't know about."
White also loves a game in which "the matchup is just too perfect" for the road team. Which team it is may surprise you. Anyone who uses this team could hit it BIG.
Here are White's picks and analysis:
Atlanta Falcons (+4.5) at New Orleans Saints
I liked the Falcons earlier in the week and would've jumped all over the number had I known Taysom Hill would be starting this game. The lookahead line for this matchup was Saints -7, and you need to adjust more than four points for the drop from Drew Brees to Hill based on what we've seen so far from the versatile offensive weapon. The Falcons are playing well under Raheem Morris, but the one area where they've had consistent trouble is running the ball. That wasn't going to happen anyway against an elite Saints rush defense. With the Atlanta offense healthy, the Falcons will do enough to cover this number and could win outright unless Hill has a hidden gear we don't know about.
Tennessee Titans (+6.5) at Baltimore Ravens
After dropping during the week, this line steamed back up after six Titans were ruled out, but I think the absence of those players matters less than the Ravens likely being without Calais Campbell and Brandon Williams. That should give Derrick Henry the opportunity to have a big game on the ground and keep an offense that was already scoring 17 to 24 points in tough matchups from being shut down. On the other side, the Ravens have suffered losses on their offensive line this year that have lowered the ceiling for the offense, and that should keep them in range of Tennessee all game at the worst and possibly playing catch up if Henry and Ryan Tannehill can consistently beat an undermanned Baltimore defense.
New England Patriots (-1.5) at Houston Texans
With this line moving well off the lookahead number and the Patriots coming off a big win on national TV, this is the type of spot where I'd look to fade the favorite. But the matchup is just too perfect for the Pats, taking a dangerous rushing attack into a game against the league's worst run defense. The Texans have given up 200-plus rushing yards three times this year, and their only two wins have come against the Jaguars. I trust Bill Belichick to solve this limited offense and walk away with another win, and getting this number under -3 is a definite value for bettors, though I'm not ready to fully buy into the Patriots being a playoff-caliber team.
Green Bay Packers (+1.5) at Indianapolis Colts
With Davante Adams and Jaire Alexander avoiding final injury tags on Friday, the Packers are the more talented team in this matchup. Adams is one of the best receivers in football, while Alexander ranks as Pro Football Focus' No. 1 cornerback on the season. Each can provide problems for a Colts team that struggles against good secondaries (19 points vs. Bears, 10 points vs. Ravens) and quality receivers, though Indianapolis hasn't been tested by anyone nearly as good as Adams this year. We're getting great value off the lookahead line, which had the Packers favored, and the final score in Green Bay's win over Jacksonville was a bit of a mirage. I love getting points with the Packers in this matchup.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) vs. Los Angeles Rams
Tom Brady and the Buccaneers face a tall task in this game, as they'll be up against a Rams defense that ranks first in net yards per attempt and points per drive. But a lot of that success has been built against bad teams, with the Rams ranking only eighth in defensive DVOA. You know who's first in that statistic? The Bucs, who dominated the Panthers on the road last week. They blitz more than any team, and Jared Goff struggles mightily against the blitz. That'll keep the Rams point total down, and I think the Bucs offense can do enough against the Rams to get the cover, though you should try to get 3.5 and don't bother playing at more than 4.
Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest
When you're looking for advice on whom to pick on gameday in the NFL, nobody beats R.J. White. In fact, if you placed $100 on each of R.J. White's NFL spread picks since the start of the 2017 season, you'd be up more than $2,200. Smart bettors tail his selections.
White has been SportsLine's top pro football analyst for three-plus seasons. Over that span, the CBS Sports NFL editor and nationally recognized NFL Draft expert has gone 323-271 on against-the-spread picks, returning $2,218. Anyone who has followed him is WAY UP.
In the last five years the stats guru, whose picks are coveted by fans everywhere, has cashed huge twice in the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest. From 2015 through '19 White went 233-174-18 in the SuperContest, nailing more than 57 percent of his picks and cashing in 2015 and '17.
Because of the coronavirus pandemic, White did not travel to Las Vegas to enter this year's contest. But he is still offering his five weekly SuperContest picks to SportsLine members.
Using the Las Vegas SuperContest lines for Week 11, we can tell you White loves the Atlanta Falcons (+4.5) to cover at the New Orleans Saints. (See the current NFL lines for every Week 11 game on our NFL odds page.)
"I liked the Falcons earlier in the week and would've jumped all over the number had I known Taysom Hill would be starting this game," White tells SportsLine. "The lookahead line for this matchup was Saints -7, and you need to adjust more than four points for the drop from Drew Brees to Hill based on what we've seen so far from the versatile offensive weapon. The Falcons are playing well under Raheem Morris, but the one area where they've had consistent trouble is running the ball. That wasn't going to happen anyway against an elite Saints rush defense. With the Atlanta offense healthy, the Falcons will do enough to cover this number and could win outright unless Hill has a hidden gear we don't know about."
White also loves a game in which "the matchup is just too perfect" for the road team. Which team it is may surprise you. Anyone who uses this team could hit it BIG.
Here are White's picks and analysis:
Atlanta Falcons (+4.5) at New Orleans Saints
I liked the Falcons earlier in the week and would've jumped all over the number had I known Taysom Hill would be starting this game. The lookahead line for this matchup was Saints -7, and you need to adjust more than four points for the drop from Drew Brees to Hill based on what we've seen so far from the versatile offensive weapon. The Falcons are playing well under Raheem Morris, but the one area where they've had consistent trouble is running the ball. That wasn't going to happen anyway against an elite Saints rush defense. With the Atlanta offense healthy, the Falcons will do enough to cover this number and could win outright unless Hill has a hidden gear we don't know about.
Tennessee Titans (+6.5) at Baltimore Ravens
After dropping during the week, this line steamed back up after six Titans were ruled out, but I think the absence of those players matters less than the Ravens likely being without Calais Campbell and Brandon Williams. That should give Derrick Henry the opportunity to have a big game on the ground and keep an offense that was already scoring 17 to 24 points in tough matchups from being shut down. On the other side, the Ravens have suffered losses on their offensive line this year that have lowered the ceiling for the offense, and that should keep them in range of Tennessee all game at the worst and possibly playing catch up if Henry and Ryan Tannehill can consistently beat an undermanned Baltimore defense.
New England Patriots (-1.5) at Houston Texans
With this line moving well off the lookahead number and the Patriots coming off a big win on national TV, this is the type of spot where I'd look to fade the favorite. But the matchup is just too perfect for the Pats, taking a dangerous rushing attack into a game against the league's worst run defense. The Texans have given up 200-plus rushing yards three times this year, and their only two wins have come against the Jaguars. I trust Bill Belichick to solve this limited offense and walk away with another win, and getting this number under -3 is a definite value for bettors, though I'm not ready to fully buy into the Patriots being a playoff-caliber team.
Green Bay Packers (+1.5) at Indianapolis Colts
With Davante Adams and Jaire Alexander avoiding final injury tags on Friday, the Packers are the more talented team in this matchup. Adams is one of the best receivers in football, while Alexander ranks as Pro Football Focus' No. 1 cornerback on the season. Each can provide problems for a Colts team that struggles against good secondaries (19 points vs. Bears, 10 points vs. Ravens) and quality receivers, though Indianapolis hasn't been tested by anyone nearly as good as Adams this year. We're getting great value off the lookahead line, which had the Packers favored, and the final score in Green Bay's win over Jacksonville was a bit of a mirage. I love getting points with the Packers in this matchup.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) vs. Los Angeles Rams
Tom Brady and the Buccaneers face a tall task in this game, as they'll be up against a Rams defense that ranks first in net yards per attempt and points per drive. But a lot of that success has been built against bad teams, with the Rams ranking only eighth in defensive DVOA. You know who's first in that statistic? The Bucs, who dominated the Panthers on the road last week. They blitz more than any team, and Jared Goff struggles mightily against the blitz. That'll keep the Rams point total down, and I think the Bucs offense can do enough against the Rams to get the cover, though you should try to get 3.5 and don't bother playing at more than 4.
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