Saturday 12/5/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #1

    Saturday 12/5/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis


    December 5, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
    The Meadowlands has a 13-race card on tap with the feature, a Preferred Pace with a $28,000 purse coming in Race 10. The
    0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

    Last night at the Big M the drivers with the hottest hands were Yannick Gingras and Dexter Dunn with 3 wins. All 13 races were won by different conditioners.

    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 6

    2-Dealt A Winner (3-1)-Millionaire 8-year-old was just purchased by the Burke contingent for $80,000. Comes off a gate to wire win in Phl at this class and will likely be bet down.
    3-Decision Day (7/2)-Has been trying hard and now gets both class and post relief. Likes the Big M, hitting the board in 17 of 35 races with 7 wins, should be a major player.
    9-Heza Real Diamond (9/2)-This barn has had a good year and in the last 30 days is batting 28% for winners. The 148.4 mile was a bit of a surprise, but this guy has had a race time of 149.1 this year. The difference in last week's mile was it's all his doing and did pace the back half in 54.1. This post makes it tougher no doubt, but best to not overlook.

    Race 7

    1-The Candyman Can (3-1)-Didn't seal the deal in Big M debut but it was a big effort. Could make the most of drawing the rail and Gingras should work an effective trip for this Rockin Image colt.
    4-No Quarter (7/2)-This will be the 2nd start for new connections since being purchased for $140,000 on 11/7. Willing to toss last after a rough ride from the 10-hole. Three-year-old faces older but has the speed to take a picture if dialed on high.

    Race 8

    1-B Stoney (8-1)-Although 0-4 this year Cullipher trainee knows how to win and may have finally found the right class. Makes 2nd start since 8/2, should be tighter after last week's mile and can win at a square price with a top effort.
    2-Solo Story (15-1)-Taking a swing for a price in 3rd start at this class but now draws inside. Did roll a 53.4 last half but couldn't make up ground on a 148.4 winner. Has the gate speed to be in put in play sooner and could pop with a good steer.
    7-Let It Ride N (3-1)-Aussie invader was good down under and looked even better in 1st local start and 1st try with Lasix at Phl. This is a step-up, there are some tough competitors and it's a long stretch, but best to respect.

    Race 9

    1-Always And Again (8-1)-Fits with this bunch but will need a trip and starting from the rail may not help. All that said, is too good to leave out at this price with the biggest threat starting from post 8.
    3-Tru Love (7/2)-Gingras needs to get the top without much strain, then work a soft quarter and has a good chance to do so with this post draw. If that happens, will need to be game to fend off #8 and maybe a few others down the lane.
    8-Bracken Storm A (3-1)-Probably not the trip Dunn wanted in last. The slow early pace and sharp move to the top by Dave Miller on the winner sealed the deal. But was game to the wire with a 26.4 final panel and usual pilot AMac is back. Looking for a more aggressive start and should be there at the wire.

    0.50 Early Pick 4

    2,3,9/1,4/1,2,7/1,3,8
    Total Bet=$27
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #3
      Jeff Siegel's Gulfstream Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 12/5/20


      December 5, 2020
      Jeff Siegel’s Gulfstream Park Analysis & Wagering Strategies
      Saturday, December 5, 2020

      *

      Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
      *
      The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes.
      *
      *
      Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


      RACE 1: Post: 12:05 ET Grade: B-
      Use: 1-Pangea Proxima; 3-Uptown Flirt; 9-Time Sensitive; 12-Queen of the Green

      Forecast: The opener is a spread affair with several possibilities. Pangaea Proxima shows a series of intriguing drills at Fair Hills plus a nice recent breeze around dogs on grass at Palm Meadows after shipping down for G. Motion. The daughter of Temple City from multiple graded stakes winner and producer Enthused won’t be facing any world beaters in this one mile affair and gets the rail and L. Saez, so let’s make an educated guess and put her on top at 9/2 on the morning line. Uptown Flirt hit the board in two Saratoga outings and then finished fourth as the favorite at Belmont Park in her most recent outing in September. A couple of recent bullet drills at Payson Park may indicate she’ll display improvement. Queen of the Green ran well on turf when second debuting at Keeneland but then was virtually eased in an off-the-grass affair at Churchill Downs last time out. Back on the sod but drawn poorly outside, the Summer Front filly picks up P. Lopez for new trainer J. Arnett and should be dangerous from off the pace. Time Sensitive, a first-off-the-claim for G. Delgado (a superb 35% with this angle), removes blinkers and is protected on the raise in a sign of confidence. At 20-1 on the morning line you might want to toss her in somewhere.
      *
      *
      RACE 2: Post: 12:35 ET Grade: B
      Use: 2-Liza Star; 6-Sky Chaser

      Forecast: Liza Star won last year’s edition of the Claiming Crown Glass Slipper and after facing considerably tougher foes in recent listed stakes races she should be capable of regaining her winning form against this softer band. A 10-time winner over the Gulfstream Park main track, the P. Walder-trained mare seems likely to fire a big shot after a two month freshening and projects to be on or near the lead throughout. Sky Chaser is worth including, at least as a saver. All five of her career victories have been accomplished over the local main track and while she’s a tad slower on pure numbers than our top pick improvement is possible with the switch to P. Lopez.
      *
      *
      RACE 3: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: B
      Use: 1-Conrad the Red; 8-Fighting Force

      Forecast: Fighting Force displayed excellent promise in his debut at Belmont Park in September when finishing a strong runner-up to subsequent Belmont Futurity winner Second of July. The son of Air Force Blue was a somewhat disappointing distant third in his next start in an off-the-turf affair at Keeneland but returns to the lawn today, is reunited with L. Saez, and should regain his best form for T. Pletcher. Conrad the Red was scheduled to debut on grass at GPW in mid-October but wound up third with a troubled trip in a race that switched to a sloppy main track. The M. Casse-trained colt adds blinkers, lands the rail, deserves another chance, and is worth including on your ticket at 8-1 on the morning line.
      *
      *
      RACE 4: Post: 1:35 ET Grade: B+
      Single: 1-Krysto Skye

      Forecast: Old timer Kysto Skye exits a pair of Grade-3 events so he should find the Claiming Crown Express field well with his capabilities. The son of City Zip, a winner of 13 races during his long career (with 12 runner-up efforts), always has been genuine and consistent, picks up. I. Ortiz, Jr. and projects to enjoy a good ground-saving, stalking trip. On pure numbers he’s strictly the one to beat, so at 5/2 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
      *
      *
      RACE 5: Post: 2:05 ET Grade: B+
      Single: 10-Jakarta

      Forecast: Jakarta has consistently competed against much better company than she’s facing in this 2020 edition of the Claiming Crown Distaff Dash and she’s also a perfect one-for-one sprinting over the local lawn, thus making her a legitimate 8/5 morning line favorite. The M. Maker-trained mare has only one way to go – on the front end, gate to wire – and looks more than quick enough to secure her preferred trip. On pure form she’s a standout, so we’ll make her a short priced rolling exotic single.
      *
      *
      RACE 6: Post: 2:38 ET Grade: X
      Single: 2-Jesus’ Team

      Forecast: Here’s another strong favorite that appears to own a considerable class edge over his rivals. Jesus’ Team, runner-up in the Breeders’ Cup Mile-G1 with a career top speed figure and before that third in the Preakness S.-G1, lays over the Claiming Crown Jewel field on speed figures and current form, though at 6/5 on the morning line there won’t be a whole lot of wagering value to be found. A two-time winner over the Gulfstream Park main track, the son of Tapiture projects to settle somewhere in mid-pack and then go after the leaders when ready. He’s a logical rolling exotic single.
      *
      *
      RACE 7: Post: 3:08 ET Grade: B
      Use: 4-Temple; 6-Tusk

      Forecast: The 2020 Claiming Crown Emerald looks very similar to last’s years edition, with the first three finishers back for a rematch of sorts. Muggsamatic is the defending champion but was in better form last year, so let’s try the 2019 third place finisher Tusk on top and also include course specialist Temple in our rolling exotic play. Away since winning the Tropical Turf S.-G3 in January, Tusk shows a strong, healthy work tab for his comeback for top trainer S. Joseph, Jr., who has superb stats with layoff runners, so if he can pick up where he left off this veteran Tapit gelding certainly is good enough at 9/2 on the morning line. He likes the front end but can stalk and pounce if needed so the stable’s “go-to” jockey E. Jaramillo can play it by ear. Temple, a four time grass winner at Gulfstream Park, was a New York stakes winner in his younger days and has rising recent speed figures to indicate he’s rounding back to top form. The M. Maker-trained gelding should be heard from in the final stages.
      *
      *
      RACE 8: Post: 3:38 ET Grade: C+
      Use: 1-Avant Garde; 4-All Around; 5-Miles Ahead; 10-Yodel E. A. Who

      Forecast: The Claiming Crown Rapid Transit for older horses over six furlongs on the main track has contenders top to bottom with the morning line favorite Yodel E. A. Who listed as the lukewarm 4-1 top choice. The son of Creative Cause earned a career top speed figure when winning an overnight race over this track and distance in late September and then was given a brief vacation. With three recent drills to have him sharpened up, the S. Joseph, Jr.-trained gelding – a five time winner over the local dirt strip – seems likely to fire his best shot. Miles Ahead is lightly-raced, improving, and fast on numbers. The Competitive Edge gelding has won his last three in sharp style, and while this clearly is a step up in competition the E. Plesa, Jr.-trained 3-year-old has the proper style for this extended sprint distance and could easily be this good. All Around, second in the same race Miles Ahead just won, prefers to lay back and blast home, and with some help up front must be given a reasonable look. Avant Garde, a long shot at 15-1 on the morning line, is slower on speed figures than the other main players but has four wins in five starts over the Gulfstream Park main track and is another that should be doing his best work from the quarter pole home.
      *
      *
      RACE 9: Post: 4:09 ET Grade: B
      Use: 5-Queens Embrace; 11-Sugar Fix

      Forecast: Queens Embrace, an $80,000 claim by D. Gargan (a spectacular 45% with a massive flat-bet profit with this first-off-the-claim angle), has been pointed for the Claiming Crown Tiara ever since changing barns in late September, and this Grade-2 placed daughter of Real Solution looks capable of producing a powerful late kick. A winner of five races from just 11 career starts, the 3-year-old daughter of Real Solution picks up L. Saez, should have more than sufficient help up front to compliment her late-running style, and with good racing luck can be along in time. Sugar Fix is drawn a bit farther out than we’d prefer but is the one our top pick should worry about the most. ‘Fix likes to stalk and pounce, is reunited with “win rider” T. Gaffalione, and given her projected trip should have dead aim and every chance from the top of the lane to the sire. Preference on top goes to Queens Embrace but both should be used in rolling exotic play.
      *
      *
      RACE 10: Post: 4:40 ET Grade: B+
      Use: 1-Fiya; 9-Unmoored

      Forecast: We’ve got the Claiming Crown Canterbury down to two main players, with Fiya, listed at 8/5 on the morning line, the deserving top selection. A winner of four straight and extremely fast on speed figures, the lightly-raced son of Friesen Fire projects to be on the front end from his favorable rail draw and should be very hard to catch at this shortened five furlong trip.Unmoored may be worth using as a back-up or a saver. The veteran son of Midshipman seems likely to draft into a stalk-and-pounce position and have dead aim when it matters. If Fiya doesn’t reproduce his best form for whatever reason, this M. Maker-trained gelding will be in the right spot to pick up the pieces.
      *
      *
      Race 11: Post Time: 5:11 ET Grade: B+
      Single: 6-Snap Hook

      Forecast: At 5-1 on the morning line in the Claiming Crown Iron HorseSnap Hook may offer a bit of a gamble. Just missing as the 7/5 favorite in a good overnight race at GPW last month while paying the price for pressing a hot early pace, the son of Flower Alley should face a bit less heat today and thus likely will be better suited to see out the trip. First or second in five of six career starts over the Gulfstream Park main track, the J. Delgado-trained gelding in solid in the speed figure department, retains regular pilot E. Jaramillo, and since being claimed for $8,000 last May has been first or second in all eight outings for these connections.
      *
      *
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #4
        Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


        Laurel Park - Race #6
        #8 McCain Turned in a big effort from close range in the local debut last out, and he should get another really cozy pressing run from the wide draw today.
        #7 Abuelo Paps He's pretty reliable, and his baseline run keeps him in the mix with these, but he tends to find one or two of them a bit too tough most of the time.
        #5 Moose Lodge He has finished well from off the pace in both career starts, but the splits may not be overly quick in this one, and he might wind up getting a bit overbet.
        Race Summary McCain cuts back a touch for this rise to face winners, and he should get a nice tracking trip that allows him to get first jump on the main threats.
        Laurel Park - Race #7
        #3 Buckey's Charm She might be just a touch too cheap for these, but there are a few pace elements in here that may set the table for a rally from off the splits. Not impossible, but demand a double-digit price.
        #7 Maxine's Tap Room Was super live on the board at 3/2 when posting a comfortable win against open company at Keeneland, and any move forward off that score would make her tough right back.
        #2 Street Lute Tactical type can press the splits in the early going, and she has never turned in a bad one. Think she can turn the tables on #9 Miss Nondescript, who handed her her only career loss.
        Race Summary Buckey's Charm is a bit of a swing in a race where there is some pretty reliable form, but she is in good form and handled a class jump last time out.
        Laurel Park - Race #8
        #3 Jaxon Traveler Prove talent still has upside with just two starts under his belt. Prohibitive price makes it tough to do much with him in this spot, but he's the clear one to beat, and perhaps the way this race pays is...
        #6 Ain't Da Beer Cold Sharp and quick effort when racing two turns last time out, and that route-pace-cutting-back angle comes into play at this 7-furlong trip. Price player can be useful underneath.
        #5 Alwaysinahurry Logical alternative on paper, she rallied to be a distant second going shorter than this with stakes company a couple starts back. Price probably won't reflect his real chances.
        Race Summary Jaxon Traveler has been flawless through two starts, and there doesn't appear to be anything lined up in here to keep him from tallying a third score. Ain't Da Beer Cold is a cutback price play and may be able to boost the gimmicks.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #5
          Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


          Freehold - Race #1
          #6 YER SO BAD Lands in ideal spot to upstage recent in-the-money finishes.
          #3 LOOK AND SEA Been coming up short in the stretch, should sit ideal trip.
          #5 KENTUCKY PROUD Changed tactics, led long way at this level two starts ago.
          Race Summary Yer So Bad looks good on paper and chased short-priced winners in his prior three starts at 5/8-mile Pocono Downs. He should be able to stalk and pounce in this spot. Play 6-3 and 6-5 exactas.
          Meadowlands - Race #1
          #1 PREMIER ROCKSTAR Looks to enhance 41/9-6-5 record, can run past these on drop.
          #4 SPRINTER N Back-pedaled while first over, will be on the move early with Gingras.
          #2 THNDRFRMTHETHRON N Rallied into fast splits to join blanket finish, gets class relief.
          Race Summary Premier Rockstar gets major class relief, ample pace flow and pole position to get confidence-building win. He is an all-or-nothing type play in this spot. Play 1-3 and 1-4 exactas.
          Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #8
          #4 REVOLT Early trouble, picked up live cover, just missed in wild scramble at the finish.
          #6 POSEIDON SEELSTER Won photo finishes from on and off the pace at this level recently.
          #8 INDICTABLE HANOVER Flushed out at half, gained steadily, hung slightly late, ran second.
          Race Summary Revolt ran into a traffic jam on the first turn, flushed out cover from Indictable Hanover at the half and followed that one in a three-horse blanket finish. He’s 8-for-18 this year and always looms in contention. Play 4-6 and 4-8 exactas.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #6
            Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


            Gulfstream Park - Race #4
            #7 Combination Doesn't have the class of a few of these, but that often doesn't make a difference for him over this strip, where he's won seven of 14. He's taken five of his last six races and is more that ready when they ask him for his best.
            #1 Krsto Skye Set the pace in the DeFrancis, opened up 1 1-2 lengths in the stretch and just couldn't stay; capable of a big effort on the front end here.
            #9 Ray'swarrior Has the speed to get in good position from the outside and can put on a lot of early pressure; runs well here and can stay for a piece of it.
            Race Summary Combination loves the track, likes to be just off a rapid pace and in this spot will be in a great position to show his best.
            Gulfstream Park - Race #7
            #6 Tusk Makes his first since January when he won the G3 Tropical Turf; has several outstanding works for the Joseph stable and goes for his fifth win in his last six starts.
            #2 Artie's Rumor Was claimed by Maker and won at Keeneland in his first for the new barn; has been on the board in six straight and has the class to be a factor.
            #6 Muggsamatic Won this race last year and rallied for fourth in the Prevue at GPW; needed that one and will probably be a force late.
            Race Summary Tusk is a graded stakes winner and leading up to this one looks ready via workouts; hasn't run any bad ones lately and is only getting better.
            Gulfstream Park - Race #8
            #9 Joe Di Baggio Comes off an outstanding score vs. good company and will be tough if he runs back to that one; can pass horses but also is able to get to the lead if others balk at the chance.
            #10 Yodel E.A. Who Was sharp in two of his last three races and has been a solid sprinter this year; does well over the strip and can press throughout.
            #12 I'm a G Six Was claimed by Pletcher last time and has won three of six this year; turns back to seven furlongs and can make a run at the leaders.
            Race Summary Joe Di Baggio has down a lot of speed and gameness lately and can dig in when challenged; likely to be a good price here.
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #7
              PickersMx

              Free Pick
              40 Dimes CBB
              Oklahoma St - 22.5
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #8
                Brandon Siefken

                Event: (619) NC State at (620) Connecticut
                Sport/League: CBB
                Date/Time: December 5, 2020 12PM EST
                Play: Total Under 143.5 (-110)
                My numbers say this game will be 69-66 NC State. The numbers seem to be a bit inflated due to the fact that NC State has beaten the tar out of three cupcakes. I have USC ranked slightly below NC State and USC put a paltry 58 on UConn, I think UConn can hold NC State under 70. My total on this says 135 which is an 8.5 discrepancy from the line. That is moderate value so bet a half unit. Bet the Under 143.5.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #9
                  Nick Borrman

                  Event: Torino at Juventus
                  Sport/League: SOC
                  Date/Time: December 5, 2020 12PM EST
                  Play: Juventus -1.25 (-110)
                  Italy Serie A
                  Normally a good rule of thumb is to fade, or at least lay off Champions League teams on the weekend before midweek Champions League action. However, I’m ignoring that on Saturday as Juventus host Torino in the Turin derby.
                  Juventus is already qualified for the knockout round of the Champions League and even with a win at Barcelona on Tuesday, they are not going to overcome the goal difference, so they are set as the #2 seed in that group. That leaves them full focused on this match and likely to have some major squad rotation for that Champions League match so take an early look at Barcelona in that one.
                  Juve have dominated this derby as Torino has just one win since 1995 over a total of 30 matches with 23 Juve wins and 6 draws. Torino is on a historically bad run with just one win over their last 14 Serie A road games.
                  Juve are a tough team to crack at home where they are averaging 2.20 xG and allowing just 0.80 xGA between this season and last season while Torino is averaging just 1.19 xG on the road and allowing 1.81 xGA.
                  Go with Juventus -1.25 to win this on rather easily and take a look at a 3-0 score line as well for +950.
                  TAKE JUVENTUS -1.25
                  Line Parameter: 4% to -1.5, pay up to -125 to get -1.25
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #10
                    Tony Finn

                    Event: (395) West Virginia at (396) Iowa State
                    Sport/League: CFB
                    Date/Time: December 5, 2020 3PM EST
                    Play: Iowa State -6.5 (-110)
                    The Iowa State Cyclones are having what a player would label a career year. The Clones have for the first time in seemingly forever defeated the Oklahoma Sooners and the Texas Longhorns in the same calendar season. ISU is in unfamiliar territory sitting atop of the Big 12 standings entering Week 14.
                    West Virginia is coming off an unscheduled bye week. Last Saturday, the absence of a quality opponent due to COVID issues has the Mountaineers rested and ready for the Cyclones in Ames this weekend.
                    The pressure of this Saturday's game against WVU is heavy. I say this with the belief that Matt Campbell is facing the most crucial competition of his career and one that will shape his future. Based on opinion and not first or third-hand information, I believe a Big 12 Championship by Campbell, his staff, and the kids in tow results in a job offer from Michigan.
                    With this belief and understanding, most of the kids wearing the ISU colors on Saturday want to play and win. And that is what happens, and it comes from a hard-fought victory over a capable West Virginia team, defense.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #11
                      Marco D'Angelo

                      Event: (493) BYU at (494) Coastal Carolina
                      Sport/League: CFB
                      Date/Time: December 5, 2020 5PM EST
                      Play: BYU -10.5 (-110)
                      FREE PLAY: BYU -10.5
                      Coastal Carolina hasn’t seen an offense as good as BYU’s all season. The passing game of BYU has been unstoppable all season. Coastal Carolina Faces mostly rushing attacks in the Sunbelt Conference. BYU’s offensive line has a huge size advantage as well, which means BYU should control the line of scrimmage. Yes BYU took this game on short notice but so did Coastal Carolina. I feel it will be harder for Coastal Carolina to find a way to stop BYU than it will be for BYU to stop Coastal Carolina. BYU 45-28
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #12
                        Dave Cokin

                        Event: (445) San Jose State at (446) Hawaii
                        Sport/League: CFB
                        Date/Time: December 5, 2020 6PM EST
                        Play: San Jose State -1.0 (-110)
                        This was originally Hawaii at San Jose State but the game will now be played on the islands due to to restrictions being imposed in California. Big swing on the number, which I really can't agree with. I still feel the Spartans should be favored by a decent margin. Full credit to Hawaii for a solid showing last week as they upset Nevada. A lot of things went right for the home team in that game and while they played well, I thought Nevada beat themselves. San Jose got to scout that game and should be well prepared for the wildcat and other wrinkles that fooled the Wolf Pack a week ago. I'll admit a little concern about the fact San Jose hasn't played since November 14 but if they're rusty, they're also fresh so I'm not going to worry about it to any extent. If Hawaii plays as well as they did last week, this gets tough. But I still don't feel they're a particularly good team and I'll be on San Jose State to cash a ticket here.
                        Dave finally lost a 5% play last week. But it's tough to argue with 10-1 in college football, 7-1 this season college/NFL and a spectacular 76% win rate on ALL 5% plays the last 14 months. Info that matters is the key to this week's big play. Be sure to find out all about it!
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #13
                          Steve Merril

                          Event: (407) Baylor at (408) Oklahoma
                          Sport/League: CFB
                          Date/Time: December 5, 2020 8PM EST
                          Play: Oklahoma -21.5 (-110)
                          -Baylor snapped their 5-game losing streak with a win last week; big class jump now
                          -Oklahoma is on a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS run; expect that to extend after this game
                          -Sooners average 7.6 yards per play at home vs. defenses that allow 6.1 yards per play
                          Play OKLAHOMA (-).
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #14
                            Tony Mejia

                            Event: (379) Oregon State at (380) Utah
                            Sport/League: CFB
                            Date/Time: December 5, 2020 10PM EST
                            Play: Total Under 51.5 (-110)
                            These teams are coming off dramatically different Thanksgiving weekends. Utah blew a 21-0 halftime lead in a 24-21 loss in Seattle against Washington while Oregon State rallied from 31-19 4th-quarter deficit vs. Oregon in foggy Corvallis, winning on a 1-yard TD run with :33 left. Backup Chance Nolan did the honors in his first play for the Beavers but will step in full-time since starter Tristan Gebbia suffered a hamstring injury on the play just before Nolan replaced him while trying to punch it in himself. He may be done for the season.
                            Utah is 0-2 and has turned it over nine times. South Carolina grad transfer Jake Bentley is struggling and may not have top receiving threat Britain Covey available, so expect a grinder of a game on a 23-degree night in Salt Lake City. This total opened at 52.5 and has been bet down, but I recommend climbing on board at the key number of 51.5 and riding the low side. Back the under in this Pac-12 clash.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #15
                              Brandon Siefken

                              Event: Japanese B league Basketball Mikawa at Shiga
                              Sport/League: BSKT
                              Date/Time: December 5, 2020 11PM EST
                              Play: Away -5.5 (-110)
                              In this Japanese basketball B League game the Mikawa Seahorses go to Shiga for the second day in a row. Yesterday Mikawa won by 15, my numbers say they win this by 14.5 and the line is only 5.5. Bet Mikawa Seahorses -5.5.
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