Saturday 12/5/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andrew McInnis

Event: (24149) Jack Hermansson at (24150) Marvin Vettori
Sport/League: MMA
Date/Time: December 6, 2020 12AM EST
Play: Marvin Vettori -140
Marvin Vettori takes on Jack Hermansson in the main event this weekend in UFC.
Vettori is stepping in for Kevin Holland on short notice due to a positive Covid test.
Vettori is 3-1 in his last 4 inside the octagon with the loss being a split decision to the current middleweight champion of the world, Adesanya.
Vettori is a very emotional fighter with a very good wrestling base and solid striking. This is a bad matchup for Hermansson on paper as his Striking style can leave him open to being hit and hit hard and; I think This is the perfect matchup for Vettori, I look for Marvin to keep this one on the feet and get a finish.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Dec 05 '20, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Penn State vs Rutgers
Play on: Rutgers +11½ -109 at pinnacle

Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Rutgers +11.5
The Key: The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are a team on the rise in the Big Ten now that Greg Schiano is back where he started. He actually had a lot of experience and talent to work with coming in and he is getting the most out of it in his first year back. The Scarlet Knights are just 2-4 SU but 4-2 ATS and have been competitive in every game. They covered against Ohio State, lost by 16 to Indiana, lost by 3 to Illinois and lost in triple overtime to Michigan. They also upset Michigan State on the road as 9-point dogs and upset Purdue on the road as 13-point dogs. And now they will give Penn State a run for its money Saturday. The Nittany Lions are in a lost season after their 0-5 start this year. They were able to get up for Michigan last week and finally get their first win, and I think they will relax after that victory. The Scarlet Knights will be the hungrier team here wanting to prove that they are no longer the little brother to Penn State. And this is their best chance to get it done. The Scarlet Knights are 3-0 ATS in the last 3 matchups. The Nittany Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off an ATS win. The Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs. Penn State is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after playing its last game on the road. Take Rutgers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Dec 05 '20, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Arkansas vs Missouri
Play on: Arkansas +3 -110 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Arkansas +3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow

Dec 05 '20, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Arkansas vs Missouri
Play on: Arkansas +3 -110 at Draft Kings

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Arkansas +3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joseph D'Amico

Dec 05 '20, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Texas vs Kansas State
Play on: Texas -7 -110 at sportsbook

This Saturday, we continue to BURN YOUR BOOKIE as I have the most explosive NCAAF card this season: ACC GAME OF THE MONTH, 87% NO LIMIT, 4-0 GRIDIRON GAME, 26-8 HIGH ROLLER, 46-18-1 LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE, 29-9 WISEGUY MOVE, and 71% TD PLAY. Get on my HOT STREAK, get them all, and BURN YOUR BOOKIE.
Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Texas.
Game 413.
9:00 am pst.
Every “square” or I should say, the general public are taking Kansas State this week to upend Texas. No doubt, one of this year’s early seasons pleasant surprises was the success of the Kansas State Wildcats. They began the campaign losing outright to Arkansas State as a 15.5-point favorite. Well folks, as the general public does, they judged a team from their previous week’s performance and the whole world bet against them the next several weeks as they face Oklahoma, Texas Tech, and TCU. All teams better on paper and on the field. Well, guess what? Kansas State easily handled all three foes and then put the cherry on top decimating Kansas by 41 points. Well we the watched as the general public unloaded on the Wildcats over the next month as they split out ATS, going 2-2. However, they slid to 0-4 SU.
Now everyone feels they are going to cover this week. Why? After a three-game SU win streak, Texas just lost a squeaker to the conference’s top team, Iowa State.
Yes, these two teams have played close games the last few years but Sam Ehlinger and the 30th ranked Longhorns passing attack will shred the 99th ranked pass defense of the Wildcats. Look for the improved Texas “D” to slow down the K State, which has been erratic over the last month. Lay the TD with the hotter Texas here folks. Take Texas. Thank you.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

Dec 05 '20, 12:30 PM in 1h
Soccer | Manchester United vs West Ham United
Play on: OVER 2½ -125

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Rotation #200101 Saturday Free Pick OVER the total in Manchester United vs West Ham United @ 12:30 PM ET - good news for Manchester United as they are on the road where they are 4-0 this season and have scored an average of 3.3 goals per match; West Ham United is at home where they have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match this season; given the strange home/road dichotomy of the visitors in this one I will not hesitate to take advantage of the low total posted here as we can get the over 2.5 at a great price. Free Pick OVER the total in West Ham United

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Dec 05 '20, 2:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Illinois-Chicago vs Ball State
Play on: Illinois-Chicago +5½ -109 at Draft Kings

Free Play on Illinois-Chicago +5½ -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass comp play is the Uconn game under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)

Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred) - Race 5	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double / $1 Pick Three (Races 5-6-7)
Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 98 • Purse: $300,000 • Post: 2:28P
STARLET S. - GRADE 1 FOR TWO YEAR OLD FILLIES. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $500 EACH TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION ON OR BEFORE THURSDAY, AUGUST 27, 2020. CLOSED WITH 54. FOR ALL HORSES NOT NOMINATED, SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATIONS OF $10,000 EACH WILL CLOSE AT THE TIME OF ENTRY. CLOSED WITH 1. ALL HORSES SHALL PAY $2,000 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND $3,000 ADDITIONAL TO START, WITH $300,000 GUARANTEED, WITH $180,000 TO THE WINNER, $60,000 TO SECOND, $36,000 TO THIRD, $18,000 TO FOURTH AND $6,000 TO FIFTH. 120 LBS. THIS RACES WILL NOT BE DIVIDED. IF THE NUMBER OF ENTRIES EXCEED THE STARTING GATE CAPACITY, PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO THOSE HORSES WITH THE HIGHEST TOTAL EARNINGS AND AN ALSO ELIGIBLE LIST WILL BE DRAWN. FAILURE TO DRAW INTO THIS RACES AT SCRATCH TIME CANCELS ALL FEES. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER, TRAINER AND JOCKEY. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ASTUTE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ASTUTE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. PRINCESS NOOR: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. KALYPSO: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
4	ASTUTE	7/5	2/1
3	PRINCESS NOOR	1/1	7/1
1	KALYPSO	6/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	ASTUTE	4	7/5	Front-runner	89	92	95.7	95.7	92.2
1	KALYPSO	1	6/1	Front-runner	88	84	80.5	80.5	71.5
3	PRINCESS NOOR	3	1/1	Stalker	94	89	69.7	84.6	81.6
5	VARDA	5	8/1	Stalker	90	81	58.8	65.4	58.9
2	NASREDDINE	2	15/1	Trailer	88	75	71.6	71.6	63.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs - Race 4	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 4-5-6) / Super High 5
Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 58 • Purse: $12,350 • Post: 1:41P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 (PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $16,000. THE SAME PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR LESS THAN $16,000 AND SINCE THEN HAVE FINISHED 2ND OR 3RD FOR $16,000 OR MORE.)FOR TWO YEAR OLDS UNDER INTERNATIONAL MEDICATION PROTOCOL. HORSES ENTERED TO COMPETE SHALL NOT BE ELIGIBLE TO RECEIVE FUROSEMIDE LESS THAN TWENTY-FOUR (24) HOURS PRIOR TO POST TIME FOR THE RACE.).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BEAUTY GENIUS is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BEAUTY GENIUS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BEAUTIFUL TIZ: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2	BEAUTY GENIUS	3/1	5/2
5	PRINCESS NINA	5/1	8/1
12	BEAUTIFUL TIZ	10/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	BEAUTY GENIUS	2	3/1	Front-runner	68	58	50.0	50.0	45.5
12	BEAUTIFUL TIZ	12	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	61.5	44.7	34.7
9	INDY FRONT	9	30/1	Alternator/Stalker	56	34	60.7	34.4	18.4
11	TONALA	11	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	60.5	44.7	28.7
14	WILL TAKE ROSES	14	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	60	46	36.3	38.0	27.0
5	PRINCESS NINA	5	5/1	Trailer	56	52	51.2	51.2	38.7
7	DOUBLE DOT	7	20/1	Trailer	0	0	38.9	38.9	28.4
10	ALEX'S FIRST	10	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	50.9	50.9	39.4
8	CHICHI RIVICHE	8	4/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	40.8	50.2	40.7
13	LADY DOMINANCE	13	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	28.0	28.0	14.5
4	DIXIELAND DARLING	4	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	13.3	13.3	0.0
1	TAP SOLO	1	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: MARLEE (8/1) [Jockey: Camacho Samy - Trainer: Stewart Chad J], REAWAKEN (7/2) [Jockey: Burgos Alberto - Trainer: Joseph Jr Saffie A].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Fair Grounds - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 66

Rating:

#11 TOUR THE WORLD (ML=9/2)
#2 AMES MISTER (ML=12/1)


TOUR THE WORLD - Beschizza was aboard this colt last time around the track and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. Registered a nice turf number on October 16th at Keeneland. A repeat today, and this one has a great shot to win. Last time out, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. A good sign he can close well, and should be right there at the end in today's race. AMES MISTER - Looking at today's class figure, this pony is meeting an easier field than last time around the track at Churchill Downs. Saez and Foley partnered up are a railbird's friend. Foley adds Lasix to this one today. I'd look for a solid chance of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 S MAN (ML=7/2), #1 GLOBAL EMPIRE (ML=5/1), #9 YES THIS TIME (ML=6/1),

S MAN - Finished fourth in his most recent effort with a substandard speed fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field. GLOBAL EMPIRE - I predict a disappointing effort for this equine in this race. YES THIS TIME - In this circumstance, this steed's inability to make up any ground in the last race is a cause for concern. Don't think this steed will make an impact in today's race. That last speed rating was common when compared with today's Equibase class figure.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - TOUR THE WORLD - The event on Oct 16th had a class rating of 83 while today's class rating is 66. I got to bet this one on such a big drop.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #11 TOUR THE WORLD to win. Have to have odds of at least 8/5 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	11 with 2 with [1,4,6] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	11 with 2 with [1,4,5,6,8] with [1,4,5,6,8] Total Cost: $20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Stakes - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $150000 Class Rating: 95

REMSEN S. - GRADE 2 FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $150 EACH WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION; $1,125 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND AN ADDITIONAL $1,125 TO START. FOR HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED, A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION PAYMENT OF $2,250 MAY BE MADE AT ANY TIME PRIOR TO THE CLOSING OF ENTRIES. CERTAIN FINISHING POSITIONS IN

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 TEN FOR TEN 2/1
# 2 KNOWN AGENDA 8/5
# 3 BROOKLYN STRONG 7/2

TEN FOR TEN is my choice. Might best this field here, showing quite good figs of late. With a nice class figure average of 88, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figures of this field in his last contest. KNOWN AGENDA - He must be given a chance given the very good speed figs. Is hard not to look at given the company run in as of late. BROOKLYN STRONG - Should keep the impressive string of finishes intact this time out. Have to play this gelding with the strong earnings per start in dirt route contests.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 65

FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 116 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 RUBICUNDO 3/1
# 6 GREAT MAMBO 10/1
# 3 EL MANA 5/1

I have to support RUBICUNDO here. Strong average Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this animal a contender. Ought to compete admirably in the early pace contest which bodes well with this field. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 65 - of his last race. GREAT MAMBO - Don't let this colt slip past you. Could score at high odds. EL MANA - Should wake up with Lasix change (on Lasix) today. The average class fig of 29 makes this entrant difficult to beat.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 57

Rating:

#3 TIZ AUCTION TIME (ML=5/2)


TIZ AUCTION TIME - Looking at today's class figure, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier field than last out at Laurel.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 COMMISSIONER BIGGS (ML=1/1), #1 THE FIRE WITHIN (ML=6/1), #6 KUKULKAN (ML=8/1),

COMMISSIONER BIGGS - Today's race is 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance contest in the last two months. Not the greatest of signs. THE FIRE WITHIN - Just don't figure that he is priced right at the morning line odds. KUKULKAN - This horse hasn't been showing me anything in the last two outings. I find it hard to bet on any horse in a sprint event at 8/1 when he hasn't shown any successful efforts in sprints in the last 60 days.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 TIZ AUCTION TIME on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander

Dec 05 '20, 5:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Coastal Carolina
Play on: BYU -10 -110 at sportsbook

1* CFB - BYU/C Carolina *FREE PICK* on BYU -10
It's been an amazing run for Coastal Carolina in 2020. The Chanticleers have come out of nowhere to start the season 9-0 and ranked inside the Top 20 at No. 18. They also have a lot of fun doing it, as Coastal has some epic postgame celebrations.
I just think the party stops on Saturday against BYU. The Cougars also come in at 9-0, but are a pissed off bunch being ranked just No. 13. This team wants to be in the playoff talk. I don't think they can do enough to get in, but you can bet they are going to try. BYU isn't just going into this game to win, they want to embarrass the Chanticleers.
I got a feeling they are going to do just that. What makes Coastal Carolina so good is their ability to control the clock with their run game. They also have a very unique offense that I think is built to exploit some of the lessor teams they face. I don't think much is going to work against BYU. The Cougars got an outstanding defensive line that should have their way. On the flip side of this, BYU has too much fire-power on offense for the Chanticleers to contain. BET BYU -10!