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4 Unit Play. Take #710 TCU +4 over Oklahoma (4p.m., Sunday, December 6 ESPN) Just do not trust Lon Kruger in a big spot, especially when they are playing on the road. TCU is a perfect 4-0 at home and beat Tulsa during that winning streak. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between Oklahoma and TCU.
4-Unit Play: Take 709 Oklahoma -4.5 over TCU (4 p.m., Sunday, December 6)
TCU is off to a 4-0 start to the season but it's not the best 4-0 team you'll find. The Horned Frogs look shaky on the offensive end again this season, unable to make 3's, while also struggling badly from the FT line. Oklahoma will play their second game of the season after shaking off the rust in a 39-point win over UTSA. TCU will be hard-pressed to slow down the Sooners and they don't have a solid defensive matchup for Brady Manek. TCU was able to slip past Tulsa, Liberty, and Northwestern State in their last three games but did so by an average of just 5 ppg. This is a step-up in competition despite the fact it's a conference foe. Oklahoma has defeated TCU in six straight meetings and I'm betting OU will get the job done again. I'm laying the points with Oklahoma on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play. Take #693 Villanova (Pk) over Texas (2 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
The Longhorns are riding high after their win in the Maui Invitational. However, they only had to play one good team, North Carolina, and they won that game on a last-second shot. That was actually the second game in the three they played in Carolina that was won t the last second. First, I think they could have a letdown. Second, Villanova is by far the best team they have faced yet - and the Wildcats are better than the Longhorns. I've seen Villanova win way more of these big games than I have Texas so I have absolutely no issue backing them here.
3-Unit Play. Take #695 Missouri (-4.5) over Wichita State (2 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
Wichita State isn't terrible. But they still have issues. They still have negative karma from everything having to do with Gregg Marshall's firing. And that hurts them on the day-to-day also because Marshall was a really good in-game coach. The Shockers also lose out because they normally have a great home court advantage. Missouri is no joke. They are a legit contender in the SEC and they are coming off a dominating win over a real solid Oregon team. Missouri can win games inside and out, they are excellent defensively, and they have a very experienced group. I'll ride the Tigers until the books catch up to how good they are.
1-Unit Play. Take #701 Xavier (+3) over Cincinnati (3 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
I don't like this Xavier team at all. I don't think they are any good and I will be betting against this team routinely this year. However, I think that this is a good spot for them. Cincinnati has only played one game. This is very much a transition year for them as they lost their three best players from last year's squad, including go-to guy Jarron Cumberland. Xavier has been sketchy already, and three of their wins have come by three points or less. But they have still found ways to win games and I just think that they are a little further ahead in their progress than the Bearcats.
2-Unit Play. Take #709 Oklahoma (-4.5) over TCU (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
The Sooners have the two best players on the floor in this game, Brady Manek and Austin Reaves. This is a rebuilding season for TCU and I think that their 4-0 record is a bit of a mirage. Three of their wins - all against pretty weak competition - has come by six points or fewer so they haven't exactly been rolling people. If OU had played more than one game this year this play would definitely be rated higher. Lon Kruger just gets it done year-in and year-out and I think the Sooners have by far more talent than the Horned Frogs.
1-Unit Play. Take #716 Michigan (-12) over Central Florida (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
Central Florida had a real nice win over Auburn. Now they are going to get blown out at Michigan. The Wolverines had a real solid core with Isaiah Livers (a future pro), Franz Wagner and Eli Brooks. Then they added some talented freshmen and two rock solid senior transfers, Chaundee Brown and Mike Smith. The Wolverines can play. Central Florida has only played one game this entire season. This is a team replacing four starters from a mediocre squad last year and I think they have a long way to go. Michigan will show them just how far here.
2-Unit Play. Take #730 Iowa State (-4) over DePaul (6 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
The Cyclones are coming off an upset loss to South Dakota State. I think that they will bounce back here. This is a really streaky team and they are going to be hot and cold all season. After a lull their last time out I am expecting a better effort this time. This is DePaul's first game of the season. They have a real solid core, led by point guard Charlie Moore, but they are also trying to work some transfers into the mix and I think they will be a little rusty. Jalen Coleman-Lands played at DePaul last year and would love nothing more than to get some revenge against his former team. I think he'll match Moore today and if does that the rest of the Cyclones are better than the rest of the Blue Demons.
2-Unit Play. Take #739 California (+10.5) over UCLA (8 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
This is too many points. UCLA has been unimpressive to start the season. They had a lot of hype coming into the year but it is easy to forget that this team really overachieved last year. At one point they were 12-11 before closing the year with a 7-1 run. That's great and all, but that momentum isn't going to carry over and it obviously hasn't. They got hammered by SDSU and were lucky to beat Pepperdine. Cal isn't good. At all. We hit against them with Arizona State on Thursday, but I think that they will be competitive in this game. I think they will be a sneaky ATS underdog in Pac-12 play this year and I think this is a good example.
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #717 West Virginia (-5.5) over Georgetown (4:30 p.m.) AND Take #741 Seton Hall (+7.5) over Penn State (8 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #701 Xavier (+8) over Cincinnati (3 p.m.) AND Take #726 LSU (-4) over Louisiana Tech (6 p.m.)
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