Saturday 12/12/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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John Martin

Dec 12 '20, 11:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | UNLV vs Hawaii
Play on: UNLV +20½ -105 at YouWager

1 Unit FREE PLAY on UNLV +20.5
The UNLV Rebels are 0-5 SU & 0-4-1 ATS this season. It’s time to jump on them now that they are being undervalued after this horrid start. They haven’t been more than 17-point underdogs in any game this season yet, and now they are 20.5-point dogs to Hawaii. And Hawaii is probably the worst team that they will have faced and their best chance to be competitive. The Rebels have faced the gauntlet of San Diego State, Nevada, Fresno State, San Jose State and Wyoming. Those are five of the best teams in the Mountain West. Hawaii is just 3-4 SU & 3-4 ATS this season. The Rainbow Warriors’ three wins have come by 3, 6 and 15 points. They haven’t won by this kind of margin yet, and I don’t expect them to Saturday either. Hawaii hasn’t beaten UNLV by more than 14 points in any of the last seven meetings. The Rainbow Warriors are 12-28-1 ATS in their last 41 home games. Give me UNLV.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)

Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred) - Race 5	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $2 Rolling Double $1 Pick Three (Races 5-6-7)
Allowance • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 109 • Purse: $55,000 • Post: 2:28P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING, AND STARTER RACES NOT CONSIDERED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ANYPORTINASTORM is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ANYPORTINASTORM: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest T rackMaster Power Rating. BRICKYARD RIDE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MR VARGAS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designatio n or an "L" designation. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
2	ANYPORTINASTORM	3/1	3/1
4	BRICKYARD RIDE	2/1	6/1
5	MR VARGAS	5/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	ANYPORTINASTORM	2	3/1	Front-runner	104	104	119.9	105.1	100.6
4	BRICKYARD RIDE	4	2/1	Front-runner	105	108	119.4	93.4	84.4
8	FAST COTTON	8	20/1	Front-runner	87	87	97.2	84.4	69.9
5	MR VARGAS	5	5/1	Front-runner	115	112	96.7	80.6	69.6
1	SPARKY VILLE	1	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	110	111	71.1	72.0	66.5
3	ULTIMATE BANGO	3	5/1	Trailer	110	107	93.7	96.1	89.1
7	MANHATTAN UP	7	6/1	Trailer	106	109	56.6	102.4	94.9
6	GHOUL (BRZ)	6	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	107	99	72.5	76.8	64.8

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 6	$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $.50 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8) $.20 Rainbow Pick 6 (Races 6-11)
Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 100 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 2:38P
SUGAR SWIRL S. - GRADE 3 FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. FREE NOMINATION BY SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 28. A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE OF $100 MAY BE MADE PRIOR TO CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES. $1,000 TO ENTER. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 62% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: THREE YEAR OLDS: 123 LBS. OLDER: 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A GRADED STAKES SINCE JUNE 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS.; A GRADED STAKES IN 2020 OR A NON-RESTRICTED STAKES RACE SINCE APRIL 1, 5 LBS. STARTERS TO BE NAMED BY USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO GRADED STAKES WINNERS WITHIN 24 MONTHS OF RACE DATE, GRADED STAKES PLACED WITHIN 24 MONTHS OF RACE DATE, NON-RESTRICTED STAKES WINNERS WITHIN 24 MONTHS OF RACE DATE THEN BY HIGHEST EARNINGS. . TROPHY TO THE WINNING OWNER.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * BRONX BEAUTY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LADY'S ISLAND: Horse's wi n percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SOUND MACHINE: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. GOLDEN AMI: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. CINNABUNNY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
4	BRONX BEAUTY	8/1	5/1
2	LADY'S ISLAND	7/2	7/1
1	SOUND MACHINE	5/1	7/1
3	GOLDEN AMI	5/2	8/1
5	CINNABUNNY	3/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	LADY'S ISLAND	2	7/2	Front-runner	101	90	101.4	87.0	84.0
5	CINNABUNNY	5	3/1	Front-runner	92	97	95.0	85.8	76.3
3	GOLDEN AMI	3	5/2	Front-runner	86	93	83.6	89.4	85.9
6	AUNT NADINE	6	4/1	Front-runner	95	92	70.2	69.0	58.5
1	SOUND MACHINE	1	5/1	Stalker	98	90	67.4	89.8	82.3
4	BRONX BEAUTY	4	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	98	101	83.6	92.2	85.2

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Remington Park - Race #6 - Post: 9:27pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 67

Rating:

#1 PAPA STAR (ML=6/1)


PAPA STAR - Lone speed horses can be tough to run down. Here's a lone front running sort facing sluggish sorts today. This gelding's last speed figure garnered on April 5th is at the top in last race speed ratings. Took a class drop last time out at Oaklawn Park. Stuart keeps him at the same level right here. I think that's a good move.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 OSO NEGRO (ML=5/2), #7 WELCOME WEST (ML=3/1), #6 CASCADE KING (ML=4/1),

OSO NEGRO - This mount hasn't shown much in the last couple races. WELCOME WEST - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint races recently. Not likely to see him doing it in today's event either. CASCADE KING - Will be hard for this animal to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put him on the questionable challengers list.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - PAPA STAR - I'm betting on this gelding. He has the top Power Rating and big odds.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #1 PAPA STAR on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with 3
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 57

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 B J'S BIG BOY 5/2
# 4 BE BE BOP 9/5
# 2 FAPPIANO ROCKET 5/1

B J'S BIG BOY is the most respectable wager in this race. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding. Has solid early speed and will probably fare admirably against this group. Could beat this group of animals given the 50 Equibase speed fig posted in his last outing. BE BE BOP - He has been running soundly and the speed figures are among the strongest in this group of animals. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Farrior have shown strong results recently. FAPPIANO ROCKET - Brown is trying to prove victorious with this one by bringing him back so soon. Has posted formidable Equibase speed figs in dirt sprint races in the past.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #5 - Post: 2:19pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,200 Class Rating: 67

Rating:

#3 CONSILIUM (ML=6/1)


CONSILIUM - Don't often see a profitable return on investment like +74. This rider/handler pair has done well together over the last twelve months.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MOZANO (ML=5/2), #9 MUST BE A MONSTER (ML=5/1), #10 RICKY RUN (ML=6/1),

MOZANO - No value in playing this racer. Probably won't improve off that November 27th race. Should have at least hit the board in the last couple of months in a sprint race to be worth the risk at short odds in a sprint. MUST BE A MONSTER - This horse hasn't been near the winner at the finish recently. RICKY RUN - You figure that this horse is going to finish first just because he's always close. Just doesn't win regularly.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #3 CONSILIUM on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with 1
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #5 - Post: 2:19pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,200 Class Rating: 67

Rating:

#3 CONSILIUM (ML=6/1)


CONSILIUM - Don't often see a profitable return on investment like +74. This rider/handler pair has done well together over the last twelve months.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MOZANO (ML=5/2), #9 MUST BE A MONSTER (ML=5/1), #10 RICKY RUN (ML=6/1),

MOZANO - No value in playing this racer. Probably won't improve off that November 27th race. Should have at least hit the board in the last couple of months in a sprint race to be worth the risk at short odds in a sprint. MUST BE A MONSTER - This horse hasn't been near the winner at the finish recently. RICKY RUN - You figure that this horse is going to finish first just because he's always close. Just doesn't win regularly.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #3 CONSILIUM on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with 1
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 46

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. RACES ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $10,000 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 SEA SPARROW 2/1
# 7 ROUST 10/1
# 5 TANYA'S TOY 20/1

My choice in this contest is SEA SPARROW. Ought to compete quite well in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group. ROUST - Has been running admirably lately and will most likely be close to the lead early on. TANYA'S TOY - Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt sprint races in this lot. Has competitive Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Turfway Park

12/12/20, TP, Race 4, 7.42 ET
12/12/20,TP,4,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $10,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 12 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000 (Races Where Entered For $4,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	8	Two Sixtyone	4/1	Burke J	Sands Shane	SF	174	26.44	1.42/$1
098.4583	7	Run Like Rev	12/1	Jimenez A	Davis Joseph D.	L	174	26.44	1.42/$1
098.0066	3	Foot Rub Love	4/1	Serpa A	Brooks Gerald E.		174	26.44	1.42/$1
097.1697	4	Naughty Factor	5/1	Parker D L	Dunn Stephen D.	J	174	26.44	1.42/$1
096.8554	10	Lively Kitten	15/1	Gonzalez S	Girten Tim	T	124	21.77	1.55/$1
096.7857	9	Money Inthe Starrs	7/2	Bowen R	Puhich Michael		98	29.59	1.34/$1
096.5902	1	B Deb's Fortune	20/1	Lucille G	Pitts Daniel C.		174	26.44	1.42/$1
096.2416	6	Lilibet	12/1	Prescott R A	Garcia Genaro	E	174	26.44	1.42/$1
095.3754	12	War Ballad	12/1	Morales E	Coady Chelsey	WC	174	26.44	1.42/$1
094.3364	2	American Kisses	20/1	Hisby R	Ogle Melissa		174	26.44	1.42/$1
093.0498	5	Quiet Dawn	8/1	Cannon D	Jacobson Matthew		174	26.44	1.42/$1
092.9107	13	Honor Bar	20/1	Miranda R	Bates C. Louis		174	26.44	1.42/$1
091.1004	11	Butter Up Katie	20/1	Ramos J D	Beck Rowena		168	19.64	1.38/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
. . . .
100.0000 8 Two Sixtyone
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]LastRaceWeightIsNotLessThanTodaywith
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]DoesNotCarryApprenticeWeight

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Totals4U

Late Saturday's Free Selection: Virginia/Virginia Tech over 63

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Roz Wins

ROZ's SATURDAY, DECEMBER 12, 2020
Free Pick

College Football : 130. Wyoming +9.5 (3 PT / 6 ET)

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Atlantic Sports

Late Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Appalachian State - 9 1/2

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#1 Sports

Late Saturday's Free Play: TCU Horned Frogs - 21 1/2

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Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: the Fresno St Bulldogs -14 over New Mexico

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Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play SATURDAY, December 12, 2020
CFB

124. Oregon St +3 (7 PT / 10 ET)