Sunday 12/13/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359662

    #16
    TIM MICHAEL

    NFL | Dec 13, 2020
    Packers vs. Lions
    OVER 55

    I'm expecting a shootout here.

    Detroit is better at home than it is on the road. There's something about friendly confines that works well for Matt Stafford, as note that the total has gone over the number in five straight for the Lions at Ford Field.

    The Packers' offense revolves around Aaron Rodgers, which means that whenver these teams get together, we can expect a shootout. And that's definetly been the case, as these teams have seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last ten overall and in four of their last five games played in Detroit.

    Green Bay has been good on the road as well, winning four of their last six away from friendly confines.

    Rodgers is having another great season, as he's completed almost 70 percent of his passes for 3,395 yards, 36 touchdowns and only four interceptions.

    And he's been particularly sharp of late, as he has three or more touchdown passes in six of his last seven games.

    Aaron Jones leads a decent ground game which averages 124.2 yards per contest. The Green Bay offense has had to be pretty good most days as well, as its offense hasn't been fantastic, allowing 24.9 points per game.

    No matter what Detroit's record is, there's always a couple of games that it always "GETS UP FOR" each year. It's annual Thanksgiving Day contest is one which players always have circled on their calendars. Same thing whenever it faces Green Bay.

    The Lions have lost four of their last five. Matt Stafford has 3,278 passing yards, 21 touchdowns and nine interceptions.

    Stafford has at least three touchdown passes in three of his last six games, so as I outlined up top, I definitely expect some offensive fireworks between these two veteran gun-slinging quarterbacks.

    The ground game isn't anything to write home about for the Lions, as Adrian Peterson leads a rushing attack which averages only 93.6 yards per game.

    Detroit's weakness though once again isn't on the offensive side of the ball, but rather the defensive where it concedes 29.8 points per game.

    What more do I need to point out? The Packers have gone over 30 points in five of their last seven. Detroit enters off a wild, high-scoring win over Chicago, so the Lions won't be rolling over either.

    So when you add it all up here, in my opinion, this one is going to fly over the number sooner, rather than later.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359662

      #17
      Bobby Ligs

      Event: (153) Tennessee Titans at (154) Jacksonville Jaguars

      Sport/League: NFL

      Date/Time: December 13, 2020 1PM EST

      Play: Tennessee Titans -7.5 (-105)
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359662

        #18
        Las Vegas Cris

        Event: (151) Green Bay Packers at (152) Detroit Lions

        Sport/League: NFL

        Date/Time: December 13, 2020 1PM EST

        Play: Detroit Lions +7.5 (-110)

        Lions +7.5 The Lions are rejuvenated with the coaching change. Entirely different attitude. They will be getting players back this week, and certainly have opened up the options for Stafford to air it out again, instead of Patricia's clammed up game plan
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359662

          #19
          Marco D'Angelo

          Event: (163) Minnesota Vikings at (164) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

          Sport/League: NFL

          Date/Time: December 13, 2020 1PM EST

          Play: Minnesota Vikings +6.5 (-110)

          FREE PLAY: Minnesota +6.5



          You will see Tampa Bay in a lot of Teasers this week as people will say pick the winner if they tease Tampa down but to me that just looks way too easy. Yes Tampa has had two weeks to prepare but this team just hasn’t been the same since the Saints embarrassed on SNF A few weeks back. Minnesota has had two ugly wins in the last 2 weeks but ugly wins are better than good looking losses. Teams that win ugly often play great the next week because they know that they were lucky last week and come fully focused this week after the scare. Minnesota has won 5 of their last 6 and are in their best role and that’s being a underdog. Minnesota with their defense isn’t built to lay points but with a Offense that has Dalvin Cook they can stay in games and cover spreads. Note TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons. We also find that TAMPA BAY is 0-8 ATS after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Minnesota is a live dog here with their #3 ranked offense at 6.5 YPP.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359662

            #20
            Gianni the Greek

            Event: (163) Minnesota Vikings at (164) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

            Sport/League: NFL

            Date/Time: December 13, 2020 1PM EST

            Play: Minnesota Vikings +7.0 (-105)

            163) Minnesota +7 (-120)…Buy ½ PT
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359662

              #21
              Kevin Dolan

              Event: (200141) Brighton & Hove Albion at (200142) Leicester City

              Sport/League: SOC

              Date/Time: December 13, 2020 2PM EST

              Play: Leicester City +101

              PLAY: LEICESTER CITY ML +101
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359662

                #22
                Steve Merril

                Event: (173) New Orleans Saints at (174) Philadelphia Eagles

                Sport/League: NFL

                Date/Time: December 13, 2020 4PM EST

                Play: Philadelphia Eagles +7.0 (-115)

                -New Orleans will be playing their 3rd straight road game; outdoors in the elements here
                -Philadelphia should be making a QB change to Jalen Hurts; could be the spark they need
                -Eagles defense allows 5.3 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

                Play EAGLES (+)
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359662

                  #23
                  Teddy Covers

                  Event: (173) New Orleans Saints at (174) Philadelphia Eagles

                  Sport/League: NFL

                  Date/Time: December 13, 2020 4PM EST

                  Play: New Orleans Saints -7.0 (-105)

                  Take New Orleans (#173)

                  The betting markets have been mis-pricing the New Orleans Saints without Drew Brees for the last two years. It’s no accident that the Saints are 8-0 SU, 8-0 ATS in their eight games without Brees behind center in 2019 and 2020. They have an elite defense, capable of stepping up and winning games. They have a strong offensive line and a solid running game; not relying exclusively on QB play to move the football. And, like Teddy Bridgewater last year, Taysom Hill this year is a well above average backup quarterback. Philly showed plenty of quit in their loss to the Packers last week, and rookie QB Jalen Hurts may well end up being a downgrade from the struggling Carson Wentz – the ‘spark’ Hurtz provided last week was a 4th and 18 heave that resulted in a touchdown. Chalk worth laying! Take the Saints!
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359662

                    #24
                    Al Cimaglia: Pompano Park Pick 5 Analysis


                    December 13, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
                    Pompano Park has an 11-race card scheduled to start the week. The popular 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 6 and has a $15,000 guaranteed pool. The 0.50 Pick 5 sequence kicks-off the night and it will be my focus.

                    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

                    Race 1

                    3-Maxdaddy Blue Chip (5/2)-Simply has not been good enough versus Open company. But this is the Open III class and really has no excuse not to be a major threat versus this crew.
                    7-Mac Anover (6-1)-Using instead of the program chalk #5 who was a sick scratch and hasn't raced since 11/22. Comes off an efficient win and now steps up. Has gate speed and should be a threat with a top effort and a solid steer.

                    Race 2

                    1-LA Rockin Sampson (6-1)-Drops in for a tag and so gets the rail. Could be a smart play as the 25% allowance drops off at year end and Plano can get the top from this spot. Only win here came on the engine and best to not overlook.
                    3-Rub Ofthe Green N (5/2)-Nfld shipper should fits well with the group and has won 5 of 14 starts at the Pomp. Smith needs to work a trip and a quick pace could help chances.

                    Race 3

                    1-Watchyastarinat (9-1)-This is the 4th start of the meet and the 1st time the post draw has been kind. Appears to have enough gate speed to get a close-up seat and may win for the 1st time in 13 starts at the Pomp.
                    3-Rockin Machine (6-1)-Last 2 starts have been dull but this looks like a spot to trip out. Plano should be able to get a cozy trip and could land in the pocket behind the chalk, #6.
                    6-War-N-Munn (9/5)-Hasn't been able to seal the deal and has come up short in all 4 South Florida starts. This is not a very strong group so it's best to include. Short field should help but won't offer much value and is only 2 for 21 at PPk.

                    Race 4

                    2-Regil Electron (5/2)-Made 1st start south of the border a winning and was bet down like the race was already over. Meets some new faces tonight but best to respect 3-year-olds chances for a repeat.
                    3-Theflyingrock (2/1)-Freshman gelding has hit the board in all 4 starts with 2 pictures. Should be tested by #2 but may prove to be a bit faster on this oval.

                    Race 5

                    3-Agedchedar Hanover (9-1)-Has been inconsistent since arriving in town but draws well here and looks like a play at this price. May need some breaks to win but should be in the hunt and could spice up exotics.
                    4-Unlikeanyother (2-1)-Hennessey's choice as he has been leaning towards the Beckwith barn. Ships in from Stga and makes Pompano debut. Looks like a fit versus this crew but will probably be bet hard.
                    6-Mc Mach (6-1)-This will be a test, but my guess is Plano leaves and will provide a good steer. The 2 program chalks #4 and #1 are making their 1st PPk start. This 6-year-old has won 9 of 36 starts here and will use looking for a nice price.

                    0.50 Pick 5

                    3,7/1,3/1,3,6/2,3/3,4,6
                    Total Bet=$36
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359662

                      #25
                      Jeff Siegel's Gulfstream Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 12/13/20


                      December 13, 2020
                      Jeff Siegel’s Gulfstream Park Analysis & Wagering Strategies
                      Sunday, December 13, 2020

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                      Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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                      The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes. For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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                      Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


                      RACE 1: Post: 12:05 ET Grade: B-
                      Use: 3-Cool Hand Coop; 7-No Nay Maybe

                      Forecast: No Nay Maybe arrives from Monmouth Park after a runaway sloppy track score in August but the son of No Nay Never can handle turf as well and is properly spotted in this $20,000 grass dash that carries a non-winners of three restriction. A prior winner over the local lawn, the J. Delgado-trained gelding looks quick enough to lead this group gate-to-wire. Cool Hand Coop appears the most dangerous of the closing contingent and will be the one that ‘Maybe has to worry about the most in the final furlong. The Norther Afleet gelding has numbers that fit and picks up I. Ortiz, Jr., however, his record over the Gulfstream Park grass course (six starts with only two third place finishes) doesn’t really inspire confidence. We’ll have tickets including both in our rolling exotics and then we’ll press a bit keying No Nay Maybe on top.
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                      RACE 2: Post: 12:35 ET Grade: B-
                      Use: 4-Samurai Fighter; 7-I’m a Coco Pebbles

                      Forecast: I’m a Coco Pebbles has numbers that are gradually rising and with another forward move should be able to earn her diploma in this soft maiden $16,000 extended sprint for juvenile fillies. The addition of blinkers is a plus, and in a race lacking zip we’re anticipating that P. Lopez will have this filly on or near the lead from the get-go. Samurai Fighter has been chasing tougher, shows the route-to-sprint angle, and drops in class to where her speed figures say she’s a fit. The M. Casse-trained filly will be doing her best work from the quarter pole home. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with slight preference on top to I’m a Coco Pebbles.
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                      RACE 3: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: B-
                      Use: 3-Dropped Anchor; 4-Converter

                      Forecast: Dropped Anchor flashed speed before weakening and winding up third (beaten almost five lengths) when debuting in a maiden $50,000 dash over a sloppy track at GPW last month and today shows up for half that amount while hoping to find dry land. Based on the good quickness he displayed in her first race, the A. Sano-trained son of Anchor Down should be too quick for this field. Converter also is dropping and dangerous. The son of Currency Swap earned a number two races back that puts him right there, and with the major jockey switch to I. Ortiz, Jr. he’s worth including on your ticket at 5-1 on the morning line.
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                      RACE 4: Post: 1:35 ET Grade: C+
                      Use: 2-Missing Link; 3-Can’t Buy Me Love

                      Forecast: Missing Link continued her improving pattern with an authoritative maiden $40,000 win over this course and distance in September and returns protected in this starter optional claimer. The daughter of Kantharos apparently has found her niche as a turf sprinter and with a recent healthy work pattern to have her on edge she could spring a surprise at 6-1 on the morning line. Can’t Buy Me Love was non-competitive in a pair of stakes races after graduating at first asking over the local lawn last summer. She’s eligible for this race after being entered for the $25,000 tag and certainly rates a big look on pure numbers at this level. In a deep and contentious affair, rolling exotic play may choose to spread; we’ll try to survive and advance using just the two listed above with preference on top to Missing Link.
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                      RACE 5: Post: 2:05 ET Grade: C+
                      Use: 3-R Adios Jersey; 5-Dispense; 6-Fior Di Latte; 7-Elliereesaston

                      Forecast: Maiden $35,000 claiming juvenile fillies sprint six furlongs in an anything-can-happen affair that necessitates a spread in rolling exotic play. Fior Di Latte showed a bit of ability when hitting the front but weakening late to wind up second in her debut against slightly lesser foes at GPW last month and the daughter of Exaggerator has every right to produce a forward move with that bit of experience behind her. She switches to L. Saez and may be better than her morning line of 8-1 gives her credit for. R Adios Jersey is a sneaky first-timer from the G. Baxter barn (33% with a strong ROI with debut runners). The work tab indicates ability, so in a soft affair this daughter of Adios Charlie is a “must use.” Elliereeseaston is another debut runner with credentials to run well. A bullet recent gate drill (:47.4bg, fastest of 83 for the distance) certainly catches the eye for good trainer S. Joseph, Jr., so you have to include her. Dispense closed a gap after a slow start to finish a willing second in here only outing in a maiden $25,000 grass sprint at Woodbine last month. She’s another with a right to improve in her second career start and her first on dirt.
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                      RACE 6: Post: 2:38 ET Grade: B
                      Use: 5-Borkan; 7-Chess’s Dream

                      Forecast: Chess’s Dream seems the logical top pick in this state-bred two-turn maiden grass event for 2-year-olds based on two strong runner-up efforts over the local lawn prior to being well-beaten in an off-the-grass stakes on a sloppy track in late September. Freshened for M. Maker, training well, removing blinkers and returning to the maiden ranks, the son of Jess’s Dream has much in his favor. First-timer Borkan is a bit intriguing and may be worth including on a ticket or two as a back-up. The son of Speightstown doesn’t show anything flashy on his work tab but hails from the C. Clement barn, which boasts superior stats with debut runners (28%, powerful ROI). With T. Gaffalione taking the call, this colt seems likely to take some money on the tote.
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                      RACE 7: Post: 3:08 ET Grade: B-
                      Use: 4-Bahamian Beat; 8-Chill Haze; 9-Valiant Appeal

                      Forecast: Here’s a challenging affair for restricted (nw-2) $10,000 claimers that offers a couple of decent price chances. Valiant Angel is drawn comfortably outside, returns to dirt and one turn, and has sprint numbers that make him far more competitive than his morning line of 20-1 suggests. Low-percentage connections certainly should keep the price up. Chill Haze finally broke his maiden in his 13th career start but did so over a wet fast track, so his highly-rated score probably shouldn’t be taken at face value. However, the son of Justin Phillip projects as the controlling speed, and if he can shake loose again without pressure he’ll most likely outrun his morning line of 8-1. Bahamian Beat should be part of the pace and is another with back speed figures that make him a strong threat in a soft field. He does have a prior win over the local main track, though it was accomplished on a sloppy surface.
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                      RACE 8: Post: 3:38 ET Grade: B-
                      Use: 4-Sun Glass; 8-Miss Deplorable; 9-Roman d’Oro

                      Forecast: Miss Deplorable has been away since February and there are only two workouts listed at a local training center in the mare’s past performance chart, but this low profile barn has good stats with comebackers and if this daughter of Big Drama returns as well as she left she should be able to out class this second-level allowance field of grass sprinting fillies and mares. At 6-1 she may be worth a small gamble in the win pool but she’s just one of three that we’ll be using in rolling exotic play. Sun Glass is a progressive daughter of Hard Spun seeking her third straight win, her most recent success accomplished sprinting on grass at Woodbine in late October. She’s a fit on speed figures with plenty of room for further improvement and projects to enjoy an ideal pace-stalking trip. Roman d’Oro has the route-top-sprint angle and also is dropping out of stakes competition for this softer assignment. She’ll be a late threat and at 10-1 on the morning line is worth including on your ticket.
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                      RACE 9: Post: 4:09 ET Grade: B
                      Use: 1-Frosted Grace; 6-With Verve

                      Forecast: Frosted Grace isn’t one to trust (2-for-20 with 13 seconds and thirds) and his lack of a true winning punch has been on display in his last three starts, all runner-up efforts. On the positive side are his recent speed figures, which are comparatively strong, and a prior win over the local main track. We’ll use him along with the morning line favorite (2-1). With Verve, arguably the most dangerous of the closing types. The Kantharos gelding was a solid third in the Sunshine Million Sprint Preview over a sloppy track at GPW last month and is a three-time winner over the local main oval, including the Hutcheson S. here last winter. With the switch to I. Ortiz, Jr., the L. Bates-trained sophomore is strictly the one to beat.
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                      RACE 10: Post: 4:40 ET Grade: B-
                      Use: 1-Max K. O,; 4-Sniper Kitten; 5-Morocco

                      Forecast: This messy turf event for $50,000 older claimers has several possibilities, so we suggest you spread as deeply as you can afford to. We’ll use three and hope that’s enough. Morocco does his best work from off the pace, so he’ll need fractions to run at and room to rally through the lane. If things break his way, the M. Maker-trained gelding, a two-time winner over the Gulfstream Park turf course, may be able to tag the speed under I. Ortiz, Jr. Max K. O. gets a much better draw today (from the far outside to the rail) and returns to the claiming ranks so it’s conceivable the E. Plesa, Jr.-trained colt will return to top form. Always dangerous as the controlling speed, he’ll no doubt try to secure that type of trip today, though there are other speed types in the field that will make him work for it. Sniper Kitten looked pretty good winning at Indiana Downs last month when facing softer foes and may have another forward move in him. He’s got back numbers that make him dangerous and a stalking style that should ensure a comfortable trip.
                      *
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                      Race 11: Post Time: 5:11 ET Grade: B-
                      Use: 1-Reinagol; 2-Viva La Red; 3-Phantom Vision

                      Forecast: Let’s go with the inside three runners in today’s nightcap, a five furlong turf dash for 2-year-old fillies. Phantom Vision, a reasonable second in her debut last month for M. Maker and is likely to produce a forward move with that effort behind her. Though beaten more than three lengths, the daughter of Declaration of War was five lengths clear of the rest and a recent 47 flat breezing workout (second fastest of 92) tells us she’s headed in the right direction. Viva La Red makes her debut for a barn that has solid stats with first time starters and shows a string of bullet drills at Palm Beach Downs that jumps off the page. The daughter of Texas Red is listed at 5-1 on the morning line for trainer P. Biancone and is a “must use” at that price. Reinagol overcame a sluggish start from the rail to finish with interest when an okay second in a moderate affair in her debut on grass at GPW in early November. The daughter of Shanghai Bobby can improve if she leaves cleanly.
                      *
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359662

                        #26
                        Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Gulfstream


                        December 13, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
                        Gulfstream Park’s Late Pick 4 Sunday features three races full of accomplished runners and a finale that includes some very promising young ones.

                        The sequence runs from races 8-11 and the suggested this week totals $54. Without a standout in these, the ticket uses a 3x3x3x4 strategy.

                        Here’s a look at what to expect in the Late Pick 4 Sunday from Hallandale Beach, Fla.:

                        Race 8 (3:38 p.m. ET, optional claiming)

                        SWEET YARE N DIRA broke poorly and made up considerable ground to finish fifth last time. Has won at this level and can be troublesome from the start.

                        LENZI’S LUCKY LADY was off to a three-for-three start in her career – all at GP – and hasn’t found her way to the winner’s circle since then. Was claimed by Hess, Jr., barn two races back for $75,000 and then faltered in the Charles Town Oaks. Dangerous in her return to GP and has the pedigree to handle the switch to turf.

                        AUNT NADINE has been able to adjust to the pace in her last few and has two wins and two seconds in her last four. Makes third start off the claim for Maker.

                        Race 9 (4:09 p.m. ET, optional claiming)

                        FROSTED GRACE ran on well in his last three and was second in each of them. Solid contender at this level.

                        CAJUN BROTHER had the misfortune of facing Nashville in the Perryville Stakes at Keeneland and faltered. He gets some major class relief here and you can expect him to dig in vs. this level of competition.

                        WITH VERVE has been in the mix in several good races, including in the Hutcheson Stakes, when he came from off the pace and was up in time by a neck. Certainly can be a solid performance at this level.

                        Race 10 (4:40 p.m. ET, claiming)

                        SNIPER KITTEN comes off one of his better races as he followed a long pacesetter and readily drew clear. Well travelled and capable.

                        MOROCCO steadily made his way through most of the field before finishing third in his latest. Has won a couple of races over this course.

                        STIRLING DRIVE woke up with a solid third at this level last out and will be fairly close to this pace. A repeat of his last one would give him a solid chance.

                        Race 11 (5:11 p.m. ET, claiming)

                        REINAGOL improved position and finished second in her debut. She drew the rail in that one and gets the same post today. Likely will break better in her return.
                        VIVA LA RED has trained very well for her first one and is bred for grass.
                        PHANTOM VISION, like REINAGOL, drew the rail and finished second her debut. Has worked well for her return.
                        THIRD TIME AROUND lost her rider last time after finishing fourth in herdebut. Had a nice workout since herlatest.

                        50-cent Late Pick 4 Sunday at Gulfstream Park:
                        8) #1 Sweet Yare N Dira, #5 Lenzi’s Lucky Lady, #7 Aunt Nadine.
                        9) #1 Frosted Grace, #4 Cajun Brother, #6 With Verve.
                        10) #4 Sniper Kitten, #5 Morocco, #6 Stirling Drive.
                        11) #1 Reinagol, #2 Viva La Red, #3 Phantom Vision, #9 Third Time Around.
                        50-cent Pick Four: 1-5-7 with 1-4-6 with 4-5-6 with 1-2-3-9 ($54).
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359662

                          #27
                          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


                          Laurel Park - Race #2
                          #7 Off the Record Takes a big drop off a couple of fading efforts, and this easier spot coupled with racing as a first-time gelding might be enough to get him home.
                          #8 Twinstinct Toyed with giving this guy top call here at a big price. That was a useful comeback run with cheaper, and he has plenty of room to come forward off that first run in over a year. Consider.
                          #1 Fugitive Paid dividends immediately off the claim when rolling a special weight group at Charles Town, but these types of CT to Laurel maiden winners are just 1-for-14 in the last few years, and this guy might be overbet. Capable, but worth playing against.
                          Race Summary Off the Record gets into a much easier spot after trying allowance company for quite some time, and his early speed can be much more dangerous with this cheaper crew. Twinstinct is the intriguing price player.
                          Laurel Park - Race #4
                          #4 Fast Master He is a decent fit at this level, and while his form isn't all that sharp, he does occasionally show up with the kind of effort that would be competitive here. He'll get the right kind of trip to see if he can produce it today.
                          #3 Rough Sea Dropper hasn't had a ton of luck lately against better crews, but he is capable of efforts that could score with these, and he'll probably get a bit overlooked.
                          #6 Air Token Chalk is clearly the one to beat after springing an upset in open stakes company last time out. Hard to argue with the current form, but just wondering how long he can sustain it.
                          Race Summary Fast Master isn't all that reliable, but his best game is good enough here, and he's sure to offer a solid price off some even types of efforts.
                          Laurel Park - Race #7
                          #7 Lamplighter Jack Willing to give this guy a pass for the last one when fading in the slop, and the blinkers come off today for this first local try. Thinking his best stuff stacks up here.
                          #3 Royal Number Just missed going two turns with similar last time out, and and while the price gets shorter this time around, he's clearly in the mix with anything similar on the cutback.
                          #6 Hello Hot Rod Easy score with softer last time out, and although there are a couple others in here capable of handling this guy, this Russell barn is doing unbelievable work right now, so he's tough to toss.
                          Race Summary Lamplighter Jack will need a bounce-back effort after a no-show in the slop, but his fast main track races seem competitive with these.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359662

                            #28
                            Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


                            Gulfstream Park - Race #1
                            #9 Bahamian Prince Hasn't been on turf since May, which is unusual since his best races have been on the grass. Returns to the course on which he ran well in 2019 and early this year, with a 2-2-2 record in six starts. Chance at a price.
                            #7 No Nay Maybe Ran to a long lead two back at Monmouth and just got caught late; followed with an easy win in the slop and is back to grass. One to catch.
                            #3 Cool Hand Coop Came on well for third last out and is usually fairly close to the lead; fits well here.
                            Race Summary Bahamian Prince has run very well on the Gulfstream grass and has enough speed to stay in range; set up for a late move.
                            Gulfstream Park - Race #4
                            #2 Missing Link Had a monster five-furlong turf win the last time she ran, and it occurred over this course. After three dirt tries, she was solid in her two since switching to grass.
                            #3 Can't Buy Love Readily backed up in two stakes races and will appreciate the step down to the optional claiming level; likely to be on the front end.
                            #8 Foolish Heart Has won two of three races and had the lead in each; moves over to the turf course and can be a factor from the outside.
                            Race Summary Missing Link moves out of the maiden claiming ranks and probably doesn't have to have an early lead; Fawkes has her well placed.
                            Gulfstream Park - Race #7
                            #9 Valiant Appeal Has been in against much tougher lately and is back to the dirt after a poor run on turf; is up against many that have been at this for a long time and his recent sprints should good enough to make him a big player.
                            #8 Chill Haze Got a clear lead and held on for a sharp maiden score last out; has been improving and can be a force on the front end.
                            #7 Diamonds Enjoy Didn't fire in the slop last time out but had been fairly close in three leading up to that; has been in tough races and should be a strong contender.
                            Race Summary Valiant Appeal drops to his lowest level, returns to the dirt and lands in a good spot for him.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359662

                              #29
                              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)

                              Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred) - Race 6
                              $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $2 Rolling Double $1 Pick Three (Races 6-7-8) / $1 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
                              Claiming $16,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 92 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 2:58P
                              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING, AND STARTER RACES FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED)(ANY RACE AT FIVE FURLONGS OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).
                              Contenders
                              Race Analysis
                              P#
                              Horse
                              Morn
                              Line
                              Accept
                              Odds

                              Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * LUCK'S ROYAL FLUSH: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TORPEDO AWAY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ELECTORAL: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MINOSO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. UNCAPTURED HERO: Horse r anks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                              4
                              LUCK'S ROYAL FLUSH
                              9/2
                              6/1
                              7
                              TORPEDO AWAY
                              8/1
                              7/1
                              6
                              ELECTORAL
                              5/1
                              7/1
                              8
                              MINOSO
                              3/1
                              8/1
                              2
                              UNCAPTURED HERO
                              5/2
                              8/1

                              P#
                              Horse (In Running Style Order)
                              Post
                              Morn
                              Line
                              Running Style
                              Good
                              Class
                              Good
                              Speed
                              Early Figure
                              Finish Figure
                              Platinum
                              Figure
                              2
                              UNCAPTURED HERO
                              2
                              5/2
                              Front-runner
                              84
                              86
                              95.0
                              79.4
                              70.4
                              4
                              LUCK'S ROYAL FLUSH
                              4
                              9/2
                              Front-runner
                              92
                              90
                              91.8
                              81.2
                              76.2
                              1
                              SHOOTIN MONEY
                              1
                              20/1
                              Front-runner
                              85
                              84
                              84.8
                              66.0
                              55.5
                              5
                              CHICO BABY
                              5
                              15/1
                              Stalker
                              85
                              86
                              60.7
                              65.4
                              49.9
                              8
                              MINOSO
                              8
                              3/1
                              Alternator/Stalker
                              93
                              79
                              59.6
                              82.0
                              75.5
                              7
                              TORPEDO AWAY
                              7
                              8/1
                              Trailer
                              95
                              86
                              56.2
                              90.6
                              84.6
                              6
                              ELECTORAL
                              6
                              5/1
                              Trailer
                              94
                              85
                              55.6
                              89.2
                              82.7
                              3
                              CONTINENTAL UNION
                              3
                              15/1
                              Alternator/Non-contender
                              87
                              83
                              47.6
                              76.8
                              62.8
                              9
                              NEXT FLIGHT
                              9
                              6/1
                              Alternator/Non-contender
                              82
                              80
                              40.4
                              62.8
                              47.3
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 359662

                                #30
                                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park



                                Gulfstream Park - Race 6
                                $1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8) $.20 Rainbow Pick 6 (Races 6-11)
                                Maiden Special • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Age 2 CR: 82 • Purse: $40,000 • Post: 2:38P
                                (RAIL AT 120 FEET). FOR STATE BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT SEVEN FURLONGS)
                                Contenders
                                Race Analysis
                                P#
                                Horse
                                Morn
                                Line
                                Accept
                                Odds

                                Race Type: Dominant Stalker. TORETTO is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TORETTO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
                                3
                                TORETTO
                                12/1
                                5/2

                                P#
                                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                                Post
                                Morn
                                Line
                                Running Style
                                Good
                                Class
                                Good
                                Speed
                                Early Figure
                                Finish Figure
                                Platinum
                                Figure
                                4
                                LOYAL LOUIE
                                4
                                10/1
                                Front-runner
                                0
                                0
                                72.0
                                63.5
                                56.0
                                7
                                CHESS'S DREAM
                                7
                                2/1
                                Front-runner
                                79
                                72
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                3
                                TORETTO
                                3
                                12/1
                                Alternator/Stalker
                                69
                                53
                                106.2
                                71.1
                                65.1
                                8
                                CHIPSHAPE
                                8
                                30/1
                                Alternator/Stalker
                                60
                                46
                                26.6
                                28.1
                                16.1
                                10
                                QUINTO SOL
                                10
                                30/1
                                Alternator/Stalker
                                0
                                0
                                22.8
                                18.0
                                4.5
                                6
                                TRIPLE JEOPARDY
                                6
                                6/1
                                Trailer
                                81
                                60
                                27.4
                                54.8
                                48.8
                                9
                                MAGICAL ADVENTURE
                                9
                                20/1
                                Alternator/Non-contender
                                0
                                0
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                Unknown Running Style: SOSOSUBTLE (5/1) [Jockey: Lopez Paco - Trainer: De La Cerda Armando], FRENCH AFFAIR (8/1) [Jockey: Zayas Edgard J - Trainer: Delgado Gustavo], BORKAN (3/1) [Jockey: Gaffalione Tyler - Trainer: Clement Christophe].
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