Sunday 12/13/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6900 Class Rating: 76

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 13 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 DADDY'S ON STRIKE 2/1
# 6 SLICK AS A PIN 5/2
# 3 FINAL PROOF 10/1

I give the nod to DADDY'S ON STRIKE here. Green is trying to win with this horse by bringing him back so quickly. A solid 88 avg class figure may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this field. Reliable average speed figs in dirt route races make this pony a solid contender. SLICK AS A PIN - Garnered a decent speed figure last time out. Austin has this gelding racing well and is a very good selection based on the strong Equibase speed figs earned in route races recently. FINAL PROOF - This gelding obviously likes the distance, going 2 for 13 in his races recently. Has been running strongly lately and ought to be on or close to the lead early on.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Aqueduct - Race #1 - Post: 12:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $32,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#8 LUCKY LINDSEY (ML=6/1)


LUCKY LINDSEY - Ran against the males in her last race on November 13th. Don't throw this horse out due to her last affair at Aqueduct where she ended up seventh in the slop. I look for an improvement today. I believe the addition of blinkers today will help this filly focus her attention on racing.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 CRICK (ML=6/5), #4 WINGS OF FIRE (ML=5/2), #3 EMPRESS LUCIANA (ML=8/1),

CRICK - You always believe this animal has a shot to win, but she fails most every time. This questionable contender ran a somewhat easily forgotten rating last time out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably suffer defeat in today's event running that rating. WINGS OF FIRE - Not a perfect 'spot' in this race. EMPRESS LUCIANA - 8/1 odds isn't enough for this entrant when looking at the most recent showings. Not easy to support any less than sharp equine in a sprint event if she hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last couple months.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#8 LUCKY LINDSEY is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds

12/13/20, FG, Race 6, 3.25 CT
12/13/20,FG,6,1M [Turf About] 1:34:01 CLAIMING. Purse $21,000 (includes up to $4,000 Other Sources) (plus up to $3,000 ALBSS-Accredited LA Bred Slot Supplement). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OVER A MILE ON THE TURF SINCE JUNE 13, 2020. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since November 13 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000, if for $15,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $15,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and 70 Yards.) (Rail at 20 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	1	According to Aspen	9/2	Arrieta F	Tracy Tanner	JFC	198	34.34	1.43/$1
098.4610	5	Herbs Love	4/1	Gilligan J	Keen Dallas E.		139	30.22	1.48/$1
097.4417	7	Chikara	7/2	Murrill M	Calhoun W. Bret		140	32.86	1.55/$1
095.1520	9	North of Eden	5/1	Suarez A	Silva Miguel Angel	W	140	32.86	1.55/$1
094.8858	10	Limage	12/1	Kellenberger K	Mordenti Kathleen M.	S	140	32.86	1.55/$1
093.6013	8	Barbess	6/1	Carroll D	Pish Danny		139	30.22	1.48/$1
093.1272	3	Glamorized	6/1	Pedroza M	Robertson Hugh H.	T	140	32.86	1.55/$1
091.9519	4	Cubs Win	8/1	Beschizza A	Brinkman Brett A.	E	140	32.86	1.55/$1
091.0692	6	Romani	15/1	Saez G	Habeeb Donald J.	L	139	30.22	1.48/$1
090.1691	2	Marrazano	15/1	Hernandez C J	Hodges Jodie		140	32.86	1.55/$1

Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 33.33, ROI 1.59/$1
. . . .
100.0000 1 According to Aspen
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]*2ndHorse98RatingAndTopHorse100Rating
*Scratches may change this condition If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	5	Herbs Love	4/1	Gilligan J	Keen Dallas E.	E	28	39.29	1.31/$1
099.9643	7	Chikara	7/2	Murrill M	Calhoun W. Bret		28	39.29	1.31/$1
098.7224	1	According to Aspen	9/2	Arrieta F	Tracy Tanner	JFC	28	39.29	1.31/$1
097.5658	3	Glamorized	6/1	Pedroza M	Robertson Hugh H.	T	28	39.29	1.31/$1
096.7328	8	Barbess	6/1	Carroll D	Pish Danny		28	39.29	1.31/$1
096.5315	9	North of Eden	5/1	Suarez A	Silva Miguel Angel		28	39.29	1.31/$1
095.5841	4	Cubs Win	8/1	Beschizza A	Brinkman Brett A.		28	39.29	1.31/$1
095.4322	10	Limage	12/1	Kellenberger K	Mordenti Kathleen M.	SW	8	37.50	2.16/$1
095.4155	2	Marrazano	15/1	Hernandez C J	Hodges Jodie		28	39.29	1.31/$1
095.3550	6	Romani	15/1	Saez G	Habeeb Donald J.	L	28	39.29	1.31/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.00, ROI 0.99/$1
. . . .
100.0000 5 Herbs Love
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]ActualPostNotGreaterThan9AndDistanceis1m

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hawthorne

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 88

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 13 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 ANTRIM'S GIANT 8/1
# 12 SPLASH FOR GOLD 4/1
# 1 LEMON BLITZ 6/1

ANTRIM'S GIANT looks formidable to best this field and could score at a price in here. Has formidable Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in here. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses - worth a look. Looks strong for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in dirt route races recently. SPLASH FOR GOLD - Is a key contender - given the 81 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. He has a competitive distance/surface win record - 1 for 3. LEMON BLITZ - He has been running admirably and the speed figures are among the most competitive in this group. Garnered a solid speed rating last time out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 12:55pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#1 FUGITIVE (ML=2/1)
#6 KABOB (ML=10/1)
#2 TOM TERRIFIC (ML=12/1)


FUGITIVE - A winning percentage like 32 is terrific for any jockey/handler duet. This front-runner should be aided by this race's shorter distance. A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a nice race is a good omen. KABOB - This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should race well today. TOM TERRIFIC - This gelding is in nice condition, having run a good race on November 20th, finishing third. The rider/conditioner pair of Whitacre and Serey has a strong return on investment together. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough outings since the vacation and should be fit.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 OFF THE RECORD (ML=5/2), #5 CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY (ML=5/1), #3 WHATS THE CHANCES (ML=6/1),

OFF THE RECORD - Awfully hard to play this horse when he hasn't been showing any signs of readiness of late. CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY - The rating last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this horse as a possibly overvalued equine. WHATS THE CHANCES - This gelding raced very, very well on Nov 21st finishing first, but hasn't even visited the track since then. Not really a good sign. Only knocked off maiden claimers last out. It's going to be very tough for this animal to repeat versus winners.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - FUGITIVE - This colt is stepping up with each race. He has shown a notable points increase in his speed ratings over his last two races.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #1 FUGITIVE on the nose if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,2,6] with [1,2,6] with [1,2,5,6,8] with [1,2,5,6,8] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	[1,2,6] with [1,2,6] with [1,2,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6,8] with [1,2,3,5,6,8] Total Cost: $72