Tuesday 12/15/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 06:12 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #2

#6 Wink and a Nod	Tactical type looks for four in a row after handling similar last time out when leaving the conditioned ranks. Another great trip should be waiting for him, and he'll get the jump on his main threat.
#3 It's the Journey	Rare to see a horse finish so stoutly over this surface in back-to-back races, including one on an off track, so he certainly has to be respected, but the top choice has a big tactical edge on him.
#8 Gold Shark	He hasn't shown much in two races off the claim, but those both came with better company, so there's reason to believe he'll produce something better tonight. Still, I wouldn't be too excited to sign up for any kind of short price on the drop.
Race Summary	Wink and a Nod gets the edge in a competitive race. His form stacks up well with these, and he'll get a great trip from close range. In the gimmicks, also consider #5 I'm a Lawman and #4 Shacklefords Storm

Mountaineer - Race #5

#3 Grand Deal	Not sure if the barn made a minor equipment change or if this guy's form just improved out of nowhere, but his last two seem far better than what anyone else in here is capable of. Given his pedigree, it's also no surprise that he handled the route trip last out, and he's the one to fear late.
#9 Osmi Slew	Has piled up 12 losses already as a 2yo, but he'll stretch out for this one with a forward trip likely in the cards. Toss the muddy try last out and his form looks competitive for underneath spots.
#4 Refuse	Debuts for a capable team, and this isn't a particularly deep bunch to meet at first asking. That said, it's always going to be a decent ask for a 2yo to go long out of the box.
Race Summary	Grand Deal looks capable of outfinishing these, and he just missed with a similar group in his first route try last time out. Any move forward with that race under his belt would make him tough here.

Mountaineer - Race #8

#2 General Direction	This guy might be able to get a decent tracking trip while the forward player do battle early, and the price will be right to find out if this one can potentially fall into his lap in the lane.
#6 Flat Out Prize	Speed may have some company in the early going, but he's fast and just missed with similar in August and brings a bullet work with him in advance of this.
#3 Harper	He has been in with some better groups than he's going to face here, and his only local try produced a 17-length win to clear the previous condition. Respect, but thinking he's going to be an underlay.
Race Summary	General Direction's two-back run at least gets him near the same ballpark as Flat Out Prize and Harper, and the price will be significantly better with the potential for a great trip.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 06:13 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Dayton Raceway - Race #7

#3 VEL CHARLIE	Fanned 5-wide, closed with a rush too late, finished 1-2 in 13 of 21 starts this year.
#5 TINT OF MINT	Blocked and shuffled in last pair, switches pilots, completes exacta.
#7 BIG SEE	Has speed, starts fresh, nearing $100,000 in earnings.
Race Summary	Vel Charlie, unhurried through the opening half mile and 4-deep in the outer flow, rallied widest and fastest in the stretch, missing by ¾ of a length in a five-horse blanket finish. Play a 3-5-ALL trifecta and a 3-5 exacta box.

Northfield Park - Race #3

#1 SHE THE NORTH	Eye-catching move, repelled by the favorite, faces better.
#2 ROBERTS NEW LIFE	Okay try from post 7 last week, even effort in fast heat at this level prior.
#3 ATLANTIC STAR	Yet to recapture 3yo form, summons Merriman in driver merry-go-round.
Race Summary	She The North made a bold, first-over middle move and dueled alongside the winning favorite to the wire. The 3yo steps up in class but should benefit from rail starting spot. Play a 1-2-3 exacta box.

Northfield Park - Race #9

#5 ARMY OF ONE	Took overland route, got up for third, worth the price.
#6 SOUTHWIND TERROR	Second in 1:53.1 off claim, figures up-close throughout.
#4 MARADONA	Rallied to win 3 of his last 4 starts, all at Northfield.
Race Summary	Taking a price shot on Army Of One (15-1), who sustained a 5- and 6-wide rally to finish third against many of the same rivals. Play a 4-5-6 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 06:14 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Mahoning Valley - Race #2

#2 Drunken Love	Tired and was well beaten at Churchill after a maiden win at Presque Isle; fits with these and can battle for the lead throughout.
#1 Hurricane Nation	Was an early maiden win here two back and then showed brief speed in a tough allowance; can run with this group.
#6 Dr Parker	Showed good speed in his last year and probably needed his latest over the strip; could surprise.
Race Summary	Drunken Love has been with tougher runners and can be a serious part of this one from the beginning; his class will help.

Mahoning Valley - Race #4

#1 American Violet	Overwhelmed a maiden group at Belterra in her first run on dirt after three attempts on Indiana Grand grass; races are part of a strong entry and will be difficult to hold off.
#2 Choctaw Bingo	Was clear at the end of an Indiana Grand maiden race in August that came off the turf; she has just that one start and has worked steadily since lately after a little time off.
#4 Assertive Style	Tried Nashville two back in the Nyquist at Keeneland and we know how that turned out; this one also tired in his follow-up at Churchill and will probably revert to the same courage she had when she broke her maiden at Ellis.
Race Summary	American Violet was very sharp in her latest and has the closing move to get past these.

Mahoning Valley - Race #6

#7 Dream Fever	Gets a good pace setup and has the closing move to become a strong player with these; eight-time winner might be overlooked.
#3 Sole Factor	Stepped out of Ohio-bred company and ran a solid second in an open race, and she returns to the same level; in good form and a big player.
#4 Templement	Settled for fifth last time but had won six of seven between June and November. Lost her last two and seeks earlier form.
Race Summary	Dream Fever will follow a good pace and will need a clean trip to get back the pacesetters; could get her first win since June.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 03:46 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 1	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 51 • Purse: $27,500 • Post: 12:45
FOR ACCREDITED OHIO BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. SONGSTOPSHELF is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * FRICKA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. VOLUME BY DAISY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figu re at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1	FRICKA	3/5	8/5
5	VOLUME BY DAISY	7/2	5/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	VOLUME BY DAISY	5	7/2	Alternator/Front-runner	57	21	79.6	19.9	12.4
1	FRICKA	1	3/5	Alternator/Front-runner	57	46	72.4	40.6	38.1
2	SONGSTOPSHELF	2	10/1	Trailer	0	0	16.8	22.5	16.0
3	ZVOLUME	3	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	61.6	14.2	9.2
7	LUCKY DOUBLE D'S	7	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	40.8	15.9	5.9
6	J J'S FANCY	6	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: KITTEN'STINKINRICH (15/1) [Jockey: Correa Yarmarie L - Trainer: Vazquez Ivan].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 03:47 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 6	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $11,220 • Post: 2:20P
FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 15, 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. NATIVE RIVER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * NATIVE RIVER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/ surface. JUSTINS OMEN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. STRUM M B: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6	NATIVE RIVER	5/1	5/2
4	JUSTINS OMEN	5/2	6/1
1	STRUM M B	2/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	NATIVE RIVER	6	5/1	Front-runner	70	65	76.8	57.0	53.5
1	STRUM M B	1	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	63	59	37.0	54.8	48.8
4	JUSTINS OMEN	4	5/2	Trailer	58	64	57.2	60.6	55.6
5	POPPY'S OATS	5	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	59	52	59.6	50.9	43.4
3	REAL EASY	3	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	52	46	51.9	22.6	11.1
2	OKLAHOMA LINE	2	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	69	52	46.0	46.8	39.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 03:48 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Zia Park - Race #9 - Post: 3:06pm - Optional Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating:

#1 ALL AMERICAN HERO (ML=9/2)
#6 FAIR CHALLENGE (ML=6/1)

ALL AMERICAN HERO - You have to really like that most recent race speed rating, 86, which is the best last race speed figure of this group. FAIR CHALLENGE - The jock/trainer tandem of Enriquez and Meza has a strong ROI together. 53-77-80 are last three Equibase speed figs. Improving each time out is something he should do again right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 CONQUEST SMARTEE (ML=3/1), #5 COLORFUL COLORADO (ML=7/2), #3 KRIS WHO (ML=8/1),

CONQUEST SMARTEE - Doubtful for this thoroughbred to make a winning move with no recent success in a short distance event. Hasn't raced or had any workouts since Oct 7th. Not much value on this probable favorite. COLORFUL COLORADO - Notched a run-of-the-mill speed figure in the last race in a $10,000 Claiming race on November 3rd. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that rating. KRIS WHO - This gelding hasn't had any positive results in sprint races in the last sixty days. If today's race shapes up right, all the early speed horses will force a fierce speed battle early. Too bad this animal is one of those front runners.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #1 ALL AMERICAN HERO on top if we're getting at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 03:49 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $20200 Class Rating: 92

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 ARBA 5/1
# 6 FLAT OUT PRIZE 3/1
# 3 HARPER 2/1

I think ARBA is a respectable choice. Balowilliams has this gelding travelling well and is a solid selection based on the competitive speed figs put up in sprint races lately. He should definitely be carefully examined given the very strong speed numbers. Has to be carefully examined in here if only for the quite good Equibase Speed Figure earned in the last contest. FLAT OUT PRIZE - Displays reliable speed figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group of horses. Looks very good versus this field and will almost certainly be one of the front-runners. HARPER - A solid 88 avg class figure may give this colt a distinct class edge against this field. Is worth a close look and may be a bet - strong Speed Figures (71 average) at today's distance and surface recently.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 03:50 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 74

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 15. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 COLD HEARTED PEARL 8/5
# 3 MISDRIVEN 5/2
# 5 THEODOSIA 8/1

I have to consider COLD HEARTED PEARL here. As of late Torres has been sizzling which may give the edge to this mare. Englehart has her trained strongly to break promptly out of the gate. A solid 83 avg class figure may give this mare a distinct class edge against this field. MISDRIVEN - With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Silvera ought to have this mare in excellent position to win the competition. With a very strong 62 Equibase speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this outing. THEODOSIA - Diaz has shown excellent profits (+29 return on investment ) with horses in dirt route events.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 03:51 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #4 - Post: 2:08pm - Allowance - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,200 Class Rating: 76

Rating:

#3 JOYA BRILLANTE (ML=6/1)
#5 ITZAFRIENDSHIPSHOT (ML=8/1)

JOYA BRILLANTE - It looks like Berrios had to be in the know about this filly on October 27th when riding her for the initial time. Back aboard again today. Taking this jockey/handler combination is a good decision. That 76 fig this filly registered in her last clash tells me she's a chief player today. She must like the track here. She just won over the track after shipping in. ITZAFRIENDSHIPSHOT - I like to play this angle, a pony coming back off a good effort within the last 30 days. Based on this filly's recent efforts, she should benefit from today's shorter distance. I cannot ignore the fact that this filly is working extremely well.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ASSERTIVE STYLE (ML=9/5), #2 CHOCTAW BINGO (ML=2/1), #1 WINE ME UP BABY (ML=7/2),

ASSERTIVE STYLE - 9/5 is not priced right for any animal in a sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance affair recently. The speed figs are going downward. I'm not betting this pony off of that trend. CHOCTAW BINGO - Hasn't raced since Aug 5th, probably too long ago to do much this time around. WINE ME UP BABY - No picnic to wager on any steed in a sprint race if she hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple months. Didn't do much last time. Probably won't make an impact in today's race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #3 JOYA BRILLANTE on the win end if we get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 06:05 PM

steve Janus

Dec 15 '20, 8:00 PM in 57m
NCAA-B | Loyola-Chicago vs Wisconsin
Play on: UNDER 138½ -110

1* Free Sharp Play on Loyola-Chicago vs Wisconsin under 138½ -110
The UNDER (138.5) is worth a look in Tuesday's college hoops matchup that has Loyola-Chicago visiting Wisconsin. These are two experienced teams that know how to lock down their opponents. The Ramblers bring back all 5 starters from a 21-win team. Loyola is only allowing 55.0 ppg and play at one of the slowest paces in the country. Wisconsin has 4 starters back from a 21-win team and are one of the best teams in the nation. They are only giving up 59.2 ppg and holding teams to 36% shooting. They play at even slower pace than Loyola-Chicago. This total feels like it should be in the low 120's not pushing 140. Play the UNDER 138.5!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 06:06 PM

Ray Monohan

Dec 15 '20, 8:00 PM in 57m
NCAA-B | Loyola-Chicago vs Wisconsin
Play on: Loyola-Chicago +9 -107 at pinnacle

Loyola-Chicago +9
Grabbing the points here is worth a flyer. Loyola-Chicago is a tough test for this Wisconsin team. They have plenty of talent top to bottom on this roster and can give the Badgers a fight here. Expect them to turn this into a faster played game, which is out of Wisconsin's comfort zone. If they can do that, they can match the defensive intensity and keep this one close throughout.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Tuesday 5* Free CBB ATS Play

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 06:06 PM

ASA

Dec 15 '20, 8:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Georgia Tech vs Florida State
Play on: Georgia Tech +8½ -109 at Draft Kings

#631 ASA FREE PLAY ON Georgia Tech +8.5 over Florida State, Tuesday at 8:30 PM ET
We like GT to be a sneaky good team this year. They began the season losing in 4 OT’s to a very solid Georgia State team (probably the best team in the Sun Belt) and then played poorly 2 days after that energy draining game losing to a surprising Mercer team that is currently 6-0. Since that the Jackets have beaten Kentucky by 17 and won @ Nebraska by 11. They return 5 of their top 6 players from a team that went 17-14 a year ago. They start 4 seniors and a junior so experience is not a problem. Tech closed out last season with some serious momentum winning 9 of their last 12 games and had some impressive wins during the season over UNC, Louisville, and NC State (twice). They have solid offensive and defensive efficiency numbers and like to play slow which will limit possessions here. They also get to the FT line a lot (over 21% of their points come from the line) which is something we like when looking at an underdog. Tech has also had a week off to get ready for this one. Meanwhile, FSU is coming off two huge games beating Indiana in OT last Wednesday and then topping arch rival Florida on Saturday. While we expect the Noles to be very solid this year, they did lose 4 of their top rotation players from last year’s team and this is a very tough spot for them vs an undervalued team in our opinion. The dog has dominated this ACC series covering 21 of the last 30 meetings and we think this one goes to the wire. Take Georgia Tech + the points.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 06:07 PM

Larry Ness

Dec 15 '20, 8:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Georgia Tech vs Florida State
Play on: Florida State -8 -107 at pinnacle

My free play is on Florida St at 7:00 ET.
No. 20 Florida State is 3-0 and looks to continue its home success when it faces 2-2 Georgia Tech on Tuesday night in Tallahassee. It's the ACC opener for both teams.
Gat Tech opened its season 0-2 but comes into this contest off back-to-back wins, an impressive 79-62 neutral-court win over Kentucky and a 75-64 road win at Nebraska.
This is Josh Pastner's fifth season in Atlanta but entered the current season just 65-67, overall. The Yellow Jackets feature FIVE, double-digit scorers. The 6-9 Wright ( (21.3 & 10.) is the team's lone big man of note but he's joined by a strong perimeter group; PG Alvarado (17.8-4.3-4.0) and the 6-5 Devoe (12.5 & 6.) were starters last year, while Parham (13.0) is a VMI transfer the th 6-7 wing Usher (11.0 & 5.8) comes via USC.
Leonard Hamilton is now in his 19th season with FSU and he's been greatly underappreciated (more later). Florida State was 26-5 and poised to make a Final Four run before the postseason was curtailed due to the COVID-19 pandemic but entered this season losing three key players from a team.PG Forrest (11.6-4.4-4.0), SG Vassell (12.7 & 5.1) and 6-7 swingman Williams (9.7 & 4.0) were all chosen in the NBA draft. MJ Walker is back and leads the team in scoring a 17.7 PPG. 6-9 freshman Barnes is averaging 11.3-4.0-5.3, the 7-1 Koprivica has chipped in 10.3 & 5.3, guard Polite 10.) & 5.3) and the 6-8 Gray 8.3 & 7.3
Here's the bottom line. Hamilton has built a championship-caliber program at Florida St, one that has produced the THIRD most victories among ACC schools behind Duke and Virginia since 2016. How many knew that? The Seminoles take the court having won 26 straight at the Donald L. Tucker Center, as well as 68 of its last 71 home games! Throw in that Ga Tech has lost 14 of its last 16 meetings with the Seminoles and I'm laying the points.
Good luck...Larry

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-15-2020, 06:07 PM

Bobby Conn

Dec 15 '20, 9:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Kansas State vs Iowa State
Play on: Kansas State +8½ -110 at 1BetVegas

1* Free Play on Kansas State +8½ -110

Tuesday 12/15/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Tuesday 12/15/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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