Thursday 12/17/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358318

    Thursday 12/17/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358318

    #2
    Jeff Siegel's Gulfstream Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 12/17/20


    December 17, 2020
    Jeff Siegel’s Gulfstream Park Analysis & Wagering Strategies
    Thursday, December 17, 2020

    *

    Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
    *
    The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes.
    *
    *
    Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


    RACE 1: Post: 12:35 ET Grade: B-
    Use: 1-Pretty Rachel; 4-Peachy Queen

    Forecast: Pretty Rachel gets back on dry land after a couple of sloppy track runs at GPW and should appreciate the better footing based on her two previous fast track outings that produced solid runner-up performances. If she leaves cleanly from the rail, the daughter of Dominus should be capable of earning her diploma in this maiden $25,000 sprint for juvenile fillies. That said, Peachy Queen is the likely choice and one to beat. She shows the always-dangerous maiden-to-maiden-claiming class drop, hails from the red-hot D. Gargan barn, and has on her resume a third place finish last summer at Saratoga that would be good enough to beat this field if repeated.
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    RACE 2: Post: 1:04 ET Grade: C
    Use: 2-Gasparilla Blast; 3-Clever Tale; 5-Words of Devine

    Forecast: This restricted (nw-3) $16,000 claiming sprint for fillies and mares looks treacherous. We’ll go three-deep in our rolling exotics but if you find the need to spread even more, go right ahead. Word of Devine may be as good as any; the S. Klesaris-trained filly has hit the board in each of her last four starts and is a prior winner over the local main track. Freshened since early October, she’s run well at this level in the past and projects to enjoy a good pace-stalking trip. Clever Tale drops to her lowest level ever and has back numbers that are better than par for this league. The Churchill Downs invader will be doing her best work from off the pace. Gasparilla Blast crushed a softer (nw-2) $12,500 filed at GPW in mid-October after a nice maiden-claiming win in her previous start over a sloppy surface at Gulfstream Park. With continued improvement against this tougher band, the D. Fawkes-trained filly will be right there.
    *
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    RACE 3: Post: 1:33 ET Grade: X
    Use: 5-Shoug; 7-Princess Coro

    Forecast: This maiden claiming $25,000 grass sprint for older fillies and mares appears to boil down to the two morning line favorites, with Princess Coro getting top billing following three successive runner-up efforts vs. similar on dirt. Her two unplaced runs on grass came against straight maiden foes, so we won’t be too critical, and based on pure speed figures the J. Avila-trained filly should have every chance to graduate. Shoug displayed some promise when finishing a good third in straight maiden company last January, but then disappeared. She returns for a tag – not a sign of confidence – but the R. Nicks barn has strong stats with layoff runners so we’ll assume the daughter of Khozan is live and well-meant.
    *
    *
    RACE 4: Post: 2:03 ET Grade: X
    Use: 2-Patty H; 6-Exact

    Forecast: Exact surfaces in a claimer after three starts but this is realistic class drop after she finished a distant third as a short priced favorite in her last pair. The daughter of Competitive Edge has speed figures that are dropping with each outing but against this maiden $50,000 field from a cozy outside draw the T. Pletcher-trained juvenile appears to have found her friends. Patty H. is another class dropper trying to find her proper level. She’s finished in the frame in three of five outings, and while she certainly must be considered a major player she’s not quite as fast on numbers as our top pick. Both should be included in rolling exotic play in a race that we’ll otherwise pass.
    *
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    RACE 5: Post: 2:36 ET Grade: B-
    Use: 6-Ghostlyprince; 8-Golovkin; 9-Kathern’s Joy

    Forecast: Kathern’s Joy, haltered out of his debut for $25,000 in an off-the-turf sprint at GWP, moves up a level for new trainer J. Lander, removes blinkers, retains P. Lopez, and gets his chance on the lawn in the maiden $35,000 affair for juveniles. The outside post at this seven and one-half furlong trip is a concern, but if the son of Creative Cause can work out a decent trip he’ll be dangerous at 4-1 on the morning line. Ghostlyprince is improving with racing and earned a speed figure that is par for this level when he missed by a neck in a similar affair at GPW last month. Golovkin is a first-time gelding and on that angle alone must be considered in rolling exotic play. This also will be his first start in a claimer and on pure numbers he’s a strong fit, though at 2-1 on the morning line he won’t be offering much value.
    *
    *
    RACE 6: Post: 3:06 ET Grade: B
    Use: 1-Papa’s Little Girl; 5-Bimini; 6-Princess Betty

    Forecast: Princess Betty remains protected in this Florida-bred starter optional claiming miler for fillies and mares, returns to the main track (her preferred surface) and picks up I. Ortiz, Jr. The daughter of Khozan shows a bullet Palm Meadows half mile breeze (:47 flat, fastest of 30) last week and appears on edge for a career top effort. She’s clearly the top pick, but for rolling exotic purposes you may want to also consider, at least as back-ups, the two P. Walder entrants, Papa’s Little Girl and Bimini. The former can be the controlling speed from the rail if she wants to be under P. Lopez and won over this track and distance three races back in gate-to-wire style, while the latter adds blinkers for the first time, gets back on a fast surface and is a three-time winner over the Gulfstream Park main track.
    *
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    RACE 7: Post: 3:37 ET Grade: B
    Use: 2-Arham; 3-Egyptologist; 6-Tonalism

    Forecast: We’re going to try to beat Catch on Emotional in this maiden sprint for older horses, even though the gelding has speed figures that are better than par for this level. Yes, he can win, but the son of Uncaptured, second in his last four starts but a beaten choice in three of those races, simply can’t be trusted. Instead, we’ll triple the race using three hot-shot first-timers and hope that at least one runs to his works. Arham, from the T. Pletcher barn, has looked very good in a.m. drills at Palm Beach Downs and is listed as the 2-1 morning line favorite. The son of Union Rags has outworked everything that has been led up to him; however he acts like a colt that may be suited for more distance. Tonalism has been burning up the track for S. Joseph, Jr., whose stats with debut runners are ordinary, but this colt looks to have some talent even though he, like Arham, may be more comfortable routing than sprinting. Egyptologist, yet another bred to run long but training like he has some speed, hails from the P. Biancone barn (very solid with first-timers) and appears cranked up and ready to go. At 4-1 on the morning line, he’s a “must use.”
    *
    *
    RACE 8: Post: 4:08 ET Grade: B
    Use: 3-Pagliacci; 5-Bad Beat Brian

    Forecast: Pagliacci, freshened since late September, returns to the claiming ranks (but still above his claim level) and seems primed for a major effort following a bullet grass drill around dogs (4f, :48.4b, fastest of 32) at Palm Meadows earlier this month. A two-time winner over the local lawn, the veteran gelding likes to settle and blast home, so with a clean trip and fractions to run at the son of Pioneerof the Nile may be able to tag the speed. Bad Beat Brian returns to his claim level for M. Maker, and while he’s been primarily a middle distance performer throughout his career his only prior grass sprint (at Saratoga) produced a career top speed figure. Under these conditions, we view him as a major threat.
    *
    *
    RACE 9: Post: 4:39 ET Grade: B-
    Use: 2-Prince of Arabia; 5-Yamato; 7-Morning Stride

    Forecast: Here’s an interesting 12-furlong grass marathon for starter’s allowance ($12,500) company that has a number of legitimate possibilities. Morning Stride remains eligible for this type of race, having run for this tag last summer, but the son of Morning Line has improved considerably since then and actually won over this course and distance in emphatic fashion during the summer meeting. Overmatched in the Sycamore S.-G3 at Keeneland in his most recent outing, he’s back to reality today while being reunited with “win rider” H. Berrios. The lightly-raced Yamato is quite intriguing in his first start past a middle distance. The son of Artie Schiller may be the controlling speed, though Starship Aramis may have the same game plan, but at worst he’ll draft into a stalking position and then have every chance in a galloper’s race that should suit him well. Prince of Arabia has won at this distance in the past and was a troubled third behind Morning Stride in a stakes race here last August. He’s always preferred to run second or third than win, but you can throw him in somewhere as a back-up or a saver.
    *
    *
    RACE 10: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: C+
    Use: 1-Superhighway; 2-Purecrazidude; 11-Saint Larned

    Forecast: The finale is a messy bottom-rung main track miler for older horses. At 6-1 on the morning line, Saint Larned may be as good as any. Ensured a trouble-free trio from his cozy outside draw but hailing from a low percentage outfit, the 4-year-old gelding drops to his lowest level ever and returns to dirt, his preferred surface. Both of his career victories were accomplished over the Gulfstream Park main track and he shows better than par speed figures for this level, so at the price we’ll put him on top. Superhighway is ideally suited for this track and distance (first or second in four of five starts under these conditions) and if he can avoid trouble from his rail draw the Quality Road gelding will be the one to beat. Purecrazidude is another with preference to the one-turn mile trip (he’s two-for-three) and should greatly appreciate this drop to the bottom level. At 10-1 on the morning line, he’s worth including on your ticket.
    *
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358318

      #3
      Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


      Laurel Park - Race #5
      #6 Walk Away Joe Gets some class relief out of those starter/optional claiming races, and he was tough when racing for this kind of tag in the past. Big claim on this on the drop.
      #7 Pitching Ari Finished behind the top choice last time out, but his recent running lines have some quality and class to them, and he's a player here if he can bounce back off the last one.
      #1 Boston Light Hit or miss form is a bit of a concern, but two most recent starts have been solid, and he climbs the ladder again off an easy win last time out.
      Race Summary Walk Away Joe drops for this one and may produce something better with this kind than the even tries he has been turning in with better in recent runs.
      Laurel Park - Race #7
      #2 Zeyaraat Drops out of a couple of turf route stakes, and she owns a maiden win over the main track in the debut run. Guessing she can show something better with this softer group.
      #5 Fraudulent Charge Runaway debut winner should be in line for another great trip from a spying spot, but that easy win came in the slop, so it's worth taking it with at least a small grain of salt until she proves it.
      #3 Guns Blazing Posted a nice win in the local debut last time out, and she has been heading in the right direction through three starts. Not impossible right back.
      Race Summary Zeyaraat's debut win on the Parx main was pretty solid, and she was in too tough when going long on the turf in stakes company in recent starts. The 4/1 ML offering would feel more than fair.
      Laurel Park - Race #8
      #1 Queen of Tomorrow Meets a group with a decent bit of pace, so she may be able trip out from the fence while saving some ground behind the early leaders. She might be just a slight touch cheap compared to some of these, so demand the 4/1 ML price.
      #8 Naughty Thoughts Stakes dropper should be tough here, and she has good positional pace to track the early splits. Doesn't hurt the cause that she loves the local footing.
      #9 Halfinthewrapper Riser has had some trouble with this type in the past, but she gets a good draw to flash pace while outside of the other speed. Guessing she'll find one or two of these a bit too tough today.
      Race Summary Queen of Tomorrow can hug the rail and save ground while the pace players line up in front, and something like the 4/1 ML offering would feel fair given the company and a positive race shape.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358318

        #4
        Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


        Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1
        #5 SWANIND FASTLANE Buried lesser, taken to repeat on return to this level.
        #1 WITH OUT A DOUBT Invader appears good fit, but odds-on fave broke stride last out.
        #2 WAYWARD MAN Finished second in 2 of last 3 starts, takes class hike.
        Race Summary Swanind Fastlane drew away from the field as the 3-to-5 favorite back-pedaled in a split race that timed 1-1/5 seconds faster. She is today's Best Bet.
        Dover Downs - Race #1
        #1 TYLER ALBERT Right set-up, right price in class-rising repeat attempt.
        #2 BOMBSHELL HANOVER Two wins, two near misses in last four starts, one to beat.
        #5 JK LUCY CHARMS Made middle move in return, can sustain it in speed-laden field.
        Race Summary Tyler Albert, out and moving mid-backstretch, inhaled the leaders and won going away as the favorite. He meets better foes but gets pace to run at and is worth a longshot stab at 12-1 on the morning line
        Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1
        #9 MAHONE SEELSTER Rallied for 1-2 finishes from post 10 to start career.
        #7 FOX VALLEY BRITZKA Solid local qualifer for first start in three months.
        #4 WILLYWIN Broke stride the last time in town, lures Fillion, price attached.
        Race Summary Race Summary: Mahone Seelster rallied for third behind the geared-down, odds-on winner. He draws another bad post but can overcome it in his third career start.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358318

          #5
          Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


          Gulfstream Park - Race #6
          #4 Dizzy Didn't fire running short last time when she came off a 10-month vacation; can improve in her return.
          #1 Papa's Little Girl Battled for the lead and hung for second going a mile last time; keeps Lopez and can be in a good position from the outset.
          #5 Bimini Does her best running at this distance and drops out of a tougher spot going short; expect improvement here.
          Race Summary Dizzy likes going a mile and this is her second off a layoff; can improve after she was outrun in a sprint.
          Gulfstream Park - Race #8
          #1 Big Drink of Water Off since running in a $250 grander at Mahoning Valley more than a year ago and comes back with a good work pattern. Spent much of the last two years in stakes races.
          #5 Bad Beat Brian Was claimed two back and was outrun in a good race at Belmont; makes his second for Maker and can be in the mix throughout.
          #8 Unprecedented Comes in off a claiming win at Aqueduct broke his maiden her in April; should be close from the start.
          Race Summary Big Drink of Water has a strong class advantage and comes back for Rivelli; his best gets it done here.
          Gulfstream Park - Race #9
          #2 Prince of Arabia Was fifth in the Claiming Crown Jewel and drops to his lowest level; he's been in graded stakes races and can get back to the winner's circle for this price.
          #5 Yamato Just missed at this level two races back and then followed with a fourth in a stakes races; continued improvement makes him a player here.
          #7 Morning Stride Faded in the G3 Sycamore at Keeneland last time and has very good GP form with a handicap win and a Rich Lee Stakes victory. Does well over this course.
          Race Summary Prince of Arabia has done his best running running longer distances and has won at the 1.5 miles of this race.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358318

            #6
            Bob Valentino

            My free play for Thursday in college hoops is for Creighton and St. John's to put the basketball through the hoop enough times for this Big East meeting to land Over the posted price.

            Tonight's meeting features a pair of teams that can score the basketball, as the Blue Jays are averaging 85 points through their first 6 games contested this season and have played Over the total in their last pair of games and 4 of their 6 games overall.

            The Red Storm are averaging 82 points per game for the year and they have been Over the total in 3 of their last 4 games and 6 of their 8 games overall this year.

            It should also be pointed out that BOTH of their regular season series meetings last year before things shut down due to the Coronavirus landed in the Over column.

            Count on this game being one of the higher-scoring college games on the schedule tonight.

            Blue Jays-Red Storm go Over.

            4* CREIGHTON-ST. JOHN'S OVER
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358318

              #7
              Mitchell Newman

              Thursday comp play on Kansas at Texas Tech in hoops.

              Both the Jayhawks and the Red Raiders enter play tonight standing at 6-1 and both come in ranked in the Top-20 in the nation.

              Hey, anytime I see the Jayhawks listed in the underdog role it automatically peaks my gaming interest and tonight is no different.

              Kansas has won the last pair of series meetings and have been the outright winner in 8 of the last 10 showdowns against Texas Tech. This will be just the second time in those last 10 meetings that Bill Self's team has been installed as the underdog. The only other time was in February of 2018 when Rock Chalk won by a basket in Lubbock.

              The Jayhawks are the more proven team to me and they have played the tougher early season schedule with battles against Creighton, Kentucky and Gonzaga on their dance card already.

              Yes, Texas Tech is at home for this game, but without fans in the gym, just how much does home court matter in this contest?

              Not much to me,

              Wrong team is favored here.

              Take KU.

              2* KANSAS
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358318

                #8
                Chris Jordan

                My free winner is for Thursday night in the NFL, as I want you jumping on this number before it dips. And if for some reason you see it uptick from 54.5 points, you ride it all the way up each day.

                Reporters will still in the press box Sunday when Paul Guenther was relieved of his duties as Raiders defensive coordinator. Two straight weeks of allowing more than 200 yards rushing, an almost-loss to the Jets and a home thumping to the Colts - that's no good.

                Now, veteran defensive coach Rod Marinelli is in charge on an interim-basis, but what's more important is there will be change and a bit of motivation from a group that for some reason seemed to be loss in a scheme that had big-name players looking like rookies.

                The Raiders need one loss by Baltimore and three straight wins to end the season, and they're in the playoffs. It's not impossible, but the key is defense. Las Vegas has to improve defensively.

                The Los Angeles Chargers are going to be out for revenge after they lost to the Raiders last month, when Las Vegas' defensive stop on the final play of the game thwarted a touchdown. Los Angeles knows it has to cut Derek Carr's angles down, it has to force the Raiders to use their running game - which has been inconsistent - and it has to limit the big plays.

                All of that is possible considering the Raiders are working off a short week that followed back-to-back road trips into the Eastern time zone. Las Vegas could be just as mentally drained as it will be physically exhausted.

                We might be teasing the 50-point plateau, but something tells me this is going to be a 24-21 affair one way or another.

                Play it low.

                1* UNDER Chargers-Raiders
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358318

                  #9
                  Scott Rickenbach - SOCCER - Thu, Dec 17 at 1:00 PM

                  Scott Rickenbach EPL Free Pick

                  Burnley FC vs Aston Villa

                  Aston Villa -128 (BetOnline)

                  Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Rotation #200150 Thursday Free Pick Aston Villa Money Line (-) vs Burnley @ 1 ET - While I respect the recent defensive display that Burnley has shown - 3 clean sheets in last 5 games - they have struggled to score goals this season. Also, Burnley has particularly struggled on enemy pitch as they have allowed 2 goals per match away from home this season. This is a Burnley team that has only found the back of the net 6 times in 11 matches and only Sheffield United has been worse in terms of goal-scoring in this campaign. As for Aston Villa, they have a positive goal differential of 8 in their 10 games this season. Compare that to a Burnley club which has a negative goal differential of -12 in their 11 games this season. Look for the home side to take the full 3 points in this one in the table as they will capitalize on the attack as Burnley pays for taking too much of a defensive-minded approach and won't be able to match the goal-scoring capabilities of the home club in this one. Free Pick ASTON VILLA
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358318

                    #10
                    Big Al's Free St. Joseph's/Drexel Winner!

                    St. Josephs vs Drexel

                    St. Josephs +2 (-102) (BetAnySports)

                    At 6 pm, our complimentary selection is on the St. Joseph's Hawks + the points over Drexel. In its last game, St. Joe's was blown out, 94-72, by the Kansas Jayhawks, as a 20-point underdog. And it's now 0-2 on the season. This evening, the Hawks will play cross-town rival Drexel, which is 3-2 SU and 3-1 ATS. We'll take the points with St. Joe's, as it's a super 41-14 ATS as an underdog (or PK) off a loss by more than 8 points, if it also failed to cover the spread in that defeat! Take St. Joseph's. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358318

                      #11
                      Brian Bitler - NCAAB - Thu, Dec 17 at 8:00 PM

                      Brian’s 9* CBB Executive Mover

                      San Francisco vs Oregon

                      Oregon -7 (-110) (BookMaker)

                      Last time these two teams met was 2013 and yes these are the game that San Francisco must have if they have any type of tournament aspirations but Oregon also must have these games and they must blow out teams like the Don’s. Love this spot here for Oregon. Oregon is the class of the PAC-12 and they are on track and kicking butts.; San Fran got exposed last time out by Cal sinking a lot of public dog bettors. I have the word from my offshore guys who are all over Oregon here.



                      Ducks are 32-15 ATS in their last 47 games overall.



                      Invest 9 units on Oregon minus all points rotation #798
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358318

                        #12
                        OSKEIM SPORTS' FREE THURSDAY FOOTBALL WINNER

                        Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

                        Los Angeles Chargers +3 (+100) (BetAnySports)

                        Home field advantage in the NFL has been vitiated due to the COVID-19 pandemic. In fact, road team have won 49.3% of games this season, their highest rate since at least 2001. Home favorites are a money-burning 54-70 ATS in 2020. Las Vegas is just 8-21 ATS after allowing 25 or more points in three straight games and 15-32 ATS at home following two or more consecutive against-the-spread defeats.



                        The Raiders are going to be without four defensive starters as defensive end Clelin Ferrell (shoulder), linebacker Nicholas Morrow (concussion), cornerback Damon Arnette (concussion), and safety Johnathan Abram (concussion) will all be sidelined with injuries. The Raiders fired defensive coordinator Paul Guenther following last week's 44-27 loss to Indianapolis and I expect Los Angeles quarterback Justin Herbert to have a career-game under the Thursday Night lights.



                        In Sunday's loss to the Colts, the Raiders defense recorded just one quarterback hit - and no sacks - on Philip Rivers, who was dealing with turf toe. Finally, Las Vegas placed wide receiver Henry Ruggs III, the first receiver selected in last year's NFL draft, was placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list Tuesday and will miss tonight's game. Running back Josh Jacobs is dealing with a sprained right ankle and was largely ineffective in last week's loss, rushing for 49n yards on 13 carries.



                        Grab the points with the Chargers as Oskeim Sports' Free Thursday Night Football Winner.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358318

                          #13
                          Will Rogers - NFL - Thu, Dec 17 at 8:20 PM
                          Will's TOP NFL Free Play!

                          Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

                          Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders Under 53.5 (-109) (BetAnySports)

                          The set-up: These two teams combine to average less than 50 points per game this season. Los Angeles only averages 22.8 PPG this year and over it's last three it's scored 20, 0 and 17 points. LA also has plenty of injury issues on the offensive side of the ball.



                          The pick: The last ten games between these teams have produced an average score of just 42.6 points and I expect a similar final combined number here as well. Consider the "under" on Thursday night.



                          This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the "under."
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358318

                            #14
                            Sean Murphy's Thursday NFL Winner

                            Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

                            Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders Under 53 (-108) (BetAnySports)

                            Thursday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Las Vegas at 8:20 pm et on Thursday.



                            While I'm not expecting a defensive slugfest in this one I do think we'll see a lower-scoring affair than most are anticipating on Thursday night. Neither offense enters this game in peak form. The Chargers eked out a 20-17 win over the Falcons last Sunday and now look to post consecutive wins for the first time this season. They've scored a grand total of 37 points over their last three games. Meanwhile, the Raiders will certainly put an emphasis on cleaning things up defensively after firing defensive coordinator Paul Guenther following last Sunday's blowout loss to the Colts. I'm equally concerned about their offense which simply hasn't looked as efficient since RB Josh Jacobs got hurt (he's back playing but not 100% healthy and suddenly in a running back by committee). Las Vegas will be without rookie burner WR Henry Ruggs on Thursday night after he was placed on the Covid list. While he hasn't put up big numbers this season, he does have the ability to stretch out opposing defenses and his absence will certainly be felt as the Raiders aren't exactly loaded with depth at the wide receiver position. The first meeting between these two teams this season reached 57 points. I don't see this one approaching that number on Thursday night. Take the under (8*).
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358318

                              #15
                              Brandon Siefken

                              Event: (785) St. Josephs at (786) Drexel
                              Sport/League: CBB
                              Date/Time: December 17, 2020 6PM EST
                              Play: Total Over 146.5 (-112)
                              I am 10-2 in my last 12 bets! Get My Thursday College Basketball 2 Pick Pack for only $29.
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                              My numbers have this game total at 153, giving us 6.5 points of value which is good enough for a quarter unit bet. St. Joseph's just scored 70 on powerhouse Kansas, there is no reason to think they can't get 78 here. Drexel is not quite scoring as much, but against lesser competition they are hitting right around the 70 mark and should be in the 73-75 range here. I expect the majority of the points from the SJ side but expect points. Bet a quarter unit over 146.5. If the line moves bet anything 147 or lower.
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