Saturday 12/19/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:28 AM

Kevin Dolan

Event: (201977) Valencia at (201978) Barcelona FC
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: December 19, 2020 10AM EST
Play: Total Under 3.5 (-115)
PLAY: UNDER 3.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:29 AM

Ralph Michaels

Event: (203) Florida State at (204) Wake Forest
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: December 19, 2020 12PM EST
Play: Total Over 66.0 (-110)
free play OVER 66 Florida St/ Wake Forest

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:29 AM

Nick Borrman

Event: Fortuna Sittard at Utrecht
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: December 19, 2020 3PM EST
Play: Utrecht -1.5 (+100)
Netherlands Eredivisie
Looking at the table, both teams have just two wins on the season. Utrecht coming in with a 2-6-3 record and -4 goal differential while Sittard is 2-3-7 with a -13 goal differential. So why do I would we want to lay -1.5 goals on a team with just two wins and a negative goal differential?
Well, all their metrics are still good, in fact, they have the 5th best xG differential in the league at +0.60 per game which is right where you would expect this team to be. Last year, Utrecht had a 12-5-8 record and a +16 goal differential and were sitting 6th in the table when they remainder of the season was cancelled due to the COVID pandemic
Compare that to Sittard who had a 6-8-12 record and a much more telling -23 goal differential and were sitting 16th out of 18 teams in the league.
This year, Sittard is not any better as they are allowing the 2nd most xGA per game at 2.09 and have the third worst xG differential at -1.07. Compare that to the current +0.60 number I mentioned for Utrecht and now you can see why we are seeing this -1.5 line currently.
Utrecht is too good to be held down for too long and eventually their goals will come as they are creating plenty of chances. Sittard is a great team to take advantage of and I’m thinking we finally see their goals start to pour in, or at least enough to cover this number.
TAKE UTRECHT -1.5
Line Parameter: 3% to -1.75, but pay up to -125 to get -1.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:30 AM

Kevin Dolan

Event: (233) UL Lafayette at (234) Coastal Carolina
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: December 19, 2020 3PM EST
Play: UL Lafayette +3.5 (-115)
PLAY: UL LAFAYETTE +3.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:30 AM

Tony Finn

Event: (241) Boise State at (242) San Jose State
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: December 19, 2020 4PM EST
Play: San Jose State +6.5 (-110)
In this 2020 college football fan's orbit if Brent Brennan doesn't receive a mention or look-see as the College Football Coach of the Year, then it is impossible to respect the process that the NCAA uses in capturing the pulse pigskin nation. In terms of Brennan being the Mountain West Coach of the Year, that is a done deal.
The San Jose State program has been as consistent as any team in the nation in terms of being above average, but for the most part, the vanilla texture of the program has made them nearly invisible. The 1-11 2018 Spartans enter Championship Weekend as what I consider the favorites to win the MWC title.
And suppose anyone understands the weightlessness of historic numbers in the football realm as I do, then using the Boise State Broncos perfect 14-0 record as league foes as a handicap foundation. In that case, they need to return to taking their medications.

The San Jose Spartans and their longstanding faithful will be making a road trip to Tucson after Christmas to watch the young men of San Jose, California, take part in the Arizona Bowl on New Year's eve.
Play on San Jose Spartans -6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:30 AM

Teddy Covers

Event: (241) Boise State at (242) San Jose State
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: December 19, 2020 4PM EST
Play: Total Under 55.5 (-110)
Take Boise State – San Jose State UNDER (#241-242)
Brent Brennan’s Spartans have played five games in this abbreviated season. They’ve gone 5-0 to the Under, holding four of their five opponents to 20 points or less, including Nevada’s potent aerial attack last week. QB Nick Starkel has created a handful of big plays, but this offense is more ‘dink and dunk’ than ‘explosive chunk’. Against the two good defenses Boise has faced in 202 – BYU and Wyoming – the Broncos were held to 17 points each time. Their leading rusher is only averaging 3.7 yards per carry and only one pass catcher – Khalil Shakir – has shown consistent, big play potential. Boise hung 52 on this team last year in a wild shootout. I’m expecting the opposite of that on Saturday! Take the UNDER.
Teddy enters the weekend hitting 68% in the NFL over the past seven weeks; delivering consistent profits for himself & his clients! Teddy’s college football is making $$ too, cashing at a 69% clip over the past four weeks! Ride the hot hand & get onboard!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:31 AM

Dwayne Bryant

Event: (237) Tulsa at (238) Cincinnati
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: December 19, 2020 8PM EST
Play: Tulsa +14.5 (-110)
NO PLAY at worse than +14
The Bearcats are undefeated and ranked 9th in the College Football Playoff Rankings. The offense is potent and the defense has allowed just 15 points per game. But I think this line is a tad high. Tulsa's D is allowing just 19.9 points per game. The Golden Hurricanes defense held the potent offenses of SMU, Central Florida, and Oklahoma State to under 27 points each. Against four common AAC opponents this season, Tulsa was +11 points per game and +54 yards per game, while Cincinnati was +23 points per game and +168 yards per game. Yes, Cincinnati is at home for this title game, but these title game home favorites are just 7-7 ATS in the last 14. Tulsa is 5-1 ATS as an AAC dog over the last two seasons, and I like its chances of staying within the number. Play TULSA.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:38 PM

NFL Betting Tips for Week 15: Bet Now or Bet Later
Jason Logan

The Indianapolis Colts offense has picked up the pace, making them one of the top two-way teams in the NFL heading into the home stretch of the season. Books have the Colts as 7-point home chalk versus Houston in Week 15.

When we started this crazy train called the 2020 NFL season, Week 15 was a stop on the schedule we weren’t quite sure we’d make it to. And while the track has bent a few times due to COVID-19 outbreaks, we have officially hit the home stretch.

Regardless of what’s happened along the way – and there’s been plenty – the best NFL betting strategy way back in Week 1 remains the best approach for the Week 15 odds: get the best of the number. To do so, you’ve got to time your NFL picks perfectly.

Here are our NFL betting tips for the best lines to bet now and the best to bet later.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-7): Bet Now

The Colts dismantled the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 14, cruising to a 44-27 victory as 2.5-point road faves in Sin City. Indianapolis’ offense is starting to match strides with its defense (averaging 32.5 points over its last four outings), which is a scary thought for the rest of the AFC.

Oddsmakers pegged the Colts as low as 6-point home chalk on last week’s lookahead lines, but after running over the Raiders and the Texans’ 36-7 tumble in Chicago, Indy officially opened at -7 and this line has already jumped to -7.5 at some sharper books.

The Colts are 9-4 SU and tied with Tennessee atop the AFC South. And with the Titans hosting downtrodden Detroit in Week 15, this homestand versus Houston is a must-win matchup for Frank Reich’s squad. Indianapolis beat the Texans 26-20 in Houston two weeks ago, covering as 3.5-point road chalk, and won’t be sitting at a touchdown much longer for Sunday's clash. Get the Colts at -7 while you can.

Kansas City Chiefs at New Orleans Saints (+4): Bet Later

This spread has already made some serious moves, so if you’re leaning toward New Orleans you might as well wait it out. Books posted Kansas City as low as a 3-point road favorite and that field-goal spread didn’t last long, with money on the visitor powering this spread through the key number to -3.5 and eventually landing on -4 as of Sunday night.

Granted, the Chiefs didn’t look great in their win over the Miami Dolphins, first spotting the Fins 10 points out of the gates then blowing a 30-10 lead, to the dismay of K.C. bettors laying -7.5. The Chiefs allowed 17 points in the fourth quarter and squeezed out a 33-27 victory at Hard Rock Stadium. But at least they didn’t lose to the Eagles.

Nothing piles on the points like losing to a lowly NFC East team, as well as a rookie quarterback making his first start. The Saints played a sloppy game in Philadelphia and fell 24-21 as 7.5-point road faves. New Orleans was hoping to have Drew Brees back for this potential Super Bowl preview, but it doesn’t look like the veteran gunslinger is healthy enough. That’s too bad, because this Taysom Hill-lead offense has looked flat the past two weeks and isn’t ready for a shootout with Patrick Mahomes & Co.

With the spread at K.C. -4, it won’t take much more action to move this line and move it quickly. Bookmakers are hasty to adjust through dead numbers (margins of victory that don’t occur often) and if the public piles on the Chiefs, I could see this sitting -5 or maybe even -5.5 by gameday. If you like NOLA, hold off and see how high this will go.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (Under 51.5): Bet Now

Neither offense is setting the scoreboard ablaze the past month, with the Tampa Toms averaging less than 25 points over the past three outings and Matt Ryan and the Falcons floundering for scores of nine, 16 and 17 points in three of their past four contests.

But, on the other side of the ball, Tampa Bay and Atlanta have held more than their own. The Buccaneers defense has limited foes to only 22.6 points per game on the season while Atlanta has flexed its defensive muscles since canning Dan Quinn in mid-October, giving up an average of just over 20 points per game over its last eight appearances.

These NFC South rivals have yet to play each other in 2020, with Sunday marking the first of two meetings in the final three weeks of the schedule. This Over/Under opened 51.5 and the vig on the Under is starting to climb to -115 at most books, with select markets already dropping to 51 points. If you plan to plunder the Under, get all the points you can now.

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (Over 47): Bet Later

The total for this NFC North contest opened at 47 points and is already ticking downward with the number getting as low as 46 at some books Sunday night. Truthfully, this is a tough total to tackle in Week 15 with the Bears' production about as easy to plot as a drunken stumble home from the bar (if bars were still a thing. Thanks COVID... you dick).

Chicago unleashed 36 points on Houston in Week 14, a week removed from a 30-point showing against Detroit. In fact, over the past three games, the Bears have scored more points (91) than they did in the previous five games combined (86), including a 19-13 loss to Minnesota that stayed Under 44.5 points in Week 10. Glad to see that Nick Foles money going to good use. Yeesh.

The Vikings were tripped up in Tampa this past Sunday, starting out strong but watching kicker Dan Bailey botch kick after kick, which sucked all the energy out of the Minnesota offense. The Vikes are in dire need of a victory to stay in the postseason picture and score plenty of points on the fast indoor turf of U.S. Bank Stadium (29.1 points per home game). The Over/Under trends between these divisional foes scream Under (3-6 O/U last nine meetings) but if you’re into bucking the trends and taking the Over, be patient and see if this dips below 46 points.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:39 PM

Hot & Not Report - Week 15
Matt Blunt

Week 15 NFL Betting Angles

Fifteen weeks into the NFL season and I'm getting excited for this regular season to conclude, if for no other reason then it's getting harder and harder to find significant and actionable patterns in all the raw data each week to craft this piece.

Streaks and runs that I've brought up in the recent past all eventually come to an end – fading the highest-scoring team over their past three games and backing the lowest-scoring team in their past three games went 0-2 ATS on Sunday (fade Tennessee, back Cincinnati) – which was to be expected from someone like me who believes riding streaks in this industry is flawed to begin with.

Those same two teams – Tennessee and Cincinnati – enter Week 15 in those same roles (fade Tennessee, play on Cincinnati) in the PPG over the last three situations.

But riding streaks is still a popular way to approach handicapping games, so this week's piece is for all the streak chasers out there that may prefer to use this year's data only.

It's actionable enough for this week for a few specific games, but as always, should only be used as support – if they so choose - for one's overall argument in why to back a team.

The following information also suggests the limitations there are with riding streaks from a pure numbers standpoint in oddsmakers adjusting spreads (and totals), so keep that in mind as well.

Hopefully I can continue to find the patterns in the raw data these next two weeks, but for Week 15, let's go with this:

Who's Hot

-- The Philadelphia Eagles have never won two straight games ATS in 2020
-- The New York Giants and Miami Dolphins have not lost two straight games ATS in 2020

Thanks to the Dolphins late comeback and squeaking through the back door against Kansas City on Sunday, they actually aren't applicable in Week 15, but after the Eagles won and covered against New Orleans, and the Giants lost both SU and ATS to Arizona, we've now got those two NFC East teams in roles of fade and play on in Week 15.

Fading the Eagles means that backing the Arizona Cardinals – the team to just beat NYG – as favorites of around a TD currently would make the card.

Who Could You Follow in Week 15?

New York Giants
Arizona Cardinals

Based on what we've seen last, going against the underdog Eagles will be tough for some to stomach given they looked like a team that was completely rejuvenated with the quarterback switch they made handing things over to rookie Jalen Hurts.

Hurts and the Eagles offense did a lot of things that worked against one of the league's top defenses on Sunday, and now they get to face a Cardinals team that's got a defense that's a huge step back (statistically) then what the Eagles saw from New Orleans.

Interestingly enough, another Hurts start this week pits the last two Oklahoma Sooners QB's against one another, the second time in their young careers that Hurts and Kyler Murray will share a field with one another.

The first came back in the 2018 College Football Playoff semifinal game between Oklahoma and Alabama, when Hurts was the backup QB for Alabama in a 45-34 win by the Crimson Tide.

Hurts will throw more than one pass attempt this time around though, but at the same time, you can't take a whole lot away from Arizona and how thoroughly they dominated the Giants. That same New York team that is 1-1 SU (2-0 ATS) and probably should have swept the season series with Philadelphia.

The Eagles are a different team now with the QB switch, but it's still a rookie QB making his first career road start, historically a bad situation for backing said rookies.

But as has been the case in 2020, rookie QB's making their first road start has completely flipped (4-0 ATS) - thanks to no screaming fans - as there has been a 35-30 loss (but ATS win) for Joe Burrow in Cincinnati @ Cleveland, a 34-31 SU win (and ATS win) for Tua Tagovailoa and Miami @ this same Arizona Cardinals team, a 38-31 SU loss (but ATS win) for Justin Herbert and LAC @ Tampa Bay, and a 24-20 SU loss (but ATS win) for Jake Luton and Jacksonville vs Green Bay.

So pick which streak you want to side with there.

Backing the New York Giants this week means that you'll be taking points with them at home vs Cleveland on Sunday Night Football, a line that will undoubtedly react to whatever the Browns performance on Monday Night Football turns out to be. As of this writing – three hours before MNF – New York is catching +3.5 most places as the home 'dog there, a number that likely won't drop too much further should Cleveland put up a stinker vs Baltimore, but one that will surely grow should the Browns go out and win convincingly on MNF.

It's the second straight week in this piece that the suggestion has been to go against Cleveland, so it will be interesting to see how that plays out. The Cleveland Browns as a “hunted” team is such a new concept to wrap your head around this year after so many years of futility, and yet, even in situations that have nothing to directly do with Cleveland, we can still find positive situations for their opponent to suggest fading Cleveland like the popular choice has been for years. That's got to feel like par for the course for Browns fans.

My apologies.

Who's Not

No NFL team this year has had an ATS winning streak of longer than 5 games

So you want to subscribe to riding ATS streaks huh?

Well, what if I told you that only 10 of the 32 teams this year have had losing ATS streaks of more than three games?

What about winning ATS streaks of more than three games only happening for 10 of the 32 NFL teams as well?

Sure, every game and team should be taken under their own consideration and merits, but this year in the NFL, good and bad ATS runs seem to get capped out at three games. The worst of those was Dallas starting 0-8 ATS, with a six-game losing streak against the number for the L.A. Chargers and N.Y. Jets coming in a close 2nd.

The other two teams to go on five-game losing ATS runs – Arizona and Jacksonville – each covered the number the following week (Arizona was this past week vs Giants), and interestingly enough, it's the Kansas City Chiefs who are next up in Week 15 having dropped their last five against the number.

Who Could You Fade in Week 15?

Buffalo Bills

The Chiefs visit New Orleans on SNF which you know will be hyped up in those awful ways I mentioned last week, but this is not about finding an outside-of-the-box reason to back a KC team that looks to be the best in football.

It's about fading the one team that comes into Week 15 on a 5-0 ATS run currently; the Buffalo Bills.

Only WWE commissioner Vince McMahon has a bigger annual budget for breakable tables than "Bills Mafia" members do, although that could have changed with how flush Bills backers bankrolls are right now having gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS their last five games, the lone loss coming on Kyler Murray's walk-off Hail Mary a few weeks back in the desert.

Buffalo's got a quicker turnaround this week with a Saturday date in Denver against the Broncos, and off their SNF win over Pittsburgh, an opening number of Buffalo -5.5 has already jumped a full point. Buffalo is also the 4th NFL team this year to have a shot at covering the spread in six consecutive games, with Pittsburgh (-14 chalk vs Dallas), Miami (-4 chalk vs Denver), and New Orleans (-7.5 chalk vs Philadelphia) all failing in their previous bids to cover six in a row.

Finally, it's interesting to see the Denver Broncos already responsible for stopping one of those previous five-game ATS streaks as a home underdog against another AFC East franchise.

Hard not to have the saying “history always repeats itself” come to mind there. Four of the five Bills games during this streak have had them close in the +/- 3 range, with the home game against the Chargers seeing Buffalo close at -4.5.

So how many points is too many here?

One more note, Washington enters Week 15 on a four-game ATS run, so keep an eye on what they do in Week 15 as home dogs vs Seattle.

Another ATS victory there would put Washington in this fade role in Week 16 when they host Carolina.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:40 PM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 15

Saturday, December 19

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CAROLINA (4 - 9) at GREEN BAY (10 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 121-87 ATS (+25.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 100-73 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 205-149 ATS (+41.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 73-47 ATS (+21.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CAROLINA is 128-96 ATS (+22.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (10 - 3) at DENVER (5 - 8) - 12/19/2020, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:40 PM

NFL

Week 15

Trend Report

Saturday, December 19

Buffalo @ Denver
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games at home

Carolina @ Green Bay
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay
Green Bay is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games when playing Carolina

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:41 PM

343CAROLINA -344 GREEN BAY
CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored in the last 3 seasons.

345BUFFALO -346 DENVER
DENVER is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:54 PM

NFL Week 15 Injuries, Weather
Patrick Everson

Washington quarterback Alex Smith suffered a strained calf and sat out the second half of a win over the 49ers. His Week 15 status is uncertain, and WFT quickly moved from +3.5 to +5 against Seattle.

NFL Week 14 wrapped up on time Monday night, and it's on to NFL Week 15 odds, with several betting factors already in play. That includes the typical injury information, including Washington potentially being without quarterback Alex Smith and running back Antonio Gibson.

Week 15 Injuries

Washington Football Team: Quarterback Alex Smith suffered a strained calf in the first half of Washington's win over San Francisco and sat out the second half. His status is uncertain Sunday at home against Seattle, as is the status of running back Antonio Gibson (turf toe), who didn't play against the 49ers. The SuperBook opened WFT +3.5, and that number shot to +4.5 Sunday night and to +5 Monday morning. The total opened at 43 and ticked up to 43.5 Monday.

Carolina Panthers: Running back Christian McCaffrey couldn't make Week 14, but it looks as if he'll be on the field for a Saturday night game at Green Bay. McCaffrey was set to return from a shoulder injury last week, then suffered a thigh injury in practice. Carolina opened +9 at The SuperBook on Sunday evening and moved to +8.5 Monday morning.

Detroit Lions: Quarterback Matthew Stafford hurt his ribs late in a Week 14 home loss to Green Bay, and his status for a Week 15 Sunday tilt at Tennessee won't be determined until later in the week. As such, the Lions-Titans game is off the board Monday at The SuperBook.

Miami Dolphins: Wideouts DeVante Parker (leg) and Jakeem Grant (hamstring), and tight end Mike Gesicki (shoulder) all got hurt in Sunday's loss to Kansas City. As of Monday, the status for all three is uncertain, with Grant appearing the least likely to play in Sunday's home game against New England. The early line movement at The SuperBook helped reflect that, as the Dolphins opened -3 and dipped to -2.5 Sunday night. The total dropped 1.5 points by Monday afternoon, to 41.

Philadelphia Eagles: Philly has a cluster of injuries in the defensive backfield. Safety Rodney McLeod (torn ACL) is done for the year, and cornerbacks Darius Slay (concussion protocol) and Avonte Maddox (knee) are uncertain for Sunday's game at Arizona. The Eagles opened +5.5 at The SuperBook and were already up to +6.5 Monday.

Week 15 Weather

Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers: There's a 30 percent chance of snow early in the day, ahead of this Saturday night contest. The main issue noted in the early forecast will simply be that it's chilly during the game, with temperatures in the upper 20s and light winds of 5-10 mph.
Week 15 Consensus

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:55 PM

NFL

Week 15

Saturday’s games
Panthers (4-9) @ Green Bay (10-3)
— Carolina lost seven of its last eight games; they covered 3 of last 5.
— Panthers are 4-9 despite a +5 turnover ratio.
— Panthers covered their last five games as road underdogs.
— Carolina is 0-9 when they allow 23+ points, 4-0 when they allow 21 or fewer.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.
— Last three weeks, Panthers outscored opponents 53-37 in second half.
— Carolina is 1-5 this year in games decided by 5 or fewer points.

— Green Bay won five of last six games, scoring 32.8 ppg in last four.
— Packers scored 30+ points in nine of their wins; 10-22-31 points in losses.
— Green Bay converted 76-153 third down plays (49.7%)
— Packers are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games as a road favorite, 4-2 TY.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten Green Bay games.
— Packers were outscored in 2nd half in 8 of their last 10 games.

— Home side won last four series games.
— Teams split last eight games overall.
— Panthers lost five of last seven visits to Lambeau; they lost 24-16 there LY.

Bills (10-3) @ Denver (5-8)
— Buffalo won six of its last seven games, covered last five.
— Bills outscored last five opponents 83-39 in first half.
— Buffalo has a 2-game lead over Miami in the AFC East.
— Bills scored 24+ points in nine of their ten wins; 16-17-30 in their losses.
— Buffalo is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite, 1-3 TY.
— Over is 9-4 in their games this season.

— Denver lost six of last eight games, covered three of last four.
— Denver is 2-4 SU at home, giving up 34.7 ppg in last three home tilts.
— Broncos are 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as home dogs, 3-3 TY.
— Denver turned ball over 18 times (-11) in their last eight games.
— Four of their six home games stayed under total.
— Denver K McManus tested positive for COVID Monday, is a ?? here.

— Buffalo won four of last five series games.
— Bills lost three of last four visits to Denver, with last visit in 2014.

Saturday 12/19/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Saturday 12/19/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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