Saturday 12/19/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Wayne Root - NCAAB - Sat, Dec 19 at 2:00 PM
Take North Carolina

North Carolina vs Kentucky

North Carolina -3.5 (-110) (BetOnline)

Kentucky takes on No. 21 North Carolina from Cleveland in a battle of traditional powers at the CBS Sports Classic. Kentucky was a top-20 team to start the season, but with five new starters, John Calipari knew things might not go so smoothly. These two teams have similar issues, but Kentucky has one more problem than North Carolina. Well, make that two since they are on a four-game losing streak. UNC has the size to match up with Saar and should neutralize the Wildcats on the boards. Right now, the Tar Heels are the better team.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Sports - NCAAF - Sat, Dec 19 at 3:00 PM
POWER'S FREE AIR FORCE-ARMY WINNER

Air Force vs Army
Army +2.5 (-103) (BetOnline)

1* Army (3:00 ET) - Don't understand this line, other than Army is off the Navy game (they won 15-0) while Air Force is off a bye. But as we've seen throughout 2020, these bye weeks aren't always a positive thing. Army is the better team here, and playing at home where they're 7-0 SU this season (5-2 ATS). Air Force's win over Navy was much larger than 15-0, but that game wasn't played in poor weather conditions like the Army-Navy game was. The Black Knights shouldn't be getting points here. C-in-C Trophy heads back to West Point. 1* Army

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 4	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Maiden Claiming $20,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 56 • Purse: $16,575 • Post: 8:31P
FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $15,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. CREDIT CARD FRAUD is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CREDIT CARD FRAUD: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the d istance/surface. SATIN FINISH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. EXCETERA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in a verage Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3	CREDIT CARD FRAUD	3/1	7/2
6	SATIN FINISH	9/2	5/1
5	EXCETERA	4/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	CREDIT CARD FRAUD	3	3/1	Front-runner	66	57	59.0	49.8	45.8
6	SATIN FINISH	6	9/2	Front-runner	55	52	46.5	49.3	44.3
5	EXCETERA	5	4/1	Front-runner	59	47	43.7	44.7	37.7
2	SWEET SMOKIN GAL	2	8/1	Stalker	50	45	49.5	42.8	32.3
4	EURO BELLE	4	7/2	Trailer	59	51	48.3	48.3	44.3
7	GOSPEL TIZ JOY	7	5/1	Trailer	48	42	13.3	39.8	27.3
1	TRULY CLASSIC	1	20/1	Trailer	49	28	4.0	26.8	13.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)

Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred) - Race 3	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $2 Rolling Double $1 Pick Three (Races 3-4-5)
Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 82 • Purse: $42,000 • Post: 12:58
FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. GALLANT GUY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GALLANT GUY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surf ace. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. GORDY'S BOY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Eq uibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7	GALLANT GUY	6/1	3/2
8	GORDY'S BOY	7/2	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	GALLANT GUY	6	6/1	Front-runner	74	67	66.8	63.9	60.4
5	PROUD MUSKET	4	20/1	Alternator/Front-runner	88	38	34.4	31.5	26.0
8	GORDY'S BOY	7	7/2	Trailer	90	82	0.0	28.4	25.4

Unknown Running Style: VA VA VEGAS (5/2) [Jockey: Van Dyke Drayden - Trainer: Baffert Bob], BRAVESTONE (20/1) [Jockey: Payeras Edgar - Trainer: Rosales Richard], PLAYING HARDBALL (6/1) [Jockey: Cedillo Abel - Trainer: Bonde Jeff], RUN KING STUD RUN (

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turfway Park - Race #8 - Post: 9:44pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 66

Rating:

#1 OAK ROOM (ML=7/5)


OAK ROOM - Maker drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more handicapping data to think this thoroughbred should have a chance to win at this level. This equine is number one in (EPS) earnings per start. He looks good in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 KOBE BEACH (ML=5/1), #6 STRIKE NOW (ML=5/1), #8 DETECTIVE (ML=6/1),

KOBE BEACH - Can't bet on this pony in today's sprint of 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a sprint event recently. This animal didn't show any early speed in the last event. Now he is trying a sprint. Tough chance at the shorter distance. This colt recorded a speed rating in his last affair which likely isn't good enough in today's race. STRIKE NOW - I'd like to see more hospitable recent efforts with morning line odds of 5/1. DETECTIVE - Can't wager on this vulnerable equine in today's sprint of 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint event recently. Poor early position in the early stages of the last route event will probably make it tough to make an impact today in this sprint race. Somewhat easily forgotten speed fig in the last race at Churchill Downs at 1 1/16 miles. Don't feel this mount will improve too much in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #1 OAK ROOM on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with 6
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds

12/19/20, FG, Race 13, 5.50 CT
12/19/20,FG,13,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:42:00 STAKES. Tenacious Stakes. Purse $75,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Free nomination by Saturday, December 5. $375 to enter; $375 additional to start. Supplemental nominations of $1,500 will be accepted at time of entry which shall include all fees. $75,000 Guaranteed of which 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 4% to fourth, 2% to fifth and 1% to finishers sixth through ninth. Any unpaid purse monies will revert to the winner. Weights: Three Year Old - 121 lbs; Older - 124 lbs. Non-winners of $65,000 at a mile or over since October 19 allowed 2 lbs, $55,000 at a mile or over since September 19 allowed 4 lbs, $45,000 at a mile or over since then allowed 6 lbs. Starters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing. The Tenacious Stakes will be limited to fourteen (14) starters. Preference will be given in the following manner: graded or group winners in order (I, II, III), then highest lifetime earnings. Any horse excluded from running because of the aforementioned preference shall be refunded the entry fee or supplementary nomination fee if applicable. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Nominations Closed Saturday, December 5, 2020 with 22.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	6	Maxfield	8/5	Geroux F	Walsh Brendan P.	FEC	632	31.80	1.13/$1
099.3536	5	Sonneman	3/1	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.		632	31.80	1.13/$1
098.1472	4	Mocito Rojo	8/1	Gilligan J	Wilson Shane	T	632	31.80	1.13/$1
097.4875	3	Captivating Moon	9/2	Hernandez. Jr. B J	Block Chris M.	W	632	31.80	1.13/$1
097.0991	2	Locally Owned	5/1	Mena M	Stall. Jr. Albert M.		632	31.80	1.13/$1
096.4761	7	Dinar	12/1	Bridgmohan S	DeVaux Cherie	JS	632	31.80	1.13/$1
095.4716	1	Cool Bobby	12/1	Graham J	DeVaux Cherie	L	626	32.43	1.12/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.75, ROI 0.95/$1
. . . .
100.0000 6 Maxfield
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]*NotActualPost1
*Scratches may change this condition

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 76

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 1, 2020 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF RACES ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 ROARING FORK 2/1
# 7 LET ME RUN 9/2
# 2 COLOSAL 10/1

ROARING FORK is the best wager in this race. Could provide positive profits based on strong recent Speed Figures with an average of 75. Earned a formidable Equibase Speed Fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. Has a very strong shot here if you like back class. LET ME RUN - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look very good in this contest. Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. COLOSAL - Ought to compete strongly in the pace contest which bodes well with this field. Should definitely be carefully examined in this event if only for the solid speed figure recorded in the last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $29000 Class Rating: 77

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 HOUDINI'S AWESOME 7/2
# 2 EL AFORTUNADO 9/2
# 8 MISTA DONZELLA 12/1

My pick for this race is HOUDINI'S AWESOME. Had one of the strongest speed figures of this group of horses in his last contest. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group lately. Lopez has an excellent ROI over the past 30 days (+2) which should help players with this pick. EL AFORTUNADO - The speed figure of 71 from his last race looks decent in here. Earning some nice money in turf route events. MISTA DONZELLA - Could best this field here, showing respectable figures of late.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Hawthorne - Race #2 - Post: 1:25pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#5 NEXT MONDAY (ML=3/1)


NEXT MONDAY - This gelding is in good physical condition. Finished second on November 28th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 RECKLESSNESS (ML=7/2), #6 CLOUD TO GROUND (ML=4/1), #4 YOU'RE IN COREY (ML=5/1),

RECKLESSNESS - Will be tough for this mount to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put him on the questionable challengers list. CLOUD TO GROUND - A pattern of declining speed ratings 78/75/45 for this pony. You believe this animal is going to finish first just because he's always close. Just doesn't win often. Could be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the likely underpriced contenders list. YOU'RE IN COREY - Will not be easy for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the possibly overvalued equines list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 NEXT MONDAY to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	5 with 8
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, December 19

Butler vs Indiana
Butler (1-1)
— ranked #64 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #224
— Continuity: #239
— Butler beat Western Michigan by 4, lost by 19 at Villanova.
— There were three weeks between the two games.
— Butler’s two opponents made 19-41 on arc (46.3%).

Indiana (4-2)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #235
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #85
— Hoosiers split their four top 100 games.
— Indiana has #18 eFG% defense in country.
— Hoosiers start conference play Wednesday vs Northwestern.

— These teams split last four meetings, played every other year.

Gonzaga vs Iowa (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
Gonzaga (3-0)
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #11
— Experience: #212
— Continuity: #158
— Zags haven’t played in 17 days.
— Gonzaga has beaten three top 75 teams, two top 10 teams.
— Zags are shooting 65.3% inside arc (#2).

Iowa (6-0)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #31
— Experience: #240
— Continuity: #56
— Iowa has two top 100 wins, but has played schedule #282.
— Hawkeyes score lot of points (100.7 ppg)
— Iowa beat North Carolina 93-80, Iowa State 105-77.

Louisville @ Wisconsin
Louisville (4-0)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #280
— Experience: #314
— Continuity: #308
— Louisville hasn’t played in 18 days.
— Cardinals have top 100 wins over Seton Hall, Western Kentucky.
— This is a young team’s first game away from home.

Wisconsin (5-1)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #31
— Continuity: #20
— Badgers’ one loss was by hoop at Marquette.
— Wisconsin has top 100 wins over Rhode Island, Loyola Chi
— Badgers are making 39.7% of their 3’s (#28)

Wright State @ Detroit
Wright State (2-1)
— ranked #103 by KenPom
— Tempo: #84
— Experience: #276
— Continuity: #77
— Wright State won its first road game by 18 at Bowling Green.
— All three of their games were decided by 16+ points.
— Wright State won both its games vs teams outside top 100.

Detroit (1-3)
— ranked #199 by KenPom
— Tempo: #126
— Experience: #3
— Continuity: #234
— Two of Detroit’s three losses are to top 80 teams.
— Titans lost only home game, 80-66 to Kent State.
— Detroit it shooting only 28.9% of its 3’s (#255).

— Wright won last three series games, by 12-1-23 points.

Western Kentucky @ Alabama
Western Kentucky (5-2)
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #211
— Experience: #36
— Continuity: #101
— Hilltoppers’ two losses are to top 25 teams (West Va/Louisville)
— WKU has three top 100 wins (No Iowa, Memphis, Rhode Island)
— WKU’s opponents are shooting 44.7% on arc (#313).

Alabama (4-2)
— ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #23
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #151
— Alabama split its four top 100 games, losing to Stanford, Clemson
— Crimson Tide scored 64-56 points in its losses, 80+ in its wins.
— Alabama takes 46.8% of its shots on arc, but is making only 29.7% (#240).

North Carolina vs Kentucky (@ Cleveland)
North Carolina (4-2)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #92
— Experience: #305
— Continuity: #144
— UNC is 1-2 in top 100 games, losing 69-67 to Texas, 93-80 at Iowa.
— Tar Heels are turning ball over 22.8% of time (#267)
— Carolina’s best win is 67-63 over Stanford.

Kentucky (1-4)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #176
— Experience: #320
— Continuity: #320
— Kentucky lost its last four games, all to top 80 teams.
— Wildcats are turning ball over 23.8% of time (#284)
— Kentucky is shooting 24.4% on arc (#296).

— Kentucky won last meeting 80-72, two years ago.

Ole Miss @ Dayton
Ole Miss (4-0)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #250
— Experience: #90
— Continuity: #207
— Ole Miss is 4-0 vs schedule #292; Middle Tennessee was their one road game.
— Rebels are forcing turnovers 30.2% of time (#4).
— Ole Miss is shooting 24% on the arc (#301).

Dayton (3-1)
— ranked #61 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #13
— Continuity: #156
— Dayton’s two top 100 games were decided by total of 5 points.
— Flyers are turning ball over 25.9% of time (#306)
— All three Dayton wins were by six or fewer points.

Purdue vs Notre Dame (@ Indianapolis)
Purdue (5-2)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #266
— Experience: #303
— Continuity: #146
— Purdue is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Clemson (81-70), Miami (58-54).
— Boilers beat Ohio State in their conference opener Wednesday.
— Purdue is turning ball over 22.6% of time (#258)

Notre Dame (2-3)
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #302
— Experience: #69
— Continuity: #11
— Notre Dame has played schedule #12 (four top 40 teams)
— ND lost its last game by 10 at home to Duke on Wednesday.
— Notre Dame is shooting 41.8% on the arc (#13).

— Notre Dame won last meeting 88-80, two years ago.

Baylor @ Kansas State
Baylor (4-0)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #252
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #46
— Baylor hasn’t played a game in ten days.
— Bears have scored 90.8 ppg vs schedule #98
— Baylor is forcing turnovers 27.1% of time (#12)

Kansas State (3-4, 1-0)
— ranked #147 by KenPom
— Tempo: #345
— Experience: #307
— Continuity: #251
— K-State won its last two games, after a 1-4 start.
— Wildcats changed their lineup after losing to a D-II team.
— K-State’s defensive eFG% is #284 in country.

— Baylor beat K-State twice LY, by 19-6 points.

UCLA vs Ohio State (@ Cleveland)
UCLA (5-1)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #344
— Experience: #192
— Continuity: #2
— Bruins won last five games after an opening loss at San Diego State.
— UCLA’s only top 100 win was by 9 over Marquette.
— Bruins’ defensive eFG% is #81 in country.

Ohio State (5-1)
— ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #318
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #139
— Buckeyes just lost their Big 14 opener at Purdue.
— Ohio State has played schedule #218; their best win is over #78 Notre Dame.
— Buckeyes are forcing turnovers 22% of time (#81).

Colorado State @ Saint Mary’s
Colorado State (2-0)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #147
— Experience: #298
— Continuity: #45
— CSU won its first D-I game by 39 over Northern Arizona.
— Rams start three sophs, two juniors (#298 experience)
— State is stepping up in class here; Gaels have already played 8 games.

Saint Mary’s (7-1)
— ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #256
— Continuity: #216
— Gaels won their last seven games, after an opening loss to Memphis.
— Saint Mary’s has top 100 wins over Northern Iowa, South Dakota State.
— Gaels get good shots; they’ve got #55 eFG% in country.

Cincinnati @ Georgia
Cincinnati (2-3)
— ranked #66 by KenPom
— Tempo: #155
— Experience: #173
— Continuity: #185
— Bearcats lost three of last four games; they’ve played schedule #56.
— Cincy’s only top 100 win was by 5 at home over Furman.
— Bearcats are shooting 26.9% on the arc (#277)

Georgia (5-0)
— ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #34
— Experience: #86
— Continuity: #247
— Dawgs have beaten four stiffs and #150 Montana.
— Georgia won its last game by 4, over #272 Samford
— Dawgs have forced turnovers 23.2% of time (#52)

Arizona vs Stanford (@ Santa Cruz, CA)
Arizona (5-0)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #195
— Experience: #269
— Continuity: #303
— Arizona has played schedule #294; they’ve got lot of new players.
— This is Arizona’s first game away from home.
— Wildcats have #21 eFG% defense in country.

Stanford (3-2)
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #130
— Experience: #244
— Continuity: #29
— Cardinal has played schedule #55, losing to UNC (67-63), Indiana (79-63).
— Stanford’s only top 100 win was by 18 over Alabama.
— Cardinal is turning ball over 20.9% of the time (#219).

— Arizona won last 20 series games; their last loss to Stanford was 12 years ago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

601INDIANA -602 BUTLER
INDIANA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

603GONZAGA -604 IOWA
IOWA is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

607LOUISVILLE -608 WISCONSIN
LOUISVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

609UNC-GREENSBORO -610 ELON
UNC-GREENSBORO is 35-61 ATS (-32.1 Units) versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1997.

615WRIGHT ST -616 DETROIT
WRIGHT ST is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the last 3 seasons.

617VALPARAISO -618 TOLEDO
VALPARAISO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games since 1997.

621JAMES MADISON -622 E CAROLINA
JAMES MADISON is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

623WI-MILWAUKEE -624 WI-GREEN BAY
WI-GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

625HOFSTRA -626 ST BONAVENTURE
HOFSTRA is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.

627MARIST -628 MANHATTAN
MARIST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a game with 9 or less assists in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Dec 19 '20, 4:08 PM in 10m
NCAA-F | Clemson vs Notre Dame
Play on: Notre Dame +10½ -109 at Draft Kings

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Notre Dame +10.5
It's true that Notre Dame has been notorious for failing in the biggest games in the past. But this 2020 team seems like they have the goods. They are 10-0 this season and their performances against both Clemson in the first meeting and also UNC recently show that they can handle the big stage. I think they prove that once again in the ACC Championship Game by giving the Tigers a run for their money as 10.5-point underdogs.
This line is simply out of whack. The Fighting Irish pulled the 47-40 upset as 5.5-point home dogs in the first meeting this season. They racked up 519 total yards on the Tigers and did whatever they wanted to against Clemson's defense. Now I get that Trevor Lawrence is back, as are a few more starters on defense that they didn't have in the first meeting. But this number has been adjusted too much for it with Clemson now being a double-digit favorite in the rematch.
Notre Dame has a chance to pull the upset again because they have a great running game, a great defense, and the best quarterback they've had in years in Ian Book. The Fighting Irish can maul Clemson and will have the edge at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the football. They rush for 236 yards per game and 5.4 per carry this season. They rushed for 209 yards and 5.1 per carry in their first meeting with Clemson.
The Fighting Irish also have a tremendous run defense. They give up just 100 rushing yards per game and 3.3 per carry. They have held six of their last seven opponents to 96 or fewer rushing yards, including the 34 they allowed on 33 carries in their first meeting with the Tigers. Clemson has rushed for 147 or fewer yards in four of its last five games overall. And keep in mind Notre Dame held UNC's high-powered attack to just 17 points and 298 total yards. Nobody has been able to hold UNC in check like the Fighting Irish did a few weeks ago.
Book is completing 63.3% of his passes for 2,381 yards with a 15-to-2 TD/INT ratio, while also rushing for 465 yards and eight scores. He won't be intimidated by Clemson as he showed in the first meeting by making all the big plays down the stretch to win that game. And I trust him to take care of the football and make the right decisions to keep the Fighting Irish in this game for four quarters.
Notre Dame is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games vs. good offensive teams that average 31 or more points per game. The Fighting Irish are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. a team with a winning record. Bet Notre Dame Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Dec 19 '20, 4:10 PM in 12m
Fighting | Christos Giagos vs Carlton Minus
Play on: Christos Giagos -315 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Christos Giagos -315

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

Dec 19 '20, 4:15 PM in 17m
NCAA-B | UCLA vs Ohio State
Play on: UCLA -1½ -108 at pinnacle

UCLA at Ohio State
Prefer the improving Bruins here who have run off five straight victories, after the season opening loss to San Diego State. UCLA has run off five straight games with ppp numbers over 106. Defensively the Bruins are getting better each and every game.
Ohio State is also 5-1, but the scoring has really subsided as of late because of injuries. The Buckeyes rank 273rd defending the three, which could be a big difference maker here.
PLAY UCLA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

Dec 19 '20, 5:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Illinois vs Penn State
Play on: UNDER 53½ -111

Illinois vs. Penn State Under 53.5
Both teams have been a major disappointment this season. Illinois was expected to come in bad this year, but Penn State figured to be in the BCS Playoff talks. Neither team really wants this game and they've both been searching for the finish line. Expect a sluggish affair.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Saturday 5* Free CFB O/U Play