Service Plays Saturday 12/19/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Yellow]

Essler 3* GOM

La Lafayette +4

[dawggy]

L.V CRIS



Game: (235) Clemson at (236) Notre Dame
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Notre Dame +10.5 (-110)

Fighting Irish, ND +10.5. (3%)

[Lexdeoh20189]

Prediction Machine

Notre Dame+10

Clemson Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+10)

Saturday’s ACC title game is shaping up as the marquee matchup of the weekend, featuring two of College Football’s top three ranked teams. Brian Kelly and the Fighting Irish come in as double-digit underdogs now that Clemson has Trevor Lawrence back under center, as he missed the first matchup between these two teams while sidelined with COVID-19.

The Tigers are hoping for revenge after falling 47-40 in Notre Dame’s double-OT victory, and should feel confident with Lawrence back at the helm. Clemson has won by at least 18 points in every game started by the presumable No. 1 pick in next year’s NFL Draft.

Sportsbooks are giving the clear edge to Clemson (No. 3 in the College Football Playoff rankings) in this rematch, listing Dabo Swinney’s squad as 10-point favorites despite Notre Dame coming in as the higher-ranked team (No. 2 in CFP). Our model is projecting Clemson to win this matchup by a score of 33.1-26.7, giving us a solid edge on Notre Dame against the spread based on the current double-digit line. With a projected margin of victory less than seven points for Clemson and a line of -10 in favor of the Tigers, our model suggests a $75 wager on NOTRE DAME +10 for an $100 average bettor.

Why will Notre Dame cover the spread?

The Irish proved they can run the ball on anyone in their first matchup with Clemson. Notre Dame racked up 204 yards on 40 carries (5.2 ypc) and Kyren Williams reached pay dirt three separate times on the ground against a Tigers defense that has surrendered just 2.9 yards per carry and seven total rushing touchdowns on the season. Notre Dame has boasted one of the most prolific rushing attacks in the country all season thanks to a dominant offensive line and will welcome back fifth-year senior and starting guard Tommy Kraemer after he missed a few weeks due to an appendectomy.

Clemson leans much more towards the pass on offense, sitting 18th in the FBS with a 54.3 percent pass rate on the season. Trevor Lawrence is averaging 304 passing yards per game on a healthy 9.7 yards per pass attempt, so Notre Dame will need to slow down that production to keep this one close. The Irish enter with a solid chance to do just that, ranking first in the ACC with 6.7 yards allowed per pass attempt. They’ve also allowed just eight passing TDs on the season, which is the fewest of any FBS team with nine or more games played (ND has played 10 games). Although Lawrence is clearly one of the best quarterbacks in all of college football, Notre Dame is at least equipped to slow him down with their strong secondary play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CARMINE BIANCO

SATURDAY 5% SOCCER TOP PLAY TOTAL
Game: (202453) FC Koln at (202454) RB Leipzig
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 9:30 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 3.0 (-115)

Quick Synopsis: This is a system play based on our metric expectancy which came back at 4.98. Since Oct 1st system totals have hit at a 65.5% rate (66 game sample size) and 72.2% (42 game sample size) since Nov 1st. YTD: 58.3%, 229 games.


Additional game preview: Cologne (Koln) have looked to finally turn the corner on their terrible start to the season picking up 7 of a possible 9 points to move outside the relegation zone and a change in their formation and players returning from their injury list they have looked dangerous moving forward. While they recorded a clean sheet last weekend that hasn't be the norm for a side that allows goals and prior to last weekend had allowed goals in 20 straight fixtures. They'll visit Leipzig side that are full of confidence and improving with each game. They come off a 3-2 win in Champions League play over Manchester United to advance to the knockout stages and followed that up scoring twice for the 9th straight game on home soil. This will be their final home game of 2020 before heading into a short winter break. This will be only the 3rd meeting at Red Bull stadium between these sides with a 4.0 GPG average. This should be quicker paced from the opening whistle and the total is the play here.

[Iowethe man]

Stanford Steve and The Bear: Week 16 college football picks, bets, nuggets

College football is in full swing in 2020, and it's unlike any season we have had before. One thing is familiar, though: Stanford Steve Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica breaking down games as only they can, offering their top bets, nuggets and totals worth wagering on. How will the guys fare this week?
Here is your guide to Week 16 from the two college football analysts. (Games postponed or canceled because of COVID-19 have been removed.)
Records

• Stanford Steve (2-1-1 last week, 26-16-1 overall)
• The Bear (0-2-1, 22-20-1)

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The plays


No. 3 Clemson Tigers (-10.5, 60) vs. No. 2 Notre Dame Fighting Irish

(ACC championship at Charlotte, N.C.)
Stanford Steve: Clemson has gotten everything it has wanted since losing to the Irish earlier this year in overtime at South Bend without Trevor Lawrence. I still think the Irish will win the game. We will sprinkle a little on the money line, but we will take the points as the official play.
Pick: Notre Dame +10.5 (Notre Dame 31, Clemson 29)

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No. 10 Oklahoma Sooners (-5.5, 58) vs. No. 6 Iowa State Cyclones

(Big 12 championship at Arlington, Texas)
Stanford Steve: Here's another Power 5 championship game where the team looking to avenge an earlier loss is favored to win the rematch (Clemson is the other). I think the wrong team is favored. I am not buying into the idea that Oklahoma "has everything figured out" and will be the Big 12 champ. I'll take the Clones and the points.
Pick: Iowa State +5.5 (Iowa State 34, Oklahoma 31)

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Oregon Ducks at No. 13 USC Trojans (-3, 64)

(Pac-12 championship)
Stanford Steve: Remember last year when the Utah Utes were a win in the Pac-12 title game away from making the College Football Playoff? Then they went out and played their worst game of the year in a spot where they had the most eyeballs on them in any of their games. It feels like USC is getting plenty of love in the general landscape of the sport, and I would be the first person to tell you the Trojans should be ranked higher. But this line doesn't make sense. It feels like the undefeated Men of Troy should be giving more points. We'll take the Ducks and buy it to 3.5 points.
Pick: Buy Oregon to +3.5 (USC 38, Oregon 35)

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Ball State Cardinals at Buffalo Bulls (-13.5, 67.5)

The Bear: Buffalo has been a dominant team spearheaded by a powerful running attack. But it also benefited from being on the weaker side of the MAC-- the one with Akron and Bowling Green it its division. Ball State has finally gotten some breaks this year and easily could be undefeated as well. Mike Neu has a veteran team and is probably the best rush defense Buffalo has faced this year. The outright upset will be tough, but I do think Ball State will be able to get a few stops and score enough to cover the number here.
Pick: Ball State +13.5

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Nebraska Cornhuskers (-6.5, 54) at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

The Bear: This number jumped off the page to me when I saw it. I couldn't believe Nebraska was laying this many points. The Huskers haven't been a good favorite at all, might be faced with travel issues because of a storm in the northeast and seem to be in a bad spot here. I'll side with the State University of New Jersey, which if it wins four games would be ecstatic and a remarkable feat under Greg Schiano. Rutgers has showed up every game and Nebraska transfer QB Noah Vedral will want to play well against his former team. I think the intangibles and coaching edge land on the side of the Scarlet Knights.
Pick: Rutgers +6.5

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Air Force Falcons (-2.5, 37) at Army Black Knights

The Bear: I'm guessing people are expecting a letdown for Army on the heels of the shutout win over Navy and might be comparing scores to the 40-7 win Air Force had over the Midshipmen. But that's hard to do, being the weather was brutal in West Point last week and the CIC trophy is on the line. I don't really understand the 2.5-point move to Air Force here and will happily take Army and the points.
Pick: Army +2.5

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The Bear's money-line parlay

$100 returns $98.65 Penn State -650
Alabama -900
Texas A&M -600
Ohio State -1600
Utah -400

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The Bear's underdogs to play on the money line, in round-robins and parlays

Rutgers +200
Army +120
*Iowa State +170
*Notre Dame +310
*San Jose State +195
*My sense is these three underdogs either win outright or the favorite covers

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Stanford Steve's special Week 16 3-team, 10-point teaser

Wisconsin -2
Rutgers +16.5
Utah -.5

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Bear Bytes

• Since 2015, there have been 23 Power 5 conference championship games. Just two underdogs have won outright: Oregon beat Utah last year and Penn State defeated Wisconsin in 2016. Compare that to the Group of Five, where in the last two years four dogs have won outright in 10 games. It should be noted that three of the underdogs were by a field goal or less. Favorites are 5-12-1 ATS in Group of Five conference title games in the last four years.
Big 12 championship: No. 10 Oklahoma Sooners (-5.5, 58) vs. No. 6 Iowa State Cyclones
• Under Matt Campbell, the Cyclones have covered all five games vs. Oklahoma, four as a double-digit dog. On average, the Cyclones were an 18-point underdog and have two wins and have covered by an average of 16.7 PPG in those five games.
Nebraska (-6.5, 54) at Rutgers
• Nebraska is 5-14 ATS with eight outright losses since the start of 2017 as a favorite. Nebraska has lost four of its last five games outright as a favorite.
Air Force (-2.5, 37) at Army
• In the past nine years, the favorite is 1-7-1 ATS with four outright losses in this rivalry.
American Athletic championship: No. 23 Tulsa Golden Hurricane at No.9 Cincinnati Bearcats (-14, 45.5)
• In its last 11 games as an underdog, Tulsa is 9-2 ATS with four outright wins. Over that span, Tulsa has been a double-digit dog nine times and has two wins and three other single-digit losses. Last year the Bearcats were a 16-point favorite over Tulsa at Nippert Stadium and won by 11. The Golden Hurricane are also 7-0 ATS vs. ranked opponents since 2018.
Big Ten championship: No. 14 Northwestern Wildcats vs. No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes (-205., 57)
• The Buckeyes have been a 20-point favorite 13 times under Ryan Day and are 8-5 ATS and have seen just one game decided by less than 11 points (42-35 vs. Indiana earlier this year).
ACC championship: Clemson (-10.5, 60) vs. Notre Dame
• Clemson is currently a 10.5-point favorite over Notre Dame. That's the exact same spread from the 2018 semifinal game where Clemson beat Notre Dame 30-3. Clemson has won 41 straight games as a double-digit favorite dating back to the 2017 loss at Syracuse. Just four of the 41 games were decided by single digits.
MAC championship: Ball State vs. Buffalo (-13.5, 67.5)
• Ball State has covered each of its last six games as an underdog, winning four outright. And double-digit favorites in the MAC title game are just 1-8 ATS with three outright losses. However, Buffalo has been a strong favorite lately, covering 11 of its past 13.

[dawggy]

L.V CRIS



Game: (235) Clemson at (236) Notre Dame
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Notre Dame +10.5 (-110)

Fighting Irish, ND +10.5. (3%)

Game: (237) Tulsa at (238) Cincinnati
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Tulsa +14.0 (+101)

[dawggy]

L.V CRIS

• Game: (24261) Alex Morono at (24262) Anthony Pettis
  Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 6:45 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 2%
  Play: Alex Morono +190
  
  Morono +190 (2%) +195 and +200 available out there at moment
  
• Game: (24269) Gillian Robertson at (24270) Taila Santos
  Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 7:35 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 2%
  Play: Gillian Robertson -115
  
  Robertson -115 (2%)
  
• Game: (24213) Rob Font at (24214) Marlon Moraes
  Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 8:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Rob Font +130
  
  Font +130 (3%)
  
• Game: (24221) Marlon Vera at (24222) Jose Aldo
  Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 8:50 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 2%
  Play: Total Over 2.5 (-200)
  
  Vera Aldo over 2.5 rounds -200 (2%) -190 is available

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Marley

Neal -115 KO
Aldo -140
D. Pereira -120
D. Font +125
D. Tybura +100
D. Santos -100 KO
Moron +195
D. Arroyo -155 KO.
Flick -155 SUB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Georgia Tech at Miami canceled

Vanderbilt at Georgia canceled

Frisco Bowl between UTSA & SMU has been canceled ... SMU couldn’t play because of contact tracing

Unknown if ESPN will pair UTSA with another opponent in Frisco at later date or put UTSA in another bowl ...

Michigan at Iowa canceled

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Stone on VSIN

Bama -9.5 1H / -17
Notre Dame +10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn

4% Alabama -17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maryland vs. Michigan State canceled

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

cfb

7-minnesota+12.5
6-nevada+3.5
5-bama-17
4-usc-3
4-notre dame+10.5
3-boise.st-6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Harris

7 - ULL +3