Service Plays Saturday 12/19/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob - Sat Hoops

2* 614 North Arizona 10.5
2* 638 Dayton 3.5

1* 662 Cal -10

total opinons
#615 Wright State-Detroit Over 148

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe:

4 Unit Play Take #247 Mississippi -2.5 over LSU (3:30pm est):

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

BIGGEST COLLEGE
RELEASE OF THE YEAR


One-and-Only

200 DIME

MAX WAGER

Game of the Year

Alabama -17 buy down to -16.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

6 Unit Packers -8.5

[BONTRAGER]

ROZ JUARBE Plays, Saturday December 19, 2020
NFL
Panthers +8 (5:15 PT / 8:15 ET)
Bills -5.5 (1:30 PT / 4:30 ET)

CFB
Alabama -17 (5 PT / 8 ET)
Clemson -10 (1 PT / 4 ET) Game Of The Year

CBK
W.Kentucky +5.5 (11 PT / 2 ET)
Ole Miss -3 (11:30 PT / 2:30 ET) Mismatch GOM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Akins

ALABAMA @ FLORIDA | 12/19 | 8:00 PM EST
OVER 74.5
ANALYSIS: Alabama is scoring 49.5 points per game and that is with the Crimson Tide not facing too much of a real test all season. Florida should be able to score enough in this game to force Alabama to keep its foot on the pedal on offense, leading to an extremely high-scoring game. The Gators are underdogs in this game coming off a shocking 37-34 loss to LSU last week. Florida is 7-0 OU (8.50 ppg) since 2014 as a three-plus point underdog coming off a loss.

+590 7-1 IN LAST 8 CFB PICKS
YESTERDAY 9:39 AM

OKLAHOMA @ IOWA ST. | 12/19 | 12:00 PM EST
OKLAHOMA -5.5
ANALYSIS: While Iowa State has the better record among these teams, Oklahoma has a per game margin that is considerably better than Iowa State (+21.4 vs +12.7 ppg). The Sooners faced a similar situation to this in the 2018 Big 12 Championship -- they were looking to avenge a loss to Texas earlier that season and Oklahoma got the job done. Expect the same here. This is an interesting situation where No. 12 Oklahoma is actually the favorite against No. 8 Iowa State. In matchups of AP Top 25 ranked teams, the lower ranked team is 51-38-2 ATS when favored by at least four points.

+590 7-1 IN LAST 8 CFB PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

AIR FORCE @ ARMY | 12/19 | 3:00 PM EST
ARMY +2.5
The winner receives the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy. Air Force, Army and Navy all run very similar offenses, which is the reason for low-scoring games. I think the Army has an advantage playing Navy last week; the defense has been on a five-week run trying to stop the triple option. The Black Knights not only stopped Navy; they shut them out. Army lost to its highest-rated opponent, Cincinnati, 24-10. Air Force lost to Boise State 49-30. I have Army rated three points higher than Air Force and will add at least a point for playing at home.

+92 2-1 IN LAST 3 AF ATS PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

NORTHWESTERN @ OHIO ST. | 12/19 | 12:00 PM EST
NORTHWESTERN +20
ANALYSIS: BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (from Indianapolis) -- According to multiple reports, at least one prominent starter on Ohio State's offense (not Justin Fields) and several others have tested positive for COVID and will miss Saturday’s game. The Nuts figure to be a bit rusty, too, having played just once since Nov. 21. Other than one trap-game hiccup vs. Michigan State, Northwestern's defense has been terrific. I'm not calling the upset -- although I probably will go throw a few dollars on the NW moneyline -- but do think the Cats hang fairly close here. Also love the Under 57 points.

YESTERDAY 12:55 PM
AIR FORCE @ ARMY | 12/19 | 3:00 PM EST
ARMY +3
ANALYSIS: My cohort Mike Tierney picked Air Force because of a possible letdown game by Army after its huge rivalry win last Saturday vs. Navy. Normally, I would agree with Mike as this is only the 10th time ever that Army plays a game after facing Navy and eight of those were bowls (the other was vs. Notre Dame in the 1930s). However, the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy is up for grabs here, and that's plenty of motivation for the Black Knights. Air Force has played only five games this season and just twice since Halloween. The Falcons are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as road favorites, and I frankly don't think they should be favored.

THU 12/17
CLEMSON @ NOTRE DAME | 12/19 | 4:00 PM EST
NOTRE DAME +10.5
ANALYSIS: Is Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence worth essentially 17.5 points? That's basically what oddsmakers are saying with this spread after the Tigers lost at Notre Dame by seven in double overtime without Lawrence earlier this season. As good as Lawrence is, it's hard to imagine he could play any better Saturday in Charlotte than backup D.J. Uiagalelei did that day in South Bend as the freshman threw for 439 yards and two scores and rushed for another TD. The Irish most definitely could win again in this game and 10.5 points is simply too many. I'd be willing to wager that gets under double digits by kickoff because Notre Dame is such a "public" team.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

CAROLINA @ GREEN BAY | 12/19 | 8:15 PM EST
OVER 51.5
ANALYSIS: Both teams' offenses rank in the top 10 in DVOA, Carolina is No. 9 and Green Bay is the No. 1 offense in the NFL. Defensively, Carolina ranks 27th while Green Bay ranks 20th. Both teams are 7-5-1 to the Over in 2020. Look for the Over to hit again.

+735 25-16-3 IN LAST 44 NFL PICKS
+200 2-0-2 IN LAST 4 GB O/U PICKS
YESTERDAY 8:07 PM

BUFFALO @ DENVER | 12/19 | 4:30 PM EST
DENVER +5
ANALYSIS: This is a situational play. Buffalo is coming off of wins at San Francisco and versus Pittsburgh on Sunday night, leaving Monday as a useless day. Buffalo needs one win to wrap up the division for the first time in 25 years. That is always easier said than done. The Bills will be playing in the high altitude on a short week. Denver has the better defense, and QB Drew Lock is coming off a career-best game.

+735 25-16-3 IN LAST 44 NFL PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS
+75 4-3 IN LAST 7 BUF ATS PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

ARIZONA ST. @ OREGON ST. | 12/19 | 10:30 PM EST
ARIZONA ST. -7
ANALYSIS: The Sun Devils destroyed rival Arizona last week 70-7 and now has most of their team back after dealing with a COVID outbreak. They should have success on the ground on Saturday; Oregon State is allowing 4.95 yards per carry, and Arizona State is averaging 227.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 14th in the country. My sims say the Sun Devils cover two-thirds of the time and project a 37-21 ASU victory. You're getting strong value at this number.

+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 OREGST ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 6:03 PM

STANFORD @ UCLA | 12/19 | 7:00 PM EST
STANFORD +6.5
ANALYSIS: Stanford has won its last three games, all on the road. Meanwhile UCLA is coming off a devastating loss against rival USC, which I think will have lingering effects on Saturday. My model says the Cardinal win the game 48 percent of the time and cover more than 60 percent of the time, so you're getting good value at this number.

+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 UCLA ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 5:53 PM

[dawggy]

L. V CRIS

• Game: (243) Texas A&M at (244) Tennessee
  Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 12:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Tennessee +14.0 (-110)
  
  Tennessee +14 (4%)
  Line is overinflated and at least a FG too high TAM needs style points, but they don't, doesn't matter , they are stuck outside looking in , unless playoffs expanded
  
• Game: (231) Oklahoma at (232) Iowa State
  Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 12:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 2%
  Play: Iowa State +6.0 (-110)
  
  Iowa St +6 (2%) Available at Pinnacle clones, William hill, 5 dimes, Caesars, MGM, Westgate,
  6 blipped away as I was entering this at a few places. Its not the easiest number< but I don't want the play without +6. This may blip back up to 6, if you can't find one. It's not a life or death play, I bet it though, and I'm not trying to piss money away.
  
• Game: (205) Air Force at (206) Army
  Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 3:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Air Force -2.5 (-115)
  
  Air Force -2.5 (3%)
  Line a bit inflated, Should have been pick, but hoping it doesn't make a difference here
  
• Game: (235) Clemson at (236) Notre Dame
  Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 4:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Notre Dame +10.5 (-110)
  
  Fighting Irish, ND +10.5. (3%)
  
• Game: (221) Stanford at (222) UCLA
  Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 7:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 2%
  Play: UCLA -6.5 (-115)
  
  UCLA -6.5 (2%)
  I'm against the grain on this play. Many feel UCLA will have a letdown after that thrilling loss we had to endure last week. My data shows value here, so I played it anyway
  
• Game: (237) Tulsa at (238) Cincinnati
  Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 8:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Tulsa +14.0 (+101)
  
  Tulsa +14 (3%) (14.5 and 15 available at time of release)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

Under 58.5 ok/ia.st. 11am
Ole miss -1.5/ lsu. 2:30
Over 49 mo/miss.st. 2:30p
Fla +17.5/ ala. 7pm
Hoops....11am,,wisc -5.5/ lville

College Football
8:00 PM EST
Rotation #240
Florida +17.5 over Alabama
Alabama is the best team in the country and the top team in the country against the spread. The entire world is betting them today, but you can’t look at Florida’s last game to paint the overall picture of them. This is a team that has Kyle Trask at QB. Alabama is a team that we have seen let weaker offenses score on them this year. This isn’t the rock solid defense we see year after year. Florida has a good defense that can at the very least challenge this Bama Offense. The Gators Secondary is filled with guys that will be playing on Sundays. Florida also knows that the playoffs are probably out of reach so this game is for all the marbles. Alabama is in the playoffs no matter what. I think the Gators can keep this game close. Maybe the Gators have an upset shot if Alabama throws a shoe or two. Take Florida.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TKwins

NFL
3* Denver +6
3* Carolina +8

NCAAF
3* Oklahoma -6
3* Northwestern +19
4* Tulsa +14
3* Boise St -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

BOISE ST. @ SAN JOSE ST. | 12/19 | 4:30 PM EST
SAN JOSE ST. +6.5
ANALYSIS: San Jose State is having a great season despite its favorable and abbreviated schedule. The Spartans face their toughest test vs. Boise State in this Mountain West championship game. San Jose State has lost 14 matchups in this series and most of the games haven't even been competitive. But the Spartans stack up well on both sides of the ball here and their defense will keep them in this game. They haven't turned the ball over once this entire year, while the Broncos defense has created just three turnovers. Boise State needs to be on upset alert here. San Jose State is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 games as an underdog.

+1324 32-17-2 IN LAST 51 CFB ATS PICKS
+88 2-1 IN LAST 3 BOISE ATS PICKS
9:19 AM

TULSA @ CINCINNATI | 12/19 | 8:00 PM EST
TULSA +14
ANALYSIS: Cincinnati is hosting this AAC Championship game and will try to keep its dream season alive. The Bearcats need a lot of help to find their way into the College Football Playoff. Tulsa is a very dangerous team, having won six straight games. The Golden Hurricane’s defense is allowing under 20 points per game and is 15th against the pass. That unit will keep them in this game. Tulsa is 6-1 ATS this year and has covered 20 of its last 28 as a road underdog. Cincinnati is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven December games.

+1324 32-17-2 IN LAST 51 CFB ATS PICKS
+490 6-1 IN LAST 7 CINCY ATS PICKS
9:04 AM

CLEMSON @ NOTRE DAME | 12/19 | 4:00 PM EST
NOTRE DAME +10
ANALYSIS: This is going to be the game of games. Trevor Lawrence is 33-1 in his college career and Ian Book is 30-3. Notre Dame hammered Clemson on the ground in the first meeting. The Fighting Irish held Travis Etienne to a career low in rushing yards and holding him down could again be a key to success. Both quarterbacks are going to have huge outings. This game is going to come down to which defense can make the critical stop or create a key turnover. This matchup will be decided by single digits, and expect the Fighting Irish to have a chance for the outright win.

+1324 32-17-2 IN LAST 51 CFB ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 CLEM ATS PICKS
8:47 AM

AIR FORCE @ ARMY | 12/19 | 3:00 PM EST
UNDER 38.5
ANALYSIS: Army is coming off a huge win over Navy in what was a low-scoring and very physical matchup. The same type of game is expected here. Look for both teams to grind out long drives. Army is allowing just 14 points per game, which ranks fourth in the nation, while Air Force is right behind them, allowing 16 per game, which ranks eighth. The Falcons rank second in the nation in rushing while the Black Knights are fourth. Expect a low-scoring, defensive battle. The Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings. The Under is 12-1 in Air Force’s last 13 vs. Independents. The Under is 17-5 in Army's last 22 December games.

+425 33-26-3 IN LAST 62 CFB PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

MISSOURI @ MISS. STATE | 12/19 | 3:30 PM EST
MISSOURI -1
ANALYSIS: When the Bulldogs upset LSU in the season opener, we thought it was huge and coach Mike Leach was going to shake up the SEC. Didn't happen. Even though the MSU defense has looked much better in its last four games, the Bulldogs also have failed to cover their last four home games. Missouri is the play.

+970 13-3 IN LAST 16 CFB ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 8:10 PM

NORTHWESTERN @ OHIO ST. | 12/19 | 12:00 PM EST
OHIO ST. -18.5
ANALYSIS: We’ve only got five games of data to go by, not including the Buckeyes' 52-3 win at Northwestern last season. But Ohio State is on another planet of class. The thing that made me believe laying the points was a good idea began with the fast field at Lucas Oil Stadium. The talent gap and speed gap on a fast field with no weather will be noticeable on Saturday. Buckeyes get the cover.

+970 13-3 IN LAST 16 CFB ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 8:08 PM

MINNESOTA @ WISCONSIN | 12/19 | 4:00 PM EST
MINNESOTA +12.5
ANALYSIS: The thing about Minnesota this season is that the Gophers came in with high expectations after having nine starters back on offense, including the QB, from an 11-2 team. The early 2020 losses were a result of a lack of spring practice. They have come back with big wins as dogs in their last two games. Wisconsin is now that team in a funk, losing its last three. I took the points with Minnesota, which won at Wisconsin in 2018, and the Gophers might even win outright.

+970 13-3 IN LAST 16 CFB ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 MINN ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 WISC ATS PICKS
THU 12/17