Service Plays Saturday 12/19/20

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Goodfella

NFL 3* TEASER OF THE YEAR

Packers -1 with Colts -.5

3* Air Force ML

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PickersMx

Mushu
200 Dimes
Clemson Tigers -10

La Barba Pickers
150 Dimes
Alabama Crimson Tide -17

Lady Pickers
100 Dimes
Ole Miss -1

Pickers Crew Special Pick
150 Dimes
Cincinnati Bearcats -14

Free Pick 50 Dimes
Villanova -22

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Scott Rickenbach

10* College GOY

Tulsa +14 (-103)

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Steam Plays
Clemson -10
utah - UNDER

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SHELDON GRAHAM

Silver play - UNDER 74.5 - ALABAMA - FLORIDA

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UnderDog

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Stanford

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Docs Consensus

6* Alabama
6* Stanford

nfl
6* Green Bay
6* Buffalo

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Executive

football plays

300 on ND +10 1/2
250 on Cincy -14
250 on Oregon St +7

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Strike Point Sports
Saturday's College Basketball Plays

2-Unit Play. #621 Take James Madison (+11) over East Carolina (1 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

I definitely don't buy into this ECU team as a heavy favorite. Perhaps I will view them differently in a sleeper-type role come American play, but the Pirates played their first legit opponent this season and lost to SMU by 15. This one is not a mismatch, and I think a five to seven-point margin is more accurate.

2-Unit Play. #625 Take Hofstra (+11) over St. Bonaventure (2 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

The Bonnies are going to be a big time contender in the A-10, but I like the points and a Hofstra team that knows how to win. I don't think it will be a blowout, and I see the Pride coming good enough to score 65-70 points and be in this game down the stretch.

2-Unit Play. #640 Take Purdue (+4.5) over Notre Dame (2:30 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

Notre Dame has played quality opponents. But the Irish lost to Michigan State by 10, to Ohio State by six and Duke by ten, and they only beat Kentucky by one. Purdue beat Ohio State, and so I am happy to take the Boilermakers in this one.

3-Unit Play. #657 Take Delaware (+3.5) over La Salle (4 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

The Blue Hens win this one outright. Delaware is simply the better team, no questions asked. La Salle is 2-4, and I don't rate this team whatsoever. Not going to overthink this one. CAA over A-10 outright.

5-Unit Play. #663 Take Buffalo (+11) over Syracuse (6 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

Buffalo can win this game outright. No way this SU team is this many points better than a Bulls team that is just as capable to score the basketball. Outside of the coach's son, casual fans couldn't name one player on this Orange team. That is stating this Syracuse team isn't an overly talented bunch. And in terms of this spread, quite overrated. This game will not be a blowout, and as I said, I think Buffalo can win this game. There is a much better chance this is a two or three possession game down the stretch than anything more. Back and forth contest into the mid 70s. Buffalo cash and push its in-state opponent in a competitive game.

3-Unit Play. #682 Take Stanford (-2.5) over Arizona (7 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

The Cardinal had their Pac-12 opener at USC postponded, so it gives them a chance to start league play with a win over Arizona in Santa Cruz. The Wildcats lost every big player from a season ago, so this one is newcomers vs. a veteran and proven Stanford team. I do think they should be favored, as a 3-2 record isn't as indicative for just how good the Cardinal can be this season. U of A has warmed up with a handful of soft teams, and so I expect a struggle here and their first loss of the season.

2-Unit Play. #687 Take Cal Poly (+15) over Loyola Marymount (9 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

Cal Poly isn't going to be good this year in terms of Ws and Ls. But the Mustangs can cover this game. Cal Poly has played other in-state opponents like Santa Clara, San Jose State and San Diego to single digit results. LMU has three of its four wins by close margins. I don't see an overly one-sided game here. Take the underdog.

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Doug Upstone

3 Unit Play. Take #610 Elon +6.5 over UNC-Greensboro (1:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Dec. 19)

UNC-G is putting up a lot of shots (65 per game), just not making many of them at under 40%. Elon plays at a slower pace (54 shots) and is more selective, connecting on 46%. Elon has enjoyed excellent success in the matchup and is 10-5 SU at home and is 20-6 ATS after two straight games giving up 9 or fewer offensive rebounds.

3 Unit Play. Take #622 East Carolina -10 over James Madison (1:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Dec. 19)

James Madison plays host East Carolina in a nonconference tilt and it will be a matchup between a team looking to avenge its first loss of the season and another team happy to just get back into action after a long layoff. East Carolina got off to a great start to the season at 5-0. But in their first conference game of the season, the Pirates lost 70-55 to SMU. On the other side, James Madison has not played since Nov.29th because of Covid induced layoff. Expect the Dukes to be rusty and they are 3-14 ATS as an underdog since last year.

5 Unit Play. Take #676 St. Mary's -5.5 over Colorado State (8:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Dec. 19)

Colorado State has a solid team and they are 2-0 for starters, but they have not faced anyone as good as Saint Mary's so far. The Gaels come in having won their last seven games in a row and they are also tough to beat at home. St. Mary's is doing what they always do and that is taking good shots and making a high percentage of them. Off the Gaels 80-75 non-cover win over Eastern Washington, they return with an increased defensive focus and are 15-6 ATS after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more and beat the Rams by 10 or more.

3 Unit Play. Take #680 Georgia +2 over Cincinnati (8:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Dec. 19)

Cincinnati has not been the same since Mick Cronin left. John Brannen might be a fine coach, but the players are as not as tough-minded as they were under Cronin and Bob Huggins and that shows up on the defensive end. With the Bearcats 4-12 ATS in non-conference games since last year and 0-6 ATS in road games after failing to cover two of their last three against the spread, it's Georgia outright.

Nice bounce back sweep Friday to jump to 12-5 run, 70.5% the last 11 days. Also, my football package was released and for the year I'm up $5,090, the last 11 weeks in college and pro football, and will have 11 big plays over the next four days, including bowls and have 7-Unit Best Bet on Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

7 Unit Play Take #616 'under' 147 Wright State/Detroit (2:00pm est):

(147 is at Wynn and Draft Kings)

Wright State is considered the best team in the Horizon League coming into this season. They lost two starters from last year's team and they were their two best three point shooters who shot a combined 40% from behind the arc last season. The Raiders do have back their best defensive players from that squad though. One of those guys is arguably the best player in the conference in Loudon Love who's solid on both sides of the floor but he's a special defensive player. The Raiders have been ranked 1st or 2nd in defensive efficiency in the Horizon League each of the previous three years with Love manning the middle in those past three seasons. Wright State comes into this game currently ranked in the top 10 in the country in defensive effective field goal percentage allowed.

The University of Detroit under head coach Mike Davis has been a team that likes to shoot the three pointer, the problem with that is this year's team can't shoot especially after losing their best outside shooter from last season. In their first four games this year the Titans have hit just 28.9% of their triple tries. They did get their first win of the season in their last game and did so by slowing things down and relying on their defense, holding Western Michigan to their lowest scoring output of the season so far. I expect Detroit to struggle to score in this one especially down by the basket where Love is stationed so that means they are likely going to have to rely on three pointers which is an area of concern for them. Their best strategy here against a very good Wright State team should be to try and keep things close by slowing things down and shortening the game.

Play 'under' in this contest. I have my biggest 8u football play going on Sunday. I am a perfect 2-0 this year on 8u football plays. My top rated 7u and up selections in the NFL are 5-1 overall this year and I am ahead over 4k+ in profits combined in CFB and the NFl this season.

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Spread Investor


Bradley -11 —8pm ET
2 units

Backing this team again after they cashed for us Thursday on the 1H line. Miami Ohio just lost by 28 to Buffalo who Bradley would beat by double digits and they also lost by 24 to Wright State. Bradley’s a really good midmajor and a tournament team and has a size advantage, more talent, and a much better defense. Miami lost their best player Nike Sibande who transferred and they start two guards under 6 feet and Bradley has two guards at 6’4. Miami is bottom 40 in giving up offensive rebounds and Bradley is strong on the glass. Bradley went to the wire with Xavier in a 1 point loss as 10 point dogs. This is a team we will watch in March with a lot of balance and they have advantages on both sides of the ball. This should be another 15+ point win.

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Docs Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #608 Wisconsin -6.5 over Louisville (12p.m., Saturday, December 19 ESPN2) This is a late add game after Louisville could not play this game during the ACC/Big 10 Challenge. The Cardinals have been off since 12/1 and they have just played home game. They lost a ton of talent from last year and Wisconsin has everyone back. The Badgers are 7-0 ATS in their last 8 games played on Saturday.

6 Unit Play. Take #631 North Carolina -3 over Kentucky (2p.m., Saturday, December 19 CBS) If North Carolina can have any success in this game from the arc, they will win this game by double digits. Kentucky is a mess at the moment and will likely not make the NCAA Tournament come March. North Carolina is 5-2 ATS (1 push) int their last 8 games as a favorite. The favorite in this matchup has covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 matchups (1 push).

3 Unit Play. Take #679 Cincinnati -2 over Georgia (8p.m., Saturday, December 19 SECN) The Bulldogs have not played anyone this season, and this will be their toughest slate of the conference season. Georgia is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on Saturday. The Bearcats being favored on this true road games tells me they are the better team.

3 Unit Play. Take #682 Stanford -2.5 over Arizona (7p.m., Saturday, December 19 PAC12N) Would go higher if this were a true home game for Saturday, but instead they are playing this game in Santa Cruz. Arizona opened as the favorite, but the oddsmakers were not having it and now Stanford is favored. The Cardinal have more talent than do the Wildcats, and that might be the first time in over a decade that this has been the case. Arizona is 2-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games as an underdog. Stanford is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 Saturday games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo
5-Unit Play. Take #608 Wisconsin (-6) over Louisville (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 19)

Wisconsin hasn't played like a Top 15 team yet. I think that they will here. Louisville is not that good. They lost seven of their top nine players from last year's squad. This year they are starting a freshman and three sophomores and these guys have a lot of work to do. They should have lost to Seton Hall - blowing a big lead in the process - and they peaked in a blowout win over a very good Western Kentucky squad their last time out. Funny thing about that, though: their last time out was Dec. 1. These guys haven't played in 18 days. Coach Chris Mack said that ?90 percent? of his team had COVID. These guys haven't been practicing and won't be 100 percent. Now they are going on the road for the first time to take on one of the most experienced teams in the country. I think the Badgers will be a little more up for this game than the Cardinals and they should be in better form. If Louisville comes out and plays great after a three-week, coronavirus-infused layoff then so be it. But if the Badgers are as good as everyone thinks they are they would be able to handle the Cardinals at full strength. They really should be able to handle them with all the situational advantages they have in this spot.

2-Unit Play. Take #631 North Carolina (-3) over Kentucky (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

Kentucky has lost four in a row. And they've lost to teams worse than UNC. North Carolina has been up and down, playing well at times and looking lost at times. I still think that they are a little further ahead than UK right now. Both teams have very talented freshmen. But Carolina has a few more veterans to lean on and that should make the difference here.

2-Unit Play. Take #646 Oregon (-23.5) over Portland (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

Portland is a trash pile. Terry Porter is one of the worst college basketball coaches in the country and I will be stunned if his team doesn't get run out of the gym here. Portland is 5-1 this year. Three of their wins have come against D-II schools and one of those wins, against Northwest, was by just five points. This is by far the best team that they have played and I don't think it will go great. Oregon is still trying to find itself. Dana Altman is still trying to mesh all these transfers. Pac-12 play starts next week so this is the final tune-up. Altman is going to cut his guys loose and it should lead to a blowout.

1-Unit Play. Take #664 Buffalo (+11) over Syracuse (6 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

This Syracuse team is all over the map. They beat Boston College by about 100 and then came back and barely held off Northeastern. They blew out Niagara and Rider but almost lost to Bryant. You really just don't know what you're going to get from these guys. Buffalo is not a walkover game. They have some experience and they have a very talented point guard in Jayvon Graves. I think the Orange let Buffalo hang around in this one and it should tuck in right under the number.

5-Unit Play. Take #671 Oakland (+6.5) over Illinois-Chicago (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

I think that Oakland has a great chance to win this game outright. Greg Kampe can coach. He knew he was taking a step back this year and had a full-blown rebuild on his hand. He didn't go with the quick fix and a bunch of transfers and he's playing the long game. The Grizzlies are 0-7, but they have played one of the three or four toughest schedules in the country. Their last four games have come against Top 50 competition and they have gotten better every time. They took Michigan to OT and were within five of Oklahoma State with five minutes left. They also easily covered the spread while hanging around with Michigan State for about 25 minutes. Illinois-Chicago stinks. They are 3-2 but two of those wins were by four points or fewer and they are off back-to-back losses. They lost their four best players from last year's squad and this is a rebuild for them as well. Oakland is actually on a 4-1 ATS run and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games in this series. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five and the road team is 5-1 ATS. I think the Grizz find a way to hang around and I think that this will be a one-possession game on either side.

1-Unit Play. Take #676 St. Mary's (-5.5) over Colorado State (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

I don't mind this Colorado State team. And I think that they are actually a year away from being very good. They have four starters back from last year. But that one they lost was a big one - literally and figuratively - in Nico Carvacho. I think my main issue with the Rams at this point is that they've only played one game against D-I competition. St. Mary's has played eight. They have won seven in a row. Colorado State is hitting the road for the first time and it's just a tough task to play against a Gaels team that has had a chance to get a lot more work in.

2-Unit Play. Take #679 Cincinnati (-2) over Georgia (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

Cincinnati is off back-to-back losses and is off to a weak 2-3 start to the season. I think they are starting to feel the pressure a bit and they need to string something together. The Bearcats' last two losses were against Tennessee and South Florida - two teams better than Georgia - so it's not like they are giving away games to weak sisters. Georgia is 5-0 on the season but they have played absolutely no one. They haven't faced a single Top 150 opponent and they have generally been unimpressive while beating up teams like Florida A&M and Samford. This is Georgia's first real test and I don't know that this team, which lost six of its top nine players from last year, is up for it. The Bearcats are desperate and tested. Georgia is still pretty raw. Cincinnati will gut this one out.

7-Unit Play. Take #682 Stanford (-2.5) over Arizona (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

This line hit the board with Arizona -1.5 and was immediately bet the other way. That's because Stanford is the better team here and they are going to prove it tonight. Stanford is a deep, experienced team that has a nice blend of talent and potential. I don't think that they have played their best game yet and I think that this is a great spot for them. Arizona has played five games against weak sisters, all at home. They really struggled with UTEP their last time out and needed to come from behind in the final few minutes to beat Eastern Washington. Arizona is a weak outside shooting team and this group also has little to no chemistry. This is basically a completely new team after losing eight of their top nine guys from last year. And without a regular preseason to coalesce this group is still learning to play together. Stanford, on the other hand, has four starters and the core of last year's team back together. Finally, Stanford has lost to Arizona 20 straight times. Twenty. Think about that. They haven't beaten the Wildcats since January of 2009. That's insane. Stanford finally brings the better roster to this contest, though, and they should make up for a decade of futility with a win here.

1-Unit Play. Take #7224 Temple (-6) over New Jersey Tech (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

This is the first game of the season for both of these teams. Welcome to 2020. NJIT went 9-21 last year in the Atlantic Sun and they are outclassed in this one. Temple is in a clear rebuilding season and they aren't going to be competitive in the AAC. However, they are bigger, stronger and better than the Highlanders and they should be able to clear them out.

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #622 East Carolina (-6) over James Madison (1 p.m.) AND Take #626 St. Bonaventure (-6.5) over Hofstra (2 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #629 Western Kentucky (+10) over Alabama (2 p.m.) AND Take #7230 Vanderbilt (-6) over Radford (8 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #662 California (-6) over Cal-Northridge (5 p.m.) AND Take #665 UC-Santa Barbara (+9.5) over Pepperdine (6 p.m.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
8-Unit Play. #679. Take Cincinnati -1.5 over Georgia (Saturday @ 8pm est)

Nice 2-1 day yesterday in CBB and 7 of 10 winning days in CBB. Let's take a bit of a step-out today and roll with Cincinnati. We like that Cincinnati comes off a loss in their first conference game to South Florida. It's a game honestly that Cincinnati should have never lost and they did which has to frustrate them and it is hard to imagine that a team that already lost their first conference game won't get up to face Georgia here. Cincinnati did beat a top 70 team in Furman this year to their credit and Georgia has not beat a top 200 team all year long so far. Cincinnati hung tight against Tennessee to their credit too who is an elite team and they were up by 4 points heading into the last half of that game and then fell short. Cincinnati has an elite defense, have plenty of upperclassmen and though Georgia is undefeated and their program is definitely on the rise with Tom Crean, I think the desperation with Cincinnati is obvious off a loss and frankly, they are the better team here. Georgia is outside the top 280 in 3 point shooting and outside the top 180 in turnovers with lesser competition whereas Cincinnati is a top 50 defense and with 4 upperclassmen I think Cincinnati is in the right spot here. Let's roll with Cincy today and we probably move back to 3 selections tomorrow in this very long season.