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Game: (849) Texas San Antonio at (850) Rice Date/Time: Jan 1 2021 3:00 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: Rice +2.5 (-110)
My math model only favors UTSA by 0.73 points in this game and the Roadrunners are a money-burning 6-20 ATS in their last 27 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last four games as road favorites. UTSA is just 3-8 ATS in its last eleven games versus .601 or greater opposition and 1-6 ATS in its previous seven games overall.
The Roadrunners are 0-3 SU and ATS on the road this season where they are averaging just 63.7 points per game on 36.9% shooting from the field and 23.4% from beyond the arc. Even more concerning is the fact that UTSA is allowing 86.3 points per game away from home on 41.0% shooting from three-point territory.
Rice has improved its win total in each of its first three seasons under head coach Scott Pera and I believe the Owls are poised to once again defy the predictions of the pundits who have them finishing in the Conference USA basement. Junior guard Chris Mullens anchors a deep backcourt that was bolstered by the arrivals of graduate transfers Tre Clark (Furman) and Cavit Ege Hava (Utah Valley).
Pera has emphasized the importance of playing better defense this season and the Owls have delivered, allowing 68.7 points per game to teams that would combine to average 69.5 points per game against a mediocre stop unit. With UTSA standing at 2-9 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record over the last two seasons, grab the points with Rice and invest with confidence.
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