If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
3-Unit Play. Take #849 UT-San Antonio (-2) over Rice (3 p.m., Friday, Jan. 1)
4-Unit Play. Take #853 Western Kentucky (-6.5) over Charlotte (4 p.m., Friday, Jan. 1)
1-Unit Play. Take #877 Wright State (-6.5) over Oakland (7 p.m., Friday, Jan. 1)
1-Unit Play. Take #882 UL-Lafayette (-3) over Texas State (7 p.m., Friday, Jan. 1)
2-Unit Play. Take #888 UC-Santa Barbara (-16) over Cal-Fullerton (8 p.m., Friday, Jan. 1)
7-Unit Play. Take #891 UTEP (-5.5) over Southern Miss (8 p.m., Friday, Jan. 1)
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #877 Wright State (-1.5) over Oakland (7 p.m.) AND Take #879 Arkansas State (+8) over UL-Monroe (7 p.m.)
Game: (849) Texas San Antonio at (850) Rice Date/Time: Jan 1 2021 3:00 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: Rice +2.5 (-110)
My math model only favors UTSA by 0.73 points in this game and the Roadrunners are a money-burning 6-20 ATS in their last 27 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last four games as road favorites. UTSA is just 3-8 ATS in its last eleven games versus .601 or greater opposition and 1-6 ATS in its previous seven games overall.
The Roadrunners are 0-3 SU and ATS on the road this season where they are averaging just 63.7 points per game on 36.9% shooting from the field and 23.4% from beyond the arc. Even more concerning is the fact that UTSA is allowing 86.3 points per game away from home on 41.0% shooting from three-point territory.
Rice has improved its win total in each of its first three seasons under head coach Scott Pera and I believe the Owls are poised to once again defy the predictions of the pundits who have them finishing in the Conference USA basement. Junior guard Chris Mullens anchors a deep backcourt that was bolstered by the arrivals of graduate transfers Tre Clark (Furman) and Cavit Ege Hava (Utah Valley).
Pera has emphasized the importance of playing better defense this season and the Owls have delivered, allowing 68.7 points per game to teams that would combine to average 69.5 points per game against a mediocre stop unit. With UTSA standing at 2-9 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record over the last two seasons, grab the points with Rice and invest with confidence.
Game: (857) Rider at (858) Fairfield Date/Time: Jan 1 2021 5:00 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: Fairfield +2.5 (-110)
Rider is 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS this season because of a woefully inadequate defense that has been 4.5 points per game worse than average (77.6 points per game to teams that would combine to average just 73.1 points per game). The Broncs are allowing opponents to shoot 48.1% from the field and 37.9% from beyond the arc. Rider's defense has been even worse away from home where the Broncs are yielding 80.0 points per game on 47.4% shooting from the floor.
Fairfield is off to a slow start to the 2020-21 campaign but the Stags now have two transfers in their starting lineup - Zach Crisler (Rice) and Jake Wojcik (Richmond). Both Crisler and Wojcik became eligible in December and will be playing their fourth game with the Stags on Friday. My math model favors Fairfield by 1.1 points in this game and the Stags are undervalued now that they have a full complement of players. With Fairfield standing at 19-7 ATS as a home underdog, grab the points with the Stags and invest with confidence.
Game: (535) Los Angeles Lakers at (536) San Antonio Spurs Date/Time: Jan 1 2021 8:05 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker Play Rating: 2% Play: Total Under 230.0 (-110)
Lakers UNDER 230 (2%)
Game: (535) Los Angeles Lakers at (536) San Antonio Spurs Date/Time: Jan 1 2021 8:05 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 2% Play: San Antonio Spurs +6.5 (-110)
Spurs +6.5 (2%) I see a couple of 7's around Important number
Game: (535) Los Angeles Lakers at (536) San Antonio Spurs Date/Time: Jan 1 2021 8:05 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker Play Rating: 2% Play: Total Under 230.0 (-110)
Lakers UNDER 230 (2%)
Game: (535) Los Angeles Lakers at (536) San Antonio Spurs Date/Time: Jan 1 2021 8:05 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 2% Play: San Antonio Spurs +6.5 (-110)
Spurs +6.5 (2%) I see a couple of 7's around Important number
Game: (543) Portland Trail Blazers at (544) Golden State Warriors Date/Time: Jan 1 2021 10:35 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 2% Play: Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 (-110)
Portland -3.5 (2p)
Game: (887) CS Fullerton at (888) Cal Santa Barbara Date/Time: Jan 1 2021 8:00 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 2% Play: Cal Santa Barbara -16.0 (-110)
Comment