Service Plays Sunday 1/3/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[dawggy]

LAS VEGAS CRIS




Game: (119) Atlanta Falcons at (120) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date/Time: Jan 3 2021 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.0 (-114)


Tampa Bay -6 -115 (4%) This game qualifies at -6.





Game: (101) Washington Football Team at (102) Philadelphia Eagles
Date/Time: Jan 3 2021 8:20 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Football Team -125

[Lexdeoh20189]

Doc's Sports: Take #117 Minnesota Vikings over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, January 3 FOX) Both teams are just playing out the string, but Detroit is currently one of the two worst teams in the league. Detroit has dropped six straight games against Minnesota (0-5-1 ATS). Minnesota still has a strong offense, and they will be able to outscore Detroit in this game. The favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 games between the Vikings and Lions. Detroit is 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pick Made: Dec 28 2020 8:25PM PST

127 SEA -3.0 (-105) Bookmaker vs 128 SFX	double-dime bet

Analysis:

THIS IS A FIRST HALF BET


I make this game Seattle -6 for the full game, but the reason we are playing the first half is because of uncertainty with how long Seattle will play their starters.


Pete Carroll has said Seattle will play their starters and shoot for the number one seed. However, if Green Bay or New Orleans gets up big in the second half, there is an outside chance Seattle could pull some starters.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pick Made: Dec 29 2020 11:38AM PST

111 TEN -7.0 (-115) Pinnacle vs 112 HOU	triple-dime bet

Analysis:

It is often a mistake to assume rational coaching and organizational decisions. But we can all assume that the Houston Texans would be making a huge mistake to start Deshaun Watson against the Titans, and that they will think logically about it and sit their star quarterback.


Watson is dealing with an injury to his throwing arm, and from the information I have read, I believe it's more likely then not that Watson sits this one out. The Texans will be without their two starting offensive tackles for this game as well, further enticing the Texans to sit their star quarterback.


If Watson is 100% healthy, I make this line Titans -6.5. However, the matchups and motivation heavily favor the Titans. We have a top tier Titans offense going against a Texans defense that is in the discussion for the worst defense in the NFL. The Texans defense in their previous game against the Bengals allowed Brandon Allen and a previously lifeless Bengals offense to score 37 points and gain 7.6 YPP. No team in the NFL is worse aÃgainst the run this season than Houston.


If Watson does not play, I have the Texans power rated in the Jaguars tier of ineptitude (Titans -11.5 would be my line)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pick Made: Dec 30 2020 10:53AM PST

117 MIN -0.5 (-120) BetOnline vs 118 DET	double-dime bet

Analysis:

2* 6 PT TEASER: Vikings -0.5/Eagles +7.5 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pick Made: Dec 30 2020 11:12AM PST

109 PIT 10.0 (-110) William Hill vs 110 CLE	double-dime bet

Analysis:

I made this game Steelers +1 with Big Ben, and Rudolph is not a 9 point downgrade off of Big Ben. Yes, I know the Browns " need to win", but that is being overpriced, especially with Tomlin saying the Steelers will only be resting a select few starters and the Browns are dealing with potential availability issues with multiple offensive players.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

NFL GOY

Giants +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

7-Unit Play. #101. Take Washington Redskins -2 over Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday @ 8:20pm est)
Ron Rivera might make his first playoff game since 2015. I love that this team decided to let go of Dwayne Haskins as if you didn't have your players attentions before, you ceratinly have it now. Why aren't moe people talking about the Redskins? This team is favored here for a reason. They were the first team to beat the Steelers. They nearly beat the Seahawks - and that was with Hasksins who was not playing well. They nearly beat a very good Panthers team but had to overcome 2 interceptions by Haskins and Heinke played well. If anyone tells you Heinke is not a good player, laugh it off. He threw for a touchdown and is a relatively effective quarterback and he knows this Ron Rivera system inside and out - he was with him in Carolina. The Redskins are playing loose, they have one of the best defensive fronts in all of Football and frankly, Washington has quality playmakers that can get it done too. Remember, Washington is 6-9 but 5 of those losses are to above .500 who are playoff teams or seeking the playoffs. They never did great against the Giants but that's also because they didn't get good QB play at that time with Haskins. This team really believes in Smith or Heinike as Heinike played ball at Old Dominion, he's always been an underdog and I think this defense can go against anyone and do well. We roll with the Redskins defense to make life hell for Hurts.


3-Unit Play. #131. Take Arizona Cardinals -3 over LA Rams (Sunday @ 4:25pm est)
The Cardinals went on the road to beat the Giants when they were coming off that hail mary loss if you remember. This team when the deck is stacked against them, they always step up. They lost to these Rams by 10 earlier this year but the difference here is the Cardinals have the best player, Hopkins, and they are dynamic on offense as Murray will play this game in order to make the playoffs. The Rams have no juice at all at this point - losing to the Jets and then following it up with a 9-20 loss at Seattle. Horrible, stick a fork in the Rams, they are done.


3-Unit Play. #107. Take Under 45 Dallas vs. New York Giants (Sunday @ 1pm est)
The last time these two teams faced each other, well over 60 points were scored. The Cowboys know the plaoyffs are on the line, they played decent defense against the Eagles of late and they have really shored up their defense as well as their running game of late. Plus, we like that this team plays before the Sunday Night game so they have to win. The same goes for the Giants whose strenght is that defensive front and after a couple of dud games, they show up too as we see this game going under this time around.

3-Unit Play. #121. Take Baltimore Ravens -12 over the Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday @ 1pm est)
You think these Ravens take a Bengals team lightly who beat the Steelers? No way. The Bengals then turn around and beat the Texans. The Bengals might not have Higgins in this game as well as Boyd, the Ravens will not take this team lightly, they are not in the playoffs yet, they need to win this game and take care of business and we see them not taking the Bengals lightly and will give it everything they have to ensure they likely post a win here.

3-Unit Play. #114. Take Carolina Panthers +6.5 over New Orleans Saints (Sunday @ 1pm est)
Bridgewater gets to face his old team that he went 5-0 for. The Panthers just went and beat the Redskins, have a fantastic defense that keeps getting better, this is their Super Bowl if you will, their playoff game and this team will want to keep building. This team has not quite at all and frankly, I think no coach has done more with less than Matt Rhule has. Ron Rivera inhereted a great defense - Rhule had all young guys and did great. Panthers play their hearts out and stay within the number here against the Saints.

3-Unit Play. #120. Take Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7 over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday @ 1pm est)
The Bucs were down by 17 points against the Falcons last time. No way they take them lightly this time. They were behind badly and then Brady did what he always does to my Falcons, he came back and beat them late. The Falcons have played great given their coach got fired and had a phenomenal game against the Chiefs, but they run into a Bucs team that wants to set history for Mike Evans as first player in Football in the NFL to get 7 straight 1,000+ Yard Seasons as he beats Randy Moss. Bucs have some seeding issues to deal with too, Falcons play hard, but Bucs don't take them lightly and start fast here and get it done.

[dawggy]

LAS VEGAS CRIS




Game: (119) Atlanta Falcons at (120) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date/Time: Jan 3 2021 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.0 (-114)


Tampa Bay -6 -115 (4%) This game qualifies at -6.





Game: (101) Washington Football Team at (102) Philadelphia Eagles
Date/Time: Jan 3 2021 8:20 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Football Team -125[/QUOTE]


Game: (117) Minnesota Vikings at (118) Detroit Lions
Date/Time: Jan 3 2021 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Detroit Lions +7.0 (-120)

Detroit Lions +7 (4%)
I dropped the ball on this one a bit. I ignored the game while worrying about all the Playoff scenarios in the other games. I'm a etroit fans and sometimes a little jaded, or I intentionally avoid Lions games. Etroit, has been officially renamed after last week because there is no “D” in Motown, as all were able to view last week on national TV.
Metrics have these teams even. Yes, I said that, and its true. I didn't believe it 1st either. Minnesota moved down to 31st in defense after that Saints beatdown that we had fun betting straight up and teasing. (Lost the under barely) sigh, MN has the 16th rated offense. Lions #19 offense somehow, and only the 24th D, The Lions come out as slightly better overall. So, I'm thinking to myself this week, i don't need to be throwing some garbage games in needlessly, lets tread lightly. For anyone still reading this, you should be wondering when I'm going to say it. I say it every week, and frankly, I don't recall the last game that we lost with our Mantra. I'll repeat it again because its music to our ears with so many successful wagers behind us.
Dont bet bad teams! Unless, they are getting points from another bad team!
I actually hadn't even thought about the Mantra until I started the write up. Lets get into what sounds supportive of our play. The Lions didn't get worse off injury wise, in fact, they are not in horrible shape. No Golladay, of course, but hes only played 3-4 games. Stafford is practicing lightly and wants to go. This guy is a real trouper, class act. Just like Verlander, if he can leave and be a winner elsewhere , more power to him. Indy < SF, NE, seem like possible fits. Stafford may sit out, but there is a serviceable backup that isn't making his 1st NFL start, unlike those Rams this week. Vikings have big issues. Cook has that offense run around him and when hes not there, oh boy, they have issues. Sadly, his father passed away and he will miss the game. Their kicker Baily is banged up and not practicing, the already horrid secondary is going to be stopping by the Home Depot parking lot for help on the way to the stadium, and there are all kinds of other significant injuries that are big issues.
I'm going over the injury reports, picturing Stafford playing at home off a humiliating loss that everyone talked about for days, against the Vikings with no corners, no cook and a plethora of other injured playes, and I'm getting 7 points. SOLD!
I couldn't believe the 7's were still available. People are sleeping on this one, even if Stafford can't go, this is an incredible value to have in a game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Jan 3 2021 4:25PM
132 LOS 3.5(-110) Southpoint vs 131 ARI double-dime bet

Analysis: The Rams defense matches up well against Kyler Murray. All season the Rams defense has limited mobile quarterbacks from running for big yardage, and Kyler Murray is one of the most run dependent quarterbacks in the NFL. Further complicating matters is the fact that Murray has a lower body injury that could impact his rushing ability. In Murray's previous matchup against the Rams, Murray threw for only 4.4 YPP despite completing a wide open 59 yard touchdown pass on his first throw due to a coverage bust.


The Cardinals offense is limited, and is dependent on Murray's rushing, and DeAndre Hopkins in the passing game. The Rams can shadow Hopkins with arguably the best cornerback in football in Jalen Ramsey.


As you can tell, I think the Rams defense can dominate this game. What about the Rams new quarterback John Wolford?


I will put my faith in Sean McVay as a play caller in this one. McVay has absolutely shredded the Cardinals during his tenure as the Rams head coach. McVay is 7-0 ATS against Arizona, and has won those games by an average of 21 points per game.


Wolford does have some mobility, and the Cardinals are 30th in the league in rushing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks. Expect McVay to run the ball on a Cardinals defense ranked 26th in YPA allowed, and for McVay to run lots of bootlegs with Wolford.


Wolford just needs to not screw this game up, and cover a ugly, defensive battle. I expect that he will.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc sports

nfl

6-gbay-5.5
4-philly+120
3-denver-2.5
3-colts-14
2-browns-9
2-miami+3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Martin Green

English Premier League

Chelsea vs. Manchester City

Manchester City to win (+130)
Under 3.5 goals (-200)

Manchester City will head to London to face Chelsea on Sunday after managing to contain a COVID-19 outbreak on the squad.

Positive tests for defender Kyle Walker, striker Gabriel Jesus and two members of the backroom staff were confirmed on Christmas Day. Both players missed Man City's 2-0 victory over Newcastle on December 26.

The club then revealed positive test results for three more players on Monday, causing its scheduled clash with Everton to be abandoned. However, officials revealed a round of negative tests Thursday morning and announced that the training ground has re-opened.

The eagerly anticipated clash between Chelsea and Man City will go ahead as planned, and the latter should be fresh and ready for action. The players will have enjoyed more than a week of rest by the time they face Chelsea, whereas the Blues were in action against Aston Villa on Monday.

Lampard Under Pressure

A header by Olivier Giroud gave Chelsea a 1-0 lead in that game, but Aston Villa's Anwar El Ghazi crashed in a second-half equalizer to earn his team a point. Chelsea has picked up just one win in its last five games.

The Blues lost 1-0 against Everton on Dec. 12 were edged 2-1 by Wolverhampton three days later. Chelsea beat West Ham 3-0 four days before Christmas but lost to Arsenal 3-1 in their big Boxing Day clash before drawing with Aston Villa.

Chelsea has slipped to sixth place in the standings, and manager Frank Lampard will be feeling the heat after a disastrous run of results.

Man City is even in points with Chelsea but has two games in hand. If it wins both, it would be just one point behind league-leading Liverpool. Manager Pep Guardiola will have his troops fired up for this game, and Man City should win if it plays to its full potential.

Aguero Back from Injury

Man City has not revealed which three players tested positive for COVID-19 earlier in the week. Therefore, it might be prudent to check the starting lineup before betting on this game.

The squad is large and talented, and it can deal with the absences of Walker and Gabriel. But it could struggle if several other senior players are missing.

Star striker Sergio Aguero is back from injury, and Man City fans should be full of confidence if he lines up alongside Kevin De Bruyne, Raheem Sterling and Bernardo Silva for this game. Ruben Dias and John Stones have formed a strong defensive partnership, Joao Cancelo can fill in for Walker at right back and Fernandinho is a strong anchor at midfield.

Chelsea has missed injured playmaker Hakim Ziyech badly. New signings Timo Werner and Kai Havertz have not yet adapted to the pace of the Premier League, while the Blues' defense looks suspect. If Man City is able to put out a strong starting 11, it should win this game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog

NFL

Denver +3 vs las vegas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hank Goldberg

Colts -14
Washington -1.5