Service Plays Sunday 1/10/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | 01/10 | 8:15 PM EST
PITTSBURGH -6
ANALYSIS: Kevin Stefanski isn't only the Browns' head coach, he's their playcaller. So Cleveland is at a massive disadvantage entering Sunday night's playoff game at Pittsburgh. The Steelers righted the ship with a huge second-half comeback over Indianapolis in Week 16. Then Ben Roethlisberger got some much-needed rest. This spread could rise even higher as Cleveland continues to deal with COVID-related issues. Lay the points.

+1120 18-6-2 IN LAST 26 NFL ATS PICKS
+455 10-5 IN LAST 15 PIT ATS PICKS
+56 5-4-3 IN LAST 12 CLE ATS PICKS
3:09 PM

BALTIMORE @ TENNESSEE | 01/10 | 1:05 PM EST
BALTIMORE -3
ANALYSIS: This pick isn't so much about the revenge narrative, as it is about Baltimore's defense. It's getting healthier. Defensive end Yannick Ngakoue and cornerback Jimmy Smith could return for this game. Calais Campbell, Marcus Peters, Derek Wolfe and others all missed time in the second half of the year but all are back now. Willie Snead also might return, giving Lamar Jackson another weapon. And J.K. Dobbins (6.0 ypc) is peaking at the end of his rookie season. The Ravens have covered six straight, and their five-game win streak includes four victories by at least 14 points. Lay the field goal.

+1120 18-6-2 IN LAST 26 NFL ATS PICKS
+1157 19-7-1 IN LAST 27 TEN ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 10:31 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | 01/10 | 8:15 PM EST
PITTSBURGH -6
ANALYSIS: The Browns might have reached a tipping point in their third consecutive week of Covid-19 hassles. Kevin Stefanski, a favorite for Coach of the Year, will stay home after testing positive. So will two other coaches and two players -- for now. OG Joel Bitonio is a three-time Pro Bowler. Other Browns on the inactive list last week have yet to be released. Cleveland’s first playoff berth since 2002 overshadows the fact that it has covered only three times in the last 14 road games. The past half-dozen trips to Pittsburgh have produced one cover. The Steelers are gold at home in the postseason, at 7-2 ATS, and QB Ben Roethlisberger and teammates who bypassed last Sunday’s encounter with Cleveland will be fresh.

+660 23-15-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS
+585 8-2-2 IN LAST 12 CLE ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 PIT ATS PICKS
TUE 1/5


BALTIMORE @ TENNESSEE | 01/10 | 1:05 PM EST
BALTIMORE -3
ANALYSIS: No playoff participant is hotter than the Ravens. After running into a midseason trough that included an overtime loss to Tennessee, they have blistered the last five foes by an average of 19.4 points per game. Titans RB Derrick Henry could bedevil Baltimore, but who doesn’t he carve up? Points should be no problem for the Ravens, given that Tennessee yielded 55 touchdowns, fourth most in the league. Baltimore is converting more than half of its third-down conversions lately. A continuance means Henry and company stay on the sidelines. Grab this line in case the hook is added later.

+660 23-15-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS
+905 18-8 IN LAST 26 BAL ATS PICKS
+714 17-9 IN LAST 26 TEN ATS PICKS
WED 1/6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hank Goldberg

CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | 01/10 | 8:15 PM EST
PITTSBURGH -6
ANALYSIS: People are underestimating the Steelers because of that three-game losing streak. But the team is getting healthier at the right time, and quarterback Ben Roethlisberger owns the Browns; he is 23-2-1 against Cleveland in his career. The Browns' losing coach and primary play-caller Kevin Stefanski to COVID-19 is a huge blow. Pittsburgh provides value at -6.

+445 21-15-3 IN LAST 39 NFL ATS PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 CLE ATS PICKS
+290 4-1 IN LAST 5 PIT ATS PICKS
WED 1/6

BALTIMORE @ TENNESSEE | 01/10 | 1:05 PM EST
BALTIMORE -3.5
ANALYSIS: Baltimore is hot right now, winning five in a row. The Ravens' running game has been unstoppable in those five straight wins. The Titans horrible defense won't be able to stop Lamar Jackson, J.K. Dobbins and Co. I don't care that Tennessee beat Baltimore last year; the Titans defense is not as good this season.

+445 21-15-3 IN LAST 39 NFL ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 TEN ATS PICKS
WED 1/6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

Double Play
Saints -10

Single Plays
Titans +3.5
Beas-Saints under 47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KIEV O'NEIL

Sun - Iowa -7.5 – 3 stars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Pittsburg Steelers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

7 - Ravens -3
3 - under 47.5 Bears/Saints
3 - Browns +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

7 - Titans +3.5
3 - over 54.5 Titans/Ravens

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

5 - Ravens -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog

NFL

Baltimore -3 vs tennesee

[golden contender]

Rob V: Sunday Comp Play

Sunday NFL Wild Card Play of the Year with a Perfect System dating to 1990 and a 6* on Sunday night NFL. In hoops the lead is the Missouri Valley play of the Month and NBA. Comp play below.

The NBA Comp play is on The LA. Clippers at 4;00 eastern. The Clips have a way of bouncing back off a bad loss and they were beat by 10 in Golden St last out. Now they take on a Bulls team on the last of a game road trip and off a close loss. LA fits a nice 80% system here pertaining to rested home favorites of 10 or more off a spread loss of 10 or more as a road favorite where they turned it over 15+ times and allowed 110 or more vs a team that covered as a road dog of 5 or more. Look for the Clips to coast and cover here. On Sunday another huge NFL Playoff vard up and backed by our Wild Card game of the year early and a late 6* Divisional play. The Missouri Valley Play of the Month leads the Way in NCAAB Along with NBA. See us on facebook to Jump on Now as we continue to cash. For the NBA Comp play. Play on the LA. Clippers. Rob V- GC Sports.

[zsafern84]

Philly Whale

*20* Unit Max Play NFL [147] TOTAL o54-110 (BALTIMORE RAVENS vrs TENNESSEE TITANS)

*10* Unit Play NFL [152] PITTSBURGH STEELERS -6 -110

[zsafern84]

Oskeim Sports
Pitt -6

[Lexdeoh20189]

Prediction Machine : Chicago Bears at New Orleans Saints (NO -10, O/U 47)

PICK: Under 47

Mitchell Trubisky will start his second career playoff game in the Superdome this Sunday against the Saints hoping for a better outcome than his first appearance, which culminated in the now-infamous double doink. Since Trubisky’s re-insertion as the starter in Week 12, the Bears averaged over 30 points per game with the former second-overall pick contributing 11 total touchdowns while coughing up seven turnovers.

Quarterbacking the home team will of course be Drew Brees, who essentially has a full season of playoff games under his belt and will add his 17th appearance to the list this weekend. Brees will almost certainly clear the 5,000-yard passing mark in his NFL postseason career (he’ll enter with 4,967) and leads an offense which has tallied 85 points in their last two games. The Saints are the clear betting favorites in this Wild Card matchup, currently sitting as 10-point favorites over the visiting Bears.

Our NFL model agrees that Sean Payton’s squad deserves to be large favorites in this one, projecting a final of 27.6-15.6 in favor of the Saints. While we have slight lean against the spread, our edge in this game really shows up when looking at the total. With 43.2 combined points projected and a total of 47, we have a solid edge on the under in this matchup. Our model suggests an $117 wager on UNDER 47 for an $100 average bettor.


Why will the total go UNDER?

Sunday’s game will be the only Wild Card matchup where both offenses finished outside the top 12 in yards per play this season. New Orleans landed 13th with 5.8 yards per play on the season, while Chicago managed a paltry 5.1 yards per play on the season which ranked 27th.

Both defenses enter above league average in yards per play allowed. New Orleans ranked fourth with 5.0 yards allowed per play this season and Chicago was 11th with 5.4 yards allowed per play. The Saints defense was suffocating in the second half of the season, surrendering just 18.2 points per game over their last nine. Both defenses rate out even better when looking at Football Outsiders’ defensive DVOA, where the Saints come in at No. 2 on the season and the Bears at No. 8.

Sean Payton and Matt Nagy both prefer to run slow-paced offenses in neutral game scripts. According to Football Outsiders, the Bears and Saints rank 26th and 27th in the league in seconds per play in neutral situations, respectively, indicating this matchup should feature methodical drives from each team

[rocky57]

Jonathan Willis (VegasInsider NFL) - Tennessee Titans +3.5