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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #1

    Friday 1/8/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #2
    Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 1/8/21


    January 8, 2021
    Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

    *

    Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
    *
    The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
    *
    *
    Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


    Click to view today’s Santa Anita Workout Report


    RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
    Use: 2-Blue Star; 3-Big Flint; 8-Circleofchampions

    Forecast: Many of these exit the same race, a maiden turf miler at Del Mar in mid-November and are hard to separate. Circleofchampions got into a speed duel in that race while having to deal with torrid early fractions and paid the price in the final furlong, weakening to wind up 10th without being knocked about in the closing stages. Today he removes blinkers, adds Lasix, and retains U. Rispoli, so this time with patient handling the C. Gaines-trained sophomore could improve considerably at a nice price. He’s 6-1 on the morning line so let’s go for a price and put him on top. Blue Starhad no visible mishap when sixth beaten just over two lengths in that same race but gets Lasix, blinkers, and a comfortable inside draw while retaining J. Rosario and therefore seems likely to produce a forward move at 5-1 on the morning line. Big Flintwas a race-shape aided runner-up in that same race in what was his debut and has every right to improve with that performance under his belt. He’s another adding Lasix for the first time and shows a steady, healthy work tab for P. Eurton, so we’ll include him as well, though at 9/5 on the morning line he’s probably not going to offer much wagering value.
    *
    *
    RACE 2: Post: 1:02 PT Grade: B-
    Use: 5-Vangogo; 7-Enriched by Deb

    Forecast: Enriched by Deb takes a nosedive in class and may have found her friends in this restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claiming sprint for fillies and mares. Freshened since early November, training well for R. Baltas, and with a prior win over the local main track, the daughter of Munnings should find herself on or near the lead throughout. Vangogo broke her maiden by herself at Los Alamitos last month and earned a fairly competitive speed figure in the process. This is a tougher group but the J. Wong-trained mare may be the quickest of the quick, so if she can get loose on the lead again she could take this field a very long way. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have a few extra tickets keying Enriched by Deb on top.
    *
    *
    RACE 3: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: B+
    Use: 6-Hail Freedom 10-That Corey

    Forecast: Hail Freedom flashed excellent speed before weakening in the lane in his debut sprinting on dirt last month in what was an extremely fast, highly-rated affair. Today, the D. O’Neill-trained colt stretches out to a distance he’s bred to like and switches to grass, a surface he’s bred to love. With the addition of Lasix and retaining J. Rosario in a race without much speed, the D. O’Neill-trained colt could easily take this group gate-to-wire and will offer good wagering value at or near his morning line of 3-1. For protection, you may want to include on a ticket or two That Corey, poorly drawn outside but with improving form for B. Cecil and with the always-dangerous two-sprints-and-a-stretch out pattern. We’re expecting the son of Square Eddie to be comfortably placed outside in a stalking position and then have every chance from the quarter pole home.
    *
    *
    RACE 4: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: B-
    Use: 2-Lunatic; 5-Agreetodisagree; 8-Peachtree Road

    Forecast Maiden 3-year-old fillies meet over a mile on the main track, with Peachtree Road showing the proper pattern (two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out) that often leads to a significant forward move. The daughter of Quality Road adds Lasix, retains M. Smith, and was a respectable third in a productive race last time out while earning a speed figure that projects to be good enough to beat this field. Lunatic also is adding Lasix and has two sprints under her belt so she, too, seems likely to improve over a distance of ground for the hot P. Miller barn. She’s slower on speed figures than our top pick but at least the numbers are moving in the right direction. Agreetodisagree, yet another with two solid educational sprint runs behind her, took the overland route to finish a credible fourth vs. similar in her most recent outing, adds Lasix, and projects to be forwardly placed early and then have her chance late.
    *
    *
    RACE 5: Post: 2:34 PT Grade: B-
    Use: 3-Windy City Red; 6-Gator Shining

    Forecast This race is loaded with speed – Teton Valley, Exhalting and Superman Shaq are among those that have only one way to go – so let’s zero in on a pair of contenders who have shown the ability to settle early and produce a late run. Gator Shining adds Lasix and graduated gamely when rallying from mid-pack at Del Mar in his second career start in mid-November. The R. Baltas-trained colt should once again be able to settle early and produce a good late kick. Windy City Red was overmatched in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint-G1 at Keeneland but before that ran quite well over this turf course when third beaten just a half-length in the Speakeasy S. during the fall meeting. The J. Wong-trained colt adds Lasix and vans down from Golden Gate Fields where he’s been training steadily but unable to race due to the track’s temporary closure.
    *
    *
    RACE 6: Post: 3:03 PT Grade: B
    Use: 8-Sybil’s Kitty; 9-Wandering Patrol

    Forecast: Sybil’s Kitty returns to her favorite track – both of her wins were earned over the Santa Anita dirt strip – so we’re expecting this K. Mulhall-trained mare to regain her winning form in this soft $10,000 claiming sprint for fillies and mares. She should be part of the pace throughout in a field without much projected speed. Wandering Patrol is guaranteed an in-the-clear stalking journey from her outside draw, and in her first start in a claimer the daughter of Square Eddie could improve considerably at this level. Way back in the spring of 2018 the B. Cecil-trained mare broke her maiden at first asking over this track and distance. We’ll try to get by using just these two in our rolling exotics with a preference on top to Sybil’s Kitty.
    *
    *
    RACE 7: Post: 3:32 PT Grade: B+
    Single: 3-Salvator Mundi

    Forecast: Salvator Mundi was beaten a neck when third in a similar affair at Del Mar in mid-November and not much more will be needed to return to winning form in this competitive turf miler for allowance optional claiming older horses. Successful over this course and distance last summer and with strong, consistent recent speed figures, the P. D’Amato-trained gelding retains regular U. Rispoli and projects to settle in an ideal second flight, stalking position and then kick home when called upon. At 4-1 on the morning line, he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
    *
    *
    RACE 8: Post: 4:01 PT Grade: B
    Use: 1-Zestful; 8-Pubilius Syrus

    Forecast: Ex-classer Pubilius Syrus has really gotten good of late, winning his last three with authority while earning consistently rising speed figures, most recently at Los Alamitos in a starter’s allowance race with a number just three points below his career best. With a nice five furlong workout since raced, the V. Cerin-trained horse seems set for another major effort, so with the patient ride he requires and a bit of help up front the son of Candy Rise looks capable of extending his streak. Zestful will employ gate-to-wire tactics from the rail and if not pressured early seems likely to take this field a very long way. A 10-time winning son of Ghostzapper, the veteran gelding shortens from nine furlongs to a flat mile, a distance that has produced four of his victories, and his recent numbers make him dangerous once again. We’ll prefer Pubilius Cyrus slightly on top but use both in our rolling exotics.
    *
    *
    RACE 9: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B-
    Use: 2-Foray; 6-Worthy Turk; 7-Fly to Mars

    Forecast: Fly to Mars went too fast too early and paid the price when fading back to seventh in a tougher optional $40,000 grass affair at Del Mar in late November but against this softer crew the P. Miller-trained gelding should return to good form. He prefers the front end, but with Foray drawn inside of him and likely to employ gate-to-wire tactics the veteran gelding should be content with a pace-stalking journey, a trip that he’s been successful with in the past. “Win rider” F. Prat gets back aboard and the work tab in recent weeks at San Luis Rey Downs looks steady and healthy. Worthy Turk does his best work over this course and at this mile trip. With the switch to F. Prat and the class drop to the $25,000 level he could be dangerous as a deep closer should a legitimate pace materialize. Foray, away for 11 months and returning for a moderate tag, has a condition question but if ready certainly can be dangerous on the front end. He’s shown a liking for the local lawn in the past, so we’ll include him in our rolling exotic play, at least as a back-up or a saver.
    *
    *
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #3
      Friday, January 8: Frank Carulli's Stronach 5 Picks

      January 7, 2021 | By Frank Carulli

      LEG A // LAUREL // RACE 8 (3:55PM ET) // OPTIONAL CLAIMING // 1 1/16 MILES (DIRT)

      JOURNEYTOTHEMOON saved ground, eased out to the favorable part of the racetrack and surged late to defeat a next-out, 14-length winner in her 6F debut. Her sire, Tourist, was a multiple Grade I winner going a route of ground. WONDERWALL buried $25,000 maiden claimers, but she enters a 33-percent claim barn, gets a hot apprentice jockey and offers a tempting price. LOVE IN HER EYES improved with blinkers, won a MSW route for her new connections, now gets Lasix.

      LEG B // LAUREL // RACE 9 (4:25PM ET) // CLAIMING // 7 FURLONGS (DIRT)

      CRUSH IT, third in the Maryland Million Starter Handicap at this distance two starts back, was the beaten favorite in a follow-up key race won by Manolette (14-46, $289k). NOVA BOY, first or second in 19 of 34 starts, packed late wallop in short sprints and got up to win in his second start for this barn. CANDYGRAMFORMONGO, a heavily-bet sprinter and 3-5 at Laurel Park, tries longer distance for 44-percent claim barn.

      LEG C // SANTA ANITA // RACE 3 (4:32PM ET) // MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT // 1 MILE (TURF)

      J C EXPRESS showed a pulse in becoming the only Cal-bred in the field with turf routing experience and gets in light-weighted. BUKAYO'S hopes to follow the lead of his half brother, Kakistocracy, who graduated in his second start on the stretch-out to one mile off a 5F sprint debut. HAIL FREEDOM chased a 2-1 debut winner through fast splits before tiring at 6-1/2F on the main track.

      LEG D // GULFSTREAM // RACE 9 (4:42PM ET) // CLAIMING // 5 FURLONGS (TURF)

      UNCAGE THE CAT has shown marked improvement, overcame trouble to break his maiden off a four-month layoff and is confidently spotted by top trainer. STAR WEAVER shook a duel, opened up and got caught late in the same spot.

      LEG E // GULFSTREAM // RACE 10 (5:13PM ET) // MAIDEN CLAIMING // 1 MILE (TURF)

      Pletcher firster SIX MINUS is a son of English Channel; his mare was unraced but a sibling to four turf winners. He has a series of works dating to the fall at Saratoga. BOURBON THUNDER took money in both starts, has turf influence on both sides, is a first-time gelding and can be used at 15-1.

      SUGGESTED $1 STRONACH 5 TICKET

      LEG A: 2, 3, 4
      LEG B: 5, 7, 8
      LEG C: 1, 5, 6
      LEG D: 1, 4
      LEG E: 4, 11
      TICKET COST: $108.00
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #4
        Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Pick 5 Analysis


        January 8, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
        Race 1

        5-My Pal Joe (3-1)-
        8-Always And Again (5-1)-

        Race 2

        2-So So De Vie (3-1)-
        3-Keyston Honor (10-1)-
        4-Western Redhot (7/2)-

        Race 3

        4-No Time To Play (10-1)-
        6-I Got The Looks (6-1)-
        8-Graceful Winner (9/2)-
        9-Swan In Motion (7/2)-


        Race 4

        1-Sugar Town (9/2)-
        5-Toppville Olympian (8-1)-
        7-Saying Grace N (3-1)-

        Race 5

        1-Semi Tough (5-1) -
        5-JK Will Power (10-1)-
        8-Stonedust (7/2)-

        $43.20
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Laurel Park - Race #3
          #5 Passage of Lines Price player is worth a small look while adding Lasix. He has been in a bit tough with this kind in the past, but he's still not very far off what it'd take to score with this group, and perhaps the addition of Lasix pushes him over the top at a nice number.
          #6 San Antone Has a right to be tough with these on big drop out of stakes company, but prior to that she rolled a maiden group by better than six lengths, so this drop doesn't feel very comforting when an N1X could be waiting out there for him.
          #3 Cohodes Steps up in price to try winners for the first time off that romping maiden win last out, and he added blinkers that day, so it might be worth taking that effort with softer at face value.
          Race Summary Passage of Lines gets Lasix for this off a dull run at this level, but the cutback may work in his favor for a run from off the pace.
          Laurel Park - Race #6
          #2 In the Loop He won't be any kind of price here, but he looks like a pretty solid single in any multi-race plays. His early speed keeps him in the game from the start, and any of his last four efforts would likely make short work of these.
          #5 Abuelo Paps Reliable underneath type has proven a good fit at this level, but he also doesn't seem to have much upside to jump up with the kind of race it'd take to land this. Not impossible, but it feels like he'll need a misfire from the top choice.
          #1 Absolved Looks quite a bit like Abuelo Paps in that he doesn't often seriously threaten a race winner, but he pretty reliably finishes underneath, and these two look like the right ones to complete a pretty logical Trifecta.
          Race Summary In the Loop should be a handful here. His forward ability puts him in the mix, and the main dangers on paper are perpetual underneath nibblers who probably need to top choice to not show up with his best if they're going to land this one.
          Laurel Park - Race #8
          #5 Guns Blazing Went evenly in the stakes try last out off the maiden win, and she should be able to find a great spot spying the pace while getting into a much easier spot this time around.
          #3 Journeytothemoon Swift maiden win at 11/1 coupled with the addition of Lasix here make this filly a real danger right back while trying winners. I'll take the 'other Trombetta.'
          #7 Champagne Toast She has been in with softer groups, but I like the way she has been coming forward in each start as the distance increases, culminating in that maiden win at this trip last out. Underneath slice with winners at a price?
          Race Summary Guns Blazing and Journeytothemoon race out of the same barn, but the former will offer a better price as the quick recent maiden winner is sure to take more action.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #6
            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


            Freehold - Race #1
            #5 MI NINA BONITA Good form late in 4yo season, benefits from Big M tries, today's Best Bet.
            #7 LITTLE DARE DEVIL Returns from Yonkers, led field with three wins in 2020.
            #2 LOOKOUT STOKK ZONE Rallied into sloooow pace for third, draws inside.
            Race Summary Mi Nina Bonita appears a risky play as the fave with a 1-26 record last year, but she should overpower this field. She was trapped in the third quarter behind a runaway winner at the Meadowlands two back but finished willingly, then raced close-up in a faster-paced follow-up.
            Meadowlands - Race #1
            #4 PIRAEUS At proper level, speed to factor, good value play.
            #8 POSTMODERNISM Solid connections, experience at larger oval, wake-up possible.
            #5 BREAK THE DEAL Three-peat bid was foiled on transition to one-mile oval.
            Race Summary Piraeus is a steady check-getter with a recent runner-up finish and troubled fourth at this level. She should be forwardly placed a long way on her return to the Big M. Play a 4-5-8 exacta box.
            Meadowlands - Race #4
            #7 RUBY ON RAILS Right set-up, right price for late-running invader.
            #5 JOE'S SIGN Best numbers, proven at nw/3 level but broke stride at odds-on in latest.
            #6 KRISPY GINGER Out-kicked in slow final quarter, ran second, takes on elders.
            Race Summary Ruby On Rails rallied to finish in the money behind a pair of repeat winners at Woodbine-Mohawk Park. She should get plenty of pace to rally into at a tempting price. Play a 7-ALL exacta.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #7
              Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


              Gulfstream Park - Race #3
              #7 Sweet Story Ran on for fourth last time out and looks headed in the right direction; late threat.
              #2 Scatnap Has run some good races over this turf and can be close to the action from the outset.
              #3 Oblio 's Wish Tired last out but has had some good race over this course; pace factor today.
              Race Summary Sweet Story has a come-from-behind that doesn't lend itself to consistency but keeps Saez and likely would be a little closer to the early action.
              Gulfstream Park - Race #7
              #3 Exchange Day Shoots for his third straight win. His last one was on the turf and he's gone wire to wire in his last two.
              #2 Nitro Time Was a clear winner last time in his first over the course and was claimed by Joseph, who has a sparkling 33-percent success rate in the first after a claim.
              #7 Alabama Slammer Wore down a group in his debut in a race that came off the turf; bred for grass and has speed.
              Race Summary Exchange Day is on a roll and has the speed to be a factor from the beginning; the one to catch.
              Gulfstream Park - Race #8
              #1 Sayonara Baby Ran on for fourth last time and can benefit from a ground-saving trip; one to hold off at this level.
              #4 Bramble Berry Held on for second in a fast race last time and could get back to winning ways; has been in some tough races lately.
              #3 Comp'd Was an easy winner in her only start and her performance was good enough to render her a legit threat here.
              Race Summary Sayonara Baby has a decent closing move and will get a good pace ahead of her; her rally will make her dangerous.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #8
                Brian Bitler - NCAAB - Fri, Jan 08 at 7:00 PM
                Brian’s 9* CBB Executive Order

                Purdue vs Michigan State
                Michigan State -4 (-115) (BookMaker)

                Two teams heading in different directions Purdue losers of two straight now take on a Spartans team that has found itself and knows it needs to not just win but blow out teams to impress the tournament committee for March Madness. This is a great revenge spot for Michigan State who got blown out last time these two teams met last January. Look for an all out effort from the Spartans here. Home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Investment of 9 units on Michigan State here rotation #860
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #9
                  Sean Murphy - NBA - Fri, Jan 08 at 7:05 PM
                  Sean Murphy's Friday NBA Winner

                  Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons
                  Detroit Pistons +6.5 (-105) (BetOnline)

                  Friday NBA Free play. My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Phoenix at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I don't know how easy it's going to be for the Suns to make the long trip to Detroit for a Friday night game against the 1-7 Pistons, especially considering they're off a five-game stretch that saw them face the Pelicans, Jazz, Nuggets, Clippers and Raptors - all playoff contenders at the very least. Detroit, meanwhile, is off tough back-to-back games in Milwaukee. What more could have been expected other than two double-digit losses? There aren't likely to be many high points in this season for the Pistons, but here I look for them to get up for the Suns as they start a four-game homestand. Keep in mind, Detroit has defeated Boston at home this season so it is capable of rising to the occasion. We'll grab all the points we can get in a game that might be closer than most expect. Take Detroit (8*).
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #10
                    Will Rogers - NBA - Fri, Jan 08 at 10:00 PM
                    Will's TOP FREE NBA Play!

                    Bulls/Lakers
                    Lakers -9.5 (-110) (BookMaker)

                    The set-up: Chicago upset Portland, then lost a close one in Sacramento. Chicago will be without Lauri Markkanen, Tomas Satoransky, Chandler Hutchison and Ryan Arcidiacono will all miss the game due to the NBA’s health and safety protocols (all have missed the last five games as well.) Zach LaVine is a great player, but after losing badly at home to the Spurs last night, I expect the Lakers to lay the hammer down here as they look to avoid dropping two in a row at home. The pick: LA is 5-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. teams with winning road records as well, while Chicago is a poor 4-9-1 ATS In its last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight-up record. Consider the Lakers on Friday night. This is a 1* FREE PLAY on LA.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #11
                      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita Park

                      Santa Anita Park - Race 8
                      $1 Exacta / $0.50Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
                      SO $40,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 4 and up CR: 103 • Purse: $42,000 • Post: 4:01P
                      FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS IN 2019 - 2021 OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE JULY 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $35,000 2 LBS.(WINNERS OF AN ALLOWANCE RACE OR HIGHER FROM 2019-21 WILL CARRY 126 POUNDS.).
                      Contenders
                      Race Analysis
                      P#
                      Horse
                      Morn
                      Line
                      Accept
                      Odds

                      Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ZESTFUL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ZESTFUL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/su rface. PUBILIUS SYRUS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TWO THIRTY FIVE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                      1
                      ZESTFUL
                      5/2
                      5/2
                      8
                      PUBILIUS SYRUS
                      3/1
                      8/1
                      2
                      TWO THIRTY FIVE
                      3/1
                      9/1

                      P#
                      Horse (In Running Style Order)
                      Post
                      Morn
                      Line
                      Running Style
                      Good
                      Class
                      Good
                      Speed
                      Early Figure
                      Finish Figure
                      Platinum
                      Figure
                      1
                      ZESTFUL
                      1
                      5/2
                      Front-runner
                      104
                      100
                      101.5
                      101.5
                      98.5
                      2
                      TWO THIRTY FIVE
                      2
                      3/1
                      Alternator/Stalker
                      105
                      102
                      81.2
                      92.8
                      88.8
                      4
                      TRUTH SEEKER
                      4
                      6/1
                      Alternator/Stalker
                      101
                      96
                      74.6
                      93.4
                      81.4
                      6
                      HEARTFULLOFSTARS
                      6
                      15/1
                      Trailer
                      104
                      96
                      79.6
                      81.5
                      72.0
                      8
                      PUBILIUS SYRUS
                      8
                      3/1
                      Trailer
                      102
                      102
                      57.5
                      99.6
                      92.1
                      7
                      SYNTHESIS
                      7
                      8/1
                      Alternator/Non-contender
                      105
                      97
                      92.2
                      90.2
                      81.2
                      5
                      UNBROKEN STAR
                      5
                      5/1
                      Alternator/Non-contender
                      106
                      100
                      85.4
                      89.2
                      79.2
                      3
                      TOBACCO ROAD
                      3
                      30/1
                      Alternator/Non-contender
                      96
                      99
                      84.6
                      67.2
                      51.2
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #12
                        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Stronach 5



                        Stronach 5 - Race 4
                        Leg D of the Stronach 5 Race 9 from Gulfstream
                        Claiming $20,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 4 and up CR: 86 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 4:42P
                        GP - R9 - (RAIL AT 84 FEET). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $16,000 2 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS)
                        Contenders
                        Race Analysis
                        P#
                        Horse
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Accept
                        Odds

                        Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * OUR DESTINY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. SURPRISE FAC TOR: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. STAR WEAVER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. HUSHED HIJINKS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. WILD ONE FOREVER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
                        5
                        OUR DESTINY
                        10/1
                        5/1
                        2
                        SURPRISE FACTOR
                        7/2
                        6/1
                        1
                        STAR WEAVER
                        5/2
                        6/1
                        7
                        HUSHED HIJINKS
                        9/2
                        9/1
                        8
                        WILD ONE FOREVER
                        20/1
                        10/1

                        P#
                        Horse (In Running Style Order)
                        Post
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Running Style
                        Good
                        Class
                        Good
                        Speed
                        Early Figure
                        Finish Figure
                        Platinum
                        Figure
                        5
                        OUR DESTINY
                        5
                        10/1
                        Front-runner
                        89
                        90
                        102.6
                        78.0
                        71.5
                        9
                        VALID EXCHANGE
                        9
                        20/1
                        Front-runner
                        76
                        79
                        73.3
                        70.2
                        57.2
                        7
                        HUSHED HIJINKS
                        7
                        9/2
                        Alternator/Front-runner
                        78
                        69
                        86.5
                        76.9
                        69.9
                        2
                        SURPRISE FACTOR
                        2
                        7/2
                        Stalker
                        90
                        83
                        86.4
                        80.4
                        72.9
                        3
                        SOUL REFLECTION
                        3
                        10/1
                        Stalker
                        79
                        74
                        33.6
                        64.4
                        51.9
                        1
                        STAR WEAVER
                        1
                        5/2
                        Alternator/Stalker
                        84
                        84
                        91.3
                        77.8
                        73.3
                        4
                        UNCAGE THE CAT
                        4
                        4/1
                        Alternator/Stalker
                        78
                        83
                        74.7
                        62.6
                        49.1
                        6
                        BALABAN
                        6
                        12/1
                        Trailer
                        85
                        70
                        0.0
                        59.7
                        41.7
                        8
                        WILD ONE FOREVER
                        8
                        20/1
                        Alternator/Trailer
                        94
                        83
                        57.2
                        77.2
                        67.2
                        10
                        SAGE CANYON
                        10
                        30/1
                        Alternator/Non-contender
                        66
                        82
                        60.5
                        71.1
                        55.1
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #13
                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.




                          Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $44000 Class Rating: 89

                          FOR STATE BRED FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 MAIDEN RACES NOT CONSIDERED

                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 4 BRAMBLE BERRY 5/2
                          # 5 LET'S BE HONEST 3/1
                          # 6 SUNSET EMPIRE 7/2
                          BRAMBLE BERRY looks competitive to best this field. Earned a very good Equibase speed fig last time out. Has performed solidly lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 80 avg speed figure. Has ran soundly in dirt sprint races. LET'S BE HONEST - With a solid jockey who has won at a solid 16 percent clip over the last month. This has to be one of the top selections. Could beat this group given the 85 Equibase Speed Figure posted in her last outing. SUNSET EMPIRE - Like the finish positions in the last few races. Has been racing very well and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today's distance.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #14
                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                            Aqueduct - Race #1 - Post: 12:50pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $33,000 Class Rating: 66

                            Rating:

                            #2 BLACK LIMO (ML=6/1)
                            #8 LOTSNLOTSOFCHROME (ML=3/1)


                            BLACK LIMO - Faced tougher in the last race at Woodbine. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this one on my list of strong contenders. LOTSNLOTSOFCHROME - Was in a Maiden Special race at Aqueduct last race out. That contest had a class rating of 90 and he is moving down right here in this race. A certain solid contender. A great handicapping angle is getting Lasix for the first time. Nevin gives it to this one for this event.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #3 ROMANTIC MAN (ML=4/1), #7 GRAPE SODA (ML=6/1), #9 OHYOUDIDNTKNOW (ML=6/1),

                            ROMANTIC MAN - Doesn't seem inspiring to me after the lack of any type of closing response on November 28th. Don't feel this mount will do much running in today's race. That last speed figure was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's class figure. GRAPE SODA - Almost certainly won't make much of an impression today. OHYOUDIDNTKNOW - This colt recorded a speed figure in his last affair which likely isn't good enough today.



                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #2 BLACK LIMO on top if we're getting at least 3/2 odds
                            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,8]

                            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                            Pass
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #15
                              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                              Tampa Bay Downs - Race #6 - Post: 3:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.2 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,350 Class Rating: 61

                              Rating:

                              #9 SOUTH HOUSE (ML=3/1)
                              #6 ATLANTIC PRINCESS (ML=5/2)


                              SOUTH HOUSE - As long as Hernandez keeps this pony off the pace, I have to believe this one could be a happy winner. That 54 fig this filly earned in her last affair tells me she's a key player this time around. This filly is in nice physical condition, having run a good race on December 20th, finishing third. Has a decent opportunity to break maiden moving to the dirt in this event. Rodriguez is giving this one Lasix for the first time. You have to like that. ATLANTIC PRINCESS - Faced tougher in the last race at Tampa Bay Downs. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of choice plays. All systems look good for this filly. Last prep, 2nd fastest of the day, shows she's fit and ready. Have to forget about that last grass race. This filly should do better hitting the dirt right here in this race. I know the stable is serious today. The filly gets Lasix for the 1st time.

                              Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MARLEE (ML=9/2), #2 STAR OF SHANGHAI (ML=5/1), #1 MY OWN PASSION (ML=8/1),

                              MARLEE - Last ran on December 5th at Tampa Bay Downs, finishing sixth. Unlikely to advance off of that try in today's event. STAR OF SHANGHAI - This entrant ran a mediocre speed rating last time around the track. She shouldn't improve and will likely lose today running that rating. MY OWN PASSION - This racer will most likely be near the back of the pack as this group crosses the finish.



                              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #9 SOUTH HOUSE to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds
                              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [6,9]

                              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                              Pass
                              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

                              SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
                              Pass
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