Saturday 1/9/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #9 - Post: 4:23pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 66

Rating:

#5 TOP HAT BOSS (ML=4/1)
#3 SAND IN MY SHOES (ML=3/1)


TOP HAT BOSS - Not much pace in this race other than this pony. On board this horse on December 27th and Joyce is back again in the irons this time around. I have to figure that this race's shorter distance should help this filly. SAND IN MY SHOES - Rosado rode this thoroughbred for the initial time last out and comes right back this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MISS PHILLY DILLY (ML=8/5), #2 SHUFFLEBOARD (ML=9/2), #1 YEYETZI (ML=8/1),

MISS PHILLY DILLY - This favorite may be out of shape without any recent works. This mount ran a mediocre speed rating last out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely suffer defeat in today's race running that fig. SHUFFLEBOARD - Doesn't seem to be in a convenient spot this time around. YEYETZI - Today's race is 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a short distance clash in the last 60 days. Not the greatest of signs. Not likely that the speed fig she garnered on December 20th will hold up in this event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #5 TOP HAT BOSS on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $63000 Class Rating: 92

FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING, OR STARTER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 NO COVER CHARGE 3/1
# 6 ANNA FANTASTIC 9/5
# 3 SHE'S A DIME 6/1

I've got to go with NO COVER CHARGE. She has been running admirably and the speed figures are among the top in this field. This filly gets a boost with Gonzalez in the irons. Will almost certainly come out solid - I have liked the way this filly has moved swiftly to the lead recently. ANNA FANTASTIC - Looks very good for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races lately. Could best this group based on the Equibase speed fig - 97 - of her last outing. SHE'S A DIME - With a quite good 96 speed rating last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #8 - Post: 3:30pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating:

#5 BOSS BEAR (ML=8/1)
#4 CALIFORNIA RONE (ML=7/2)
#3 THERESTOFTHESTORY (ML=10/1)


BOSS BEAR - This jock and conditioner have a profitable ROI when they join forces. Look for this colt to show much better right here. Last contest at Mahoning Valley Race Cour finishing sixth in the slop is no sign of his true talent. CALIFORNIA RONE - Have to give this gelding a fair chance. Ran a nice contest in the last race within the last 30 days. In the last race on December 21st was a good tune-up for today. Got respectable betting action in that one, but finished third. Will most certainly do better in this event. THERESTOFTHESTORY - The rider/handler duo of Oliveros and Murillo Rodriguez has a strong return on investment together. Ran a winning race November 30th, but just couldn't beat the victor.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 REDS IMAGE (ML=5/2), #10 AWESOME OX (ML=4/1), #7 INDIANA RED (ML=6/1),

REDS IMAGE - Would have to get more than the morning line odds of 5/2 to play this horse. AWESOME OX - Finished second in his most recent performance with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. INDIANA RED - Granted the last race was nice, finishing third. The lack of any recent activity raises some concerns though. Don't believe this runner will make an impact today. That last speed rating was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's class rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 BOSS BEAR is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	5 with [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 71

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 9, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 CAPTAIN FURY 2/1
# 4 DERBY FACTOR 4/1
# 5 SKY GLORY 3/1

I give the nod to CAPTAIN FURY here. Is hard not to examine based on speed figures which have been very good - 66 avg - of late. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this colt. Ruiz has him trained very well to break rapidly out of the gate. DERBY FACTOR - Has been racing in the most competitive company of the field lately. Has some interesting handicapping angles which make this one a bet. SKY GLORY - Has a very solid shot for this event if you like back class. Looks quite good to be up on the lead at the first call.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct

01/09/21, AQU, Race 3, 1.20 ET
01/09/21,AQU,3,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 STAKES. Say Florida Sandy Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nominations; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $1,000 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners of a Sweepstake since June 1, 2020 allowed 2 lbs.; of a Sweepstake in 2020 allowed 4 lbs.; of two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or State-Bred Allowance since June 1, 2020 allowed 6 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Tuesday, December 29, 2020 with 17 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	4	Runningwscissors	12/1	Davis D	Englehart Jeffrey S.	TFL	263	34.22	1.20/$1
098.1753	1	Funny Guy	3/5	Franco M	Terranova II John P.	EWC	452	32.08	1.16/$1
096.9112	2	Our Last Buck	4/1	Carmouche K	Nevin Michelle	S	452	32.08	1.16/$1
093.7353	3	My Boy Tate	5/2	Lezcano J	Nevin Michelle	J	253	30.83	1.14/$1
092.8484	5	Celtic Chaos	10/1	Vargas. Jr. J A	Rodriguez Rudy R.		452	32.08	1.16/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.51, ROI 0.79/$1
. . . .
100.0000 4 Runningwscissors
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRaceWasSameJockey

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Dave Price

Jan 09 '21, 2:00 PM in 30m
NCAA-B | Montana State vs Northern Colorado
Play on: Northern Colorado -2½ -115 at all

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on Northern Colorado -2.5
The Key: Northern Colorado was upset by Montana State 67-79 as a 3.5-point favorite on Thursday. Now the Bears come back as 2.5-point favorites on Saturday and will be looking to avenge that defeat. The Bears had won 4 of their previous 5 matchups with the Bobcats so it was a rare loss for them in this series. I think they come back as the rightful favorites. The Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games off a double-digit home loss. The Bears are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games off an ATS loss, and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games off a SU loss. Take Northern Colorado.

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Dustin Hawkins

Jan 09 '21, 2:00 PM in 30m
NCAA-B | Idaho State vs Northern Arizona
Play on: UNDER 135½ -112

1 Dimer on Idaho State vs Northern Arizona under 135½ -112

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Sal Michaels

Jan 09 '21, 2:00 PM in 30m
NCAA-B | Delaware vs William & Mary
Play on: Delaware +2 -109 at Draft Kings

Free Play on Delaware +2 -109

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Info Plays

Jan 09 '21, 3:00 PM in 1h
Soccer | Olympique Lyonnais vs Rennes
Play on: Olympique Lyonnais +120 at Bodog

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Olympique Lyonnais +120

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Bobby Conn

Jan 09 '21, 3:00 PM in 1h
Soccer | St Etienne vs Reims
Play on: Reims +165 at Draft Kings

1* Free Play on Reims +165

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Mike Lundin

Jan 09 '21, 3:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Baylor vs TCU
Play on: TCU +12½ -109 at pinnacle

Baylor vs TCU Free Pick January 9, 2021
TCU took a 93-64 beating by the hands of No. 6 Kansas last time out. The Horned Frogs had won five straight as they headed into that contest, and I expect a much better performance from TCU in this one. They'll face a Baylor team that admittedly is rolling, but also in a look-ahead spot with first West Virginia and then Texas Tech on deck. Give me the home team, give me the points.
Free pick on TCU Horned Frogs.

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Black Widow

Jan 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Georgia vs Arkansas
Play on: Arkansas -8 -110 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Arkansas -8 -110

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Kenny Walker

Jan 09 '21, 4:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State
Play on: Appalachian State -2 -112 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on Appalachian State

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Bryan Leonard

Jan 09 '21, 4:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Tulane vs Houston
Play on: Tulane +18 -109 at Draft Kings

699 Tulane at Houston
The Green Wave is 6-2 on the season as the 40th ranked defensive efficiency team makes things tough on opposing offenses. This is a team that forces turnovers and shoots free throws very well, two key reasons to back a sizable underdog.
Houston is off four straight games against Top 100 opposition, including a tough comeback win over Wichita State. The schedule gets tougher again after this contest, so the Cougars could very well be looking past the Green Wave here.
PLAY TULANE

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Mike Williams

Jan 09 '21, 4:40 PM in 3h
NFL | Rams vs Seahawks
Play on: Rams +3 -102 at pinnacle

1* on Rams +3 -102