Saturday 1/16/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358322

    #31
    521HOUSTON -522 SAN ANTONIO
    SAN ANTONIO is 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in the last 3 seasons.

    523ORLANDO -524 BROOKLYN
    ORLANDO is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    525CHARLOTTE -526 TORONTO
    TORONTO is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

    527PHILADELPHIA -528 MEMPHIS
    PHILADELPHIA is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins in the last 3 seasons.

    529DETROIT -530 MIAMI
    DETROIT is 235-284 ATS (-77.4 Units) after a division game since 1996.

    533ATLANTA -534 PORTLAND
    ATLANTA is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

    533ATLANTA -534 PORTLAND
    Lloyd Pierce is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 (Coach of ATLANTA)
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358322

      #32
      NBA

      Saturday, January 16


      Trend Report

      Houston @ San Antonio
      Houston
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
      San Antonio
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Houston
      San Antonio is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Houston

      Orlando @ Brooklyn
      Orlando
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
      Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
      Brooklyn
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home

      Charlotte @ Toronto
      Charlotte
      Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
      Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      Toronto
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games at home

      Philadelphia @ Memphis
      Philadelphia
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Memphis
      Memphis
      Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
      The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Memphis's last 18 games at home

      Detroit @ Miami
      Detroit
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
      Miami
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games at home
      Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

      Atlanta @ Portland
      Atlanta
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road
      Portland
      Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358322

        #33
        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Saturday, January 16


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        HOUSTON (4 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (6 - 6) - 1/16/2021, 5:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAN ANTONIO is 1130-1004 ATS (+25.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 54-26 ATS (+25.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
        SAN ANTONIO is 230-165 ATS (+48.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 454-382 ATS (+33.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
        HOUSTON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
        HOUSTON is 139-101 ATS (+27.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        SAN ANTONIO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        HOUSTON is 5-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ORLANDO (6 - 6) at BROOKLYN (7 - 6) - 1/16/2021, 6:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ORLANDO is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ORLANDO is 5-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
        ORLANDO is 4-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHARLOTTE (6 - 7) at TORONTO (3 - 8) - 1/16/2021, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CHARLOTTE is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CHARLOTTE is 4-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
        TORONTO is 4-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PHILADELPHIA (9 - 4) at MEMPHIS (5 - 6) - 1/16/2021, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHILADELPHIA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        MEMPHIS is 184-138 ATS (+32.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
        PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        DETROIT (2 - 9) at MIAMI (4 - 6) - 1/16/2021, 8:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
        MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ATLANTA (5 - 6) at PORTLAND (7 - 5) - 1/16/2021, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ATLANTA is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
        PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358322

          #34
          13BOSTON -14 NEW JERSEY
          NEW JERSEY is 207-171 ATS (18.9 Units) off a home loss since 1996.

          15SAN JOSE -16 ARIZONA
          ARIZONA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.

          17MONTREAL -18 EDMONTON
          MONTREAL is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) in road games off a close road loss by 1 goal in the last 3 seasons.

          21NY ISLANDERS -22 NY RANGERS
          NY RANGERS are 220-261 ATS (-87.3 Units) in home games vs. winning teams since 1996.

          23CAROLINA -24 DETROIT
          DETROIT is 4-24 ATS (-22.4 Units) off a home loss by 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

          25COLUMBUS -26 NASHVILLE
          NASHVILLE is 6-13 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

          29VANCOUVER -30 CALGARY
          VANCOUVER is 414-400 ATS (-109.6 Units) vs. losing teams since 1996.

          31ANAHEIM -32 VEGAS
          ANAHEIM is 469-485 ATS (8.3 Units) vs. winning teams since 1996.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358322

            #35
            NHL

            Saturday, January 16


            Trend Report

            Boston @ New Jersey
            Boston
            Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
            Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
            New Jersey
            New Jersey is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
            New Jersey is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games at home

            San Jose @ Arizona
            San Jose
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
            San Jose is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
            Arizona
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home

            NY Islanders @ NY Rangers
            NY Islanders
            NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            NY Islanders is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
            NY Rangers
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games
            NY Rangers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing NY Islanders

            Carolina @ Detroit
            Carolina
            Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
            Detroit
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Carolina

            Montreal @ Edmonton
            Montreal
            Montreal is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
            Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Edmonton
            Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home

            Toronto @ Ottawa
            Toronto
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 10 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
            Ottawa
            Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
            Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

            Columbus @ Nashville
            Columbus
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Columbus's last 10 games on the road
            Columbus is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
            Nashville
            Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Columbus
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing at home against Columbus

            Minnesota @ Los Angeles
            Minnesota
            Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
            Los Angeles
            Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
            Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

            Vancouver @ Calgary
            Vancouver
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Vancouver's last 12 games when playing Calgary
            Vancouver is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
            Calgary
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Calgary's last 12 games when playing Vancouver
            Calgary is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Vancouver

            Anaheim @ Vegas
            Anaheim
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing Vegas
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games on the road
            Vegas
            Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
            Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim

            Washington @ Pittsburgh
            Washington
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
            Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
            Pittsburgh
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Washington
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358322

              #36
              NHL
              Long Sheet

              Saturday, January 16


              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              BOSTON (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) - 1/16/2021, 1:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              BOSTON is 227-176 ATS (+47.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              BOSTON is 5-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
              BOSTON is 5-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
              4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              SAN JOSE (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at ARIZONA (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) - 1/16/2021, 4:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              ARIZONA is 5-18 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              ARIZONA is 4-4 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
              ARIZONA is 4-4-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
              6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              MONTREAL (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) at EDMONTON (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 1/16/2021, 7:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              MONTREAL is 8-16 ATS (-8.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
              EDMONTON is 123-148 ATS (-84.3 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
              EDMONTON is 33-43 ATS (+76.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
              EDMONTON is 88-105 ATS (-80.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              EDMONTON is 3-1 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
              EDMONTON is 3-1-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
              3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              TORONTO (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at OTTAWA (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 1/16/2021, 7:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              TORONTO is 3-11 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
              OTTAWA is 130-120 ATS (-17.4 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
              OTTAWA is 157-140 ATS (-61.5 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
              OTTAWA is 176-162 ATS (-120.9 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              OTTAWA is 4-4 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
              OTTAWA is 4-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              NY ISLANDERS (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at NY RANGERS (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) - 1/16/2021, 7:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              NY ISLANDERS are 101-80 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
              NY ISLANDERS are 16-7 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
              NY RANGERS are 111-136 ATS (-44.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
              NY RANGERS are 158-156 ATS (-73.4 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
              NY RANGERS are 3-10 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
              NY RANGERS are 130-161 ATS (-108.8 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
              NY RANGERS are 220-261 ATS (-142.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              NY RANGERS is 5-4 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
              NY RANGERS is 5-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
              4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              CAROLINA (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at DETROIT (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) - 1/16/2021, 7:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              CAROLINA is 37-64 ATS (-35.4 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
              DETROIT is 326-309 ATS (-285.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
              DETROIT is 7-33 ATS (+70.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              CAROLINA is 5-2 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
              CAROLINA is 5-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
              4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              COLUMBUS (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) at NASHVILLE (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 1/16/2021, 8:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              NASHVILLE is 12-15 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
              NASHVILLE is 15-20 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
              NASHVILLE is 6-13 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              COLUMBUS is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
              NASHVILLE is 2-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
              3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              MINNESOTA (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) - 1/16/2021, 9:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              LOS ANGELES is 177-183 ATS (-17.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              MINNESOTA is 5-2 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
              MINNESOTA is 5-2-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
              4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              VANCOUVER (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at CALGARY (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) - 1/16/2021, 10:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              VANCOUVER is 414-400 ATS (-125.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
              VANCOUVER is 47-41 ATS (+97.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              CALGARY is 3-11 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              VANCOUVER is 4-4 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
              CALGARY is 4-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              ANAHEIM (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) at VEGAS (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 1/16/2021, 10:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              ANAHEIM is 133-134 ATS (+297.2 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
              ANAHEIM is 469-485 ATS (+994.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              VEGAS is 8-1 (+6.5 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
              VEGAS is 8-1-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358322

                #37
                Best Bets, Score Predictions for Saturday Jan. 16
                Matt Blunt

                Columbus Blue Jackets vs. Nashville Predators

                Money-Line Odds: Columbus +104; Nashville -120
                Total (Over-Under): 5.5

                Score Prediction: Nashville 4 Columbus 2
                Best Bet: Predators ML

                It appears I'm not starting nearly as high on Columbus or possibly as low on Nashville as the market suggests for this game, as the Predators are a team I do believe can be more of a player in the Central Division than their +800 price tag suggests.

                The Blue Jackets are right behind them at +900, but I would have had Nashville be listed as a slightly bigger favorite than this.

                The Predators have won six of the past eight meetings between the two clubs for what that's worth, but I view this as a short price on Nashville regardless. That info definitely doesn't hurt that position.


                San Jose Sharks vs. Arizona Coyotes

                Money-Line Odds: San Jose +108; Arizona -125
                Total (Over-Under): 5.5

                Score Prediction: San Jose 3 Arizona 2
                Best Bet: Sharks ML

                Maybe it's starting to show up as a theme, but San Jose is another team I'm not in a hurry to completely give up on this season, as I'm not sure they will be as bad as expected in the West.

                It will be an uphill climb to compete for a playoff spot for the Sharks for sure, but they've been where Arizona is trying to build up too, and understand what type of team will be coming for them.

                Also, an older team like the Sharks would do itself a great help by starting out hot and piling together wins while they are fresh and haven't been bogged down by some brutal travel or back-to-back spots.

                Arizona is another one of those teams that I still prefer to treat as a “prove it to me first” team, similar to my thoughts on Montreal yesterday. These are the games the Coyotes are supposed to win if they want to make that next leap, but sight unseen, the prove it first idea is worthy of a fade.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358322

                  #38
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs

                  Tampa Bay Downs - Race 10
                  Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Super High 5
                  Maiden Claiming $32,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Age 3 CR: 85 • Purse: $15,350 • Post: 4:40P
                  FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $32,000 (PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $25,000. THE SAME PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR LESS THAN $25,000 AND SINCE THEN HAVE FINISHED 2ND OR 3RD FOR $25,000 OR MORE.). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND FORTY YARDS.).
                  Contenders
                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds

                  Race Type: Lone Front-runner. INDY LYON is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * INDY LYON: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Spe ed Figure at the distance/surface. HABITUS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
                  4
                  INDY LYON
                  5/1
                  5/2
                  1
                  HABITUS
                  2/1
                  3/1

                  P#
                  Horse (In Running Style Order)
                  Post
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style
                  Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure
                  Finish Figure
                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  4
                  INDY LYON
                  4
                  5/1
                  Front-runner
                  71
                  74
                  81.5
                  70.2
                  61.7
                  1
                  HABITUS
                  1
                  2/1
                  Stalker
                  86
                  70
                  57.2
                  71.4
                  68.9
                  8
                  ALL FOOLS DAY
                  8
                  8/1
                  Alternator/Stalker
                  0
                  0
                  22.8
                  59.7
                  48.7
                  9
                  BEACH WARRIOR
                  9
                  8/1
                  Trailer
                  63
                  63
                  26.5
                  59.7
                  51.7
                  3
                  MISSION BRIEF
                  3
                  6/1
                  Alternator/Trailer
                  72
                  60
                  45.5
                  52.9
                  43.9
                  5
                  CENTSOFWANDER
                  5
                  15/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  0
                  0
                  52.3
                  52.3
                  40.3
                  7
                  TEXAS STORM
                  7
                  15/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  0
                  0
                  51.2
                  51.2
                  39.7
                  10
                  BEDAZZLING
                  10
                  6/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  67
                  70
                  36.5
                  44.2
                  32.7
                  2
                  HACHACHA
                  2
                  15/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  0
                  0
                  14.2
                  14.2
                  0.2
                  Unknown Running Style: KING RAMOS (8/1) [Jockey: Hernandez Harry - Trainer: O'Connell Kathleen].
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358322

                    #39
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Hour Wagers



                    Golden Hour Wagers - Race 3
                    Leg 3 of the Golden Hour Pick 4 Leg 1 of the Golden Hour Double
                    Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Turf • Age 3 CR: 70 • Purse: $61,000 • Post: 4:41P
                    SA - R10 - FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST STARTS PREFERRED).
                    Contenders
                    Race Analysis
                    P#
                    Horse
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds

                    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SQUARED SHADY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the h ighest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. OMG IT'S JESSICA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Maiden finished second in its last race and finished three lengths or more ahead of the third place horse. OUR LITTLE T IGER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MISS BAYLEE: Maiden finished second in its last race and finished three lengths or more ahead of the third place horse. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
                    1
                    SQUARED SHADY
                    5/1
                    4/1
                    7
                    OMG IT'S JESSICA
                    7/2
                    6/1
                    14
                    OUR LITTLE TIGER
                    5/1
                    7/1
                    5
                    MISS BAYLEE
                    5/1
                    10/1

                    P#
                    Horse (In Running Style Order)
                    Post
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style
                    Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure
                    Finish Figure
                    Platinum
                    Figure
                    1
                    SQUARED SHADY
                    1
                    5/1
                    Front-runner
                    85
                    75
                    94.2
                    72.1
                    64.6
                    7
                    OMG IT'S JESSICA
                    7
                    7/2
                    Front-runner
                    74
                    75
                    81.5
                    71.1
                    66.1
                    14
                    OUR LITTLE TIGER
                    14
                    5/1
                    Trailer
                    87
                    73
                    68.3
                    69.2
                    64.2
                    5
                    MISS BAYLEE
                    5
                    5/1
                    Trailer
                    88
                    79
                    66.4
                    74.9
                    70.4
                    6
                    ANOTHER EDDIE
                    6
                    4/1
                    Trailer
                    74
                    66
                    55.0
                    62.6
                    53.6
                    8
                    RACE JUDICATA
                    8
                    20/1
                    Alternator/Trailer
                    0
                    0
                    47.4
                    58.8
                    48.8
                    4
                    WARRIOR LADY
                    4
                    30/1
                    Alternator/Trailer
                    0
                    0
                    46.5
                    45.5
                    32.0
                    Unknown Running Style: PISTACHIO PRINCESS (12/1) [Jockey: Gonzalez Ricardo - Trainer: Blacker Dan], CURIOUS INJI (10/1) [Jockey: Baze Tyler - Trainer: Mullins Jeff], LOVE THE DANCE (30/1) [Jockey: Franco Geovanni - Trainer: Dunham Daniel], ANNIETOWN
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358322

                      #40
                      AI Picks for Saturday Laurel Stakes

                      January 15, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

                      Saturday’s $550,000 Winter Carnival at Laurel Park features 6 stakes races on a 9-race card that begins at 12:25 pm ET. We’ve resourced the app’s artificial intelligence handicapping to help you with the stakes selections. Download the app and use its free handicapping tools to make your own selections for Laurel Park and racetracks throughout North America.

                      Note: we’ve included the official track morning line odds

                      Race 3 // Geisha Stakes // 1 mile

                      #2 Gale (6-5) // 33%W
                      #6 Coconut Cake (7-2) // 16%W
                      #4 Kiss the Girl (9-2) // 15%W
                      #5 Artful Splatter (5-1) // 15%W

                      Race 4 // Fire Plug Stakes // 6 furlongs

                      #2 Laki (2-1) // 32%W
                      #5 Share the Ride (9-5) // 21%W
                      #3 Penguin Power (6-1) // 16%W
                      #4 Karen’s Notion (8-1) // 11%W

                      Race 5 // Jennings Stakes // 1 mile

                      #3 Cordmaker (5-2) // 30%
                      #5 Tattooed (6-1) // 15%
                      #9 Galerio (6-1) // 15%
                      #4 Hall Pass (8-1) // 10%

                      Race 6 // What A Summer Stakes // 6 furlongs

                      #3 Hello Beautiful (1-1) // 32%W
                      #6 Malibu Mischief (6-1) // 20%W
                      #1 Club Car (9-2) // 15%W
                      #4 Cause Im Edgy (20-1) // 9%W

                      Race 7 // Xtra Heat Stakes // 6 furlongs

                      #3 Sweet Lute (1-1) // 32%W
                      #2 Miss Leslie (3-1) // 21%W
                      #6 Plane Drunk (12-1) // 15%W
                      #8 Whiskey and Rye (6-1) // 10%W

                      Race 8 // Spectacular Bid Stakes // 7 furlongs

                      #8 Maythehorsebewithu (3-1) // 33%W
                      #3 Nobody Knew (4-1) // 22%W
                      #9 Erawan (6-1) // 12%W
                      #7 Shackqueenking (7-2) // 10%W
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358322

                        #41
                        Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis

                        January 16, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia

                        The Meadowlands has a competitive 15-race card scheduled for tonight. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 begins in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

                        Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

                        Race 6

                        1-Yacht Seelster (8-1)-Had a nice try from post 9 at this class last week and raced from the back. Dunn is back in the bike, should be forwardly placed and is well worth a swing at the morning line price.
                        2-Decision Day (6-1)-Fired hot off the bench, now steps-up and AMac steers instead of Zeron. Has enough gate speed to be put in play early and could be better than last week at a square price.
                        4-Semi Tough (3-1)-Got on the engine and was just a bit short after being off since 12-26. Took 7 pictures last year in 21 starts. Gingras returns and this could be the spot to get 1st Big M win, currently (0-8).

                        Race 7

                        1-Warrawee Unique (9/2)-Idle since 11-20 and comes off an okay tune-up but this isn't a strong group and a soft spot if ready.
                        3-Incredible Shark (7/2)-Gets some post relief, drops to a better level, and makes 2nd straight Big M start. The barn has been so-so but like #1, this is a beatable field.
                        5-American Boy N (3-1)-Makes 3rd start off the bench and was on the point in last. Should be on the ticket but was camera shy last year going 2-23.

                        Race 8

                        1-Ollie's Ztam (6-1)-Comes off a dull try at the Meadows, but Gingras should have him near the top of the stack and could pop at a square price.
                        5-Lachie Maguire N (9/2)-Got on the engine in last 2 starts and faded down the lane both times. Loses Dunn and Zeron may look to work a ground saving trip and roll by late. This is the 3rd start in sequence, needs a good steer and an honest pace.
                        8-Italian Delight N (3-1)-Steps-up again after winning 2 straight. Normally not a time for me to use, but both wins were done easily and probably is the one to beat again.

                        Race 9

                        4-B Stoney (7/2)-Comes off 2 big efforts from the 8-hole and just missed versus better in last. Allard steers instead of Dave Miller but he knows how to blast out and get on the engine. Should be a major player and can take a picture if steals a quarter.
                        7-Paduka N (9/2)-Has a similar M.O. to #4 but Todd McCarthy could land in the 2-hole and trip out at a fair price.
                        8-De Los Cielos Deo (8-1)-The 2 above should be leaving as well as #9. So, if a speed battle ensues here is the closer that could pick up the pieces.

                        0.50 Early Pick 4

                        1,2,4/1,3,5/1,5,8/4,7,8
                        Total Bet=$40.50
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358322

                          #42
                          Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 1/16/21

                          January 16, 2021

                          Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies


                          Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
                          *
                          The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
                          *
                          *
                          Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


                          Click to view today’s Santa Anita Workout Report


                          RACE 1: Post: 12:00 PT Grade: C+
                          Use: 1-Agamemnon; 2-Jetovator; 5-Shady Empire; 10-I Wll Not

                          Forecast: The Saturday opener is a difficult state-bred allowance sprint on dirt that requires a considerable spread in rolling exotic play. Use as many as your budget allows. Shady Empire was nosed out in a similar affair at Los Alamitos last month that produced a career top speed figure, and with another forward move today the J. Bonde-trained gelding may be as good as any, especially with the switch to J. Rosario. Jetovator is eligible to this condition right back after winning an identical race on a different surface (grass) last month. Whether he can be as effective on dirt remains to be seen but based strictly on speed figures he’s a serious player. I Will Not is solid on form, having finished a good second at this level last month at Los Alamitos with a competitive speed figure. The son of Square Eddie projects to settle in the second flight and then have his chance from the quarter pole home. Agamemnon ran well two races back when missing in a photo at 43-1, but then didn’t fire in a similar spot in his most recent outing. The Grazen gelding continues to impress in the a.m. and likes this track, so at 8-1 on the morning line we’ll include him on our ticket.
                          *
                          *
                          RACE 2: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B+
                          Single: 4-Burnin Turf

                          Forecast: Burnin Turf has much in his favor in this maiden state-bred turf miler for older horses. The D. Blacker-trained gelding, third in both of his starts with rising speed figures, has worked well since his most recent outing in late November and should continue his improving pattern as he gains experience. With the switch to F. Prat and the always-popular blinkers off angle, the son of Acclamations seems pretty solid at 2-1 on the morning line, and at that price we’ll make him a win play and rolling exotic single.
                          *
                          *
                          RACE 3: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
                          Use: 3-Mister Bold; 4-Swift as I Am

                          Forecast: Swift as I Am was nosed out in a similar allowance optional claiming sprint at Del Mar in late November, and with steadily rising speed figures and a healthy recent series of workouts the J. Sadler-trained gelding should be hard to beat. The son of Danza was nearly seven lengths clear of the rest when beaten last time out, and with J. Rosario staying aboard he’ll probably leave at a shorter price than his morning line of 3-1.Mister Bold, listed as the 5/2 morning line choice, is the one to fear most and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play. Back sprinting after finishing a close fourth when favored in the one mile King Glorious S. at Los Alamitos last month, the J. Bonde-trained colt gets Lasix, blinkers and F. Prat, so there’s every reason to believe he’ll fire his best shot while turning back to his preferred trip.
                          *
                          *
                          RACE 4: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B+
                          Use: 1-She’s Devoted; 2-Leggs Galore; 5-Warrens Showtime

                          Forecast: She’s Devoted gets a class test today while moving in stakes competition after a pair of nice wins to begin her career, her debut last winter over this turf course and then most recently in an entry-level allowance grass dash at Del Mar. She’s developed a late-running style and therefore should appreciate today’s extra furlong, so with some help up front and good racing luck from the rail the daughter of Grazen may be able to to tag the speed at 4-1 on the morning line. Leggs Galore seeks her fourth straight score, with all three of here prior wins accomplished sprinting on turf. She has excellent early speed and projects as a strong pace factor throughout, perhaps even the controlling speed. She’s also 4-1 on the morning line and a “must use” in rolling exotic play. The most dangerous of the deep closers is Warrens Showtime, a four time winner over the Santa Anita turf course but clearly (so far) most effective over a distance of ground. She’ll be running on strongly late.
                          *
                          *
                          RACE 5: Post: 2:02 PT Grade: C+
                          Use: 5-Complete Control; 7-Allergic to Logic

                          Forecast: We’ll try to survive and advance in this maiden $50,000 claiming sprint for state-bred 3-year-old fillies using just two in our rolling exotics. If you feel the need to spread deeper, go right ahead. Complete Control makes her eighth career start but her first with Lasix while returning to the maiden claiming ranks after finishing a respectable fourth in maiden special weight Cal-bred company at Del Mar in late November. On pure numbers she’s a strong fit at this level and had run well over this main track in the past. She’s hardly a standout but the logical top pick. Allergic to Logic is a first-timer from the B. Koriner barn with win-early breeding (Smiling Tiger) and a work tab that indicates some ability. With F. Prat taking the call she has the look of a live item, even from a barn that doesn’t have good stats with debut runners. Tread lightly here.
                          *
                          *
                          RACE 6: Post: 2:33 PT Grade: B+
                          Use: 6-Closing Remarks; 7-Sensible Cat

                          Forecast: Closing Remarks ran into a roadblock when attempting to rally along the rail entering the stretch in the Jimmy Durante S.-G3 at Del Mar last month and lost whatever chance she may have had, eventually being taken in hand late and winding up last of 10. She tries state-bred foes today and is reunited with “win rider” M. Smith, so with better luck the daughter of Vronsky may be capable of producing the last run. Sensible Cat, a smart winner of her last two with rising speed figures, is the likely choice and one to beat. She has good tactical speed to ensure a clean trip and can settle just off the leaders and then kick home when called upon. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have a couple of extra tickets keying Closing Remarks on top.
                          *
                          *
                          RACE 7: Post: 3:05 PT Grade: X
                          Single: 1-The Chosen Vron

                          Forecast: The Chosen Vron graduated at first asking in very impressive fashion, establishing the pace in hand and then kicking clear with ease to earn a powerful number like a gelding with a future. The future is today in this year’s edition of the Cal Cup Derby, and from the rail he should be capable of controlling the race from the start to finish over a two-turn trip that we anticipate will be within his capabilities. He’s 8/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower, so we’ll make the E. Kruljac-trained sophomore a rolling exotic single and leave it at that.
                          *
                          *
                          RACE 8: Post: 3:37 PT Grade: B+
                          Use: 2-Ward ‘n Jerry; 4-Indian Peak; 8-Acclimate

                          Forecast: Here’s a deep and competitive nine furlong grass affair for older horses that offers several possibilities. Indian Peak, listed at 8-1 on the morning line, catches the eye in his first start since joining the B. Koriner barn. A stakes winner over this course and distance as a 3-year-old, the son of Comic Strip should receive the patient ride he requires from J. Rosario, and in a race loaded with pace types it’s possible the son of Comic Strip can produce a sufficient late kick to register an upset. The works look good and this colt could easily be a better four year old then he was as a sophomore. Acclimate and Ward ‘n Jerry both exit graded stakes races and should appreciate this softer assignment. The former does his best work on the front end, but with other committed speed types in the field P. D’Amato-trained gelding may be forced to employ stalking tactics, which has never been his favorite type of trip. The latter, a four-time winner over the Santa Anita turf course and back with “win rider” F. Prat, will suited the projected pace flow and figures to come running in the final furlong.
                          *
                          *
                          RACE 9: Post: 4:09 PT Grade: B+
                          Use: 1-Tigre Di Slugo; 3-Fashionably Fast

                          Forecast: Fashionable Fast is the defending Cal Cup Sprint winner and certainly can win it again this year if he’s ready to fire off a more than five month layoff. The works are decent enough, but the son of Lucky Pulpit doesn’t really have a history of firing fresh, so it’s possible that he’s a race away from behind dead tight. Tigre Di Slugo continues to impress both in the morning and in the afternoon, and if he can negotiate a good trip from the rail the Smiling Tiger gelding figures very strongly. Most effective as a late-running sprinter and with J. Rosario riding him back, the M. Puype-trained gelding earned a career top speed figure when beating a first-level allowance field at Del Mar in late November in his first start in nine months, so we’re expecting a forward move and a big effort despite the class hike. The proven class horse Fashionably Fast gets a very slight edge on top but both should be included in rolling exotic play.
                          *
                          *
                          RACE 10: Post: 4:41 PT Grade: B-
                          Use: 5-Miss Baylee; 6-Another Eddie; 7-Omg It’s Jessica; 10-Annietown

                          Forecast: The finale is a grass grab bag for state-bred maiden 3-year-old fillies. Anything goes. Omg It’s Jessica tipped her hand when narrowly missing in her debut at Los Alamitos last month but if she can build on that effort today the daughter of Smiling Tiger from the dam of the good Cal-bred sprinter Oliver should be capable of earning her diploma. She’s the quickest of the known element, but with so many newcomers in the field the pace scenario looks muddled. Another Eddie, third in the same race Omg It’s Jessica exits, goes for a trainer whose second-time starters often improve, and this daughter of Square Eddie certainly is bred on both sides of her pedigree to move on the lawn. Annietown is a Cal-bred by Speightstown debuting for Glatt (solid stats with first-timers) and with F. Prat taking the call she certainly has the makings of a live item. Miss Baylee, a promising second when well-backed in her debut last June, returns for B. Koriner with a series of good works and could easily be a better type this time around.
                          *
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358322

                            #43
                            Edzo's Saturday Longshot Bets at Gulfstream

                            January 15, 2021 | By Eddie Olczyk

                            handicapper Eddie Olczyk is back with a pair of Saturday spot plays at Gulfstream Park on Sunshine Stakes Day in South Florida. This duo offers juicy prices on a stakes-laden program.

                            Gulfstream Park // Race 9 // Sunshine Classic Stakes // 3:46 pm ET // 1-1/8 miles dirt

                            #7 Kaufy Bean (10-1 ML)

                            His allowance third Dec. 11 was a good return from a 7-month layoff. He's tactical and the distance should be do-able. Kaufy Bean should provide value here with #1 Noble Drama and #3 Last Judgment expected to get a lot of action on the board.

                            Gulfstream Park // Race 11 // Sunshine Turf Stakes // 4:50 pm ET // 1-1/16 miles turf

                            #8 Clear Destination (15-1)

                            While this gelding's record only shows 1 win on the grass in 9 career races, keep in mind only 2 of those turf attempts have been around 2 turns like today's race. He finished second in both, including last time out over this course at 35-1. Those races put him in the mix here at an overlay price. There's plenty of pace to run at with Proven Strategies, Monforte and Max KO front-running types.


                            The pucks have dropped this week in the NHL and the ponies are in high gear. It's a great time of year as I look forward to next week's Pegasus World Cup Betting Challenge!
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358322

                              #44
                              Race of the Week: Sunshine Turf Stakes at Gulfstream

                              January 14, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

                              $75,000 SUNSHINE TURF STAKES AT GULFSTREAM PARK
                              Saturday, January 16, 2021

                              The Lead:
                              Sunshine Stakes Day hits the Atlantic coast Saturday at Gulfstream Park with a series of Florida-bred stakes races. Among the 4 features are the Classic, Sprint, Filly & Mare Turf and the Turf. The latter may be the best betting race of the quartet, and goes as Race 11 of 12 on the card. First post time Saturday will be earlier than usual at 11:45 am ET.

                              ​Field Depth:
                              This group of 9 matches up very similar on class with several listed stakes winners and common opponents across Florida's stakes scene. There's no discernible class edge among the likes of VENEZUELAN HUG, GALLEON MAST and MONFORTE. PROVEN STRATEGIES joins the local state-bred stakes scene after competing in open company in New York and Toronto.

                              Pace:
                              PROVEN STRATEGIES has fired to the front in 5 of his last 6 starts and from post 2 probably will be hustled along again. MONFORTE next door is always in the pace mix, as is MAX K.O. This should be a solid early pace with late runners having no excuses to fire if they get a clean trip.

                              Our Eyes:
                              VENEZUELAN HUG won the Sunshine Turf Preview at Gulfstream Park West and won his only 2 starts over this course in 2020 at Gulfstream Park proper. That Preview victory was his first attempt against older horses, and the now 4-year-old looks poised to be a long-standing member in this state-bred turf division. He was getting a 3-pound break in the Preview from photo-finish runner-up SECOND MATE. He'll now tote co-top weight of 122 pounds and give 4 to his past rival. That's a 7-pound weight shift and we're only talking about a head difference in margin Nov. 21. You could make the case that the value play was VENEZUELAN HUG at 7-2 last time, and now SECOND MATE offers more value. Note SECOND MATE finished a decent fifth in the Sunshine Turf last year against an arguably tougher field that included winner March to the Arch. SECOND MATE is working well for this.

                              The top returnee from last year's Sunshine Turf is third-place finisher GALLEON MAST. Like SECOND MATE, he's now 8 years old and both are just 1-for-their-last-10 while posting several solid losing efforts. But GALLEON MAST never got uncorked in the Sunshine Turf Preview across town and his workout tab gives no indication of a big wake-up.

                              PROVEN STRATEGIES recently turned 4 and has yet to take on elder stakes runners. I like the way Mark Casse's barn perked up with 3 winners last week after needing the first month of the Championship Meet to tally his first 3 scores. PROVEN STRATEGIES has done all his best running on the front, and it should be contentious with MONFORTE latched to him from the outside. MONFORTE was the beaten favorite in the Sunshine Turf Preview when battling on the front end and tiring to seventh. He'll get a new pilot in John Velazquez, which never hurts, but he's got to prove himself against this pace pressure and older stakes horses. The price likely will be an underlay on the rider change and 8 straight starts being bet to 3-1 or less.

                              OVER THE CHANNEL has won 2 of his last 4 and has done his best running on the GP turf. David Fawkes removes blinkers after a wide trip in the Claiming Crown Emerald.

                              Most Certain Exotics Contender: VENEZUELAN HUG has won 4 of 6 since moving to trainer Danny Gargan's barn, and that outfit has been sharply on point with limited starters at the Championship Meet.

                              ​Best Longshot Exotics Contender: SECOND MATE will offer another solid price, and MAX K.O. doesn't have a great pace set-up for his front-end style, but he's a recent $50K claim for a Mike Maker barn that's made a career out of high-dollar claims turned turf stakes winners.

                              Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $50 win and place SECOND MATE.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358322

                                #45
                                Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

                                Laurel Park - Race #4
                                Picks Notes
                                #5 Share the Ride Looks likely to be a handful in this spot, as he's quick enough to sit close early, but he can settle just off what promises to be a quick pace.
                                #1 Wendell Fong Finished with some enthusiasm last out, and he has been pretty reliable over the local footing. Seems useful in the underneath spots at a square price.
                                #3 Penguin Power Proved he could cut it with this kind last out when showing the way in the lane before settling for third. He looks like the best of the pace players.
                                Race Summary Share the Ride should get a perfect trip just behind the pace, and he reliably earns BRIS Late Pace figures that suggest he's the one to worry about when he comes calling.

                                Laurel Park - Race #7
                                Picks Notes
                                #2 Miss Leslie Handled stakes company when trying two turns for the first time last out, and her two-back score at this trip was really sharp. She's the main danger to the chalk.
                                #3 Street Lute She's a neck away from a perfect 6-for-6 record, and she should be in line for another brilliant pressing trip with this bunch. She's the one to beat, but I'm not sure she towers over the top choice.
                                #7 It Can Has earned soft figures while posting a couple of upset victories to open her career, but she hasn't really been hard pressed in either of those scores and may land a piece of this at a big number.
                                Race Summary Miss Leslie gets Lasix for her 3yo debut, and she would be playable at something like the 3/1 ML price. I'll use her while trying to get It Can into the gimmicks with either of the top two.

                                Laurel Park - Race #8
                                Picks Notes
                                #9 Erawan The main worry here is that he may want a bit more pace to kick at, but he'll get Lasix for the first time, and he has been a reliable finisher over the local footing. 6/1 ML offering would be appealing.
                                #8 Maythehorsebwithu He impressed in the local debut last out when flashing speed and holding easily in the lane, and he has a real chance to try and run this group off their feet.
                                #7 Shackqueenking Has done little wrong through four starts, and he just held to land a similar stakes around two turns last out. Quicker tempo here may leave him running from a touch off the pace today.
                                Race Summary Erawan is capable of races big enough to win this, and he should be a playable enough price after losing to Shackqueenking going two turns last out.
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