Sunday 1/17/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 07:25 AM

Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis-$25,000 Guaranteed Pool

January 17, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Sunday night's Cal Expo card has 13 races scheduled with the 0.20 Pick 4 starting in Race 9. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

2-Solongo (15-1)-Swinging for a price and if this 6-year-old could duplicate the 155.3 mile from 2 back it could be time for a rare picture.
3-Cowboys Dirtyboots (6-1)-Bumps up a notch after one of the better efforts in a while. This will be the 3rd time Cutting steers and upswing could continue.
4-He Grins Again (3-1)-Beaten chalk at this class last week should be the major threat here. But faded down the lane in last and will need to be better. Should have no excuse but this field might be better than the last group.
6-Mystic Ruler (12-1)-Raced well against better from the 8-hole and looks like a player here. It's doubtful the morning line price will hold up but should go off at fair odds.

Race 10

2-Chase Me Forever (15-1)-Has been racing better in last 2 starts without Lasix. Could leave to land a close-up seat and get sucked around. Using in a field where the program chalk #5, has 4 wins in the last 33 starts.
5-Bngs Express (3-1)-Will likely be bet and should be in the mix but barn is not doing well over the last 30 days. Using but not with an abundance of confidence.
10-California Rock (6-1)-Post doesn't help but gets Plano between the pipes and was his choice. Drops and has 10 wins in 28 starts at CalX.

Race 11

2-Steady Breeze (2-1)-Makes 3rd start for Roland and last was the best effort in a while. This is also the 3rd start since shipping into CalX and could get the top and not look back. Beaten chalk in last 2 may finally reward backers.

Race 12

2-Get My Good Side (3-1)-Broke in last as an odds-on favorite but Cutting is back and it was his choice. Hasn't taken a picture in the last 21 starts but could compete if minds manners.
5-Mr Steal Your Girl (5/2)-Roland's choice over #2 has shown some abilty to pass foes down the lane, more than most others. Needs to show more but this a very weak group.
7-Hagginatthebeach (6-1)-Plano steers his own pupil in 2nd start of the meet. Lightly raced mare won 3 of 13 last year and has a shot to surprise at a square price if tight enough.

0.20 Pick 4

2,3,4,6/2,5,10/2/2,5,7
Total Bet=$7.20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 07:27 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 1/17/21

January 17, 2021
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
*
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Click to view today’s Santa Anita Workout Report

RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 8-Summer Rose; 10-Rockie Causeway; 11-Vronsky Zips Away

Forecast: Rockie Causeway, in the frame in her last three but away since the fall, returns for R. Baltas with reasonable work tab at San Luis Rey Downs and shortens to a sprint for the first time in her four-race career. A beaten choice in her last three, the daughter of Giant’s Causeway certainly can win this below average maiden special weight affair for older fillies and mares but certainly isn’t one to trust. Summer Rose may be the quickest in the field and in her first try on grass the daughter of Jimmy Creed may carry her speed a little farther than she did in her comeback last month at Los Alamitos. She continues to burn up the track in the morning, so at 6-1 on the morning line the P. D’Amato-trained mare is worth including on your ticket. The first-timer Vronsky Zips Away has done some decent work in the a.m. and is bred on both sides of her pedigree to enjoy sprinting on grass. In a race in which there are no apparent world beaters, she may have a decent sort of look, her extreme outside post notwithstanding.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:03 PT Grade: C
Use: 3-Destiny’s Journey; 5-Girona; 8-Majestic Diva

Forecast: Here’s a low-level claiming middle distance affair for older fillies and mares in which nothing would surprise. The pace scenario promises to be contested so don’t be surprised if the race falls apart in the stretch. Majestic Diva, a three-time winner over the local main track and fresh from a victory against a slightly lesser group at Los Alamitos, can be effective right back if held up early and allowed to run late. Destiny’s Journey just beat a slightly tougher group on New Year’s Day and has won back-to-back races in the past, so she’s a major player, though she may have to accept a stalker’s role, something she’s never been that comfortable with in the past. Girona, in with a feather and training well, won a starter’s race sprinting over five furlongs at Los Alamitos last month but today will try to carry her speed two-turns. We have serious doubt she can run this far, but loose-on-the-lead speed always is dangerous, so we’ll toss her in on a ticket or two. Tread lightly.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: B+
Use: 2-Bench Judge; 5-Dark Prince

Forecast: Bench Judge is back sprinting where he’s most comfortable and looks capable of producing the last run in this starter optional claiming grass sprint. Freshened since November and sporting a strong, healthy work pattern at San Luis Rey Downs, the P. Miller-trained gelding retains J. Rosario, shows a prior win over the course, and has numbers that are better than par for this level. Dark Prince continues to impress in the morning, is re-equipped with blinkers, and ran better than the line will show when rallying to finish fourth after some early trouble in a hot main track sprint earlier this month. At 6-1 on the morning line, he can be included on a ticket or two as a saver.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: X
Single: 4-Kennebec

Forecast: Kennebec shows up in a seller for the first time, gets Lasix and F. Prat, and has very little to worry about in this maiden $40,000 dirt miler for 3-year-olds. At 3/5 on the morning line, he’ll offer no wagering value other than as a short-priced rolling exotic single in a race that probably is best left alone.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:37 PT Grade: B
Single: 2-Big Clare; 6-Big Beauty; 7-Our Little Tiger

Forecast: Our Little Tiger flashed promise in her debut last fall when rallying after a slow start to finish a willing third over the local lawn when facing what may have been a tougher state-bred maiden filly field than this. The daughter of Smiling Tiger has worked quite well since then for her low profile connections, so if she can manage to leave with her field today, she should be along in time while offering a good gamble at or near her morning line of 5-1. Worth consideration in rolling exotic play as back-ups or savers are Big Clare and Big Beauty, two debuting daughters of the good grass sire Mr. Big with work tabs that indicate at least some ability. The former, from the P. D’Amato barn, attracts F. Prat and has recorded some flashy clockings at Los Alamitos, while the latter hails from a barn that has excellent stats with first-timers and shows a work tab at San Luis Rey Downs that should have her plenty fit.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:07 PT Grade: B+
Use: 5-Love My Jimmy; 7-Hung Jury

Forecast: Hung Jury won his debut in clever style at Woodbine in late October and was promptly purchased privately by a winning outfit. The son of Maclean’s Music has trained in good style since arriving in California and should have every chance to score again from a comfortable outside draw under F. Prat. The one to fear most is Love My Jimmy, a big figure maiden-claiming winner over this main track last month. The son of Tapiture has looked good in the morning since that victory and seems certain to produce another forward move. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with preference on top to Hung Jury.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:37 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Altea; 5-Hermaphrodite; 8-Quick

Forecast: Older fillies and mares don’t have many opportunities on this circuit to compete over a mile and one-half on grass, so the form can appear a bit muddled. We have a suspicion that Altea will enjoy the trip, and the veteran mare, a solid middle-distance performer throughout her career, finally gets her chance. Though she was winless in eight starts in 2020, the French-bred mare faced some stiff tasks, but against this group she certainly has credentials to break through. Hermaphrodite is an out-and-out stayer and though her two outings since being imported from Europe have been below her best, she certainly has a right to step forward today under conditions that are made to order for her. She retains J. Rosario and can beat a field of this level based on her best Timeform ratings from France. Quick has run well in marathons in the past, most recently when a willing third in the 11-furlong Red Carpet S.-G3 at Del Mar in November. A similar effort today puts her right there.
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*
RACE 8: Post: 4:07 PT Grade: B+
Single: 5-As Time Goes By

Forecast: As Time Goes By has a chance to develop into a very nice filly and the lightly-raced daughter of American Pharoah, fresh from a sharp maiden win at Los Alamitos and working very well since, seems set to produce another significant forward move in her first try around two-turns. She switches to J. Rosario and seems likely to draft into an ideal stalking position outside and then have every chance to dispose of her rivals from the quarter pole home. At 8/5 on the morning line, she’s a win play at anywhere near that price and a logical rolling exotic single.
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RACE 9: Post: 4:37 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Commanding Chief; 8-Croi Mor

Forecast: Florida invader Croi Mor finds a soft spot in his local debut and offers reasonably good value at 8-1 on the morning line in this maiden-claiming $50,000 turf miler for older horses. His form in recent races make him a solid contender, and a series of local recent drills indicate he’s plenty fit for his first outing since September. Commanding Chief is another major player returning from a vacation (he’s been away for 11 months) but this will be his first start for a tag and on pure numbers he’s dangerous. The J. Sadler-trained five-year-old has run well over this course in the past, so it’s just a matter of whether he’s ready. The work tab is okay, nothing great, and this barn has weak stats with layoff runners, so there are mixed signals to consider. At 5/2 on the morning line, he’s worth including as a back-up, but nothing more.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 12:14 PM

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Gulfstream

January 17, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk

Gulfstream Park has one of the better late Pick 4 sequences since it began its Championship Meet last month.

Three good groups of allowance optional claimers and a promising field of upper-maiden claimers will congregate for the last four, beginning at 3:42 p.m. ET.

High Five Cotton starts it off as the probable solid favorite in the eighth race and will probably be a single on a lot of tickets.

However, the veteran Charlie the Greek has done his fair share of good things over the strip and also figures in the outcome.

Here’s a look at the Gulfstream Pick 4 on Sunday:

Race 8 (3:42 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

HIGH FIVE COTTON was second last time, ending his four-win win stretch. He’s been sharp at Monmouth and most recently Tampa Bay Downs and is not in a real tough spot for his first GP start. The biggest question for him is in regards to the mile distance, which will be contested around one turn, like his other races.

CHARLIE THE GREEK was claimed by the Catanese barn last out and while he hasn’t hit the board in his last three, he often is a factor vs. state-breds and looks for his 10th local win.

Race 9 (4:13 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

R MAN JOE wasn’t sharp in his last two, but those were at GP West. He’s back to a preferred course, where he’s won two of five. Expect a form reversal.

MACHO BLUE has had strong performances in his last three races, with a win and third-place finishes in his last two. He dropped a three-horse photo last time and he usually brings his best. He’s a “tough out.”

BALISTICO was close in his last four and responded with a good third when he stepped up in class. Capable of a big effort here.

ZANNO is lightly raced with just four starts but ran a solid third in his last one, which came over this course in April. Has several
works in the past month and is ready to run again.

Race 10 (4:45 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

HEIRESSINDY looks for her first win since July. She just hasn’t run a bad one lately but has been stuck on second in her last three. Talented filly will be a factor.

PRINCESS BETTY won two of her last three and comes in off a solid win on the front end. Can adjust to any pace.

IMPECCABLE STYLE was on the board in her last four and was in some very strong races last year. She was second in the G3 Indiana Oaks and most recently was third in an allowance at Keeneland. Makes her first start for the Walsh stable.

STORIE BLUE finished three-quarters of a length behind Impeccable Style at Keeneland and was third in the G3 Santa Ysabel at Santa Anita. Her best makes her a big player in this one.

Race 11 (5:17 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)

LORD FLINTSHIRE doesn’t have a lot of speed and will be far back early but could get a big break if other contenders can’t get the distance. Was second last out and takes a slight step up in class.

EAMONN tired in his debut and moves over to the turf course. Bred to run all day on the turf and will get plenty of support.

THE GREAT OZ was second in his debut and then weakened in his next two. He should have no problem with turf and is bred to go long on the front end.

50-cent Late Pick 4 Sunday at Gulfstream Park:

8) #7 High Five Cotton, #8 Charlie the Greek.
9) #1 R Man Joe, #2 Macho Blue, #6 Balistico, #8 Zanno.
10) #2 Heiressindy, #4 Princess Betty, #6 Impeccable Style, #7 Storie Blue.
11) #5 Lord Flintshire, #6 Eamonn, #11 The Great Oz.
50-cent Pick Four: 7-8 with 1-2-6-8 with 2-4-6-7 with 5-6-11. ($48)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 12:15 PM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#6 Big Hambone Didn't offer much with better off the claim last time out, but he was competitive with similar a couple starts back and should appreciate the drop.
#5 Justice of War Another dropper, this guy just ran around in a circle at Aqueduct, but that was for nearly three times this price, and his baseline effort makes him pretty tough with these.
#4 Pascal Chant Cuts the tag in half here while racing off the claim -- never a great sign -- but something like his two efforts in a short 2020 campaign would stack up nicely with these.
Race Summary Big Hambone was in with better optional claiming company in that last one, and he has some bigger back races to call upon than some of the others in here.

Laurel Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#2 Kashan Steps up to try winners for the first time, but she projects for a really nice trip from just behind the pace. There are a few other forward players who seem a touch quicker than she is early, and she might trip out from the pocket.
#3 Hibiscus Punch She looks like the one to beat with some sharp tracking pace and a really good stakes try under her belt last out. Versatile type should be tough.
#4 Map of America Seems best of the committed pace players, but she's tough to trust with four straight races of giving away ground in the final call.
Race Summary Kashan takes the tough step to face winners, but she should get a really nice trip and has been steadily moving forward through her four-race career.

Laurel Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#1 Gold Panther Showed brief chasing pace before giving way badly in the debut at this level, but she'll now add Lasix while stretching around two turns for another capable barn. There isn't much pace in here, so why not go on a send mission here?
#6 Love Is Strong Showed a little bit of life last time out at 36/1, and while the price will get shorter today, she gets Lasix for the first time and may appreciate the added ground.
#4 She's All Courage She took a nice step forward when trying this level for the first time, and she should find a great spot from close range while moving around two turns.
Race Summary Gold Panther intrigues at a price from the rail draw while moving around two turns and getting Lasix, and the price will be right to see if they can make a break for it from the inside.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 12:17 PM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#3 Dont Get Smart Ran an even third in her first over the strip and if likely to improve in her return.
#6 Cat's J N J Closed in two of her last three and is a solid threat at this level; good late mover.
#1 Vuyelwa Weakened late in her last two and can last longer with this group; threat to steal.
Race Summary Dont Get Smart was competitive at Woodbine before her first appearance here and she held on fairly well to save the show; can be on or near the lead throughout.

Gulfstream Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#3 Proper Manners Finished well and lost by just a nose last out and doesn't have to run much better to be successful here; Lanerie will give her a good ground-saving trip.
#5 Tony's Rose Has a noticeable move through the stretch and is a legit threat to get past the leaders.
#6 Akor Closed wel for a sharp win in fast time last time and can be a strong player as he moves up to N3L company.
Race Summary Proper Manners can within an inch or so of getting out of these conditions and has a good chance to close to fight it out in the closing yards.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#5 Positive Phil Had the lead and faltered late going 1 1-8 miles and turns back in distance; rider Jaramillo good with this type.
#11 Traffic Pattern Was up in time vs. N2L foes at Aqueduct last out and has closed in his last two; clearly a contender.
#6 My Good Man Comes out of the toughest races and was up in time in his latest; moves over to the turf for this.
Race Summary Positive Phil has good speed and could cut out some moderate fractions here; one to catch.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 12:17 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
PURCHASE
Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 5

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent mimimum wager $1 Pick Four

Claiming $8,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 71 • Purse: $7,390 • Post: 7:09P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * MAGICAL PRIZE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LA CHACA PRIZE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designa tion and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DASHIN SWEET LADY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in avera ge Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HOMETOWNFAVORITE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6
MAGICAL PRIZE
3/1

4/1
5
LA CHACA PRIZE
5/2

6/1
4
DASHIN SWEET LADY
9/5

7/1
3
HOMETOWNFAVORITE
5/1

8/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
FORTUNATO AZUL
1

10/1
Slow
68

56

7.3

0.0

0.0
2
BIG FABULOSO
2

8/1
Average/Trouble-prone
72

58

0.0

0.0

0.0
3
HOMETOWNFAVORITE
3

5/1
Slow
80

63

7.6

0.0

0.0
4
DASHIN SWEET LADY
4

9/5
Average
77

65

0.0

0.0

0.0
5
LA CHACA PRIZE
5

5/2
Fast
71

70

0.0

0.0

0.0
6
MAGICAL PRIZE
6

3/1
Average
81

73

4.8

0.0

0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 12:17 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
PURCHASE
Camarero - Race 5

Pick 3 (5-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Quinella / Superfecta / Daily Double 5-6

Claiming $4,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 13 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 4:30P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 1, 2019 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * LA VIOLINISTA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a la yoff. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). LA DOCTORA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the d istance/surface. CAFEINA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LISANDRA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
9
LA VIOLINISTA
5/1

9/2
2
LA DOCTORA
10/1

9/2
10
CAFEINA
2/1

7/1
11
LISANDRA
9/2

10/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
LA DOCTORA
2

10/1
Front-runner
0

0

59.1

7.8

2.3
9
LA VIOLINISTA
9

5/1
Front-runner
52

27

0.0

0.0

0.0
11
LISANDRA
11

9/2
Alternator/Stalker
26

0

32.2

13.3

3.8
10
CAFEINA
10

2/1
Alternator/Stalker
15

9

32.2

13.0

4.5
8
SHEPIN
8

7/2
Trailer
34

8

0.0

9.1

0.0
5
LA TIENDITA
5

10/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

13.0

7.2

0.0
6
DONA MEIRA
6

5/1
Alternator/Trailer
22

9

10.0

10.4

0.4
3
RAVEN FLIES D
3

20/1
Alternator/Trailer
14

0

0.0

11.4

0.0
7
SOY UNICA
7

3/1
Alternator/Non-contender
68

8

13.6

7.4

2.4
1
DONA DELIA
1

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
4
MAMBAS GIRL
4

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
16

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 12:18 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 76

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $8,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 PROUD MANDATE 5/1

# 6 OLIVE'S BUMPA 4/1

# 5 UTTERLY ENCHANTING 10/1

PROUD MANDATE has a very good shot to take this race. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last competition. A solid 83 avg Equibase class figure may give this mare a distinct class edge versus this group. Has run well when moving a dirt sprint race. OLIVE'S BUMPA - Wagerers using horses with this jockey and handler duo have done solidly lately. Has performed strongly as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 66 avg speed figure. UTTERLY ENCHANTING - Has been racing admirably in races of this distance, going 2 for 8 under similar conditions. Has to be given a chance - I like the numbers from the last affair.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 12:19 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Fair Grounds - Race #8 - Post: 4:23pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 POINT OF INFINITY (ML=9/5)
#3 MS SATCH MO (ML=4/1)

POINT OF INFINITY - This thoroughbred may have too much power on the turf for the rest of the field. Moving down the stretch, she could put these away. This one has recorded the best recent turf speed fig at the distance-surface. Can't help but like the 2nd time addition of Lasix by the trainer today. An indication Maker thinks she can win. MS SATCH MO - When Geroux and Amoss work together on animals the ROI has been wonderful at +34. This mount ran out of the money at Fair Grounds last out on the soft turf. She should improve in this field on a fast track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 TAYLOR'S WISH (ML=5/1), #2 TAPTIME (ML=6/1), #7 PERKS D'ORO (ML=8/1),

TAYLOR'S WISH - This thoroughbred hasn't had even one morning drill after running so well on Dec 17th. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will make an impact in today's event. That last speed rating was substandard when compared with today's Equibase class figure. TAPTIME - This filly hasn't been showing me anything in the last two outings. Will be hard for this mount to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put her on the vulnerable competitors list. PERKS D'ORO - When scrutinizing today's class rating, she will have to register a much better speed rating than last time around the track to compete in this turf route.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - POINT OF INFINITY - Coming off her last race with the top speed figure of 69 at Fair Grounds. She is the filly to beat today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 POINT OF INFINITY to win at post-time odds of 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
9 with 3 with [2,5,7] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 12:19 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Golden Gate Fields - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 75

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 INSANIAMANIA (ML=6/1)
#3 SMILE FOR ASHLEY (ML=4/1)

INSANIAMANIA - Taking this jock/trainer combination is a good choice. SMILE FOR ASHLEY - Ran last time out against a much better field at Golden Gate Fields. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit him well.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SILVER MOMENT (ML=2/1), #6 LORD VADER (ML=5/2), #7 ZERO BUCKS GIVEN (ML=8/1),

SILVER MOMENT - 2/1 is not pegged at the proper price for any horse in a sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a sprint race of late. Improbable that the speed figure he registered on October 25th will hold up in this event. LORD VADER - This entrant didn't go to the head of the pack and didn't make up ground down the stretch last time he ran. Not likely for this entrant to make an impact with no recent good showings in a sprint race. ZERO BUCKS GIVEN - This racer didn't go to the front end and didn't make up any ground in the homestretch last time he ran.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #4 INSANIAMANIA on the win end if we get at least 9/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 12:19 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $27000 Class Rating: 91

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $16,000 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 11 TRAFFIC PATTERN 2/1

# 1 HERO UP 20/1

# 4 BIG MAN BOB 12/1

I have to consider TRAFFIC PATTERN here. Has very strong Equibase speed figs and has to be considered for a wager for this event. Trainer has strong win rate (23 percent) at this distance and surface. Have to wager on this gelding with the formidable earnings per start in turf route races. HERO UP - Trainer has very solid win rate (18 percent) at this distance and surface. Cazares has him trained admirably to break swiftly out of the starting gate. BIG MAN BOB - Solid jockey with trainer numbers make this horse a very solid choice. He has garnered respectable numbers under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 12:20 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Laurel Park
PURCHASE

01/17/21, LRL, Race 9, 4.23 ET
01/17/21,LRL,9,1 1/16M [Dirt About] 1:41:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $22,000. (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, if for $12,500, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 3 Flyin It 7/2 Marquez C Magee Kieron TSFC 82 45.12 1.34/$1
099.1515 5 Sheriff's Kid 5/2 Carrasco V R Trombetta Michael J. 82 45.12 1.34/$1
096.2066 7 Fast Fashion 10/1 Crispin A Trombetta Michael J. J 82 45.12 1.34/$1
094.8592 4 She's All Courage 2/1 Gomez K Savoye Jacqueline E 82 45.12 1.34/$1
093.3365 6 Love Is Strong 4/1 Ruiz J Allen. III A. Ferris 82 45.12 1.34/$1
091.0240 1 Gold Panther 12/1 LaBarre R G Nixon Justin J. WL 239 38.91 1.12/$1
090.1535 2 Queen Karma 20/1 Hiraldo J Corrales Jose 82 45.12 1.34/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 35.71, ROI 0.91/$1
. . . .
100.0000 3 Flyin It
[Category]Condition
[DirtMdnMClm]LastRaceDistanceIsLessThanToday

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 01:58 PM

305CLEVELAND -306 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.

307TAMPA BAY -308 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) with <=6 days rest in the last 2 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-17-2021, 01:58 PM

NFL TRENDS

Sunday, January 17

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CLEVELAND (12 - 5) at KANSAS CITY (14 - 2) - 1/17/2021, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
KANSAS CITY is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (12 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (13 - 4) - 1/17/2021, 6:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons