Wednesday 1/20/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #4 - Post: 2:08pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#1 DOUGS MORNING PICK (ML=3/1)
#5 POWERS OUT (ML=10/1)


DOUGS MORNING PICK - Faced tougher last out at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this one on my list of strong contenders. You always have to be on the prowl for profit making jock/handler combos; we have it right here. Forgive the out of the money finish on the off track last race out. Under better track conditions, has a shot in this race. Earnings per race is something that I feel can be a crucial factor. This thoroughbred is ranked at the very top in this bunch. POWERS OUT - Have to like this gelding today. If you take a look at his PP lines you see a definite trend, getting closer with each race. This gelding is in fine form. Ended up third on December 22nd.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 RIDGE WEST (ML=2/1), #3 FLINT CORN (ML=5/2), #2 CALIFORNIA SUN (ML=4/1),

RIDGE WEST - Ran his best speed rating last time out, but the 'off conditions' may have had something to do with it. FLINT CORN - This mount will almost certainly be way back as this field crosses the wire. CALIFORNIA SUN - This gelding hasn't had any recent good results in short distance contests. Difficult to wager on him in this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #1 DOUGS MORNING PICK on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - SA - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 84

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS SINCE JANUARY 20, 2019. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 20 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 CHARITABLE SPENNY 9/5
# 6 CATCH MY CABOOSE 7/2
# 1 SUPER GARNER 4/1

CHARITABLE SPENNY has a formidable shot to take this race. Displays the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 76 Equibase Speed Fig which is one of the most competitive in this field. Is a contender - given the 79 Equibase Speed Fig from his most recent race. CATCH MY CABOOSE - He must be carefully examined given the formidable speed figures. Has been running soundly lately and ought to be up on the lead early on. SUPER GARNER - Has a strong record at the distance and surface, which makes me favor this gelding. Has been running well lately and will most likely be close to the lead early on.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

01/20/21, GP, Race 1, 12.35 ET
01/20/21,GP,1,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000 (includes up to $3,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 118 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	1	Twelve O One(b-)	6/1	Gaffalione T	Gonzalez Nicholas	J	67	37.31	1.24/$1
099.7502	7	Dropped Anchor	5/1	Lopez P	Sano Antonio		62	40.32	1.16/$1
098.6922	3	El Afortunado	2/1	Saez L	Rodriguez Angel M.	FC	62	40.32	1.16/$1
098.5723	9	Figo	8/5	Vasquez M A	Pita Daniel	SEL	62	40.32	1.16/$1
095.1966	6	Keepyourguardup	20/1	Maragh R	Pecoraro Anthony	T	59	44.07	1.15/$1
094.1780	8	Political Riot	20/1	Meneses M	Budhoo Steve		62	40.32	1.16/$1
093.9267	4	Military Commander(b+)	20/1	Arroyo A S	Brownlee David R.	W	62	40.32	1.16/$1
093.5193	5	Nothin' Mizzen(b+)	20/1	Panici L	Gallegos Jose A.		59	44.07	1.15/$1
092.1026	2	Neverenoughcoco	20/1	Lugo C D	Cadahia Benny C.		59	44.07	1.15/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.77, ROI 0.70/$1
. . . .
100.0000 1 Twelve O One(b-)
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]*ActualPost1
*Scratches may change this condition

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

In college basketball for Wednesday night go right ahead and lay the points in this St. Joe's-George Mason meeting in Fairfax.

It is clear that the hiring of Billy Lange a couple of seasons ago on Hawk Hill is not quite generating the results that St. Joseph's alums are used to, as this year's Hawks team is 1-10 straight up.

On Monday night, St. Joseph's allowed the previously offensively-anemic La Salle Explorers to hang 90 points on them in their 10th loss of the season, 90-83 in a game that actually wasn't all that close since the Hawks had trailed by 21 points with under 4 minutes remaining.

George Mason's last home game came against that same La Salle team that went ballistic on Joey's, as the Patriots dumped the Explorers 75-42. True, George Mason went out on the road in their last game and got beat up by Rhode Island, but they are back home for this one and the last time they faced the Hawks was a home win and cover last March just before COVID-19 shut everything down.

The Patriots have won 3 in a row in this series and 6 of the last 7, while going 5-2 against the spread.

These are some dark days if you are a Hawks fans. St. Joseph's manta is "the Hawk will never die" and while that may be true, the Hawk will have to endure another lopsided loss.

Play the Pats minus the points.

4* GEORGE MASON

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Are the Atlanta Hawks ever going to play another game that lands Over the total?

Atlanta comes into this Wednesday night home date with the Detroit Pistons having landed Under the total in 9, count 'em, 9 straight games!

Tonight is the night I think we actually see that Under run get clipped, as the Detroit Pistons come to town having played their last pair of games Over the total and the Over for the Pistons on the road has cashed in in each of their last 5 on the highway. That road Over mark includes the season's first meeting with the Hawks back on December 28th when the teams played to a 128-120 final in a Hawks home win.

That series Over - the first of this season - pushed the series run to 3 in a row Over the total and 6 of the last 9 overall between the teams Over the total.

After 9 in a row Under, the streak ends tonight!

Pistons-Hawks Over the total.

3* DETROIT-ATLANTA OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

501BOSTON -502 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

503BROOKLYN -504 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

507DALLAS -508 INDIANA
INDIANA is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

509DETROIT -510 ATLANTA
DETROIT is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game in the last 3 seasons.

509DETROIT -510 ATLANTA
Dwane Casey is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game (Coach of DETROIT)

511MIAMI -512 TORONTO
MIAMI is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

513ORLANDO -514 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

517MEMPHIS -518 PORTLAND
PORTLAND is 291-245 ATS (21.5 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1996.

519SACRAMENTO -520 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 56-35 ATS (17.5 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

521SAN ANTONIO -522 GOLDEN STATE
GOLDEN STATE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Wednesday, January 20

Trend Report

Brooklyn @ Cleveland
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Indiana
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 13 games when playing Dallas

Boston @ Philadelphia
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Boston

Detroit @ Atlanta
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Miami @ Toronto
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami

Orlando @ Minnesota
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

Phoenix @ Houston
Phoenix
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Houston is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Phoenix

San Antonio @ Golden State
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
Golden State
Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games

Sacramento @ LA Clippers
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Sacramento

Memphis @ Portland
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Portland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 20

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BOSTON (8 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 5) - 1/20/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 57-40 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (9 - 6) at CLEVELAND (6 - 7) - 1/20/2021, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (6 - 7) at INDIANA (8 - 5) - 1/20/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 183-143 ATS (+25.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
DALLAS is 462-375 ATS (+49.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 191-151 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
DALLAS is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 216-173 ATS (+25.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 586-500 ATS (+36.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 80-58 ATS (+16.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (3 - 10) at ATLANTA (6 - 7) - 1/20/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 53-80 ATS (-35.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
ATLANTA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (5 - 7) at TORONTO (5 - 8) - 1/20/2021, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (6 - 8) at MINNESOTA (3 - 9) - 1/20/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 62-92 ATS (-39.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (7 - 5) at HOUSTON (4 - 8) - 1/20/2021, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 119-156 ATS (-52.6 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (7 - 6) at PORTLAND (8 - 6) - 1/20/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (5 - 9) at LA CLIPPERS (10 - 4) - 1/20/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (8 - 6) at GOLDEN STATE (7 - 6) - 1/20/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1132-1004 ATS (+27.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 38-57 ATS (-24.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Wednesday January 20
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Memphis at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 10-0 ATS (13.00 ppg) when they are off two straight games in which they had 10+ steals.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Toronto (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 0-10 ATS (-9.40 ppg) off a win as a favorite in which they shot over 50% from the field.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Orlando at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 14-0 OU (13.61 ppg) at home after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Memphis at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 0-11 OU (-19.41 ppg) off a game as a dog in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Wednesday, January 20

VCU @ St Bonaventure
VCU (10-3, 3-1)
— ranked #61 by KenPom
— Tempo: #54
— Experience: #303
— Continuity: #272
— VCU won eight of its last nine games.
— Rams won last three road games, by 16-5-7 points.
— VCU is forcing turnovers 25.7% of time (#7)

St Bonaventure (6-1, 4-1)
— ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #277
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #35
— Bonnies’ only loss was 63-57 at #63 Rhode Island
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Bonnies’ only top 100 win was 69-66 at #50 Richmond.
— In last three games, Bonnies allowed only 53 ppg.

— VCU won last five series games.
— Rams won three of last four visits to Olean.

Rhode Island @ Duquesne
Rhode Island (7-7, 4-3)
— ranked #64 by KenPom
— Tempo: #111
— Experience: #110
— Continuity: #294
— Rams won four of last six games, scoring 80+ in last three wins.
— URI is 1-4 in true road games, with only win at #61 VCU.
— Rams overscheduled little bit this year (schedule #33).

Duquesne (3-5, 2-4)
— ranked #117 by KenPom
— Tempo: #230
— Experience: #138
— Continuity: #63
— Duquesne lost four of its last five games.
— Dukes’ only top 200 win was over #121 NC-Greensboro.
— Dukes have #307 eFG% in country- they’re shooting 28.3% on (#313).

— URI won five of last six series games.
— Rams won seven of last eight visits here.

Clemson @ Georgia Tech
Clemson (9-2, 3-2)
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #297
— Experience: #189
— Continuity: #106
— Clemson lost its last game by 35 to Virginia.
— Tigers are 1-1 on ACC road, winning 66-65 at Miami, losing at Va Tech.
— Clemson is forcing turnovers 25.3% of time (#9).

Georgia Tech (6-3, 2-1)
— ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #290
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #10
— Georgia Tech hasn’t played in 17 days.
— Jackets won last four games, beating UNC/Wake Forest in ACC.
— Tech’s only ACC loss was 74-61 at Florida State December 15.

— Clemson won five of last seven series games.
— Teams split last eight meetings played here.

Evansville @ Indiana State
Evansville (6-8, 4-4)
— ranked #276 by KenPom
— Tempo: #356
— Experience: #45
— Continuity: #229
— Purple Aces lost last three games, scoring 61 ppg.
— 53.7% of their shots are 3’s; they’re shooting 37.6% on arc (#44)
— Evansville is shooting 44.6% inside arc (#301).

Indiana State (6-7, 3-5)
— ranked #150 by KenPom
— Tempo: #153
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #77
— Sycamores won three of their last four games.
— ISU lost three of its four Valley home games.
— Sycamores are forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#49)

— Indiana State won last six series games.
— Purple Aces lost their last nine visits here, last two by 23-23 points.

Kentucky @ Georgia
Kentucky (4-8, 3-2)
— ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #341
— Continuity: #343
— Kentucky lost its last two games, scoring 65-59 points.
— Wildcats don’t get good shots (#293 eFG% in country)
— Two of their three SEC wins did come on road (Miss St/Florida)

Georgia (8-4, 1-4)
— ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #8
— Experience: #111
— Continuity: #256
— Dawgs are 1-4 in SEC, after a 7-0 non-conf schedule (#283 in country)
— Georgia is turning ball over 23.3% of time in SEC play (#12 of 14)
— Dawgs are giving up 89 ppg in conference games.

— Kentucky won last 14 series games.
— Wildcats won last four visits here, by 8-5-20-9 points.

Fresno State @ Boise State
Fresno State (5-5, 3-5)
— ranked #176 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #296
— Continuity: #302
— Three of Fresno’s four 2-game sets were sweeps.
— Fresno is 0-4 in MW road games, all by 14+ points.
— Aggies are turning ball over 21.2% of time (#263).

Boise State (12-1, 8-0)
— ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #77
— Continuity: #244
— Boise’s only loss was 68-58 at Houston November 27.
— Three of Boise four MW home wins were by 19+ points.
— To this point, Boise has played schedule #292.

— Fresno won four of last six series games.
— Bulldogs won 74-67/63-53 in last two visits here.

Wake Forest @ North Carolina
Wake Forest (3-3, 1-1)
— ranked #127 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #153
— Continuity: #275
— Deacons are 0-5 in ACC, scoring only 61.6 ppg.
— Wake’s two D-I wins were over teams ranked #351/#282
— Wake is turning ball over 21.5% of time in ACC games (last).

North Carolina (8-5, 3-3)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #96
— Experience: #326
— Continuity: #145
— Carolina won three of its last four games.
— Tar Heels have #289 eFG% in country.
— UNC makes up for that by grabbing 41.8% of their missed shots (#1)

— North Carolina won seven of last eight series games.
— Deacons lost last six visits here (93-83 last year)

Tulsa @ Houston
Tulsa (8-4, 5-2)
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #34
— Continuity: #195
— Tulsa upset Houston 65-64 at home December 29
— Hurricane’s two ACC losses were both to Wichita State.
— Tulsa is forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#35).

Houston (11-1, 6-1)
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #310
— Experience: #171
— Continuity: #117
— Houston won its last four games, giving up 57.8 ppg
— Houston has seven top 100 wins (schedule #91).
— Cougars have #4 eFG% defense in country.

— Houston won six of last eight series games.
— Tulsa lost last five visits here, with four losses by 15+ points.

Colorado @ Washington
Colorado (11-3, 5-2)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #232
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #102
— Colorado won its last four games, giving up 60.7 ppg in last three.
— Buffaloes split their four Pac-12 road games, losing at Arizona/UCLA.
— Colorado is shooting 84.6% on foul line, best in country.

Washington (1-11, 0-7)
— ranked #144 by KenPom
— Tempo: #87
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #195
— Huskies’ only win this season was over #285 Seattle.
— Washington gave up 80+ points in its last six games.
— Colorado beat Huskies 92-69 in Las Vegas Dec 20 (non-league game)

— Colorado won last two series games, after losing previous five.
— Buffs lost last four visits to Seattle, by 12-2-23-9 points.

Providence @ Creighton
Providence (7-6, 3-4)
— ranked #64 by KenPom
— Tempo: #301
— Experience: #132
— Continuity: #219
— Friars lost their last three games, by 2-1-10 points.
— Two of their last three wins came in overtime.
— Providence hasn’t played in eight days.

Creighton (10-3, 6-2)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #120
— Experience: #43
— Continuity: #23
— Bluejays lost last game in OT at Butler, blowing 13-point lead with 7:38 left.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Creighton won six of its last seven games.
— Bluejays have #11 eFG% in country (#38 on arc, #12 inside arc)

— Creighton won three of last four series games.
— Friars lost last three visits to Omaha, by 19-6-4 points.

Auburn @ Arkansas
Auburn (8-6, 2-4)
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #79
— Experience: #347
— Continuity: #315
— Auburn scored 83.8 ppg last three games (2-1), with frosh G Cooper eligible.
— Tigers beat Auburn/Kentucky in their last two games.
— 48.7% of their shots have been 3’s (#10)

Arkansas (10-4, 2-4)
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #20
— Experience: #240
— Continuity: #334
— Hogs lost four of last five games, after a 9-0 start- they won 97-85 at Auburn December 30, which made them 9-0.
— Arkansas gave up 92-90 points in its last two games.
— Hogs are 0-4 vs top 40 teams, 10-0 vs everyone else.

— Teams split last eight series games; Hogs won 97-85 at Auburn December 30
— Teams split last four series games played here.

Northwestern @ Wisconsin
Northwestern (6-6, 3-5)
— ranked #68 by KenPom
— Tempo: #122
— Experience: #256
— Continuity: #51
— Northwestern lost its last six games, giving up 86 ppg.
— Wildcats have worst eFG% defense in Big 14 conference games.
— Northwestern lost its last three road games, by 15-19-10 points.

Wisconsin (11-3, 5-2)
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #336
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #12
— Badgers are shooting 39.1% on arc (#22)
— Wisconsin’s Big 14 home wins are by 14-12-7 points; they lost to Maryland.
— Badgers have #21 eFG% defense in country.

— Badgers won last four series games.
— Northwestern lost its last two visits here, 69-64/63-48.

Bradley @ Illinois State
Bradley (9-4, 3-1)
— ranked #99 by KenPom
— Tempo: #287
— Experience: #209
— Continuity: #188
— Braves won last three games, scoring 76.7 ppg.
— Bradley is 1-3 in true road games, beating Northern Iowa by 2.
— Opponents are shooting 38.5% inside arc (#1).

Illinois State (4-8, 1-5)
— ranked #262 by KenPom
— Tempo: #90
— Experience: #332
— Continuity: #263
— ISU is turning ball over 21.6% of time in Valley games (last)
— Redbirds lost their two Valley home games, by 8-6 points.
— Illinois State is 0-7 vs teams in top 200.

— Bradley won last five series games.
— Braves won 65-59/74-71 OT in last two visits here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

77EDMONTON -78 TORONTO
EDMONTON is 11-5 ATS (11.2 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

77EDMONTON -78 TORONTO
DAVE TIPPETT is 11-5 ATS (5.5 Units) in road games vs. winning teams (Coach of EDMONTON)

79SAN JOSE -80 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

81MINNESOTA -82 ANAHEIM
ANAHEIM is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

83MONTREAL -84 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 31-23 ATS (13.3 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

85ARIZONA -86 VEGAS
VEGAS are 25-27 ATS (-23.9 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, January 20

Trend Report

Edmonton @ Toronto
Edmonton
Edmonton is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton

San Jose @ St. Louis
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Jose

Minnesota @ Anaheim
Minnesota
Minnesota is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Montreal @ Vancouver
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games at home

Arizona @ Vegas
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 20

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EDMONTON (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.) at TORONTO (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) - 1/20/2021, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 17-7 ATS (+24.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 11-5 ATS (+18.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 44-38 ATS (-18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

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SAN JOSE (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) at ST LOUIS (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) - 1/20/2021, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 104-92 ATS (+208.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 8-4 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 8-4-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-1.2 Units)

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MINNESOTA (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) at ANAHEIM (1-1-0-1, 3 pts.) - 1/20/2021, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 470-486 ATS (-19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 4-3 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 4-3-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)

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MONTREAL (2-0-0-1, 5 pts.) at VANCOUVER (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.) - 1/20/2021, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 24-20 ATS (+48.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 116-116 ATS (+254.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

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ARIZONA (1-1-0-1, 3 pts.) at VEGAS (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) - 1/20/2021, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 6-19 ATS (+25.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 12-7 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-5 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 5-3-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Gate Fields Stats

January 19, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

We canvass the statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Golden Gate Fields. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Northern California.

Headlines

A dozen stakes were announced last week for the 2021 Golden Gate Fields winter/spring meet, beginning with the Feb. 13 El Camino Real Derby on the Triple Crown trail. The G3 San Francisco Mile is slated for April 24 … GGF local fans will have a vested interest in Saturday’s Pegasus World Cup Turf at Gulfstream Park, where 2019 El Camino Real Derby winner Anothertwistafate competes … The Rainbow 6 has a $6,954 carryover and the Super High 5 a $6,243 carryover heading into Week 2 of the meeting ... handicapping data debuted on the Golden Gate Fields simulcast feed with the return to racing last week, including new features for the exclusive algorithm’s key value and longshot bets. That data also is available on Santa Anita’s simulcast program … Trainer Miguel Ramirez has taken over the duties for the recently passed Bob Hess Sr. stable, winning with Maggie’s Magic on Jan. 17.

Stronach 5

It’s a rare carryover week in the Stronach 5 with more than $97,000 in ‘dead’ money up for grabs. Stronach 5 races this Friday, January 22, will be:

Leg A – Laurel Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 3:55
Leg B – Laurel Park Race 9
Leg C – Santa Anita Race 3
Leg D – Golden Gate Fields Race 3
Leg E – Golden Gate Fields Race 3

Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Golden Gate Fields, each posting at least 28% winners. The leading factor Lifetime Earnings showed a $41.40 profit if you bet $2 win on each top choice for the week.

Lifetime Earnings
Speed Last Race
Avg Speed

Trends Last Week

-- Trainer Steve Specht got off to a flying start at the meet last week, going 12: 5-1-1. Those 42% wins netted and ROI of $2.40 for every $1 bet. Winners paid a healthy $7, $11, $11, $13 and $15. Specht was 3-for-3 with jockey Catalino Martinez.

-- Trainer Jonathan Wong was on point with a 4: 2-1-1 mark in limited bids, scoring $8 and $15 winners. He partnered with jockey Evin Roman on all 4 runners.

-- Trainer Jed Josephson was 2-for-2, both main-track favorites at 2-1 and 5-2 prices. Jockey Kyle Frey rode both.

-- Trainer Cliff Delima was 4: 2-0-0 with a pair of $14 winners netting a $3.68 ROI for every $1 bet.

-- Jockey Assael Espinoza hit 20% from 20 mounts and posted a $2.09 ROI for every $1 bet. His 4 wins came for 4 different barns and paid $5, $12, $14 and $51.

-- Favorites underperformed to start the meet at 28%. Jockey Kyle Frey was reliable on chalk at an 8: 5-1-2 record.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maryland Jockey Club at Laurel Park Stats

January 19, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

We canvass the statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Laurel Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Maryland.

Headlines

Local leading jockey Alexander Crispin was named a finalist for the 2020 Eclipse Award as the nation’s top apprentice jockey. The award winners will be announced Jan. 28, and Crispin will try to become the 12th Maryland-based rider to take leading apprentice in the honor’s 47-year history … The Rainbow 6 has a $8,916 carryover heading into this racing week, Friday through Sunday ... Laurel Park fans will have a vested home interest in Saturday’s $3 million Pegasus World Cup at Gulfstream Park as locally based Pimlico Special winner Harpers First Ride takes the national stage … Nominations for Laurel’s next big stakes weekend, Feb. 13, will close a week from Saturday on Jan. 30.

Stronach 5

It’s a rare carryover week in the Stronach 5 with more than $97,000 in ‘dead’ money up for grabs. Stronach 5 races this Friday, January 22, will be:

Leg A – Laurel Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 3:55
Leg B – Laurel Park Race 9
Leg C – Santa Anita Race 3
Leg D – Golden Gate Fields Race 3
Leg E – Golden Gate Fields Race 3

Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Laurel, each posting at least 23% winners and a flat-bet profit. Speed factors weren’t as dominant last week as recent weeks, perhaps due to the quality stakes program offered Saturday.

Avg Speed
Last Race Class
Last Purse

Trends Last Week

-- Top trainer Claudio Gonzalez was strong again at 13: 4-2-5, posting 85% in the money with an ROI of $2.02 for every $1 bet. His winners included $14, $16 and $16 scores with jockey Alex Cintron piloting home a pair of those.

-- Trainer Cal Lynch went 2-for-2 in limited bids, smashing the tote with $54 and $10 winners. Both came Jan. 15 in the claiming ranks.

-- Trainer Keiron Magee was 5: 2-0-2, including 2-for-2 in 2-turn route races. Those winners featured a $29 bopper, while Magee also had a 31-1 shot light the trifecta.

-- Trainer Robbie Bailes posted a sharp 4: 2-2-0 mark with a pair of $13 winners, as well as 5-1 and 9-1 runner-up finishes. All 4 runners came in 1-turn affairs for a claiming tag.

-- Hot jockey Alexander Crispin hit is first protracted cold streak of the fall-winter at Laurel, going 0-for-21 last week after a smashing 41% run the previous 2 weeks.

-- Jockey Sheldon Russell was a razor-sharp 17: 6-5-2 on the week. That’s 35% wins, 65% in the exacta and a $1.62 ROI for every $1 bet.