Thursday 1/21/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

523LA LAKERS -524 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

525NEW YORK -526 GOLDEN STATE
GOLDEN STATE is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, January 21

Trend Report

LA Lakers @ Milwaukee
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 10 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers

New York @ Golden State
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New York's last 12 games
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games at home
Golden State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing New York

New Orleans @ Utah
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, January 21

LA Lakers @ Milwaukee
Lakers (11-4)
— Lakers won five of last six games, covered four of last five.
— Lakers are 5-2 ATS on road; this is first time they’re an underdog.
— Under is 9-4 in their last thirteen games.

Bucks (9-5)
— Milwaukee won seven of its last nine games.
— Bucks are 6-1 SU at home, 4-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Four of Milwaukee’s last five games stayed under total.

— Bucks won six of last seven series games.
— Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS in last five visits here.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

New Orleans @ Utah
Pelicans (5-8)
— New Orleans lost six of its last seven games.
— Pelicans are 2-4 ATS as road underdogs.
— Seven of their last eight games went over.

Jazz (10-4)
— Utah won/covered its last six games.
— Jazz is 6-5 ATS as a favorite, 2-2 at home.
— Five of last seven Utah games stayed under total.

— Jazz won eight of last ten series games.
— New Orleans is 1-3 ATS in last four visits here.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

New York @ Golden State
Knicks (7-8)
— New York lost five of its last seven games SU, but won last two.
— Knicks are 4-3 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Under is 6-1 in New York’s last seven road games.

Warriors (8-6)
— Golden State is 6-3 in its last nine games SU.
— Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in Warrior home tilts.
— Six of Golden State’s last seven games stayed under.

— Golden State won nine of last ten series games.
— Knicks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Bay Area.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 21

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LA LAKERS (11 - 4) at MILWAUKEE (9 - 5) - 1/21/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 296-356 ATS (-95.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (7 - 8) at GOLDEN STATE (8 - 6) - 1/21/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 55-80 ATS (-33.0 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-57 ATS (-23.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (5 - 8) at UTAH (10 - 4) - 1/21/2021, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Thursday January 21
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Milwaukee (TNT, 8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Lakers are 11-0 ATS (7.27 ppg) on the road after a game as a home favorite in which they had more than 60% of the total rebounds.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York at Golden State (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 0-9 ATS (-8.28 ppg) with more than one day of rest off a home game where they made at least 10 more free throws than their opponent.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Milwaukee (TNT, 8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Lakers are 12-0 OU (15.29 ppg) with rest after a loss in which they led by 15+ points.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York at Golden State (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 0-9 OU (-19.78 ppg) after Mitchell Robinson had fewer than 10 points last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

725E MICHIGAN -726 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% in the last 3 seasons.

727SAN JOSE ST -728 NEW MEXICO
SAN JOSE ST is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

729USC -730 STANFORD
USC is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

731BOWLING GREEN -732 MIAMI OHIO
BOWLING GREEN is 84-55 ATS (23.5 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1997.

733C MICHIGAN -734 AKRON
C MICHIGAN is 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

735RUTGERS -736 PENN ST
RUTGERS are 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

737SE MISSOURI ST -738 MOREHEAD ST
MOREHEAD ST is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game since 1997.

741TENN-MARTIN -742 E KENTUCKY
TENN-MARTIN is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

743ST MARYS-CA -744 LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) off a home win in the last 3 seasons.

745E ILLINOIS -746 BELMONT
E ILLINOIS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Thursday, January 21

San Jose State vs New Mexico (@ St George, UT)
San Jose State (2-10, 0-8)
— ranked #326 by KenPom
— Tempo: #14
— Experience: #230
— Continuity: #228
— San Jose is 0-10 vs D-I teams this season.
— Spartans are 0-4 on MW road, losing by 45-33-15-15 points.
— San Jose is shooting inside arc (#344)

New Mexico (4-8, 0-8)
— ranked #269 by KenPom
— Tempo: #296
— Experience: #262
— Continuity: #312
— Lobos’ two D-I wins are over teams ranked #197/#328
— New Mexico has #345 eFG% in country.
— In last four MW games, Lobos scored only 47.8 ppg.

— Something has to give; both teams are 0-8 in Mountain West.
— New Mexico won five of last seven series games.

USC vs Stanford (@ Santa Cruz)
USC (11-3, 5-2)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #202
— Experience: #187
— Continuity: #329
— Trojans won six of last seven games, losing at Oregon St Tuesday.
— In its three losses, USC was held to 58-62-56 points.
— Opponents are shooting 40.5% inside arc (#3).

Stanford (8-5, 4-3)
— ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #59
— Experience: #292
— Continuity: #68
— Stanford lost last two games, giving up 79-77 points.
— Cardinal is 3-0 in Pac-12 “home” games, scoring 81.2 ppg.
— Stanford is turning ball over 21.7% of time (#280).

— Home side won last eight series games.
— USC won four of last six series games.
— Trojans lost last five visits to Palo Alto, though this game is in Santa Cruz.

Rutgers @ Penn State
Rutgers (7-5, 3-5)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #175
— Experience: #121
— Continuity: #19
— Rutgers lost last four games, after a 7-1 start.
— In last three games, Scarlet Knights scored 55.7 ppg.
— Rutgers is shooting 57.1% on foul line (#345).

Penn State (3-6, 0-5)
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #168
— Experience: #56
— Continuity: #47
— PSU lost its last five games; their last win was December 8.
— In last four games, Nittany Lions gave up 84 ppg.
— Penn State split four home games this year, beating VMI, VCU.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Scarlet Knights lost three of last five visits to Happy Valley.

Wichita State @ Memphis
Wichita State (8-3, 4-1)
— ranked #71 by KenPom
— Tempo: #176
— Experience: #141
— Continuity: #231
— Shockers won five of last six D-I games.
— Wichita is 3-1 on road, losing by 7 at #8 Houston.
— Wichita is shooting 38.8% inside arc (#284).

Memphis (6-5, 2-2)
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #63
— Memphis lost three of its last five games.
— Tigers are 4-1 at home, with lone loss to #79 Tulsa.
— Memphis split its last two games, both ending 58-57.

— Memphis is 3-2 vs Wichita in AAC games.
— Shockers lost last two visits here, 85-74/68-60

Saint Mary’s @ LMU
Saint Mary’s (9-5, 0-3)
— ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #253
— Continuity: #222
— Gaels lost first three WCC games, scoring 58.3 ppg.
— This is Saint Mary’s first true road game this season.
— Gaels are 7-1 SU vs teams ranked outside top 100.

LMU (7-4, 2-1)
— ranked #126 by KenPom
— Tempo: #210
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #235
— Lions won five of their last six games.
— LMU is 7-0 at home, 0-4 on road this season.
— LMU has grabbed 37.3% of its own missed shots (#21).

— Saint Mary’s won last 16 series games.
— Gaels won last 14 visits here, last five by 11+ points.

Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado
Eastern Washington (3-5, 2-1)
— ranked #134 by KenPom
— Tempo: #38
— Experience: #168
— Continuity: #27
— Three of their five losses are to Pac-12 teams.
— EWU’s two Big Sky wins were by 12-16 points.
— Eagles are shooting 27.6% on the arc. (#247).

Northern Colorado (7-6, 4-4)
— ranked #212 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #158
— Continuity: #87
— Bears are 1-3 at home, 3-1 on road in Big Sky play.
— Northern lost five of its six top 200 games.
— Bears are 0-3 in Big Sky if they allow more than 64 points.

— Eagles won six of last eight series games.
— Teams split last six meetings in Greeley.

Pacific @ Pepperdine
Pacific (5-1, 2-0)
— ranked #117 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #32
— Continuity: #149
— Pacific’s only loss was 70-58 at #109 Nevada.
— Tigers won first two WCC games, giving up 53.5 ppg.
— Pacific is 5-1 despite having the #275 eFG% in country.

Pepperdine (5-6, 1-1)
— ranked #143 by KenPom
— Tempo: #101
— Experience: #127
— Continuity: #76
— Waves lost six of their nine D-I games.
— Pepperdine does have wins over #123 Irvine, #144 California.
— Opponents are making 54.1% of shots inside arc (#295)

— Pacific won seven of last eight series games.
— Tigers won last three visits to Malibu, by 9-1-2 points.

Indiana @ Iowa
Indiana (8-6, 3-4)
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #34
— Continuity: #195
— Hoosiers are 1-3 in true road games, beating #125 Nebraska.
— To this point, Indiana has played the #16 schedule.
— Hoosiers lost five of their seven top 50 games.

Iowa (12-2, 6-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #81
— Experience: #210
— Continuity: #50
— Iowa won its last five games, scoring 87.2 ppg
— In their two losses, Hawkeyes gave up 99-102 points.
— Iowa is 3-0 in Big 14 home games, winning by 15-15-15 points.

— Indiana won six of last nine series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

UCLA @ California
UCLA (11-2, 7-0)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #246
— Continuity: #8
— Bruins won last six games, five of them by 6 or fewer points.
— UCLA scored 83.5 ppg in its last four games.
— Bruins are 5-0 at home in Pac-12, winning by 20-2-3-30-5 points.

California (7-8, 2-6)
— ranked #144 by KenPom
— Tempo: #304
— Experience: #84
— Continuity: #118
— All six of their Pac-12 losses were by 8+ points.
— Opponents are shooting 40.4% on arc against them (#333).
— Cal is 6-0 if they score 70+ points, 1-8 if they do not.

— UCLA won last six series games.
— Bruins won last two visits to Berkeley, 107-84/75-67.

Arizona @ Arizona State
Arizona (10-3, 4-3)
— ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #137
— Experience: #289
— Continuity: #332
— Arizona lost two of its last three games.
— Wildcats are 3-1 on Pac-12 road, winning by 27-4-34, losing at Stanford.
— Arizona is grabbing 37.1% of its missed shots (#11).

Arizona State (4-6, 1-3)
— ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #18
— Experience: #164
— Continuity: #161
— ASU lost its last four games; their last win was December 13.
— Sun Devils are 1-4 in top 100 games, beating #65 Rhode Island.
— ASU is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#45).

— ASU won three of last four series games.
— Wildcats lost last two visits to Tempe, 95-88 OT/66-65.

San Francisco @ Santa Clara
San Francisco (9-7, 3-3)
— ranked #79 by KenPom
— Tempo: #175
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #163
— Dons lost three of their last five games.
— 50.8% of their shots are 3’s (#5)- they’re making 36.3% of then (#67)
— USF is 3-6 SU vs teams ranked in top 150.

Santa Clara (8-3, 2-1)
— ranked #133 by KenPom
— Tempo: #65
— Experience: #94
— Continuity: #33
— Broncos are shooting 26.9% on arc (#334), have #327 eFG%.
— Santa Clara is 5-1 at home, losing to #83 Colorado State.
— Santa Clara has #10 eFG% defense in country.

— San Francisco won four of last five series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Utah @ Washington State
Utah (5-6, 2-5)
— ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #268
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #14
— Utah lost five of its last six games.
— Utes are 0-2 on Pac-12 road, losing by 2-18 points.
— Utah is 4-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

Washington State (9-4, 2-4)
— ranked #129 by KenPom
— Tempo: #177
— Experience: #320
— Continuity: #201
— Wazzu lost its last three games, giving up 83.7 ppg.
— Coogs have #6 eFG% in country.
— WSU is 0-4 in top 100 games; their best win is #134 Eastern Washington.

— Utah won last 12 series games.
— Utes won last five trips to Pullman, by 8-21-41-7-13 points.

Colorado State @ Utah State
Colorado State (10-3, 7-2)
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #95
— Experience: #315
— Continuity: #49
— Rams won four of last five games, losing 83-64 here Tuesday.
— Colorado State is 1-3 in top 100 games, splitting pair with #43 San Diego St.
— Rams are shooting 38.7% on the arc (#26).

Utah State (12-3, 9-0)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #130
— Experience: #266
— Continuity: #143
— Aggies are 5-0 at home in MW, with four wins by 12+ points.
— In their last ten games, Utah State allowed 52.4 ppg.
— Aggies made 10-19 on arc in Tuesday’s 83-64 win here.

— Utah State won last six series games.
— Rams lost last three games here, by 15-16-19 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
1.	NSA(The Legend)	NBA – Jazz -6.5
2.	Gameday Network	NBA – Lakers +1
3.	VegasSI.com	CBB – Stanford +5.5
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	CBB – Eastern Michigan +11.5
5.	Sports Action 365	CBB – Memphis -2.5
6.	Point Spread Report	NBA – Jazz over 217.5
7.	Lou Panelli	NBA – Lakers under 229
8.	Gerry “Big Cat” Andino	CBB – San Jose St under 145
9.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	CBB – Akron -11
10.	William E. Stockton	NBA – Jazz -6.5
11.	Vincent Pioli	NBA – Lakers +1
12.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	CBB – Rutgers -2
13.	SCORE	CBB – Tennessee Martin +15
14.	East Coast Line Movers	NBA – Jazz over 217.5
15.	Tony Campone	NBA – Lakers +1
16.	Chicago Sports Group	CBB – Morehead St over 127.5
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	CBB – Sant Marys CA -2.5
18.	VIP Action	CBB – Murray St -6.5
19.	South Beach Sports	NBA – Lakers under 229
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	CBB – Memphis -2.5
21.	NY Players Club	CBB – Eastern Illinois +12
22.	Fred Callahan	NBA – Lakers +1
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	NBA – Jazz over 217.5
24.	Michigan Sports	CBB – BYU over 149
25.	National Consensus Report	CBB – Santa Clara +4.5

[Ilovesports]

Of course the first day I post he goes 1-2

Vegas Ghosts

YTD
NBA 36-16 +69%
NCAAB 72-51 +58%

1/21
NBA
New York/Golden State 1H Under 110

NCAAB
Buffalo -11.5 (Sorry just saw this was an early game)
BYU – 22

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Jan 21 '21, 7:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-B | Rutgers vs Penn State
Play on: Rutgers -2½ -110 at pinnacle

Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on Rutgers -2.5
The Key: The Rutgers Scarlet Knights opened 6-0 with wins over Syracuse, Illinois and Maryland. The schedule has gotten even tougher since and they have gone 1-5 in their last 6 games overall with their lone win against Purdue. They lost to Ohio State (twice), Iowa, Michigan State and Wisconsin. They battled some injuries during that stretch which didn't help and are now fully healthy. Now they are very hungry for a victory off 4 straight losses, and they finally face a team they will handle in the Penn State Nittany Lions. Penn State is one of the worst teams in the Big Ten. The Nittany Lions are 0-5 in conference play this season and losing by 9.0 PPG. They just lost 65-79 at Illinois on Tuesday and will now be playing their 3rd game in 5 days. The Scarlet Knights have been off since Friday and have 5 days in between games to get game plan for Penn State. Rutgers is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games when playing just its 2nd game in 8 days. The Nittany Lions are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Penn State could be without Myles Dread, who left the Illinois game early with a shoulder injury. Take Rutgers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow

Jan 21 '21, 7:08 PM in 49m
NHL | Lightning vs Blue Jackets
Play on: UNDER 5½ +102

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Lightning/Blue Jackets under 5½ +102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Jan 21 '21, 7:08 PM in 49m
NHL | Jets vs Senators
Play on: Senators +111 at linepros

Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on Ottawa over Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.
We missed the mark with the Senators in this same matchup earlier this week as they blew a pair of two-goal leads in an eventual 4-3 overtime loss. I look for them to bounce back here as they wrap up a four-game homestand to open the season. Keep in mind, these two teams will play two more games against one another in Winnipeg beginning on Saturday. The Jets turned in another disjointed effort in Tuesday's overtime victory, outshot by a wide 41-28 margin in that contest. I'm still somewhat high on the young Sens in the early going this season and confident in their ability to bounce back in a winnable home game here on Thursday night. The fact we're being offered a plus-money return is a bonus. Take Ottawa (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Jan 21 '21, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Lakers vs Bucks
Play on: UNDER 229 -112

Lakers vs Bucks Free Pick January 21, 2021
The Lakers have the best defensive efficiency rating in the league and they rank near the middle of the pack for pace at 102.7 possessions per game. The Bucks had played four straight unders prior to facing a Brooklyn team that seemingly has decided that playing defense is optional. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Free pick on UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

Jan 21 '21, 8:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Tennessee Tech vs Austin Peay
Play on: Austin Peay -11 -110 at linepros

Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Thursday 1-21-21
Tennessee Tech @ Austin Peay (8:30 PM EST)
Play On: Austin Peay -11
The Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles travel to Austin Peay to take on the Governors on Thursday night. Tennessee Tech is 2-13 SU overall this year while Austin Peay comes in with a 7-4 SU overall record on the season. Austin Peay is 28-3 SU and 20-8 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a losing record. Tennessee Tech is 0-10 SU on the road this year getting beat by an average score of 81.7 to 62.9. Austin Peay is scoring 80.6 points per game at home this season. Austin Peay is 2-0 SU and ATS overall vs Tennessee Tech the past 3 years. We'll recommend a small play on Austin Peay tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Jan 21 '21, 8:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Jacksonville State vs Murray State
Play on: Murray State -6 -110 at Draft Kings

1* Free Sharp Play on Murray State -6 -110
Murray State (-6) is worth a look here as a small home favorite against Jacksonville State in Thursday's Ohio Valley action on the college hardwood. The Racers snapped a 4-game skid in a big way with a 79-57 road win over Tennessee Martin. Look for them to build on that strong showing here at home against a struggling Gamecocks team that has lost 3 of their last 4. Jacksonville State's last 5 wins have either come against a Non DI team or a DI team that is ranked outside the Top 300. This team is simply getting way too much respect here against a Murray State team that is ranked in the Top 150. Play the Racers -6!