Thursday 2/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds

02/18/21, FG, Race 7, 3.54 CT
02/18/21,FG,7,1M 70Y [Dirt] 1:41:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $20,000 (includes up to $4,000 Other Sources) (plus up to $3,000 ALBSS-Accredited LA Bred Slot Supplement). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. Claiming Price $15,000, if for $10,000, allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	4	S Man	5/2	Bridgmohan S	Cox Brad H.	JTFEL	347	36.89	1.22/$1
097.6032	8	Birthday Party	8/1	Pedroza M	Roussel. III Louie J.		347	36.89	1.22/$1
097.5812	3	Contact Tracing	3/1	Mena M	Stall. Jr. Albert M.	SW	347	36.89	1.22/$1
096.7536	5	Citadel	9/2	Murrill M	Johnston Edward J.	C	347	36.89	1.22/$1
096.2712	7	Run Far	5/1	Beschizza A	Sharp Joe		347	36.89	1.22/$1
093.3881	2	Okudah	8/1	Saez G	Desormeaux J. Keith		347	36.89	1.22/$1
092.0125	6	Macho Mark	10/1	Bonnet C	Gelner Scott		347	36.89	1.22/$1
090.4606	1	White Mist	20/1	Martin. Jr. E	Dorochenko Gennadi		347	36.89	1.22/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 24.56, ROI 0.76/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -2.3968
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]RaceDistanceRoute

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $27000 Class Rating: 64

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 SUPER MALIBU 12/1
# 7 TWISTED STORIES 9/5
# 2 HALF EMPTY 9/2

I think SUPER MALIBU is a competitive choice especially at such a decent 12/1. Should be given a shot - I like the figures from the last contest. TWISTED STORIES - This filly has to be considered just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint events alone. Has solid Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager for this race. HALF EMPTY - Has performed soundly lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 53 avg speed figure. She should definitely be given consideration given the very strong speed numbers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turfway Park - Race #1 - Post: 6:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#8 EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE (ML=4/1)
#1A IRISH DAWN (ML=4/1)


EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE - The jockey and trainer combination have a beneficial ROI when they team up. IRISH DAWN - When this rider and trainer partner up you have to take a look. Cannon and Sisterson have been great together. Sisterson adds Lasix to this one today. I'd look for an increased ability.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 PATS PROPERTY (ML=5/2), #3 SOUTHERN WILL (ML=3/1), #1 POACHER (ML=4/1),

PATS PROPERTY - 5/2 is too low of a price to take on this thoroughbred. SOUTHERN WILL - Should have at least finished in the money in the last two months in a short distance affair to be any kind of value at nominal odds in a sprint. Hard to wager on at 3/1 odds after the two most recent showings. Don't feel this questionable contender will do much running in today's race. That last speed figure was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's class figure. POACHER - In all probability won't make much of an impact this time around.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #8 EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	8 with 1 with [5,7,9] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Thursday, February 18

Houston @ Wichita State
Houston (17-2, 11-2)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #299
— Experience: #170
— Continuity: #127
— Houston is playing its first game in eight days.
— Cougars are grabbing 40.1% of their missed shots (#1)
— Houston has #1 eFG% defense in country.

Wichita State (12-4, 8-2)
— ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #189
— Experience: #150
— Continuity: #235
— Wichita won four in row, 8 of last 10 games.
— Shockers won all five of their AAC home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Wichita has #307 eFG% in country (#246 on arc, #314 inside arc).

— Shockers lost 70-63 in Houston January 6.
— Houston won last six series games.
— Teams split two AAC meetings played here.

Iowa @ Wisconsin
Iowa (15-6, 9-5)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #103
— Experience: #214
— Continuity: #52
— Iowa lost four of its last seven games, but won last two.
— Hawkeyes’ last three losses were by 5-4-2 points.
— Iowa is shooting 39.6% on arc (#11)

Wisconsin (15-7, 9-6)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #321
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #12
— Badgers’ last 8 games: WLWLWLWL
— Wisconsin split its last four home games.
— Badgers are shooting 47.9% inside arc (#243)

— Teams split last six series games.
— Hawkeyes lost four of last five visits to Madison.

Illinois State @ Bradley
Illinois State (6-15, 3-12)
— ranked #205 by KenPom
— Tempo: #136
— Experience: #333
— Continuity: #261
— Redbirds lost seven of their last eight games.
— Two of their three MVC wins have come on road.
— Illinois State is shooting 47.6% inside the arc (#257)

Bradley (11-13, 5-10)
— ranked #135 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #242
— Continuity: #216
— Bradley lost nine of its last 11 games.
— Braves are 1-5 in MVC games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Bradley lost three of its last four home games.

— Bradley lost 71-56 at Illinois State January 20.
— Braves won five of last six series games.
— State lost last three visits here, by 12-17-12 points.

Ohio State @ Penn State
Ohio State (11-4, 4-2)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #249
— Experience: #92
— Continuity: #176
— Buckeyes won six in row, nine of last ten games.
— Ohio State won its last five road games.
— In their last five games, Buckeyes scored 80.4 ppg.

Penn State (7-10, 4-9)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #157
— Experience: #45
— Continuity: #49
— Penn State lost their last two games, by total of 3 points.
— Nittany Lions won four of their last five home games.
— Opponents are shooting 54.9% inside arc (#313)

— Penn State lost 83-79 in Columbus January 27.
— Nittany Lions won four of last seven series games.
— Home side won last five series games.
— Penn State lost 74-70/106-74 in last two visits here.

Utah @ Oregon State
Utah (9-8, 6-7)
— ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #16
— Utah won three of its last four games.
— Utes are 2-5 in Pac-12 games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Utah is forcing turnovers 20.7% of the time (#80)

Oregon State (10-10, 6-8)
— ranked #121 by KenPom
— Tempo: #316
— Experience: #84
— Continuity: #162
— OSU lost its last three games, by 29-9-2 points.
— Beavers won their last four home tilts.
— Oregon State is shooting 44.1% inside arc (#325)

— Oregon State won five of last eight series games.
— Utah lost three of last four visits to Corvallis.

Rutgers @ Michigan
Rutgers (12-7, 8-7)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #225
— Experience: #83
— Continuity: #9
— Rutgers won five of their last six games.
— Knights are shooting 32.5% on arc (#233), 61.6% on line (#339)
— Rutgers is getting 59% of its points inside arc (#16)

Michigan (14-1, 9-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #154
— Michigan won at Wisconsin Sunday, its first game in 23 days.
— Michigan’s only loss: 75-57 at Minnesota January 16.
— Opponents are shooting 40.3% inside arc (#1)

— Michigan is 8-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 meetings.
— Scarlet Knights are 0-4 in Ann Arbor, losing by 10-11-15-6 points.

Arizona @ UCLA
Arizona (14-7, 8-7)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #208
— Experience: #301
— Continuity: #327
— Arizona lost four of its last six games.
— Wildcats are 1-6 this season vs top 90 teams.
— Arizona is a top 30 rebounding team in country.

UCLA (14-5, 10-3)
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #338
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #15
— Bruins lost three of their last five games.
— UCLA is shooting 36.2% inside arc (#64)
— UCLA is 6-0 in Pac-12 home games, with four wins by 5 or fewer points.

— UCLA won first meeting 81-76 in Tucson January 9.
— Bruins won last four series games.
— Arizona lost 90-69/69-64 in last two visits to Westwood.

LMU @ San Francisco
LMU (10-6, 5-3)
— ranked #115 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #165
— Continuity: #221
— LMU won its last three games, by 25-4-3 points.
— Lions are turning ball over 22.9% of time (#325).
— LMU had two starters play 40/38 minutes in Tuesday’s 76-73 win at Santa Clara.

San Francisco (10-10, 4-6)
— ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #177
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #165
— USF lost its last three games, scoring 64.0 ppg.
— Dons lost their last four home games.
— Half the shots USF has taken were 3-pointers (35%, #112).

— USF lost 68-60 at LMU January 10.
— Dons won four of last six series games.
— Lions lost three of last four visits to USF.

Saint Mary’s @ Gonzaga
Saint Mary’s (11-6, 2-4)
— ranked #76 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #246
— Continuity: #220
— Saint Mary’s lost five of its last eight games.
— Gaels won two of their three road games, losing at Pepperdine.
— Gaels’ last three games were all decided by 4 or fewer points.

Gonzaga (20-0, 11-0)
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #7
— Experience: #253
— Continuity: #180
— Five of Gonzaga’s last six wins were by 18+ points.
— Zags are shooting 64.5% inside arc.
— This is Gonzaga’s first home game since January 23.

— Gonzaga won 73-59 in Moraga January 16.
— Zags won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Saint Mary’s lost last two visits here, 94-46/86-76.

San Diego State @ Fresno State
San Diego State (15-4, 9-3)
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #14
— Continuity: #155
— Aztecs won their last six games, all by 22+ points.
— This is San Diego State’s first game in eight days.
— Aztecs are forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#19)

Fresno State (9-7, 7-7)
— ranked #196 by KenPom
— Tempo: #277
— Experience: #303
— Continuity: #300
— Fresno won four of its last five games.
— Bulldogs are turning ball over 22.0% of time (#310)
— Bulldogs are 0-6 vs top 100 teams (all six losses by 14+).

— Fresno won five of last eight series games.
— Aztecs lost four of last six visits to Fresno.

California @ Washington State
California (8-15, 3-13)
— ranked #136 by KenPom
— Tempo: #313
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #95
— California lost seven of their last eight games.
— Opponents are shooting 38.9% on the arc (#332)
— Bears are 6-4 vs teams outside the top 100 this season.

Washington State (12-10, 5-10)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #156
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #204
— Coogs lost three of their last four games.
— Wazzu is turning ball over 21.6% of the time (#295)
— Coogs lost five of their last six home games.

— Coogs won 71-60 in Berkeley January 7.
— Cal won three of last four series games.
— Teams split last six meetings in Pullman.

Colorado @ Oregon
Colorado (16-6, 10-5)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #267
— Experience: #33
— Continuity: #92
— Colorado won nine of its last 12 games.
— Buffs split their last six road games.
— Colorado is shooting 37.5% on arc (#36)

Oregon (12-4, 7-3)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #188
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #294
— Oregon won its last three games, scoring 74.7 ppg.
— Ducks lost two of their last three home games.
— Colorado shot 61.1% inside arc in teams’ first meeting.

— Ducks lost 79-72 in Boulder January 7.
— Colorado won three of last four series games.
— Buffs lost their last five visits to Eugene.

Stanford @ Washington
Stanford (13-8, 9-6)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #93
— Experience: #291
— Continuity: #76
— Stanford won three of its last four games overall.
— Stanford lost three of its last four road games.
— Cardinal is turning ball over 21.1% of time (#277)

Washington (4-16, 3-12)
— ranked #162 by KenPom
— Tempo: #80
— Experience: #117
— Continuity: #193
— Washington lost five of its last six games.
— Huskies lost last three home games, by 15-15-3 points.
— Washington is in bottom 15 in country on the defensive boards (#345)

— Huskies lost first meeting 91-75 in Santa Cruz January 7.
— Stanford won six of last eight series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Monticello - Race #8
Picks Notes
#4 ROJAS BLUE CHIP Resilient in victory, can rate today and win on the class hike.
#6 ELITE FIVE Appears speed of the speed, knows how to win.
#2 BETTER UP Three seconds in last four starts, projects ideal trip.
Race Summary Rojas Blue Chip re-took the favorite for the lead, took pressure throughout and held off the trip-sitter to prevail. Taking her to upset the boys with patient handling. Play a 4-ALL exacta.

Yonkers - Race #7
Picks Notes
#5 SIESTA BEACH Good rallies from last in two most recent starts, value remains.
#7 ALEXA SKYE Cruised to another victory in 1:51 at the Big M, one to beat.
#4 DEMETER N Piling up the wins, rising up in class tonight.
Race Summary Siesta Beach trailed from post 7, swung wide on the turn in a compact field and got up to finish third. She gets ample pace flow to rally into tonight and could spring the upset. Play a 5-7 exacta box.

Yonkers - Race #10
Picks Notes
#6 BONTZ N Right set-up, right price in speed-laden field.
#1 MACZAFFAIR N Just missed at this level, then buried lesser at Yonkers.
#5 IMPRINCESSGEMMA A Late runner seeks 20th victory, won at this level.
Race Summary Bontz N is worth a longshot stab at 20-1 on the morning line. She swung 3-wide with mid-turn momentum and finished second to the favorite last week, but she gets plenty of pace to run at on the step up in class. Play a 1-5-6 exacta box.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#1 Braccio Di Ferro Closed strongly for a sprint win at this level two races back and looks eligible to improve going a longer distance.
#4 Hercules Got a perfect trip and was a clear winner last time out; has been in good races and fits well here.
#2 Sidarth Has the tactical speed to put himself in it at any time; comes in off a second and was claimed by Joseph, who is 32 percent in first after claim.
Race Summary Braccio Di Ferro has finished with interest going short and should appreciate the mile of this one; one to hold off.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#5 American Phenom Was second last out and has three straight good enough for Crichton, who claimed him in his debut; does well on or near the front end and should be able to mix it up with these for this price.
#8 Gimme Some Mo Was a clear maiden winner last time out and has improved on the turf; well connected.
#4 Exult Can get a good trip just off the pace and usually finishes with interest; comes in off a maiden score.
Race Summary American Phenom has been in decent a races and can be a forward factor; should be able to outlast the other speed.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#3 Dark Ages Was impressive in a win over similar last time; that was his best career start and he can win if he runs anywhere close to that one.
#6 Please Sit Down Took a big step up in class last time and lost a photo; last two were good enough to make him a factor here.
#8 Green Mansions Was third in a three-horse photo last time and makes her first off the claim for Sanchez; can be a player in this one.
Race Summary Dark Ages was super sharp last out and can get repeat at this level.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

737HOUSTON -738 WICHITA ST
WICHITA ST is 74-41 ATS (28.9 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1997.

739IOWA -740 WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

741WM & MARY -742 ELON
WM & MARY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after playing a game as an underdog in the current season.

743ILLINOIS ST -744 BRADLEY
ILLINOIS ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

747OHIO ST -748 PENN ST
PENN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

749BYU -750 PACIFIC
Mark Pope is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 (Coach of BYU)

749BYU -750 PACIFIC
BYU is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

751JACKSONVILLE ST -752 BELMONT
JACKSONVILLE ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

753E ILLINOIS -754 MURRAY ST
E ILLINOIS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

755SIU EDWARDSVL -756 AUSTIN PEAY
AUSTIN PEAY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

569TORONTO -570 MILWAUKEE
TORONTO is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

569TORONTO -570 MILWAUKEE
Nick Nurse is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots (Coach of TORONTO)

571BROOKLYN -572 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games off a road win over the last 2 seasons.

573MIAMI -574 SACRAMENTO
MIAMI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 18

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TORONTO (13 - 15) at MILWAUKEE (16 - 12) - 2/18/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 152-114 ATS (+26.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 8-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (18 - 12) at LA LAKERS (22 - 7) - 2/18/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (11 - 17) at SACRAMENTO (12 - 15) - 2/18/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, February 18

Toronto @ Milwaukee
Raptors (13-15)
— Toronto won/covered six of its last nine games.
— Raptors are 7-3 ATS in last ten road games.
— Eight of last ten Toronto games went over the total.

Bucks (16-12)
— Milwaukee lost last four games, giving up 123.0 ppg.
— Bucks are 8-4 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 7-4 in Milwaukee’s last 11 games.

— Toronto won six of last nine series games.
— Raptors are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Six of last seven series games stayed under.

Brooklyn @ LA Lakers
Nets (18-12)
— Brooklyn won/covered their last four games.
— Nets are 4-6 ATS in last ten road games.
— 21 of last 24 Brooklyn games went over the total.
— Durant (hamstring) isn’t expected to play: Irving is probable.

Lakers (22-7)
— Lakers are 8-1 SU in last eight games, 2-4 ATS in last six.
— Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.

— Brooklyn won three of last four series games.
— Nets are 2-2-1 ATS in last five series games played here.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Miami @ Sacramento
Heat (11-17)
— Miami lost its last three games, giving up 119 ppg.
— Heat is 5-9 ATS on the road this season.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Four Miami guys played 39:00+ in an OT loss last night.

Kings (12-16)
— Sacramento lost its last four games, by 8-11-14-11 points.
— Kings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.
— Over is 12-3 in their last 15 home games.

— Kings won five of last seven series games.
— Miami covered once in last five visits to Sacramento.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, February 18

Trend Report

Toronto @ Milwaukee
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games

Brooklyn @ LA Lakers
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Brooklyn's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 21 of Brooklyn's last 24 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Miami @ Sacramento
Miami
Miami is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Miami's last 19 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Thursday February 18
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 10-0 ATS (6.70 ppg) as a favorite off a road game where Tyler Herro attempted more three pointers than two pointers.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 0-9 ATS (-10.11 ppg) at home after they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 19-0 OU (13.95 ppg) as a dog with rest coming off a home game that had 8+ lead changes.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Toronto at Milwaukee (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Raptors are 0-8 OU (-14.94 ppg) off a win as a dog in which Norman Powell took fewer than 10 shots.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Feb 18 '21, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Iowa vs Wisconsin
Play on: Wisconsin -1 -110 at Mirage

PICK - Wisconsin Badgers -1
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 740
I love the value here with Wisconsin as a slim 1-point home favorite against the Hawkeyes. I cashed on Iowa in each of their last two games, as they beat Rutgers 79-66 as a 6-point home favorite last Wednesday and then rolled past Michigan State 88-58 as a 6.5-point road favorite on Saturday.
I just thought the Hawkeyes were undervalued in both of those games due to the fact that they had just recently gone 1-4 in their previous 5. Now I think they are getting a little too much respect here on the road against what is going to be a pissed off and extremely motivated Wisconsin team that is fresh off a 59-67 loss at home to Michigan.
Even with that setback to the Wolverines, the Badgers are 11-3 on their home floor this season. I just feel like Wisconsin should at least be a 3-4 point favorite here. Either way I love the matchup for the Badgers.
While Garza is great, what really makes Iowa go is their 3-point shooting. Wisconsin is one of the better teams defending the 3-point shot. Opponents are hitting just 32.3% of their long range attempts against them and that drops to a mere 30.8% at the Kohl Center. Iowa is also a very poor at defending the 3-point shot. The Badgers should make them pay, as they are hitting 40.3% from deep at home this season.
Iowa lived on the 3-pointer in those 2 wins against Rutgers and Michigan St, they made 11 against the Scarlet Knights and 13 against the Spartans. Hawkeyes are just 4-4 ATS in their last 18 road games after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3-pointers. Badgers are also 9-1 ATS in their last 10 off a conference loss. Give me Wisconsin -1!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Feb 18 '21, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Iowa vs Wisconsin
Play on: Wisconsin -1½ -109 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Wisconsin -1½ -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Feb 18 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Senators vs Maple Leafs
Play on: Maple Leafs -1½ -115 at pinnacle

These teams have split b2b close ones the past two meetings. Tonight, the Leafs should break through with a multi-goal win. While the Sens have played better recently, they've still got plenty of issues. The Leafs are +15 in goal differential, the Sens are -30. The Sens have nine points compared to the Leafs' 26. I say that the difference in talent finally becomes apparent and the Leafs pull away for a more "convincing" victory. Consider laying the -1.5 goals.