Wednesday 2/24/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #16
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Sam Houston - Race #2 - Post: 4:43pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $38,000 Class Rating: 87

    Rating:

    #4 HELIOCHROME (ML=7/1)
    #9 KOBLA MAS (ML=9/5)


    HELIOCHROME - Average Equibase class figure is tops in this field. I think that is a big advantage for a race on the turf. You always have to be on the patrol for revenue generating rider/trainer combinations; we have an instance right here. This horse collects a lot of cash per race. At the top in this race. KOBLA MAS - I sense a speed battle developing here. If that happens, this colt will be in perfect position to gather up the leaders.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DYNA STRIKE (ML=9/2), #7 DECLARATIONOFSPEED (ML=6/1), #3 GUMBO (ML=8/1),

    DYNA STRIKE - Registered a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig last time out in a Maiden Special race on Jan 31st. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number. DECLARATIONOFSPEED - Just can't bet on this pony. Didn't show me anything in the last race or on December 4th. GUMBO - Don't believe this pony has what it takes to be victorious this time around.

    GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - HELIOCHROME - Lasix can cure a good many ills. This horse is getting it for the first time today.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #4 HELIOCHROME to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,9]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 8 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 85

      FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE JANUARY 24 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 1 SPEED SYNDROME 8/1
      # 7 EARTHQUAKE 3/1
      # 8 GRAND OASIS 7/2
      My selection in this competition is SPEED SYNDROME especially at 8/1. I like the jockey on this gelding - decent chance to win the contest. Is difficult not to look at based on speed figures which have been solid - 75 avg - of late. Gamblers ought to feel comfortable with this selection given Castillo's recent dividends at the window. EARTHQUAKE - The handler wheels this entrant right back to race again. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this horse look respectable in this contest. GRAND OASIS - Well above average win rate at this distance/surface.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #18
        Paul Leiner

        Here's a pick from Gulfstream

        Race 4
        #7 Royal War $10 wps
        $2 exacta box 7-5-2
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #19
          Picks for Tampa Bay's Wednesday Stakes

          February 23, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

          Tampa Bay Downs has a rescheduled stakes double-offering Wednesday with a pair of turf sprints sharing the weekday marquee. Let’s dig into the artificial intelligence of the app for a deeper dive into the main events, providing data-driven insight on an exciting day of racing at a track you may not always frequent.

          Selections provided by the app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with the selections.

          //

          Tampa Bay Downs // Race 7 // 3:21 pm ET // Turf Dash Stakes // 5 furlongs (turf)

          #5 The Critical Way (4-1 ML) // 31%W // 41%P // 50%S
          #2 Imprimis (8-5 ML) // 13%W // 29%P // 40%S
          #4 My Boy Lenny (15-1 ML) // 11%W // 21%P // 33%S ** main track only **
          #9 Turned Aside (3-1 ML) // 9%W // 18%P // 33%S
          #1 Oceanic (20-1 ML) // 7%W // 18%P // 24%S
          #6 The Connector (8-1 ML) // 7%W // 16%P // 25%S
          #11 Jazzy Times (15-1 ML) // 6%W // 15%P // 30%S
          #3 Quarky (12-1 ML) // 5%W // 15%P // 19%S
          #10 Fox Run (15-1 ML) // 5%W // 12%P // 22%S
          #7 Arcadia Calls (20-1 ML) // 3%W // 8%P // 12%S
          #8 Tench (20-1 ML) // 3%W // 8%P // 12%S

          Notes: Imprimis and The Critical Way re-match from their Jan. 1 Janus Stakes first-third finish at Gulfstream Park, separated by only a neck in a 3-way photo finish. The Critical Way has the early speed and has won over the track already, while Imprimis is the classy finisher making his first start on Tampa’s lawn. Turned Aside is a multiple stakes-winning turf sprinter by American Pharoah, changing trainers from Linda Rice to Mark Casse for the first time. According to the Betmix database, Casse has more Tampa Bay Downs stakes wins since 2013 than any other trainer (14 total, 22% strike rate).

          //

          Tampa Bay Downs // Race 9 // 4:21 pm ET // Lightning City Stakes // 5 furlongs (turf)

          #4 The Goddess Lyssa (3-1 ML) // 29%W // 38%P // 46%S
          #10 Lenzi’s Lucky Lady (10-1 ML) // 12%W // 26%P // 36%S
          #9 Jeanie B (6-1 ML) // 10%W // 19%P // 30%S
          #5 Payntdembluesaway (8-1 ML) // 8%W // 16%P // 30%S
          #1 The Great Kath (20-1 ML) // 6%W // 16%P // 21%S
          #7 Miss Auramet (4-1 ML) // 6%W // 14%P // 22%S
          #12 Ode to Joy (8-1 ML) // 6%W // 13%P // 27%S
          #6 Sethamee Street (10-1 ML) // 5%W // 13%P // 16%S
          #14 Nightlife (12-1 ML) // 5%W // 11%P // 19%S ** also-eligible **
          #2 Royal Collection (5-1 ML) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S
          #3 Weekend Fun (20-1 ML) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S
          #8 Awsum Roar (15-1 ML) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S
          #11 Bluefield (15-1 ML) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S
          #13 Roman d’Oro (6-1 ML) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S ** also-eligible **

          Notes: Morning line favorite The Goddess Lyssa scores 17 points higher than the next-closest competitor, but will be racing on turf for the first time. She’s won 5 of 7 on dirt, including the Minaret Stakes. Speedy Lenzi’s Lucky Lady has made the lead at some point in 7 of her 8 career starts and offers value on the ML. Payntdembluesaway aims for 7 straight wins while rising in class. Royal Collection has won 3 of her last 4 against easier competition, takes on stakes runners for the first time, and is dismissed by thealgorithm despite 5-1 in the morning line.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #20
            Golden Gate Fields Stats

            February 23, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

            We canvass the statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Golden Gate Fields. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Northern California. And be sure to support GGF by betting with the official betting app of Golden Gate Fields.

            Headlines

            Golden Gate Fields has a $45,583 carryover in the Rainbow 6 jackpot for the return of racing Thursday … GGF’s 2021 El Camino Real Derby winner Rombauer will bypass Saturday’s San Felipe at Santa Anita and aim for a 1-1/8 miles test next in either the Santa Anita Derby or a roadtrip, trainer Michael McCarthy told the Santa Anita notes team … The Golden Hour Double and Pick Four will be offered Friday-Sunday this week in conjunction with the final races each day at GGF and Santa Anita. Last weekend’s Golden Hour Pick Four pools averaged nearly $190,000 Saturday and Sunday

            Stronach 5

            Last week’s Stronach 5 was cancelled due to weather issues at Laurel Park. Stronach 5 races this Friday, February 26, will be:

            Leg A: Laurel Park Race 9 with a post time of 4:17 pm ET
            Leg B: Santa Anita Race 3
            Leg C: Gulfstream Race 8
            Leg D: Laurel Race 10
            Leg E: Golden Gate Fields Race 3

            Top Factors Last Week:

            Horseplayers using the app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Golden Gate Fields, each posting at least 35% winners and a flat-bet profit. Speed factors dominated the action at GGF. The app was on fire with 44% winners on top for the week and showed a flat-bet profit.

            Avg. Speed Last 3
            Speed Last Race
            Best Speed Last 3

            Trends Last Week

            -- Favorites crushed it at 26: 15-1-5, boasting 57% wins, and have won 45% in February overall.

            -- Trainer Jack Steiner won with his only starter and has gone 6: 2-2-0 with limited bids the past 3 weeks.

            -- Leading trainer Jonathan Wong went 8: 3-0-1 and is now 9-for-24 over the past 2 weeks – but that has resulted in a 20% flat-bet loss as all 9 winners were 2-1 or less.

            -- Trainer Jeff Bonde posted a 3: 2-0-1 week, but with 1-1 and 6-5 short prices.

            -- Trainer Steve Specht won with both starters, also short prices at 4-5 and 7-5. The barn has gone 5-15 (33%) in February (8: 3-3-0 teamed with Frank Alvarado).

            -- Jockey Catalino Martinez topped the riders at 12: 4-2-4 with all winners at 5-2 or less, but he did have a 15-1 runner-up along the way. He was 3-for-3 aboard favorites.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #21
              Maryland Jockey Club at Laurel Park Stats

              February 23, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

              We canvass the statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Laurel Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Maryland. And be sure to support Laurel Park by betting with the official betting app of Maryland Jockey Club.

              Headlines

              Due to last Friday’s cancellation, Laurel Park adds Thursday racing to this coming week … Hibiscus Punch’s $85.60 return in Saturday’s Grade 3 Barbara Fritchie was the nation’s second-highest payout in a graded stakes so far in 2021. Only Captivating Moon ($89) paid more in the Grade 3 Fair Grounds Stakes … Laurel-based 2019 Remsen winner Shotski returns to his homebase to run for the first time since his maiden breaker when he battles Thursday in the Race 8 allowance co-feature … Grade 3 Vagrancy and local What a Summer Stakes winner Victim of Love makes her first start Friday in a Race 9 allowance since finishing third in Saratoga’s Grade 1 Ballerina … Nominations close Saturday for Laurel’s next major stakes day, a 5-event bonanza March 13 that includes the $100,000 Private Terms on the Preakness path.

              Stronach 5

              Last week’s Stronach 5 was cancelled due to weather issues at Laurel Park. Stronach 5 races this Friday, February 26, will be:

              Leg A: Laurel Park Race 9 with a post time of 4:17 pm ET
              Leg B: Santa Anita Race 3
              Leg C: Gulfstream Race 8
              Leg D: Laurel Race 10
              Leg E: Golden Gate Fields Race 3

              Top Factors Last Week:

              Horseplayers using the app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Laurel, each posting at least 24% wins. The factor Trainer Current Meet posted 33% wins and a massive $108.80 profit if you bet $2 on every top choice in that factor to win.

              Avg. Best 2 of 3 Speed
              Trainer Current Meet
              Last Race Class

              Trends Last Week

              Note: Laurel ran only 18 races last week (for the second straight week) due to weather-related cancellations.

              -- Jockey Horacio Karamanos had an impressive 11: 3-1-3 record that included a massive $5.48 ROI for every $1 bet. He had $12, $22 and $85 winners.

              -- Trainer Jerry Robb won the Wide Country Stakes with red-hot Street Lute and is now 13: 6-1-2 at Laurel since Jan. 30.

              -- Trainer Justin Nixon won with both starters he sent out, netting $11 and $85 returns – the latter by Hibiscus Punch in the Grade 3 Barbara Fritchie. No other trainer won multiple races last week.

              -- The jockey-trainer tandem of Angel Cruz and Claudio Gonzalez has a 5-for-11 record the past 3 weeks.

              -- Favorites tallied 3 of the 6 Winter Sprintfest Stakes on Saturday.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #22
                Gulfstream Park Stats

                February 23, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

                We canvass the statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Gulfstream Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in South Florida. And be sure to support Gulfstream by betting with the official betting app of Gulfstream Park.

                Headlines

                Gulfstream Park has a $62,672 Rainbow 6 carryover and $250,000-guaranteed pool for Wednesday’s kickoff card for the week … The Rainbow 6 was hit last Saturday by a single ticket for more than $700,000 … Saturday’s Fountain of Youth Stakes Day megacard includes 9 stakes in all, 8 of the graded variety … Probables for the Fountain of Youth, which will be drawn Wednesday, include Holy Bull Stakes 1-2-3 finishers Greatest Honour, Tarantino and Prime Factor, as well as 2020 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf winner Fire at Will and fleet Swale sprint winner Drain the Clock.

                Stronach 5

                Last week’s Stronach 5 was cancelled due to weather issues at Laurel Park. Stronach 5 races this Friday, February 26, will be:

                Leg A: Laurel Park Race 9 with a post time of 4:17 pm ET
                Leg B: Santa Anita Race 3
                Leg C: Gulfstream Race 8
                Leg D: Laurel Race 10
                Leg E: Golden Gate Fields Race 3

                Top Factors Last Week:

                Horseplayers using the app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Gulfstream Park last week, each winning at a 26% or greater win rate and flat-bet profit.

                Jockey Current Year
                Last E1 Pace
                Avg. Speed Last 3

                Trends Last Week

                -- Trainer Peter Walder had a week of weeks, going 8: 6-0-1 and nearly matching his 8-win total for the meet prior. He has won with 6 consecutive starters dating back to last Thursday. Among those victories are $9, $13 and $15 returns.

                -- Trainer Mike Maker posted a 7: 4-0-1 mark, winning both attempts with favorites and posting all 4 wins with horses 4-1 or less. Maker went 2-for-3 with maiden claimers and is 7-for-14 with them at the meet.

                -- Trainer Kent Sweezey’s 8: 2-1-2 week makes him 15: 5-2-3 over the past 2 weeks with a $1.38 ROI for every $1 bet. He’s 2-for-4 with jockey Luis Saez and 6: 2-2-2 with Paco Lopez.

                -- Jockey Corey Lanerie continued his red-hot ways with another 5-win week (23% wins) and winners at $13, $16 and $60. Lanerie also won 5 races the week prior with $12, $13, $21, $22 and $33 scores. He boasts a $2.29 ROI for every $1 bet the past 2 weeks from a 10-for-46 mark (22%).

                -- Favorites vastly under-performed last week at 15-for-53 (28%), though jockey Miguel Vasquez was reliable on chalk at 6: 4-2-0.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #23
                  Santa Anita Park Stats

                  February 23, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

                  We canvass the statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Santa Anita Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Southern California. And be sure to support “The Great Race Place” by betting with the official betting app of Santa Anita Park.

                  Headlines

                  Santa Anita has a $424,910 Rainbow 6 carryover heading into this 3-day racing week, Friday-Sunday … Feature races this week will be Saturday’s Pasadena Stakes for 3-year-old turf milers and Sunday’s Tiznow Stakes for Cal-bred dirt milers … Unbeaten Sham winner Life Is Good worked a bullet 5 furlongs Sunday in 59.60 for the March 6 San Felipe Stakes, part of the Santa Anita Handicap Day undercard … 28-year-old Flavien Prat posted his 1,000th career victory last Friday at Santa Anita and leads the current meet standings heading into this week.

                  Stronach 5

                  Last week’s Stronach 5 was cancelled due to weather issues at Laurel Park. Stronach 5 races this Friday, February 26, will be:

                  Leg A: Laurel Park Race 9 with a post time of 4:17 pm ET
                  Leg B: Santa Anita Race 3
                  Leg C: Gulfstream Race 8
                  Leg D: Laurel Race 10
                  Leg E: Golden Gate Fields Race 3

                  Top Factors Last Week:

                  Horseplayers using the app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Santa Anita Park last week, each winning at a 35% or greater win rate. Note that jockeys Umberto Rispoli and Joel Rosario were out last week with travel, and the riders remaining turned out to be a key factor. The 1/ST BET app tabbed a strong 34% winners on the week and showed a $14.80 flat-bet profit.

                  Jockey 6 Mo. Win %
                  Lifetime Earnings
                  Avg. Best 2 of 3 Speed

                  Trends Last Week

                  -- Jockey Flavien Prat dominated in the absence of Umberto Rispoli and Joel Rosario, going 20: 9-4-2. He not only won 45% of his mounts, he won 33% of the races offered on the week and was in the exacta in nearly half of the offerings (13-27).

                  -- Apprentice jockey Emily Ellingwood won with 2 of her 4 mounts, popping with $9 and $24 winners, both coming in dirt miles. She was 1-for-22 at the meet prior, but now has 3 wins in her last 8 mounts.

                  -- Trainer Richard Baltas was on the money at 9: 4-0-2, all at $9 or less and a trio of winners at 2-1 or less. He used 4 different riders on his 4 winners.

                  -- Trainer Peter Miller had best week in a month, going 8: 2-2-1 and perhaps turning the corner on his slump. He had a $33 winner among those successes.

                  -- Trainer Peter Eurton advanced to 8-for-20 (40%) over the past 3 weeks with a $23 upsetter among his 3 limited starts this week.

                  -- Main track favorites were 12: 7-1-1 last week and now are 27-for-53 over the past 4 weeks.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #24
                    Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

                    Delta Downs - Race #1
                    Picks Notes
                    #6 Cheveyo He has been pretty flat in those last two, but he showed just a small bit of forward ability in the career best three-back run, and there is zero other speed signed on today. Go for it from the break at a price?
                    #8 Oops Wediditagain He looks like the one to beat off the useful debut run when finishing up nicely, and he's probably quick enough to sit a spying trip today in this paceless bunch.
                    #3 My Call He's a bit one-paced, but there isn't a whole lot in here, so that may play well enough to land him a piece underneath.
                    Race Summary Cheveyo might be fast enough to find the top in a race that should be pretty soft near the front end, and he might be the right one to beat the likely chalk, Oops Wediditagain

                    Delta Downs - Race #2
                    Picks Notes
                    #4 Tiz Showbiz Barn can get them home on the hike, and it's at least a little bit interesting that this guy steps up for this after two losses in claiming company when they could have easily risked him with cheaper after paying just $5k for him. I'm intrigued.
                    #1 Glory Road Most likely winner in here has some pretty nice names in the company lines throughout his career, and this spot will be much softer than what he was facing at Fair Grounds in recent starts.
                    #2 High Cruise Speed steps up, but that was a really nice effort when losing the blinkers last time out, and something similar puts him in the frame.
                    Race Summary Tiz Showbiz would have been more logical in any number of claiming spots, so the hike is maybe worth noting, and if he can step forward off that last one, he's not far off top honors here.

                    Delta Downs - Race #8
                    Picks Notes
                    #6 Purim King He didn't miss by much at this level a couple starts back, and he has just a little bit of versatility that should keep him in touch.
                    #7 Venn I guess he should be able to handle these on the move from FG, but the price will probably be on the short side, and it doesn't feel like he has to win this.
                    #1/1A White Entry Both halves of the entry bring spotty form, but they're both capable of running lines that would be fairly competitive here. Still, the 3/1 ML would not be too appealing to me.
                    Race Summary Purim King was a neck short with similar a couple starts back, and at anything approaching the 6/1 ML price, he'd be interesting enough with the capable Venn likely to be an underlay.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #25
                      Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

                      Rosecroft - Race #2
                      Picks Notes
                      #9 B A ROCKET Good fit with these, knows how to win, post 9 the drawback.
                      #2 DR NIPNTUCK Bid first-over alongside the favorites but faded.
                      #7 ADMIRAL Yet to recapture 2020 form, takes needed class drop.
                      Race Summary B A Rocket, no factor in 1:51.4 last week, paced evenly but posted an improved speed figure off the claim two starts back. Early position will be vital as he seeks his 17th win and nears $100,000 in earnings.

                      Northfield Park - Race #5
                      Picks Notes
                      #8 AMORA BEACH Free too late, finished third on short rest, gets Wrenn.
                      #5 DENSLOW HANOVER Earned top speed figure when second at this level three starts ago.
                      #1 ARCHETTO HANOVER Can make good use of his speed in repeat attempt.
                      Race Summary Amora Beach took late money on two day's rest, was trapped in third for 3/4s of a mile and finished a willing third. Play a 1-5-8 exacta box.

                      Northfield Park - Race #11
                      Picks Notes
                      #1 E L WILD SPIRIT Speed from rail, back on Lasix, price attached.
                      #2 MAGIC SHARK Drops, moves outside in, last win was with Merriman.
                      #3 RHP Solid numbers but yet to finish in the money in six starts this year.
                      Race Summary E L Wild Spirit gave way chasing the 5-2 winner last out, but he could be a forward factor from the rail at a big price for his new connections. Play a 1-2- exacta box.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #26
                        Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

                        Gulfstream Park - Race #7
                        Picks Notes
                        #4 Sunshine City Came up a half-length shy on the turf last time but her only dirt try effort produced a good third against tougher company at Churchill. Adds blinkers and could be in the mix earlier.
                        #3 Include the Beast Was an easy winner in his first two and then tasted defeat last time when he lacked a losing move; drops in class and will be a strong player.
                        #7 Battle Cry Was too late in his bid last time out and can be closer to the early action going this distance; capable of reaching the gimmicks.
                        Race Summary Sunshine City had a decent dirt effort last year and has what it takes late in the game.

                        Gulfstream Park - Race #8
                        Picks Notes
                        #8 High Noon Rider Claiming Crown winner three races back has been in much stronger races than this and comes off a closing third in a fast starter allowance; old-time keeps running well and should be the one to watch late.
                        #6 Tizzarunner Was a consistent closer in good races at Churchill and was a winner the last time he ran over this course; once race a mile in 1:32 1-5 here.
                        #3 Pioneer Man Tried stakes races last year and came up with a couple of wins at Woodbine; can be a contender in his first since October.
                        Race Summary High Noon Rider has had some of his best efforts over this course and can get a good pace setup.

                        Gulfstream Park - Race #10
                        Picks Notes
                        #1 Fulmini Carlos David claimed him the first time he was eligible and turns back to five furlongs; can make a solid run for his new barn.
                        #8 Thinkaboutit Ran on for second at this level last time out and ran well in three of four starts; chance for a major slice.
                        #7 Nitro Time Has excellent early speed and goes for his fourth straight win; could get some company out front today.
                        Race Summary Fulmini can track a fast pace and has the late kick to be effective in this very good sprint.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #27
                          Jimmy Boyd

                          Feb 24 '21, 7:00 PM in 29m
                          NCAA-B | Temple vs South Florida
                          Play on: Temple +5½ -110 at Mirage

                          1* Free Pick on Temple +5½ -110
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #28
                            Sean Murphy

                            Feb 24 '21, 7:08 PM in 37m
                            NHL | Flames vs Maple Leafs
                            Play on: Maple Leafs -140 at linepros

                            Wednesday NHL Free play. My selection is on Toronto over Calgary at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday.
                            The Leafs have become accustomed to rebounding off a loss in this unique 2021 NHL season. They check in 4-1 off a loss this season and should bounce back here as well. Note that Toronto owns a staggering 11-2 record when coming off a loss where it scored one goal or less over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.1 goals. For their part, the Flames are 5-12 on the moneyline when coming off a win by three goals or more, as is the case here, over the last three seasons. The Flames have a bit of adversity to deal with as standout goaltender Jakob Markstrom is dealing with an upper body injury and listed as day-to-day. Take Toronto (8*).
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #29
                              Jeff Alexander

                              Feb 24 '21, 7:35 PM in 1h
                              NBA | Celtics vs Hawks
                              Play on: Celtics -1½ -115 at BetCris

                              1* NBA - Celtics/Hawks *FREE PICK* on Celtics -1.5
                              Today's free pick is on the Boston Celtics -1.5 on the road against the Atlanta Hawks. Great price with Boston in this one. Celtics have lost their last 2 and are just 7-13 in their last 20, but we know the talent is there and so many of those losses could have gone the other way. That includes each of their last two. They blew a huge lead in a 115-120 loss at New Orleans on Sunday and then fell 107-110 at Dallas last night. Key here is the Hawks have been playing just as bad of late and I just don't trust this team at all. Atlanta is just decimated with injuries right now. They were already without De'Andre Hunter, Bogdan Bogdanovic and Kris Dunn, now John Collins and Cam Reddish are questionable for this one. Bet the Celtics -1.5!
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #30
                                Mike Lundin

                                Feb 24 '21, 7:35 PM in 1h
                                NBA | Warriors vs Pacers
                                Play on: Pacers -1½ -111 at BetCris

                                Warriors vs Pacers Free Pick February 24, 2021
                                *10-3 (77%) Free Pick Run*
                                **12-1 NBA TOTALS RUN | 10* WEST CONF TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR GOES WEDNESDAY**
                                Great spot to back the Indiana Pacers who should be eager to take the floor again after a week off due to weather and COVID-19 concerns. The visiting Golden State Warriors are in a very different spot as they'll be playing on no rest following a 114-106 win at New York on Tuesday. Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 games playing on 0 days rest. Warriors are 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Indiana.
                                Free pick on Indiana Pacers.
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