Wednesday 2/24/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Feb 24 '21, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Hawks
Play on: Celtics -2 -109 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Boston Celtics -2
The Boston Celtics are almost fully healthy right now as they are really only missing Marcus Smart. The Atlanta Hawks have all kinds of injuries with Bogdanovic and Hunter out, plus Collins and Reddish questionable tonight. Don't be surprised if those two questionable guys sit out tonight after the Hawks lost 111-112 in Cleveland last night and will be playing the second of a back-to-back. It will also be the 8th game in 13 days for this tired Hawks team. The Celtics have thrived in this situation in going 8-0 ATS in their last eight games when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. Boston is also 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games playing on no rest. The Celtics are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games off an ATS loss. Boston is 4-0 ATS in its last four trips to Atlanta. Give me the Celtics.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Feb 24 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Raptors vs Heat
Play on: Heat -2½ -109 at pinnacle

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Miami Heat -2.5
The Miami Heat have started to play up to their potential now that they have most of their guys back from injury. They have won three straight and are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall despite playing eight of those on the road.
Now the Heat are back home and taking on a very tired Toronto Raptors team they should handle tonight. The Raptors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 102-109 loss to Philadelphia last night. They will also be playing their 5th game in 7 days, with is as tough as it gets in the NBA today.
Because their game with the 76ers was close, the Raptors were forced to play their starters big minutes last night. Siakam played 42 minutes, VanVleet 37 and Powell 35. Kyle Lowry has been out with a thumb injury and is questionable to return tonight. I just don't see the Raptors having much left in the tank for the Heat, who had yesterday off.
Plays against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Toronto) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against an opponent that went under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 25-7 (78.1%) ATS over the last five seasons. Miami is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 meetings with Toronto. Bet the Heat Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Feb 24 '21, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Xavier vs Providence
Play on: Providence +2 -109 at Draft Kings

Free Play on Providence +2 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Feb 24 '21, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Alabama vs Arkansas
Play on: Alabama +2 -103 at pinnacle

PICK - Alabama Crimson Tide +2
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 703
I will take my chances here with Crimson Tide as a small road dog against the Razorbacks. Alabama has hands down been the best team in the SEC this season. They enter with a 13-1 league mark, the only loss coming at Missouri by a mere 3 points. Note the Tide had by far their worst shooting game of conference play in that loss to the Tigers, shooting just 33% from the field.
Some might see this as a spot where Alabama could struggle, given Arkansas comes into this game having won 7 of their last 8 and are 13-1 at home this season. I just don't think that will be the case. Let's not overlook the fact that these two already played once this season and the Crimson Tide won that game easily 90-59.
Another factor here that I think adds some incentive for Alabama is they can clinch the SEC regular-season title with a win here. I also think great teams like the Crimson Tide don't take the foot off their gas this late in the season. They want to keep all the momentum they can going into to tournament time.
It's also worth pointing out that while Arkansas is 13-1 at home, their home wins in SEC play have come against Georgia, Auburn, Ole Miss, Miss St and Florida. The Gators are the only one of those teams ranked in the Top 50 at KenPom (Alabama is No. 8). They are also have gone 0-7 ATS at home the last 3 seasons with a line of +3 to -3. Give me the Crimson Tide +2!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Feb 24 '21, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Tennessee vs Vanderbilt
Play on: Tennessee -7 -110 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on Tennessee

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Feb 24 '21, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Tennessee vs Vanderbilt
Play on: Tennessee -7 -110 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Tennessee -7 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Feb 24 '21, 9:08 PM in 2h
NHL | Ducks vs Coyotes
Play on: Coyotes -150 at Draft Kings

After dropping four of their previous five, the Coyotes got back on track with a comeback win against these same Ducks on Monday. Anaheim was up 3-0 but the Coyotes stormed all the way back for the win. I like their chances of building momentum from that victory; they're 6-1 their last seven, when playing with one day's rest in between games. With b2b games against Colorado coming up, the Coyotes know they can't afford to slip up here. Coach Tocchet had this to say off Monday's win: "We were god awful in the first period, probably our worst period of the season. We had a good response, got a couple of good goals and hung on. Glad we won, but it's not good enough." Expect Tocchet's team to get off to a better start in this one. With the home team 7-1 the last eight in the series, consider Arizona.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Feb 24 '21, 10:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Lakers vs Jazz
Play on: Lakers +9 -107 at pinnacle

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Los Angeles Lakers +9
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Los Angeles Lakers today after they have dropped 3 straight games. The Jazz are the hottest team in the NBA so you're paying a premium to back them right now. The Lakers are still good enough without Anthony Davis and Dennis Schroeder to hang with the Jazz because they have Lebron James. The Lakers will be more hungry for a win tonight and they've been in any other game this season to end this skid. Los Angeles is 13-3 SU in road games this season and has been the best road team in the NBA. The Lakers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as underdogs, including 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as road dogs. The Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 matchups with Utah as well. Take Los Angeles.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

501GOLDEN STATE -502 INDIANA
INDIANA is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

503TORONTO -504 MIAMI
MIAMI is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

505HOUSTON -506 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

507BOSTON -508 ATLANTA
BOSTON is 156-113 ATS (31.7 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.

509SAN ANTONIO -510 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 285-232 ATS (29.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.

511MINNESOTA -512 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

513DETROIT -514 NEW ORLEANS
Dwane Casey is 22-40 ATS (-22 Units) when the total >=220 (Coach of DETROIT)

513DETROIT -514 NEW ORLEANS
DETROIT is 22-40 ATS (-22 Units) when the total >=220 in the last 3 seasons.

517LA LAKERS -518 UTAH
UTAH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games off a home win by 10 points or more in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Wednesday, February 24

Golden State @ Indiana
Warriors (17-15)
— Golden State won five of its last eight games SU.
— Warriors are 3-6 ATS as road underdogs TY.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Pacers (15-14)
— Indiana won three of its last four games.
— Pacers are 2-8 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Over is 3-0 in Indiana’s last three games.

— Pacers won four of last six series games.
— Warriors covered three of last four trips to Indiana.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Boston @ Atlanta
Celtics (15-16)
— Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
— Celtics are 3-9 ATS in last 12 road games.
— Over is 3-1 in last four Boston games.

Hawks (13-18)
— Atlanta lost six of eight, nine of last 12 games.
— Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
— Nine of Atlanta’s 11 games went over the total.

— Boston won eight of last nine series games.
— Celtics covered their last three visits to Atlanta.
— Three of last four series games went over.

Houston @ Cleveland
Rockets (11-18)
— Houston lost its last eight games (1-7 ATS).
— Rockets covered twice in their last seven road games.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

Cavaliers (10-21)
— Cleveland snapped an 0-10 skid last nite (1-13 ATS last 14).
— Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Last four Cleveland games stayed under the total.

— Houston won five of last six series games.
— Rockets are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
— Under is 3-2 in last five series games played here.

Toronto @ Miami
Raptors (16-16)
— Toronto won/covered four of five, nine of its last 13 games.
— Raptors are 9-3 ATS in their last dozen road games.
— Under is 4-0 in last four Toronto games.

Heat (14-17)
— Miami won three in row, seven of its last ten games overall.
— Heat is 0-8-1 ATS in last nine home games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five home games.

— Toronto won six of last nine series games.
— Raptors are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
— Last four series games stayed under the total.

Minnesota @ Chicago
Timberwolves (7-25)
— Minnesota lost nine of last ten, 19 of its last 23 games.
— Wolves are 1-3 ATS in their last four road games.
— Four of last six Minnesota games stayed under the total.

Bulls (14-16)
— Chicago won four of its last five games SU.
— Bulls are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

— Minnesota won eight of last ten series games.
— Timberwolves are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Detroit @ New Orleans
Pistons (9-22)
— Detroit lost eight of its last 12 games (1-3 ATS last four)
— Pistons are 3-6-3 ATS in last 12 road games.
— Under is 9-4 in Detroit’s last 13 games.

Pelicans (13-17)
— New Orleans lost five of its last seven games overall.
— Pelicans are 6-4 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Over is 15-2-2 in their last 19 games.

— Detroit won three of last four series games.
— Pistons covered their last three visits to Bourbon Street.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

San Antonio @ Oklahoma City
Spurs (16-11)
— Spurs haven’t played in ten days.
— San Antonio won five of its last six games overall.
— Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
— Under is 4-2 in Spurs’ last six games.

Thunder (12-19)
— Thunder lost seven of last nine games (1-4 ATS last five)
— OKC is 4-9-1 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

— San Antonio won six of last nine series games.
— Spurs are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
— Under is 5-4-1 in last ten series games.

Charlotte @ Phoenix
Hornets (14-16)
— Charlotte won four of its last seven games.
— Hornets are 1-3 ATS in their last four road games.
— Over is 6-2 in Charlotte’s last eight road games.

Suns (20-10)
— Phoenix won/covered 12 of its last 14 games.
— Suns are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

— Suns won last two series games, after losing previous five.
— Charlotte is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Phoenix.
— Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

LA Lakers @ Utah
Lakers (22-10)
— Lakers lost four of last five games, are 2-7 ATS in last nine.
— Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 13-3 in their road games this season.

Jazz (25-6)
— Utah won 21 of its last 23 games (20-2-1 ATS).
— Jazz is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 home games.
— Over is 5-2 in Utah’s last six games overall.

— Lakers won/covered last four series games.
— Lakers are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Utah.
— Three of last four series games went over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Wednesday, February 24

Trend Report

Golden State @ Indiana
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Golden State
Indiana is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Golden State

Boston @ Atlanta
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

Houston @ Cleveland
Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

Toronto @ Miami
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Toronto

Minnesota @ Chicago
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

Detroit @ New Orleans
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 14 games at home

San Antonio @ Oklahoma City
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home

Charlotte @ Phoenix
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

LA Lakers @ Utah
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of LA Lakers's last 19 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Wednesday February 24
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Utah (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 19-0 ATS (9.16 ppg) as a favorite off a win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 0-15-1 ATS (-7.06 ppg) after Karl-Anthony Towns was their high scorer last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State at Indiana (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Warriors are 12-0 OU (16.54 ppg) with no rest off a win as a favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Cleveland (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockets are 0-10 OU (-16.15 ppg) off a game as a dog in which Eric Gordon shot worse than 33 percent.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Breaking Down the Utah Jazz's Historic ATS Run
Jason Logan

The Jazz have been steamrolling teams and have an NBA-best 25-6 record and 23-8 ATS mark. They're winning by an average of 9.8 points per game and have been betting favorites in all but three contests.

The Utah Jazz are making sweet, sweet NBA betting music this season. Heading into Wednesday's home game versus the Los Angeles Lakers, the Jazz are not only the NBA’s top team at 25-6 SU but also its best bet at 23-8 against the spread.

That red-hot ATS record has earned +12.9 units for NBA bettors or a windfall of $1,290 if you wagered $100 on each of Utah’s 31 games this season at flat -110 juice.

Those earnings are bolstered by two winning streaks: an 11-game ATS run between January 8 and January 29 and an eight-game ATS streak that was snapped in Friday's 116-112 road loss to the Los Angeles Clippers, with Utah closing as a 1-point road underdog.

Utah's historic ATS run

The Jazz were 18-2 ATS in the 20 games heading into last Thursday's 114-96 win in the first of two road stops versus Clippers (failing to cover in back-to-back outings on January 31 and February 2), which ranked as the second-best 20-game ATS stretch in the past 30 NBA seasons. And, depending on the closing spread used for grading Utah's 117-105 win over Detroit on February 2 (-12 or -12.5), that mark could have been 18-1-1 ATS.

The 2014-15 Atlanta Hawks own the top 20-game ATS run in that span, posting a 19-1 ATS mark from December 15 to January 21 (a streak that went 20-1 ATS before coming to an end). Those Hawks also strung together 15 consecutive ATS wins – another NBA betting record.

Utah boasted an average margin of victory of 15.6 points during that 11-game ATS stretch versus an average point spread of -5.5. On the year, the Jazz own an average margin of victory of 9.8 points per game and closed as betting favorites in all but three of their 31 contests.

Can the Jazz keep covering?

As the momentum builds and the bettors get wise to Utah's profitable push (now 20-3 ATS in the past 23 outings), oddsmakers will pad those spreads knowing that public money is coming. And once that money comes in, these spreads can make major moves before tipoff.

Take Utah's recent eight-game ATS run for example. The Jazz faced an average closing spread of -6.6 but those lines opened at an average of -5.1, moving up 1.5 points per game. Utah opened -3.5 at L.A. Thursday (the first of two road games vs. the Clippers) and jumped to -4.5 before moving to -6.5 upon news that Los Angeles would be without stars Paul George and Kawhi Leonard.

According to Consensus numbers, Utah garnered an average of 57 percent of bets placed during those eight contests, including 60, 57, 69, and 59 percent of bets in four of those outings, despite taking on three of the tougher teams in the Eastern Conference in the Philadelphia 76ers, Miami Heat, and Milwaukee Bucks—as well as the Clippers.

Eventually, there will be a tipping point when public perception pushes the spreads too high, opening up value on the other side of the board. Friday's loss to L.A. could have started the dominoes falling, however, that game saw different line movement as past outings due to the available statuses of George and Leonard (Utah opened as low as -2 and climbed as high as -5 before L.A.'s star were given the thumbs up, shrinking this line as low as Jazz +1).

One thing working for Utah backers during this magical season is that the Jazz aren't a very popular team among casual NBA fans. If the Los Angeles Lakers or Boston Celtics had started stringing together ATS wins left and right, you could be sure the public players would be all over it and any value would dry up faster than a ShamWow in the middle of the Utah salt flats.

Looking at the 2014-15 Hawks (another team outside of the NBA public darlings), they opened with a 33-12 ATS record in the first 45 games of the schedule, another NBA betting best.

As Atlanta's streak gained attention from the betting public, however, the spreads grew and the betting bonanza eventually came to an abrupt halt when the Hawks were installed as 17.5-point home favorites versus Minnesota on January 25, 2015, winning the game 112-100 but falling short of that pile of chalk. That tipped off a 1-4 ATS skid for the Hawks, who also faced lofty spreads of -14 and -16 in that span.

Atlanta would finish the season with a 50-31-1 record against the spread, going 17-19-1 ATS in its final 37 games (then falling flat with a 6-10 ATS mark in the playoffs). The Hawks boasted an average margin of victory of +4.5 points per game that season.

Looking at the all-time best bets in NBA gambling history, the 2009-10 Bucks are at the top of the mountain with a 52-28-2 ATS record in an 82-game season (the 2011-12 San Antonio Spurs went 43-22-1 ATS in a 66-game lockout-shortened schedule).

The Bucks, who covered at an incredible 65 percent clip that year, strung together 10 straight covers and went on an 11-0-1 ATS tear between February 19 and March 12. Milwaukee, which went 46-36 SU, owned an average margin of victory of only +1.3 points per game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Wednesday, February 24

Clemson @ Wake Forest
Clemson (13-5, 7-5)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #310
— Experience: #174
— Continuity: #98
— Clemson won last three games, giving up 61 ppg.
— Tigers lost last three road games, by 18-19-26 points.
— Clemson is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#35)

Wake Forest (6-11, 3-11)
— ranked #131 by KenPom
— Tempo: #228
— Experience: #199
— Continuity: #275
— Wake Forest is 1-11 vs top 100 teams.
— Deacons lost last three games, giving up 85.3 ppg.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Wake has #294 eFG% defense in country.

— Clemson won 12 of last 13 series games.
— Tigers won four of last five visits here (lost 56-44 LY).

St Bonaventure @ Davidson
St Bonaventure (10-3, 8-3)
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #312
— Experience: #110
— Continuity: #29
— Bonnies split last four games, after a 9-1 start.
— Bonnies have #31 eFG% defense in country.
— Bonnies lost last two road games, scoring 59-64 points.

Davidson (11-6, 6-3)
— ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #348
— Experience: #183
— Continuity: #43
— Monday was Davidson’s first D-I game in four weeks.
— Wildcats split last four A-14 home games.
— Davidson is shooting 57.5% inside arc (#8)

— Davidson won seven of last eight series games.
— Monday night, Davidson lost 69-58 to the Bonnies in Olean.
— Bonnies lost last four visits here, by 5-10-18-29 points.

Chattanooga @ Mercer
Chattanooga (18-6, 9-6)
— ranked #153 by KenPom
— Tempo: #270
— Experience: #77
— Continuity: #280
— Chattanooga won six of its last seven games.
— Mocs won four of their last five road games.
— Chattanooga’s last four games were decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.

Mercer (14-9, 7-8)
— ranked #134 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #122
— Continuity: #257
— Mercer won four of its last six games.
— Bears lost three of their last five home games.
— Bears have #27 eFG% in country (#41 on arc, #33 inside arc).

— Mercer blew a 19-point lead, lost 83-80 in Chattanooga January 13.
— Mercer won five of last eight series games.
— Teams split last six meetings in Macon.

Seton Hall @ Butler
Seton Hall (13-9, 10-6)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #249
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #132
— Seton Hall won four of its last five games.
— Pirates split their last six road games.
— Seton Hall is 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

Butler (7-13, 6-11)
— ranked #132 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #178
— Continuity: #236
— Butler lost three in row, six of its last eight games.
— Bulldogs split their last six home games.
— Butler is shooting 45.5% inside arc (#311), has #289 eFG%.

— Butler lost 68-60 at Seton Hall January 2.
— Pirates won four of last five series games.
— Seton Hall won three of last four games in Hinkle Fieldhouse.

Marquette @ North Carolina
Marquette (10-12)
— ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #245
— Experience: #177
— Continuity: #176
— Marquette won 6 of last 8 games (both wins vs Butler)
— Golden Eagles lost three of last four road games.
— Opponents are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#13), 36.1% on arc (#279)

North Carolina (14-7)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #58
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #150
— Carolina won six of its last eight games.
— Tar Heels are 8-0 at home, winning last two by 20-45 points.
— Tar Heels have #237 eFG% in country; they’re #2 on offensive boards.

Indiana @ Rutgers
Indiana (12-10, 7-8)
— ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #284
— Continuity: #80
— Indiana is 5-6 SU in its last eleven games.
— Hoosiers won three of their last four road games.
— Indiana gets 22.1% of its points on foul line (#27), but is shooting only 66.7% there (#291)

Rutgers (12-9, 8-9)
— ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #223
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #7
— Rutgers lost three of its last four games.
— Scarlet Knights won three of last four at home.
— Rutgers gets 59.3% of its points on 2-point shots (#14)

— Rutgers won 74-70 at Indiana January 24.
— Rutgers won four of last five series games.
— Hoosiers lost 66-58/59-50 in last two visits to the Garden State.

Florida State @ Miami
Florida State (13-3, 9-2)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #117
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #99
— Seminoles won three in row, 8 of last 9 games.
— Florida State split its last four road games.
— Florida State is shooting 39.4% on arc (#9)

Miami (7-13, 3-12)
— ranked #139 by KenPom
— Tempo: #199
— Experience: #225
— Continuity: #242
— Miami lost three in row, seven of last eight games.
— Hurricanes’ only win in that span was over Duke.
— Miami is shooting 29.1% on arc (#324)

— Miami lost 81-59 at Florida State January 27.
— Seminoles won last six series games.
— FSU won 78-66/83-79OT in last two visits to Miami.

Xavier @ Providence
Xavier (12-4, 5-4)
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #126
— Continuity: #184
— Xavier lost two of its last three games.
— Opponents are shooting 44.7% inside arc (#23)
— Xavier is 10-1 vs teams ranked outside top 50.

Providence (11-11, 7-9)
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #287
— Experience: #145
— Continuity: #223
— Friars lost eight of their last 12 games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Providence lost three of their last five home games.
— Providence has #249 eFG% in country (#237 on arc, #238 inside arc)

— Friars lost 74-73 at Xavier January 10.
— Xavier won three of last four series games.
— Musketeers lost four of last five visits to Providence.

Cincinnati @ Tulsa
Cincinnati (7-8, 5-5)
— ranked #105 by KenPom
— Tempo: #79
— Experience: #232
— Continuity: #215
— Cincy won four of its last five games; all four wins were by 3 or less points.
— Bearcats turn ball over 20.7% of time (#260), have #276 eFG%.
— Cincinnati won three of its last five road games.

Tulsa (10-9, 7-7)
— ranked #111 by KenPom
— Tempo: #318
— Experience: #32
— Continuity: #200
— This is Tulsa’s first game in eight days.
— Tulsa lost six of its last nine games.
— Tulsa is shooting 28.3% on the arc (#339).

— Tulsa won 70-66 at Cincinnati January 2.
— Cincinnati won seven of last eight series games.
— Bearcats won three of last four visits to Tulsa.

Alabama @ Arkansas
Alabama (18-5, 13-1)
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #10
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #148
— Alabama won three in row, 14 of last 16 games.
— Crimson Tide lost two of their last three road games.
— In their last three games, Alabama scored 92.7 ppg.

Arkansas (17-5, 9-4)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #29
— Experience: #242
— Continuity: #339
— Arkansas won four in row, 7 of last 8 games.
— Razorbacks won their last five home games.
— Arkansas is grabbing 32.7% of their own missed shots (#44)

— Arkansas got waxed 90-59 at Alabama January 16.
— Razorbacks won six of last seven series games.
— Alabama lost last three visits here, by 25-2-19 points.

Tennessee @ Vanderbilt
Tennessee (15-6, 8-6)
— ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #247
— Continuity: #100
— Tennessee split its last six games overall.
— Vols scored 80+ points in last four wins; 65 or less in their losses.
— Tennessee forces turnovers 22.8% of time (#20)

Vanderbilt (6-12, 2-10)
— ranked #104 by KenPom
— Tempo: #138
— Experience: #277
— Continuity: #75
— Vandy’s last four losses were all by 6 or fewer points.
— Commodores lost five of their last six home games.
— Vandy is turning ball over 20.0% of time (#223)

— Vandy lost 81-61 in Knoxville January 16.
— Tennessee won last seven series games.
— Vols won last four trips to Nashville, by 12-8-5-21 points.

Fresno State @ UNLV
Fresno State (9-9, 7-9)
— ranked #207 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #304
— Continuity: #300
— Fresno is 2-5 on road (both wins at Air Force)
— Bulldogs are turning ball over 22.3% of time (#313)
— Fresno has #254 eFG% (#316 on arc, #326 on foul line)

UNLV (10-11, 7-7)
— ranked #150 by KenPom
— Tempo: #290
— Experience: #267
— Continuity: #291
— UNLV is 6-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Rebels won five of their seven home games.
— Opponents are shooting 38.3% on arc (#330)

— Fresno won seven of last nine series games.
— Bulldogs won four of last five series games on the Strip.

DePaul @ Creighton
DePaul (4-10, 2-10)
— ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #73
— Experience: #161
— Continuity: #221
— DePaul lost five of its last six games.
— Blue Demons actually split their last four road tilts.
— DePaul is turning ball over 22.8% of time (#326)

Creighton (16-5, 12-4)
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #133
— Experience: #38
— Continuity: #19
— Creighton won three in row, six of last seven games.
— Bluejays split their last four home games.
— Creighton is shooting 58% inside the arc (#6).

— Creighton won 69-62 at DePaul January 30.
— Bluejays won last 12 series games.
— DePaul lost its last five visits to Omaha, all by 13+ points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

653KENT ST -654 BALL ST
BALL ST is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after 2 consecutive conference games in the last 3 seasons.

657CLEMSON -658 WAKE FOREST
WAKE FOREST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

659ST BONAVENTURE -660 DAVIDSON
ST BONAVENTURE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

663DAYTON -664 ST JOSEPHS
ST JOSEPHS are 5-24 ATS (-21.4 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

665GEORGE WASHINGTON -666 GEORGE MASON
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game after 15+ games since 1997.

667NEW MEXICO -668 AIR FORCE
AIR FORCE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off a home loss against a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

669NC STATE -670 VIRGINIA
NC STATE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

673THE CITADEL -674 FURMAN
THE CITADEL is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) off a road loss against a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

675W CAROLINA -676 UNC-GREENSBORO
W CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

677UT-CHATTANOOGA -678 MERCER
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.