Thursday 3/4/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Mar 04 '21, 7:08 PM in 41m
NHL | Rangers vs Devils
Play on: OVER 5½ -130

1* Free Sharp Play on Rangers vs Devils over 5½ -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

Mar 04 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Murray State vs Jacksonville State
Play on: Murray State -2½ -110 at Mirage

Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Thursday 3-4-21
Murray State vs Jacksonville State (8:00 PM EST)
Play On: Murray State -2 1/2
The Murray State Racers take on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks on Thursday night in the first round of the Ohio Valley Conference tournament. Murray State is 13-12 SU overall this year while Jacksonville State comes in with a 17-8 SU overall record on the season. Jacksonville State is 5-11-1 ATS last 17 games against a team with a winning record. There is a reason Murray State is favored in this one and my Rocketman line has them winning by 10.15 points. We'll recommend a small play on Murray State tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Jack Jones

Mar 04 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Bucks vs Grizzlies
Play on: Bucks -5½ -111 at pinnacle

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Milwaukee Bucks -5.5
The Milwaukee Bucks are coming off their worst loss of the season, falling 97-128 at home to the Denver Nuggets. This is their final game before the All-Star Break, so I have no doubt we'll get a big effort out of them tonight. It should be enough to cover this 5.5-point spread against the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Bucks had gone 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their previous five games, so that loss to the Nuggets was certainly an aberration. They just got Jrue Holiday back at point guard and he is going to make them a much better team moving forward now that he is healthy. He'll make everything else easier on his teammates, especially Giannis.
I think this is a good time to 'sell high' on the Grizzlies, who are coming off two straight blowout wins over the Rockets and Wizards. This is a huge step up in competition for Memphis, which has recent blowout losses to the Clippers by 20, Suns by 31 and Mavericks by 10. They haven't fared well against the best teams in the league.
Milwaukee is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games after an upset loss by 10 points or more. Memphis is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win by more than 10 points. The Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as home underdogs. Bet the Bucks Thursday.

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ASA

Mar 04 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Bucks vs Grizzlies
Play on: Bucks -5½ -106 at pinnacle

ASA free play on Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 over Memphis Grizzlies, 7PM ET It is always a good idea to look at elite teams off a loss in the NBA which is the case here as the Bucks lost at home to Denver last time out. Milwaukee was coming off a big win over the Clippers the game before and could not put together two great outings in a row. Sticking to that theme the Bucks have been solid off a loss the past two seasons with a 21-13 SU record with an average Margin of Victory of +7.6PPG. Going back further the Bucks are 43-17 their last 60 off a loss, +9.6PPG. Memphis is 8-12 SU at home this year with the 23rd worst net point differential of minus -4.3PPG. Bucks 18-7 ATS their L25 following a loss of 10+ points. Grizzlies 2-5 ATS their last seven off a win and 1-4 ATS their last five as a home pooch. Easy call with a bounce back by Milwaukee.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander

Mar 04 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Bucks vs Grizzlies
Play on: Bucks -5½ -111 at pinnacle

1* NBA - Bucks/Grizzlies *FREE PICK* on Bucks -5.5
Today's free pick is on the Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 on the road against the Memphis Grizzlies. It's always a good idea to look to back the Bucks off an upset loss and even more so if they got embarrassed. That's why I got no problem laying the 5.5 with Milwaukee coming off a 97-128 loss at home to the Nuggets. The Bucks are 33-17 (66%) ATS over the last 3 seasons when off an upset loss as a favorite and 16-4 (80%) ATS last 20 if that they lost by 10 or more as a favorite. Grizzlies are also just 3-7 ATS last 10 as a dog and 1-4 ATS last 5 as a home dog. Bet the Bucks -5.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Mar 04 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Bucks vs Grizzlies
Play on: Bucks -5½ -104 at pinnacle

Thursday NBA Free play. My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Memphis at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.
With the Grizzlies coming off consecutive blowout wins on the road and the Bucks getting their doors blown off at home against the Nuggets two nights ago, I can understand why we're dealing with a fairly short pointspread (by Milwaukee standards) in this game. With that being said, I'm take a small flyer with the Bucks here as they've fared very well in similar situations in recent years. Perhaps the dud against the Nuggets was to be expected on Tuesday. After all, Milwaukee was coming off consecutive tightly-contested, nationally-televised victories over the Pelicans and Clippers, and perhaps had one eye on the All-Star break. That loss should have served to re-sharpen its focus as it prepare for its last game prior to the break. Note that the Bucks have gone an impressive 16-4 ATS when coming off an outright upset loss by double-digits over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by more than 15 points on average in that situation. They've also been a solid positive momentum play, posting a 51-31 ATS mark after winning three of their last four games over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of nearly 11 points. While Memphis has showed out over its last two games, the fact is it is still just 7-10 SU and 7-9-1 ATS at home this season and getting outscored by more than four points per game. Take Milwaukee (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Mar 04 '21, 8:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Lightning vs Blackhawks
Play on: Lightning -200 at Mirage

Free Pick on Lightning

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Frank Sawyer

Mar 04 '21, 8:30 PM in 2h
NBA | Heat vs Pelicans
Play on: Heat +2½ -107 at pinnacle

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR THURSDAY, 3/4:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut in the NBA on Thursday is on the Miami Heat plus the points versus the New Orleans Pelicans. Both these teams come off upset losses at home. Miami (17-18) got beat by Atlanta, 94-80, as a 2.5-point favorite on Tuesday. The Heat are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. Miami goes back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 33 of their last 53 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. New Orleans (15-19) was upset last night to Chicago by a 128-124 score as a 6-point favorite. The Pelicans have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. New Orleans has also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games when favored. Take Miami plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Mar 04 '21, 8:30 PM in 2h
NBA | Heat vs Pelicans
Play on: Heat +2½ -108 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Miami Heat +2.5
The Miami Heat are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. Their only loss came last time out when they were playing the second of a double-header with the Hawks after beating them by 10 the game before. I think they just had a letdown. Now they had yesterday off and will be fresh and ready to get back on track against the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans are coming off a hard-fought 124-128 loss to the Bulls last night. They made a nice comeback in the 4th quarter to make it interesting. But now they will be a tired team here and won't have much left to give against the Heat playing the second of a back-to-back. It will also be the 6th game in 9 days for the Pelicans tonight. It's no wonder they have lost three of their last four coming in as they are a fatigued team. Give me the Heat.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Mar 04 '21, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Nebraska vs Iowa
Play on: OVER 152½ -105

Free Total Annihilator On Nebraska vs Iowa over 152½ -105

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Hunter Price

Mar 04 '21, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | UCF vs East Carolina
Play on: East Carolina +3½ -109 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on East Carolina +3½ -109

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Larry Ness

Mar 04 '21, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Texas vs Oklahoma
Play on: Oklahoma -1½ -114 at pinnacle

My free play is in Oklahoma at 9:00 ET.
Texas opened the current season 10-1 (4-0 Big 12) and rose to No. 4 in the AP's Jan 11th poll. However, the Longhorns visit Norman, Ok tonight having gone 5-8 its last 13 to fall to 15-7 (9-6 in Big 12). Oklahoma was just 6-4 (2-3 Big 12) after 10 games but then won EIGHT of nine (four wins over ranked opponents) to reach No. 7 in the Feb 22nd AP poll at 14-5 (9-4 Big 12). However, the Sooners welcome Texas to the Lloyd Noble Center off THREE straight losses, at lowly Iowa St and back-to-back losses to "Bedlam" rival Oklahoma St.
The Longhorns have a trio of guards averaging in double digits, led by Andrew Jones (14.8 & 5.0) plus Ramey (13.3-3.0-4.0) and Coleman (12.8-3.8-4.4). Up front, it's the 6-9 Brown (10.7 & 6.9) plus the 6-11 Kai Jones (8.7 & 5.0) and the 6-10 Sims (8.1 & 6.5). Oklahoma's top scorer from last season is gone (forward Doolittle averaged 15.8 & 8.9). Starting guards Reaves (17.6-5.7-5.1), Harmon (13.0) and Gibson (10.5) average in double digits, while Harkless (7.2 & 4.9) and Williams (6.6) add depth in the backcourt off the bench. The 6-9 Manek (10.4 & 5.1) and 6-7 Hill (4.5 & 3.2) start up front with the 6-10 Kuath (5.9 & 4.7) coming off the bench.
The Sooners won 80-79 at Texas back on Jan 26 but both teams are much healthier than they were back in late January. Thursday's game will have a big impact on the Big 12 race. The Longhorns are a half-game up on Oklahoma for fifth place. The loser could be in peril of dropping to seventh, which would mean a first-round game in the conference tournament instead of a bye into the quarterfinals. I realize Texas has the revenge motive on its side but I'm backing Oklahoma, which should be primed to bounce back from two VERY close losses to Oklahoma St. Boomer Sooner!
Good luck...Larry

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Doc's Sports

Mar 04 '21, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Texas vs Oklahoma
Play on: Texas +2 -106 at pinnacle

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Texas over Oklahoma (9p.m., Thursday, March 4 ESPN) The Big 12 is finishing with a bang as the regular season comes to a close. The Longhorns are in a brutal stretch having to close the season with 4 straight road games, but they will be up for this game. Oklahoma already beat them in Austin this season and I feel Texas is too talented of a team to lose twice in one year to Oklahoma. We are getting points in this game and feel it will come down to the wire and Texas will come out on top. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card, featuring top plays in all sports. Jump on board now and let 49 years of handicapping experience work for you.

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Jesse Schule

Mar 04 '21, 9:08 PM in 2h
NHL | Senators vs Flames
Play on: Flames -200 at Draft Kings

This is a Free play on the Flames.
The Senators took two of three in a home series versus the Flames, but then suffered a 3-1 loss at Montreal. They are still the last place team in the North Division, and Calgary is still expecting to compete for a playoff spot. As bad as they have been lately, the Flames are just six points behind the 3rd place Oilers, with plenty of hockey left to play. The Senators are14-51 in their last 65 road games, and 3-10 on the road so far this season. The home team is 5-1 in the last six head to head meetings.
GL,

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Mar 04 '21, 9:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Wyoming vs Utah State
Play on: UNDER 147½ -110

FREE PLAY on Wyoming/Utah State under 147½ -110