Monday 3/15/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #16
    Brandon Lee

    Mar 15 '21, 7:05 PM in 5h
    NBA | Bucks vs Wizards
    Play on: Wizards +8½ -103 at pinnacle

    PICK - Washington Wizards +8.5
    RATING: 30*
    ROT#: 502
    I will gladly take a shot here with the Wizards as a 8.5-point dog in their rematch against Milwaukee. These two teams just played each other in Washington on Saturday and that game went right down to the wire. The Bucks prevailed 125-119, but it was the Wizards who covered as a 13.5-point underdogs.
    Washington kept it close without the NBA's leading scorer, Bradley Beal. They also made a game of it with Giannis going for a triple-double. With Beal returning to action and this game not meaning near as much to Milwaukee having just beat this same team two days ago, this seems like a very favorable price to be backing the Wizards at home.
    Not only could the Bucks struggle to get up for this game given they just beat the same opponent a couple days ago, but they got a pretty big game on deck at the 76ers on Wednesday. A team they trail by 2.5-games for the top spot in the Eastern Conference.
    Bucks are just 4-13 ATS this season when priced like they are here as a 3.5 to 9.5 point favorite. They are also 0-6 ATS last 6 on the road vs a team with a losing home record. Give me the Wizards +8.5!
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371089

      #17
      Mike Lundin

      Mar 15 '21, 7:05 PM in 5h
      NBA | Kings vs Hornets
      Play on: Kings +4 -114 at Draft Kings

      Kings vs Hornets Free Pick March 15, 2021
      ** NHL GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT**
      Good spot to fade the Charlotte Hornets who have recorded back-to-back wins since the All-Star break. They'll face a Sacramento Kings team that put a 125-105 beating on Houston in their first game back from the festivities only to lay an egg at Atlanta last time out. The Hornets are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. and I expect the visitors to be the more motivated team in this one.
      Free pick on Sacramento Kings.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371089

        #18
        Totals Guru

        Mar 15 '21, 7:08 PM in 5h
        NHL | Canucks vs Senators
        Play on: UNDER 6½ -115

        Free Total Annihilator On Canucks vs Senators under 6½ -115
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371089

          #19
          Dustin Hawkins

          Mar 15 '21, 7:08 PM in 5h
          NHL | Flyers vs Rangers
          Play on: UNDER 6 +102

          1 Dimer on Flyers vs Rangers under 6 +102
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371089

            #20
            Will Rogers

            Mar 15 '21, 7:08 PM in 5h
            NHL | Bruins vs Penguins
            Play on: Penguins -101 at linepros

            The set-up: Normally I like playing against really hot teams, as I try to predict their eventual letdown spot. I also like playing on struggling teams and figuring out when they'll finally break through with a victory. These particular teams are moving in opposite directions right now, and I expect that to continue at least for a while a longer. Boston has lost three of four, most recently a 4-0 setback to the undermanned Rangers. Overall the Bruins have scored two goals or less in six of their last nine games.
            The pick: The Penguins have won five in a row, most recently a 3-0 victory over the Sabres. Pittsburgh plays with "double-revenge" here as well after dropping both earlier meetings to Boston. Finally note that the Penguins are a perfect 4-0 in their last four when playing on one days rest, while the Bruins are just 1-4 in their last five on the road.
            This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the Penguins.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371089

              #21
              Ben Burns

              Mar 15 '21, 7:08 PM in 5h
              NHL | Capitals vs Sabres
              Play on: Sabres +1½ -123 at pinnacle

              Buffalo, obviously, has struggled. However, that has led to us being able to get an extra +1.5 goals with them, at home, for essentially a pick'em price. I believe that's providing very fair line value. A look at Washington's last seven games shows a record of 6-1. However, a closer look reveals that four of those six victories came by a single goal. Three of the last four meetings between these teams were also decided by a single goal. Off b2b wins at Philadelphia and with the Islanders on deck tomorrow, I feel that the Caps could easily look past the lowly Sabres. Consider BUFFALO on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals.)
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371089

                #22
                Hunter Price

                Mar 15 '21, 7:08 PM in 5h
                NHL | Capitals vs Sabres
                Play on: Capitals -235 at Draft Kings

                1* Free Pick on Capitals -235
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371089

                  #23
                  Steve Janus

                  Mar 15 '21, 7:08 PM in 5h
                  NHL | Flyers vs Rangers
                  Play on: UNDER 6 -106

                  1* Free Sharp Play on Flyers vs Rangers under 6 -106
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371089

                    #24
                    Jack Jones

                    Mar 15 '21, 8:05 PM in 6h
                    NBA | Spurs vs Pistons
                    Play on: Pistons +3 -109 at Draft Kings

                    Jack's Free Pick Monday: Detroit Pistons +3
                    The Detroit Pistons have gone 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall despite playing all four games on the road. They blew out the Raptors by 24, then only lost to the Knicks by 10, the Hornets by 3 and the Nets by 5. Now the Pistons are back home here tonight and motivated for a victory against the San Antonio Spurs.
                    This is a tough spot for the Spurs Monday. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a blowout loss in Philadelphia last night. It will also be the 4th game in 6 days for San Antonio. The Spurs have lost three of their last four games coming in with their lone victory coming against the hapless Magic, who were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.
                    The Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as road favorites. San Antonio is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Pistons are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as home underdogs. Detroit is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games following a SU loss. Bet the Pistons Monday.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371089

                      #25
                      Sean Murphy

                      Mar 15 '21, 8:08 PM in 6h
                      NHL | Canadiens vs Jets
                      Play on: UNDER 5½ +113

                      Monday NHL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Monday.
                      The Jets return home off three straight high-scoring games in Montreal, including a 5-2 victory on Saturday night. I'm anticipating a much lower-scoring affair on Monday as Winnipeg hosts slumping Montreal. The Canadiens just wrapped up a two-game set in Calgary in which they scored just two goals. They've now been held to a single goal in three of their last four games overall. Note that the Canadiens have posted a 2-9 o/u record when playing on the road following a loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons with those games totaling an average of just 4.8 goals. The Jets are giving up just 2.0 goals per game when revenging a road loss by three goals or more over the last two seasons. That's the situation here after Montreal took the most recent meeting by a 7-1 score on March 6th. Take the under (8*).
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 371089

                        #26
                        Dave Price

                        Mar 15 '21, 9:05 PM in 7h
                        NBA | Clippers vs Mavs
                        Play on: Clippers -1½ -110 at Mirage

                        Dave's Monday Free Play:
                        1* on Los Angeles Clippers -1.5
                        The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers have been great in this situation all season. They are coming off a blowout loss to the Pelicans yesterday. The good news about that blowout loss is that they got to rest their starters in the 4th quarter. They should still be fresh tonight for the Mavericks and will be looking to not only bounce back from that defeat, but also to avenge their worse loss of the season. They lost to the Mavericks by 51 in their lone matchup this year. The Clippers are 42-18 ATS in their last 60 games off a loss. Los Angeles is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games when playing for a 2nd consecutive day. The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 matchups in Dallas. Take Los Angeles.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 371089

                          #27
                          Jeff Alexander

                          Mar 15 '21, 9:05 PM in 7h
                          NBA | Clippers vs Mavs
                          Play on: Clippers -1½ -110 at linepros

                          1* NBA - Clippers/Mavs *FREE PICK* on Clippers -1.5
                          Today's free pick is on the Los Angeles Clippers as 1.5-point road favorites against the Dallas Mavericks. LA just got embarrassed 115-135 at New Orleans on Sunday and now are playing the second of a back-to-back against a red-hot Mavericks team. Most will be all over Dallas here as a home dog. I think the value is with the Clippers. Should get a big effort here from LA off that 20-point loss to the Pelicans, plus the Clippers are going to want revenge from a 73-124 home loss they had against these Mavs earlier this season. Bet Los Angeles -1.5!
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 371089

                            #28
                            Black Widow

                            Mar 15 '21, 9:08 PM in 7h
                            NHL | Oilers vs Flames
                            Play on: UNDER 6 +102

                            1* Free Wiseguy Play on Oilers/Flames under 6 +102
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 371089

                              #29
                              Kenny Walker

                              Mar 15 '21, 9:08 PM in 7h
                              NHL | Oilers vs Flames
                              Play on: Flames -106 at Draft Kings

                              Free Pick on Flames
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 371089

                                #30
                                Mike Williams

                                Mar 15 '21, 9:08 PM in 7h
                                NHL | Oilers vs Flames
                                Play on: Oilers +113 at pinnacle

                                1* on Oilers +113
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