Service Plays Thursday 3/18/21

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369682

    #1

    Service Plays Thursday 3/18/21

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • rocky57
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2019
    • 6987

    #2
    Joe Williams
    Vegasinsider College Basketball
    Best Bet - Norfolk State +3

    Comment

    • rocky57
      Senior Member
      • Dec 2019
      • 6987

      #3
      Joe Williams -Play #2
      Vegasinsider College Basketball
      Best Bet - Texas Southern pk

      Comment

      • rocky57
        Senior Member
        • Dec 2019
        • 6987

        #4
        Tim Wilkinson
        Vegasinsider College Basketball
        Best Bet- Wichita State +1

        Comment

        • rocky57
          Senior Member
          • Dec 2019
          • 6987

          #5
          Tim Wilkinson
          Vegasinsider College Basketball
          Best Bet- Michigan State -2

          Comment

          • rocky57
            Senior Member
            • Dec 2019
            • 6987

            #6
            Vegasinsider College Basketball
            Totals Club

            CBB
            Norfolk State/Appalachian State Over 133.5
            Drake/Wichita State Over 140
            Mount St Mary's/Texas Southern Over 133
            UCLA/Michigan State Over 135.5

            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369682

              #7
              DWAYNE BRYANT

              Game: (717) UCLA at (718) Michigan State
              Date/Time: Mar 18 2021 9:57 PM EDT
              Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
              Play Rating: 5%
              Play: Total Under 136.0 (-110)

              My college hoops totals system comprises relevant statistical data from KenPom.com, history involving similar games (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The play's size is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

              Trends & Angles Supporting This Play:

              • Michigan State is 13-5 (72%) UNDER against teams with a winning record this season.
              • Michigan State is 11-3 (79%) UNDER this season against teams that are making at least 45% of their shots on the season.
              • The UNDER is 20-8 (71%) in games UCLA's Mick Cronin has coached in his career as a neutral court underdog or pick.
              • UCLA is 18-9 UNDER (67%) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369682

                #8
                Dave Cokin

                4% Appalachian State -3
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369682

                  #9
                  Micah Roberts

                  DRAKE @ WICHITA ST. | 03/18 | 6:27 PM EDT
                  DRAKE +1
                  ANALYSIS: I was leaning Drake from the moment I saw the matchup and then I heard a rumor that leading scorer Tank Hemphill might be back. He had foot surgery on Feb. 11, so he’s probably not going to play. But maybe he’s an inspiration boost by just being in uniform. Drake is a polished squad even without Hemphill, shooting 49.8% from selective text-book shots. Disciplined. The Bulldogs went 20-6-1 ATS. An 11 seed, right. It’s an upperclassmen-led squad, they have the moment. Drake is the better team, I bet the Bulldogs.

                  +1959 47-25-1 IN LAST 73 CBB ATS PICKS
                  +690 8-1-1 IN LAST 10 DRAKE ATS PICKS
                  6:54 AM
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369682

                    #10
                    Matt Severance

                    11:05 AM
                    UCLA @ MICHIGAN ST. | 03/18 | 9:57 PM EDT
                    UCLA +1.5
                    ANALYSIS: This is certainly the most "marquee" First Four matchup in NCAA Tournament history. Most were shocked that Sparty ended up in it with quality wins over two NCAA Tournament No. 1 seeds (Illinois and Michigan) and another against a No. 2 (Ohio State). UCLA closed the season on a four-game skid but should have won the latter two. I'm a Sparty fan and well aware that Tom Izzo is Mr. March, but this is one of his least-talented teams in years and MSU doesn't have any great wins outside of East Lansing.

                    +2742 109-74-1 IN LAST 184 CBB ATS PICKS
                    +90 2-1 IN LAST 3 UCLA ATS PICKS
                    10:15 AM
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369682

                      #11
                      Matt Severance

                      DRAKE @ WICHITA ST. | 03/18 | 6:27 PM EDT
                      DRAKE +1
                      ANALYSIS: I'll agree with Larry Hartstein and Micah Roberts now that Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports is reporting that Drake star ShanQuan Hemphill (foot) "is on track to play" in the First Four. He led the team in scoring (14.1 ppg) and rebounding (6.3 rpg) this season. Drake lost four times all year and Hemphill missed three of those.

                      +2742 109-74-1 IN LAST 184 CBB ATS PICKS
                      1:28 PM
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369682

                        #12
                        Stephen Oh

                        APP. ST. @ NORFOLK ST. | 03/18 | 8:40 PM EDT
                        NORFOLK ST. +3
                        ANALYSIS: The other all-16 matchup in Thursday's First Four, with the winner facing No. 1 overall seed Gonzaga in the West Region. While Norfolk State winning the MEAC Tournament was not an upset, App State doing so in the Sun Belt was as the Mountaineers were just 7-8 in regular-season league play. My model believes oddsmakers are a bit off here as it forecasts Norfolk State to win outright in 55 percent of simulations and cover the spread in 65 percent.

                        +90 2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS
                        2:47 PM
                        TEXAS SO. @ MT ST MARY'S | 03/18 | 5:10 PM EDT
                        MT ST MARY'S PK
                        ANALYSIS: This is the first game of the First Four and the winner between the No. 16 seeds gets a date with East Region No. 1 Michigan. Neither Texas Southern nor Mount St. Mary's won its conference's regular-season title but took the tourney title in upsets. My model has the Mountaineers winning on this pick'em in 58 percent of simulations.

                        +90 2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS
                        2:42 PM
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                        Comment

                        • rocky57
                          Senior Member
                          • Dec 2019
                          • 6987

                          #13
                          Pickswise Sports
                          College Basketball - 3* Best Bet Michigan State -135 (Moneyline)

                          Rest of Card
                          2* Mount St Mary's/Texas Southern Under 133.5
                          2* Drake -123 (Moneyline)
                          1* Drake/Wichita State Over 140.5
                          1* Norfolk State +3.5

                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369682

                            #14
                            Big Al

                            3* - Boise St
                            1* - Norfolk St
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                            Comment

                            • rocky57
                              Senior Member
                              • Dec 2019
                              • 6987

                              #15
                              Matt Blunt
                              Vegasinsider Golf Handicapper

                              The Honda Classic
                              Date - Thursday 3/18 - Sunday 3/21
                              Venue - PGA National (Champion Course)
                              Location - Palm Beach Gardens, Florida
                              Defending Champ - Sungjae Im
                              TV- Golf Channel & NBC

                              Honda Classic Contenders
                              Sungai Im +1300
                              Adam Scott +2500
                              Russell Henley +3000
                              Taylor Gooch +3500

                              Mid-Range Value - JT Poston +7000
                              Long Shot Pick - Adam Hadwin +9250

                              Best Bet: 72 Hole Match-up
                              Adam Scott -135 over Lee Westwood +105

                              Prop Wager:
                              Winner to play in final 1st tee grouping in round 4 (NO +200) Best Bet

                              Comment

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