Friday 3/19/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Mar 19 '21, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Georgia Tech vs Loyola-Chicago
Play on: Georgia Tech +6 -110 at Mirage

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Georgia Tech +6
This line has gotten out of hand at this point. This game opened around a PK at most places and now has moved a full 6 points toward Loyola-Chicago as everyone has jumped on the news that the Yellow Jackets will be missing their best player in Moses Wright. But this is a deep, experienced Yellow Jackets team that can rally for one game and pull the upset with everyone counting them out now. Georgia Tech has won eight straight games now and is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games overall. The lack of respect for this team is mind-blowing. Loyola-Chicago feasted on a bad MVC this season and also lost to both Wisconsin (by 14) and Richmond in non-conference, which were the two best teams they played outside the MVC. Georgia Tech will probably be the best team they have faced all season even without Wright. The Yellow Jackets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference road games. The Yellow Jackets are 48-23 ATS in their last 71 games against a team with a winning record. Give me Georgia Tech.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis

Mar 19 '21, 4:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Oregon State vs Tennessee
Play on: Oregon State +8 -105 at BetCris

Boy the Vols are sure getting a lot of love here. This team has been a hard one to figure out for sure. They beat Kansas by nearly 20 and then lose to Ole Miss. You just never know what you get from them. The main worry for me here is their offense as they struggle big time to score points in bunches. Teams that struggle to score in the tournament are big red flags.
They are playing Oregon St and I'm sure hardly anyone has watched much of them but they are the hottest team around playing with a ton of confidence. They are 10-1 ATS their last 11 games and fresh of winning the PAC 12 tournament to get here. They were just underdogs on a neutral to Oregon and Colorado by 8 & 8.5 who I think are both better than Tennessee. Give me the hot team in the Beavers!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers

Mar 19 '21, 7:08 PM in 8h
NHL | Rangers vs Capitals
Play on: Capitals -133 at pinnacle

The set-up: After their crazy 9-0 win at home over the Flyers last time out, regression seems imminent for the Rangers on the road in the Nation's Capital Friday night. Washington enters on top form, having won six straight, allowing just one goal over its last two games.
The pick: The Capitals are also 4-0 in their last four vs. clubs with losing records, while New York is just 2-5 in its last seven vs. teams with winning records. The Rangers are also only 1-5 in their last six after scoring five or more goals in their previous game. Considering all of the above information, Washignton seems like a bargain at this price. Consider the home side in this one.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the Capitals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three Tourney Picks 3/19" One of the best days of the year...Hoops all day and night, love it.

100* Rutgers -1
100* Ohio State -16
100* Over 161.5 Colgate/Arkansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

725HARTFORD -726 BAYLOR
HARTFORD is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

727WISCONSIN -728 N CAROLINA
WISCONSIN is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997.

729WINTHROP -730 VILLANOVA
WINTHROP is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

731N TEXAS -732 PURDUE
N TEXAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less in the current season.

733UTAH ST -734 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECH is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games off an upset loss as a favorite since 1997.

735COLGATE -736 ARKANSAS
ARKANSAS are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

737VIRGINIA TECH -738 FLORIDA
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

739ORAL ROBERTS -740 OHIO ST
OHIO ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers in the current season.

739ORAL ROBERTS -740 OHIO ST
ORAL ROBERTS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better in the current season.

741DREXEL -742 ILLINOIS
ILLINOIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Friday, March 19

NCAA Tournament
Virginia Tech (10) vs Florida (7)
Virginia Tech (15-6)
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #244
— Continuity: #102
— Tech has played only three games (1-2) since February 6.
— Hokies lost three of their last five games.
— 41% of their shots are 3-pointers (#80)
— Tech is #38 team in country on defensive boards.
— Hokies are in 4th straight NCAA tourney; they’re 1-2 in last three first round games- they made Sweet 16 two years ago.

Florida (14-9)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #165
— Experience: #246
— Continuity: #164
— Florida lost three of its last four games.
— Gators lost 83-71 to ACC’s Florida State December 12.
— Gators are #301 team in country on defensive boards.
— Florida won its last seven first round tournament games.

— Last six years, favorites are 14-10 ATS in 7-10 games.
— Last three years, ACC teams were 7-17 ATS in the first round.
— Last four years, SEC teams were 7-10 ATS when favored, 2-2 as an underdog, 2-0 when pick ‘em.

Colgate (14) vs Arkansas (3)
Colgate (14-1)
— ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #25
— Experience: #149
— Continuity: #46
— Colgate played 13 of 15 games vs three teams: Army Boston U, Holy Cross- they’re jumping way up in class here.
— Red Raiders have made 40% of their 3-pointers (#3)
— Colgate won its last 13 games- they lost 75-73 to Army January 3rd.
— Colgate lost 77-70 to Tennessee in 2019, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

Arkansas (22-6)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #17
— Experience: #238
— Continuity: #339
— Arkansas won nine of its last ten games.
— Arkansas is 8-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #282)
— Razorbacks are 17-1 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
— Arkansas won three of last four first round games; Musselman was 1-2 in first round games while coaching Nevada.

— Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round games.
— Last four years, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS when favored in first round.
— Since 2005, Patriot League teams are 9-6 ATS in first round games, covering last three, in losses by 6-4-7 points.

Drexel (16) vs Illinois (1)
Drexel (12-7)
— ranked #146 by KenPom
— Tempo: #340
— Experience: #161
— Continuity: #3
— Drexel lost 83-74 to #89 Pitt, their only top 100 game this year.
— Dragons have #35 eFG%; they’re shooting 37.2% on arc (#37)
— Drexel won CAA tournament; they were only 8-7 before that.
— Dragons are in NCAA Tournament for first time since 1996.

Illinois (23-6)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #80
— Experience: #218
— Continuity: #48
— Illinois won 14 of its last 15 games.
— Illini is shooting 37.6% on arc (#25)
— Illinois is a top 20 rebounding team in country.
— Illini opened season with two games vs teams outside top 100; they won by 62-59 points- those teams were also outside top 200. Drexel is #146.
— This is Illinois’ first NCAA Tournament since 2013.
— Underwood is 2-2 in first round games (Oklahoma State/SF Austin)

— Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round games.
— Last seven years, CAA teams are 0-7 SU in NCAA games, 5-2 ATS.
— Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Utah State (11) vs Texas Tech (6)
Utah State (20-8)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #154
— Experience: #253
— Continuity: #137
— Aggies won six of their last seven games.
— Opponents are shooting 42.9% inside arc (#4)
— Utah State is a top 10 rebounding team in country.
— Aggies get 55.5% of their points inside arc (#44)
— Since 2003, Utah State is 0-7 SU in first round games; they lost 78-61 as an 8-seed to Washington in last tournament, two years ago.

Texas Tech (17-10)
— ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #316
— Experience: #276
— Continuity: #241
— Tech lost four of their last seven games.
— Red Raiders force turnovers 23.8% of time (#8)
— Tech gets 21.9% of its points on foul line (#32)
— Beard is 2-0 in first round games at Tech, winning by 10-15 points.

— Last five years, underdogs are 12-7-1 ATS in 6-11 games.
— Mountain West teams are 8-15 ATS in last 23 play-in/first round games
— Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.

Oral Roberts (15) vs Ohio State (2)
Oral Roberts (16-10)
— ranked #152 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #272
— Oral Roberts won its last five games, scoring 84.3 ppg.
— ORU lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, 14 at Oklahoma, 11 at Arkansas.
— Oral Roberts is shooting 38.8% on arc (#11), 82.6% on line (#1)
— This is Oral Roberts’ first NCAA Tournament since 2008.

Ohio State (21-9)
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #248
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #170
— Ohio State is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Their last five games were all decided by 5 or fewer points, or in OT.
— Buckeyes are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— Holtmann is 2-0 in first round at Ohio State, winning by 8-3 points.

— Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round games.
— Summit teams are 6-9-2 ATS in last 17 first round games.
— Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Hartford (16) vs Baylor (1)
Hartford (15-8)
— ranked #192 by KenPom
— Tempo: #269
— Experience: #106
— Continuity: #29
— Hartford lost by 12 to UConn, by 34 to Villanova, their only top 150 games.
— Hawks are a bad rebounding team (#211 on defensive boards)
— Hartford won its last five games, giving up 62.6 ppg.
— This is first time Hartford has played in NCAA Tournament.

Baylor (22-2)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #31
— Baylor is 5-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
— Bears are shooting 41.8% on the arc (#8)
— Baylor is 12-0 vs teams outside top 100, with nine wins by 18+ points.
— Under Drew, Baylor is 5-3 in first round games (4-4 ATS)

— Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round games.
— Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.
— Last seven years, America East teams are 5-2 ATS in first round.

Georgia Tech (9) vs Loyola Chi (8)
Georgia Tech (17-8)
— ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #10
— Tech won its last eight games, winning first ACC tourney since 1993.
— Yellow Jackets force turnovers 22.8% of time (#15)
— Tech is shooting 54.7% inside arc (#24)
— Yellow Jackets are in NCAA’s for first time since 2010.
— Pastner was 2-2 in first round games when he coached Memphis.

Loyola Chi (24-4)
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #37
— Continuity: #11
— Loyola won six in row, 17 of last 18 games.
— Loyola is shooting 58% inside arc (#4).
— Ramblers are 4-3 vs top 100 teams.
— Loyola lost by 14 to Wisconsin, by hoop to Richmond.
— Loyola made Final Four in 2018, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

— Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 ATS in 8-9 games.
— Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
— Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.

Oregon State (12) vs Tennessee (5)
Oregon State (17-12)
— ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #315
— Experience: #69
— Continuity: #155
— Oregon State won six of its last seven games.
— Oregon State is getting 21.0% of its points on foul line (#51)
— Beavers are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#276)
— OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time last week.
— Beavers are in tournament for first time since 2016-they lost 75-67 to VCU

Tennessee (18-8)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #233
— Experience: #255
— Continuity: #108
— Tennessee split its last eight games.
— Vols are 12-2 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
— Tennessee forces turnovers 22.9% of time (#14)
— Barnes is 11-4 SU in his last fifteen first round games.

— Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 16-12-2 ATS in first round.
— Last four years, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS when favored.

Liberty (13) vs Oklahoma State (4)
Liberty (23-5)
— ranked #97 by KenPom
— Tempo: #348
— Experience: #171
— Continuity: #167
— Liberty won its last 12 games.
— Flames beat Miss State, South Carolina; lost by 4 to TCU.
— Liberty is shooting 56.7% inside arc, has #4 eFG% in country.
— Liberty upset Miss State in first round game two years ago.

Oklahoma State (20-8)
— ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #43
— Experience: #324
— Continuity: #289
— Oklahoma State won eight of its last ten games.
— Cowboys are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#298)
— Oklahoma State has #49 eFG% defense.
— Cowboys are 7-0 outside the Big X.
— OSU lost last five first round games; their last first round win was 2009.

— Last four years, #13-seeds are 10-6 ATS in this round.
— Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.
— Last seven years, Atlantic Sun teams are 6-2 ATS in play-in/first round games.

Wisconsin (9) vs North Carolina (8)
Wisconsin (17-12)
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #326
— Experience: #22
— Continuity: #12
— Badgers lost six of their last eight games.
— Wisconsin went 9-11 in last 20 games, after an 8-1 start.
— Badgers are shooting 46.3% inside arc (#292)
— Wisconsin is #69 on defensive boards, important stat vs Tar Heels.
— Gard is 2-1 in first round games; wins were in 2016, 2017.

North Carolina (18-10)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #45
— Experience: #330
— Continuity: #158
— Carolina won three of last four games, losing in ACC semis.
— Tar Heels are grabbing 41.4% of their missed shots (#1 in country)
— Thats important because their eFG% is #246 in country.
— UNC is 6-8 this season vs teams in top 50.
— North Carolina won its last 17 first round games; they’re usually a much higher seed than this, but they were an 8-seed in 2013, a 6-seed in 2004. Last time they lost in first round? 1999.

— Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 ATS in 8-9 games.
— Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.
— Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 SU in first round (11-8 ATS)

Cleveland State (15) vs Houston (2)
Cleveland State (19-7)
— ranked #152 by KenPom
— Tempo: #282
— Experience: #63
— Continuity: #113
— Cleveland State won 19 of its last 23 games, after an 0-3 start.
— Vikings lost 67-61 at Ohio State in December, a positive sign.
— Cleveland State is only #302 in country on defensive boards.
— Vikings are 1-4 vs top 100 teams, splitting pair with Wright State.
— Cleveland State had lost 20+ games the previous five years; their last NCAA bid was 12 years ago, when they upset Wake Forest in first round.

Houston (24-3)
— ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #25
— Continuity: #55
— Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
— Cougars won their last seven games, five of them by 24+ points.
— Under Kelvin Sampson, Houston is 2-0 in first round, winning by 2-29 points.
— This game is in Indiana U’s gym; Sampson used to be Indiana’s coach, and it didn’t go well for him there.

— Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round games.
— Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 SU in first round.
— Last eight years, Horizon teams are 0-8 in NCAA’s (2-6 ATS)

North Texas (13) vs Purdue (4)
North Texas (17-9)
— ranked #71 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #13
— Continuity: #95
— Mean Green is 4-8 this season vs top 100 teams.
— North Texas allowed 54 ppg in its four C-USA tournament wins.
— Mean Green has #20 eFG% defense in country.
— North Texas is shooting 37.3% on arc (#33)
— This is first NCAA for North Texas since 2010.

Purdue (18-9)
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #274
— Experience: #327
— Continuity: #115
— Purdue won five of their last six games.
— Boilermakers are a top 25 rebounding team.
— Purdue is 10-2 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
— Under Painter, Purdue is 9-2 SU in first round games.

— Last four years, #13-seeds are 10-6 ATS in this round.
— C-USA teams won five of their last seven first round games.
— Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Rutgers (10) vs Clemson (7)
Rutgers (15-11)
— ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #213
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #5
— Rutgers is 4-5 in its last nine games.
— Rutgers is 4-0 outside Big 14, with a win over ACC’s Syracuse.
— Scarlet Knights are shooting 59.3% inside arc (#12).
— Rutgers is 7-10 vs teams in top 50.
— Rutgers is in NCAA’s for first time since 1991.

Clemson (22-4, 16-3)
— ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #295
— Experience: #15
— Continuity: #145
— This is Clemson’s first game in nine days.
— Tigers won six of their last eight games.
— Clemson is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#49)
— Clemson is 6-0 outside the ACC, beating Alabama, Purdue.
— Tigers are in NCAA’s for first time they made Sweet 16 in 2018.

— Last six years, favorites are 14-10 ATS in 7-10 games.
— Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
— Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round

Syracuse (11) vs San Diego State (6)
Syracuse (16-9)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #298
— Experience: #15
— Continuity: #145
— Syracuse won six of their last nine games.
— Orangemen are 3-7 vs teams in the top 50.
— Syracuse is a bottom 20 team in country on defensive boards.
— Since 2009, Syracuse is 8-1 SU in first round games.

San Diego State (23-4)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #298
— Experience: #15
— Continuity: #145
— Aztecs won their last fourteen games.
— Opponents are shooting 44.5% of time (#13)
— San Diego State is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#25)
— Aztecs are shooting 37.5% on the arc (#27)
— San Diego State won four of last six first round tournament games.

— Last five years, underdogs are 12-7-1 ATS in 6-11 games.
— Mountain West teams are 8-15 ATS in last 23 play-in/first round games
— Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round

Morehead State (14) vs West Virginia (3)
Morehead State (23-7)
— ranked #127 by KenPom
— Tempo: #312
— Experience: #205
— Continuity: #266
— Morehead won 7 in a row, 19 of last 20 games.
— Eagles are 3-4 outside OVC, losing by 36-18-33-15 points- the four losses are their only top 100 games this season.
— Morehead is turning ball over 22.9% of time (#332)
— This is Morehead’s first NCAA Tournament in ten years.

West Virginia (18-9)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #114
— Experience: #153
— Continuity: #43
— West Virginia lost three of its last four games.
— West Virginia is grabbing 35.6% of their missed shots (#13)
— Mountaineers are 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— West Virginia gets 22.5% of its points on foul line (#16)
— WVU is 5-2 SU in its last seven first round games.

— Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round games.
— Since 2009, OVC teams are 8-2-1 ATS in NCAA tourney games.
— Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.

Winthrop (12) vs Villanova (5)
Winthrop (23-1)
— ranked #92 by KenPom
— Tempo: #11
— Experience: #108
— Continuity: #17
— This is Winthrop’s first game in 12 days.
— Winthrop’s only loss was 57-55 to NC-Asheville on February 29.
— Winthrop beat Furman/NC-Greensboro, their only top 100 games.
— Eagles are forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#23)
— Last time Winthrop was in NCAAs was 2017.

Villanova (16-6)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #320
— Experience: #131
— Continuity: #6
— Villanova lost last two games, with PG Gillespie out for year.
— Villanova is 5-5 in last ten games, after an 11-1 start.
— Wildcats’ bench plays #322 minutes; injuries are costly.
— Villanova won its last six first round games.

— Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
— Big East teams are 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as first round favorites.
— Last five years, Big South teams are 1-4 ATS in this round.

NIT tournament
Buffalo vs Colorado State (@ Denton, TX)
Buffalo (16-8)
— ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #13
— Experience: #48
— Continuity: #47
— Buffalo won seven of its last eight games, but lost in MAC final.
— Bulls have #27 eFG% defense in country.
— Buffalo is grabbing 37.4% of its missed shots (#5)

Colorado State (18-6)
— ranked #64 by KenPom
— Tempo: #122
— Experience: #308
— Continuity: #37
— Rams won six of their last eight games.
— Colorado State is shooting 55.7% inside arc (#14).
— 44.4% of shots they take are 3’s (#32)

Louisiana Tech vs Ole Miss (@ Frisco, TX)
Louisiana Tech (21-7)
— ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #125
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #117
— Bulldogs won five of last six D-I games.
— La Tech lost 86-55 at LSU, their only game against an SEC team.
— Bulldogs have the #16 eFG% defense- they’re #25 on defensive boards.

Ole Miss (16-11)
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #322
— Experience: #107
— Continuity: #219
— Ole Miss is 4-3 in its last seven games.
— Rebels are forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#18)
— Ole Miss is shooting 29.9% on arc (#315)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting notes for March Madness 2021

No. 1 seeds

Illinois (23-6 SU, 19-10 ATS, 16-12-1 O/U): The Illini are primed for a deep March Madness run – but if any games come down to performance from the line, they could be in trouble. Illinois ranks 228th nationally in free-throw success rate (69.1 percent), the lowest of any team with a Top-4 seed.

Baylor (22-2 SU, 15-9 ATS, 15-9 O/U): Sure, the Bears lost just twice all season, but those two defeats provided good insight into how to beat Baylor: Make them miss from deep. The Bears led Division I with a 41.9-percent success rate from 3-point range, but shot just 27.2 percent in their two losses.

Michigan (20-4 SU, 17-7 ATS, 9-15 O/U): Don't be scared off by large spreads if you're thinking about banking on the Wolverines. They went 6-1 ATS when favored by double digits this season, and are an incredible 10-1 over their last 11 when giving 10 or more points since November 2019.

Gonzaga (26-0 SU, 12-12-2 ATS, 14-12 O/U): The Bulldogs are still looking for that elusive first NCAA Tournament title – but bettors would just love to see them hit some covers. Gonzaga is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 tournament games, including three losses as a favorite of four or more points.


No. 2 seeds

Ohio State (21-9 SU, 17-12-1 ATS, 17-12-1 O/U): Some teams will have to worry about losing close games at the free-throw line – but the Buckeyes likely won't be on that list. They rank 32nd in success rate from the strip (76.3 percent) while finishing fourth in Division I in total attempts (646).

Houston (24-3 SU, 19-8 ATS, 14-13 O/U): The Cougars have made life positively miserable for opposing offenses, heading into the NCAA Tournament having allowed a Division I-low 37 percent field goal success rate. They also rank second overall in average scoring margin (plus-19.5).

Alabama (24-6 SU, 17-12-1 ATS, 14-16 O/U): Plenty of tournament participants will live and die from beyond the arc – but few are as reliant as the Crimson Tide, who have taken a whopping 912 shots from deep this season – nearly 100 more than the next-closest team. Their 312 makes also lead the country.

Iowa (21-8 SU, 15-13-1 ATS, 14-15 O/U): Superstar big man Luka Garza gets most of the attention for the Hawkeyes, but don't sleep on this team's guard play. The Hawkeyes average an NCAA-best 19.1 assists for the season, while boasting the nation's best assist-to-turnover ratio at 2.01.


No. 3 seeds

Arkansas (22-6 SU, 18-9 ATS, 14-12-1 O/U): There could be plenty of scoring in Arkansas' NCAA Tournament games thanks largely to the Razorbacks' break-neck pace. Arkansas averages 77.1 possessions per game, 11th-most in the NCAA, while allowing more than 61 opposition shots per game.

West Virginia (18-9 SU, 13-14 ATS, 18-9 O/U): How do you overcome an effective field-goal percentage ranked outside the Top 200? By giving yourself plenty of second chances – and that's how the Mountaineers roll, entering the NCAA Tournament with the fifth-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6).

Kansas (20-8 SU, 14-12-1 ATS, 12-14-1 O/U): Something about March Madness brings out the best in the Jayhawks' offense – and the worst in their defense. They're 8-3 O/U in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games dating back to 2017, despite seeing totals north of 150 in five of those contests.

Texas (19-7 SU, 12-13-1 ATS, 16-10 O/U): Discipline could be a major issue for the Longhorns entering the NCAA Tournament. They're allowing opponents to shoot an average of 21.3 free throws per game (300th in the country) and are fortunate that those foes have only made good at a 68.1-percent clip so far.


No. 4 seeds

Oklahoma State (20-8 SU, 17-10-1 ATS, 17-9-2 O/U): This Big 12 team secured a No. 4 seed despite being the underdog in 16 of its first 28 games. And the Cowboys made good on those opportunities, going 12-4 as a 'dog this season (compared with a 5-6-1 ATS mark as a favorite).

Purdue (18-9 SU, 14-11-2 ATS, 14-13 O/U): The Boilermakers have traditionally ratcheted up the offense come NCAA Tournament time – and their opponents have followed suit. Purdue is 10-2 O/U in its last 12 tournament games, with seven of those Overs surpassing the total by 10-plus points.

Florida State (16-6 SU, 11-9-2 ATS, 14-7-1 O/U): Searching for a team riding a current O/U heater? Look no further than the Seminoles, who are 11-2-1 O/U in their past 14 games. That trend runs counter to their recent NCAA Tournament history, with just two Overs in their past seven March Madness games.

Virginia (18-6 SU, 11-12-1 ATS, 14-10 O/U): It isn't just that shocking loss to UMBC in 2018 that should have you wary of backing the Cavaliers. They're a dismal 1-6 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games when favored by five or more points, with two outright losses (including...you know).


No. 5 seeds

Tennessee (18-8 SU, 14-12 ATS, 11-15 O/U): The Vols have excelled at creating additional scoring opportunities for themselves – and limiting their opponents' chances in the process. Tennessee has forced a turnover on 20 percent of opponent possessions this season, good for 19th in the country.

Villanova (16-6 SU, 12-10 ATS, 12-10 O/U): Speaking of teams winning the TO battle, the Wildcats made a living out of that practice during the 2020-21 season. Villanova lost the turnover battle just twice in 22 games (with one tie), averaging just 9.0 turnovers per game (second fewest in Division I).

Colorado (22-8 SU, 17-13 ATS, 12-18 O/U): If the Buffaloes can get to the foul line with any regularity, watch out. Colorado might be a one-trick pony, but it's a really impressive trick, as it ranks second in the country in free-throw shooting (82.2 percent). The Buffaloes are also 66th in attempts (510).

Creighton (20-8 SU, 13-15 ATS, 13-14-1 O/U): Unlike Colorado, the Bluejays would probably prefer to stay off the line thanks to one of the strangest trends in the country. Creighton ranks inside the Top 50 in overall shooting percentage (47.6) and 3-point success rate (36.7) but is 329th in free-throw shooting (64.2 percent).


No. 6 seeds

Texas Tech (17-10 SU, 10-17 ATS, 12-15 O/U): The Red Raiders give themselves plenty of opportunities for extra possessions, which should serve them well in the NCAA Tournament. Texas Tech ranks fourth in average turnover margin (plus-5.1), and 27th in offensive rebound rate (32.2 percent).

San Diego State (23-4 SU, 14-12 ATS, 14-12 O/U): This one will play well with you first-half bettors: The Aztecs were one of the top teams in the country prior to the break, ranking just outside the Top 60 in first-half scoring (36.0 points per game) while placing fourth in the country in 1H scoring defense (27.2).

USC (22-7 SU, 16-13 ATS, 15-14 O/U): If season trends hold, the Trojans will almost certainly dare opponents to beat them from beyond the arc at the NCAA Tournament. USC has held foes to a 42.2-percent shooting rate on two-point attempts, the second-lowest mark in the country.

BYU (20-6 SU, 14-8-3 ATS, 12-12-1 O/U): Being a consistently good road cover is not easy – but the West Coast Conference produced three teams this year that had cover rates of 67 percent or better on the road. The Cougars led the way with an incredible 7-1-1 ATS mark away from the Marriott Center.


No. 7 seeds

Florida (14-9 SU, 10-13 ATS, 10-12-1 O/U): The Gators have been terrific betting options in their NCAA Tournament openers over the previous decade, having gone a perfect 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS. Their lone non-cover in that span? A 67-55 win over Albany as a 21.5-point favorite in 2014.

Clemson (16-7 SU, 11-11-1 ATS, 11-11-1 O/U): The Tigers won't be mistaken for Baylor or Gonzaga from an offensive standpoint, but it wouldn't kill them to get to the free-throw line. Clemson attempted just 298 foul shots in 23 games this season, good for an average of 13.0 (which ranks 342nd overall).

UConn (15-7 SU, 16-6 ATS, 11-11 O/U): The Huskies were a bettor's dream in 2020-21 – except for when they were matched up against elite competition. UConn went 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS in four games against ranked teams this season, and were 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS against everyone else.

Oregon (20-6 SU, 14-12 ATS, 17-9 O/U): Win or lose, you'll have a hard finding a better historic cover option than the Ducks. Oregon has gone a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six NCAA Tournament games and has one of the best cover records of any team over the past eight years at a sizzling 15-4.


No. 8 seeds

Loyola-Chicago (24-4 SU, 16-9-1 ATS, 12-14 O/U): The 3-pointer might be the hottest thing going, but there's still plenty of value in layups and mid-range jumpers. And few teams are better in that area than the Ramblers, who enter the NCAA tournament ranked fourth in the nation in 2-point shooting (58.0 percent).

North Carolina (18-10 SU, 13-13-2 ATS, 13-15 O/U): Playing on neutral ground could be just the thing to invigorate the inconsistent Tar Heels entering March Madness. While they were a dismal 2-8 ATS in 10 true road games, they posted an impressive 4-1-2 mark in seven neutral-site games this season.

LSU (18-9 SU, 14-13 ATS, 17-10 O/U): Looking for some live bet guidance? Consider the Over on the second-half total of any LSU game. The Tigers not only average 42.4 second-half points per game (12th in the country), they're allowing a whopping 39.9 themselves (good for 305th overall).

Oklahoma (15-10 SU, 12-12-1 ATS, 11-14 O/U): The Sooners are the answer to the question: "Which team has the longest ATS losing streak entering the NCAA Tournament?" Oklahoma has failed to cover in seven straight and is also just 5-10-1 ATS as a fave compared with 7-2 ATS as a dog.


No. 9 seeds

Georgia Tech (17-8 SU, 15-10 ATS, 14-10-1 O/U): When you have a deficiency as large as the Yellow Jackets' board work – they rank 284th in the country in rebounding margin – you'd better have an ace up your sleeve. And Georgia Tech certainly does, ranking sixth in steals (9.2) and eighth in turnover margin (4.8).

Wisconsin (17-12 SU, 13-15-1 ATS, 14-15 O/U): While most people were happy to bid farewell to 2020, the new year hasn't exactly been kind to the Badgers. They've struggled mightily against elite competition since the calendar flipped to 2021, going 0-9 SU and 1-7-1 ATS in nine games vs. ranked opponents.

St. Bonaventure (16-4 SU, 13-5-2 ATS, 6-14 O/U): Are the Bonnies this year's best "Under/Cover" option? They certainly fit that bill during the season. In addition to converting five straight cover/Under combos earlier in the year, they come into March Madness having gone 6-1-1 ATS and 2-6 O/U in their last eight.

Missouri (16-9 SU, 12-13 ATS, 13-10-2 O/U): The Tigers' cover-less streak at the NCAA Tournament has lasted more than a decade. Missouri is a dismal 0-5 SU and ATS in its previous five tournament appearances dating back to the 2010 event, including an 86-84 loss to Norfolk State as a 21-point favorite in 2012.


No. 10 seeds

Virginia Tech (15-6 SU, 11-10 ATS, 11-9-1 O/U): Every NCAA Tournament team has had to deal with a schedule disruption of some sort – but the Hokies are in a zone all their own. Their tournament opener will mark just their fourth game in 41 days, the fewest of any March Madness entrants over that span.

Rutgers (15-11 SU, 13-12-1 ATS, 12-14 O/U): Don't expect to see the Scarlet Knights win an NCAA Tournament game at the free-throw line. Not only does Rutgers rank 329th in the nation in success rate at 63.2 percent, it has attempted just over 16 foul shots per game (ranking just inside the Top 300).

Maryland (16-13 SU, 12-16 ATS, 11-16-1 O/U): A lack of extra possessions could make the Terrapins' stay in Indianapolis a short one. Maryland comes in ranked near the bottom of the nation in offensive rebounds per game (5.8, 327th) and OReb% (19.6, 320th), and forces just 11.1 turnovers per outing (312th).

VCU (19-7 SU, 14-11-1 ATS, 10-16 O/U): Sometimes, it's the little things that make a big difference come tournament time – and the Rams do them better than just about anyone, ranked fifth in Division I in steals per game (9.2) and fifth in blocked shots (5.4). Their 14.6 "stocks" per game lead the country.


No. 11 seeds

Utah State (20-8 SU, 16-11 ATS, 11-16 O/U): The Aggies are a force on the boards, and that could help them pull off an upset or two at the NCAA Tournament. Utah State boasts the No. 2 rebound margin in the nation at plus-10.3, ranking 11th in OReb% at 34.6 and sixth in DReb% at 80.7.

Syracuse (16-9 SU, 12-13 ATS, 13-12 O/U): The Orange might be a lower seed, but they come into the NCAA Tournament with plenty of momentum. Syracuse has gone an incredible 8-2 ATS in its last 10 March Madness games, including five victories as outright underdogs over that span.

Drake (25-4 SU, 21-6 ATS, 17-10 O/U): The top ATS team in the nation might generate plenty of interest come tournament time – but there are reasons to be wary. The Bulldogs are just 8-6 ATS in their past 12 games since starting out 13-0, and they're a mediocre 2-2 ATS as an underdog.

Wichita State (16-5 SU, 9-9-1 ATS, 9-10 O/U): Getting to the NCAA Tournament is difficult enough – but reaching the pinnacle of men's basketball while shooting just 40.8 percent is an even more challenging task. Wichita State's dismal shooting percentage is the lowest of any participant in this year's event.

UCLA (17-9 SU, 12-14 ATS, 15-11 O/U): Take the Bruins out of Pauley Pavilion, and they've been a major disappointment from a covering perspective so far this season. UCLA has struggled to a 4-10 ATS mark in 14 games away from L.A.: 3-8 in 11 true road games, and 1-2 in three neutral-site outings.

Michigan State (15-12 SU, 9-18 ATS, 10-17 O/U): Only 14 teams finished with a worse regular-season ATS mark than the Spartans, who were a particularly terrible 3-11 ATS as a favorite. That includes four outright defeats as a favorite, en route to their worst regular-season showing since 1996.


No. 12 seeds

Oregon State (17-12 SU, 18-9-1 ATS, 17-11 O/U): We know how people love those 12-seed upsets when making their first-round bracket predictions or bets – and the Beavers certainly fit the bill. Oregon State went an incredible 13-5 ATS as an underdog this season and was also 3-0 ATS in neutral-site games.

Winthrop (23-1 SU, 13-11 ATS, 11-12-1 O/U): The Eagles know how to wring out as many extra possessions as possible – and that could serve them well in Indianapolis. Winthrop ranks 18th in forced turnovers per game (16.3), 14th in offensive rebounds (13.0), and fifth in "extra scoring chances" (7.3).

Georgetown (13-12 SU, 16-9 ATS, 11-14 O/U): The Hoyas are a dangerous team from the free-throw line – but they'll need to be better from the floor. G Jahvon Blair and F Qudus Wahab are the only players in the Top 20 in the Big East in scoring that shoot below 40 percent from the field and better than 80 percent from the foul line.

UC Santa Barbara (21-4 SU, 14-10 ATS, 11-13 O/U): There's a great first-half wagering opportunity with the Gauchos, if you believe in their season trend. UC Santa Barbara limited opponents to just 27.5 first-half points per game, sixth-lowest in the country - that figure jumps to 35.4 in the second half.


No. 13 seeds

Liberty (23-5 SU, 16-8 ATS, 12-11-1 O/U): If you're looking for a 13-seed upset candidate. the Flames are here for you. Their 57.4-percent effective field goal rate ranks fourth in the nation, and third among NCAA Tournament entrants. The two teams ahead of them? Gonzaga and Baylor.

North Texas (17-9 SU, 16-9 ATS, 10-15 O/U): The Mean Green are no strangers to life on the road – and they've thrived heading into the NCAA Tournament. North Texas is on an incredible 8-2 ATS run over its previous 10 games, with seven of those games coming away from Denton.

UNC Greensboro (21-7 SU, 17-11 ATS, 13-14-1 O/U): If the Spartans manage to pull off an upset at the NCAA Tournament, it likely won't be from a 3-point barrage. UNC Greensboro enters as the second-worst 3-point shooting team in the competition, ranked 311th overall at 30.0 percent.

Ohio (16-7 SU, 14-8 ATS, 13-9 O/U): The Bobcats might be up against it in Round 1, but they come into the NCAA Tournament as one of the hottest ATS teams in the country. Ohio is 9-1 SU and ATS in its last 10 overall, a stretch that includes four victories as outright underdogs.


No. 14 seeds

Colgate (14-1 SU, 10-5 ATS, 8-7 O/U): Much has been made about the Raiders' sensational offense (86.3 ppg, second in the country) – but bettors should also note their 3-point dominance. Colgate ranks third in long-range shooting (40 percent) while boasting the No. 1 3-point defense (26.1 percent).

Morehead State (23-7 SU, 19-9 ATS, 10-18 O/U): The Eagles would love for their first-round game to be decided at the charity stripe. They allow just 13.5 free-throw attempts per game (third fewest in the country) and enter the NCAA Tournament with a plus-6.0 average FT attempt margin.

Eastern Washington (16-7 SU, 15-7 ATS, 12-10 O/U): Look for the Eagles to get off to a fast start. Eastern Washington owns a plus-6.9 first-half scoring margin for the season, good for 15th in the country. That rate jumps to plus-16.7 over its previous three games, tops in the nation.

Abilene Christian (23-4 SU, 16-6 ATS, 14-8 O/U): The Wildcats could make some noise in the NCAA Tournament if they continue to rock those sticky fingers. Abilene Christian leads the nation in forced turnovers per game (20.3) while sitting second overall in steals per outing (9.9).


No. 15 seeds

Oral Roberts (16-10 SU, 14-9 ATS, 16-7 O/U): The Golden Eagles as a dual-threat 15-seed? Believe it. Not only does Oral Roberts boast the No. 1 free-throw success rate in college basketball (82.4 percent), it also makes a whopping 11.3 3-pointers per game, the most in the country.

Cleveland State (19-7 SU, 18-8 ATS, 14-12 O/U): Discipline will be critical if the Vikings hope to be competitive in Round 1. Cleveland State ranked just inside the Top 300 in personal fouls per game (19.2) while allowing 21 free-throw attempts (and 15.3 makes) per outing.

Iona (12-5 SU, 11-5-1 ATS, 9-8 O/U): The Gaels are back in the NCAA Tournament, which probably means another non-cover and an offensive explosion on behalf of the competition. Iona is just 1-6 ATS in its previous seven appearances, with its opponents averaging 88.1 points in that span.

Grand Canyon (17-6 SU, 15-5 ATS, 6-14 O/U): Here are your "Under/Cover" champions for 2020-21. The Antelopes rode the country's No. 9 scoring defense (61.1 ppg against) and plus-9.6 average scoring margin to 13 ATS/Under combos on the season, the most of any team in the country.


No. 16 seeds

Drexel (10-6 SU, 12-4 ATS, 9-7 O/U): The catalyst behind the Dragons' first NCAA Tournament appearance in 25 years? Superior shooting across the board. Drexel shot 47.7 percent this season (up from 44.1 percent in 2019-20), 77.7 percent from the line (up from 70.0), and 37.2 percent from deep (up from 34.9).

Hartford (15-8 SU, 15-8 ATS, 9-14 O/U): The Hawks' best chance at an unlikely first-round NCAA Tournament upset: Continuing the sensational perimeter defense it displayed during the season. Hartford boasts the nation's 10th-best 3-point field goal percentage against at 27.9 percent.

Texas Southern (16-8 SU, 11-10-2 ATS, 13-9-1 O/U): If March Madness success comes down to 3-point shooting, the Tigers are in a world of hurt. Not only do they have the worst long-range shooting of any team in the NCAA Tournament, their 27.6-percent success rate from deep ranks sixth-worst in all of Division I.

Mount St. Mary's (12-10 SU, 13-9 ATS, 8-14 O/U): If you're looking for a nice Under play this week, the Mountaineers are ready to abide. They saw an average of just 126 points scored in their 22 games this season, the lowest average score of any team in the NCAA Tournament.

Appalachian State (17-11 SU, 14-9-1 ATS, 11-13 O/U): The Mountaineers have had no problem being the underdog this season. They went 8-6 SU and 9-4-1 ATS in 14 games in that situation, including three straight outright victories as an underdog to win the Sun Belt Conference title.

Norfolk State (16-7 SU, 12-9 ATS, 12-9 O/U): We've saved the best for last – if you like chippy encounters, that is. The Spartans rank 307th in personal fouls per game (19.7) while drawing nearly 20 per game of their own – and that means a combined 46.8 foul shots per game, the most in the country.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

563SAN ANTONIO -564 CLEVELAND
SAN ANTONIO is 462-385 ATS (38.5 Units) vs. losing teams since 1996.

565SACRAMENTO -566 BOSTON
BOSTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.

567GOLDEN STATE -568 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 202-161 ATS (24.9 Units) in home games after a win since 1996.

569DETROIT -570 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

573BROOKLYN -574 ORLANDO
ORLANDO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=39% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

575INDIANA -576 MIAMI
INDIANA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

577CHICAGO -578 DENVER
CHICAGO is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

579DALLAS -580 PORTLAND
DALLAS are 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

581MINNESOTA -582 PHOENIX
MINNESOTA is 60-85 ATS (-33.5 Units) when the total >=220 in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, March 19

Sacramento @ Boston
Kings (16-24)
— Sacramento split its last six games SU.
— Kings are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Under is 4-0 in Sacramento’s last four games

Celtics (20-20)
— Boston is 1-3 since the All-Star break.
— Celtics are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
— Over is 9-4 in last 13 Boston games.

— Celtics won seven of last ten series games.
— Kings are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Boston.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

San Antonio @ Cleveland
Spurs (21-16)
— San Antonio won three of its last four games.
— Spurs are 11-6 ATS on road this season.
— Under is 5-1 in Spurs’ last six games.

Cavaliers (15-25)
— Cleveland lost four of its last five games.
— Cavaliers are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall.
— Six of last seven Cleveland home games stayed under total.

— Cavaliers won last two series games, both in OT, after losing previous eight meetings.
— Spurs are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
— Three of last four series games went over.

Indiana @ Miami
Pacers (17-22)
— Indiana lost 13 of its last 18 games.
— Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 9-3-1 in Indiana’s last 13 games.

Heat (22-19)
— Miami won five of its last six games overall.
— Heat is 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
— Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

— Heat won seven of last eight series games.
— Pacers are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

Brooklyn @ Orlando
Nets (28-13)
— Brooklyn won 14 of their last 15 games (13-2 ATS).
— Nets are 8-0 ATS in last eight road games.
— Six of last eight Brooklyn road games went over.

Magic (13-27)
— Orlando lost nine in row, 17 of its last 21 games.
— Magic is 5-2-1 ATS in last eight home games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four home games.

— Brooklyn won last three series games.
— Nets are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Orlando.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Utah @ Toronto
Jazz (29-11)
— Utah lost four of its last six games.
— Jazz is 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games.
— Over is 8-3 in Utah’s last 11 games.

Raptors (17-23)
— Toronto lost six in row, eight of its last nine games.
— Raptors are 4-3 ATS in their last seven “home” games.
— Six of last eight Toronto games went over the total.

— Toronto won/covered last four series games.
— Jazz are 1-4 ATS in last five road series games.
— Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Detroit @ Houston
Pistons (11-29)
— Detroit lost 10 of its last 13 games
— Pistons are 6-3 ATS in last nine games overall.
— Under is 9-4 in Detroit’s last 13 games.

Rockets (11-28)
— Houston lost its last 18 games (2-16 ATS).
— Rockets are 0-10 ATS in last ten home games.
— Under is 13-3-1 in their last 17 home games.

— Detroit won six of last ten series games.
— Pistons covered their last five visits to Houston.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Golden State @ Memphis
Warriors (21-20)
— Golden State lost five of its last seven games.
— Warriors are 1-4 ATS in last five road games.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight road games.

Grizzlies (18-19)
— Memphis lost four of its last six games.
— Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in last eight games overall.
— Under is 11-2 in their last 13 games.

— Memphis won three of last four series games.
— Warriors are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Tennessee.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Chicago @ Denver
Bulls (18-21)
— Chicago is 3-5 in its last eight games SU.
— Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— Under is 4-0 in their last four games.

Nuggets (24-16)
— Denver is 12-5 in its last 17 games overall.
— Nuggets are 8-11 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 6-4 in Denver’s last ten home games.

— Nuggets won last eight series games.
— Bulls are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Denver.
— Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Minnesota @ Phoenix
Timberwolves (10-31)
— Minnesota is 3-2 SU since All-Star break.
— Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
— Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Suns (26-12)
— Phoenix won 18 of its last 23 games (17-6 ATS).
— Suns are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games.

— Timberwolves upset Phoenix 123-119 here last night.
— Suns won/covered three of last four series games.
— Minnesota is 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Phoenix.
— Three of last five series games stayed under.

Dallas @ Portland
Mavericks (21-18)
— Mavericks won 12 of their last 16 games.
— Mavericks are 3-5 ATS in last eight road games.
— Under is 9-2 in last 11 Dallas games.

Trailblazers (24-16)
— Portland won seven of its last nine games SU.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 8-3 ATS in last 11 home games.
— Over is 6-3 in Portland’s last nine games.

— Blazers won four of last six series games.
— Dallas covered two of last three visits to Oregon.
— Last six series games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, March 19

Trend Report

Sacramento @ Boston
Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

San Antonio @ Cleveland
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
San Antonio is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games at home

Utah @ Toronto
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Utah
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Utah

Indiana @ Miami
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana

Detroit @ Houston
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 14 games at home
Houston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Detroit

Brooklyn @ Orlando
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Orlando is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn

Golden State @ Memphis
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games on the road
Golden State is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games at home

Chicago @ Denver
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing Denver
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Dallas @ Portland
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

Minnesota @ Phoenix
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games
Phoenix is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (21 - 16) at CLEVELAND (15 - 25) - 3/19/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1144-1015 ATS (+27.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 387-307 ATS (+49.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 385-317 ATS (+36.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 462-385 ATS (+38.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 2-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (16 - 24) at BOSTON (20 - 20) - 3/19/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 148-187 ATS (-57.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-0 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (21 - 20) at MEMPHIS (18 - 19) - 3/19/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (11 - 29) at HOUSTON (11 - 28) - 3/19/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 60-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
HOUSTON is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
HOUSTON is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
HOUSTON is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (29 - 11) at TORONTO (17 - 23) - 3/19/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
UTAH is 57-38 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (28 - 13) at ORLANDO (13 - 27) - 3/19/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (17 - 22) at MIAMI (22 - 19) - 3/19/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 102-71 ATS (+23.9 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (18 - 21) at DENVER (24 - 16) - 3/19/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games this season.
CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (21 - 18) at PORTLAND (24 - 16) - 3/19/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 240-190 ATS (+31.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 592-510 ATS (+31.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 91-71 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (10 - 31) at PHOENIX (26 - 13) - 3/19/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 41-61 ATS (-26.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 32-55 ATS (-28.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 32-46 ATS (-18.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 88-129 ATS (-53.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 186-229 ATS (-65.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Friday March 19
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago at Denver (9:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Bulls are 11-0 ATS (10.27 ppg) as a road dog playing with rest.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockets are 0-14 ATS (-10.46 ppg) at home with less than two days rest coming off a 10+ point loss.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Brooklyn at Orlando (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Nets are 12-0 OU (19.38 ppg) as a road favorite.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at Orlando (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 0-12-2 OU (-11.86 ppg) as a road favorite when they lost at least their last two meetings against this opponent.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

67CALGARY -68 TORONTO
TORONTO is 34-32 ATS (-17.8 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

69VANCOUVER -70 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 8-14 ATS (-12.6 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

71NY RANGERS -72 WASHINGTON
NY RANGERS are 20-11 ATS (16.3 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

73ST LOUIS -74 SAN JOSE
ST LOUIS are 5-10 ATS (-11.8 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

75VEGAS -76 LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

75VEGAS -76 LOS ANGELES
TODD MCLELLAN is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders (Coach of LOS ANGELES)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Friday, March 19

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Rangers @ Washington
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Vancouver @ Montreal
Vancouver
Vancouver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games
Montreal
Montreal is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver

Calgary @ Toronto
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games

St. Louis @ San Jose
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis

Vegas @ Los Angeles
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vegas's last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
Vegas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing Vegas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, March 19

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CALGARY (14-13-0-3, 31 pts.) at TORONTO (19-9-0-2, 40 pts.) - 3/19/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 23-30 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 16-5 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 132-125 ATS (+286.3 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 27-25 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-4 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-4-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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VANCOUVER (15-16-0-2, 32 pts.) at MONTREAL (13-8-0-8, 34 pts.) - 3/19/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 420-402 ATS (-122.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 61-58 ATS (+131.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 13-16 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 16-24 ATS (-11.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 13-16 ATS (-13.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
MONTREAL is 21-31 ATS (-18.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 16-25 ATS (-13.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 18-23 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 13-18 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 8-3 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 8-3-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

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NY RANGERS (12-12-0-4, 28 pts.) at WASHINGTON (19-6-0-4, 42 pts.) - 3/19/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 0-7 ATS (+7.5 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-10 ATS (+31.6 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-10 ATS (+30.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-10 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a division game this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
NY RANGERS are 159-150 ATS (+321.7 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 3-8 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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ST LOUIS (14-10-0-5, 33 pts.) at SAN JOSE (11-13-0-3, 25 pts.) - 3/19/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 16-23 ATS (-15.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 10-13 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 10-13 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 61-67 ATS (+164.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 182-152 ATS (-74.1 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 200-174 ATS (-92.0 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 241-168 ATS (-48.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 10-7 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 10-7-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.9 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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VEGAS (20-6-0-1, 41 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (12-10-0-6, 30 pts.) - 3/19/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 18-12 ATS (+30.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 13-8 ATS (+24.1 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 135-143 ATS (-72.5 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-5 (+5.7 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 6-5-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.0 Units)