Saturday 3/20/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:16 AM

Nick Borrman

Event: Eibar at Ath Bilbao
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: March 20, 2021 9AM EDT
Play: Ath Bilbao (-125)
Spain La Liga
Bilbao is 11th in the table with only 9-7-11 record but with a solid +6 goal differential. Meanwhile Eibar is 2nd from the bottom of the table with a 4-10-13 record and -11 goal differential.
Almost all of Bilbao’s success has come at home where they are 7-2-4 with a +10 goal differential. They have taken care of business against the teams in the bottom half of the table they have faced with wins over Huesca, Elche and Getafe while also beating teams above them in the table including Levante, Granada, Betis and Sevilla.
More recently, in their last 16 games in all competitions, they have just two losses including winning the Super Cup twice in three days beating Real Madrid and Barcelona in a super rare occurrence as last year’s final got pushed to this year because of COVID, so made and won the final in each of the last two years, but just three days apart.
Eibar on the other hand are in really bad form as they are winless in their last 11 games including five losses in their last six road games with one draw. The losses are alarming as they lost to bad teams in Osasuna, Cadiz and Elche in their last three games scoring just one goal in the process.
All the momentum is with Bilbao here and I think this is a very good price to get them to win at home.
TAKE ATH BILBAO TO WIN (ML or -0.5)
Line Parameter: 4% to -0.75

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:16 AM

Oskeim Sports

Event: (783) Georgetown at (784) Colorado
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: March 20, 2021 12PM EDT
Play: Colorado -6.5 (-110)
Georgetown won four games in four days to win the Big East Conference title and earn an automatic bid to the NCAA tournament. That unlikely run to the Big East crown has made the Hoyas overpriced by the betting market. Let's not forget that Georgetown finished the regular-season at 9-12 and ranks 309th in the nation in turnovers, coughing up the ball on 21.7% of their offensive possessions.
The Hoyas were just 3-7 SU versus fellow tournament teams this season and are hampered by the following trend: No. 10 or worse seeded underdogs entering off back-to-back upset wins are an atrocious 2-37 SU and 13-24-2 ATS since 1991, including 1-14 SU and 2-12-1 ATS as underdogs of eleven points or fewer. Meanwhile, Colorado head coach Tad Boyle is a profitable 24-13-1 ATS off an upset loss, including 10-2 SU and 8-1-1 ATS versus non-conference opponents.
With Georgetown standing at 2-6 ATS in their last eight NCAA tournament games, lay the points with the Buffaloes as Oskeim Sports' Free Pick Winner for Saturday, March 20.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:17 AM

Dave Cokin

Event: (773) Eastern Washington at (774) Kansas
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: March 20, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Kansas -10.5 (-110)
Welcome back, David McCormack. The Kansas big man has been cleared to play and he figures to be a matchup nightmare for Eastern Washington. The Jayhawks have pretty much put their struggles behind them, and head into the tournament winner of eight of their last nine, with only an overtime loss at Texas in that stretch. Eastern Washington has impressed in rolling to the Big Sky title. But they weren't much out of conference early on and I suspect they're in over their heads here. EW is also a speedy tempo team and I can see the Jayhawks simply being too athletic for them in this type of matchup. Could be close for a half but fully expect Kansas to pull away and win by 15 or more. I'll lay it with the Jayhawks.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:17 AM

Dwayne Bryant

Event: (793) Iona at (794) Alabama
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: March 20, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Total Over 146.0 (-110)
Good to 147.5
My college hoops totals system comprises relevant statistical data from KenPom.com, history involving similar games (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The play's size is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.
Trends & Angles Supporting This Play:

The OVER is 27-16 (63%) when Alabama is playing only its second game in a week under coach Nate Oats (Rest is important when you're an up-tempo team).
The OVER is 23-12 (66%) in Alabama's non-conference games over the last three seasons.
Based on the current line, Alabama is projected to score 81.5 points. The OVER is 10-0 over the last two seasons when Iona allows 81 or more points in a game.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:17 AM

Teddy Covers

Event: (793) Iona at (794) Alabama
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: March 20, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Total Over 147.0 (-110)
Take Alabama – Iona OVER (#793-794)
Rick Pitino’s Gaels took a while to pick up his uptempo schemes in his first year on the job. Iona cashed four straight Unders in MAAC play in December, sending the betting markets in the wrong direction about the nature of this team. After an extended COVID layoff, the Gaels got back on the court after a six week absence in February and proceeded to go nuts running Pitino’s system: 4-1 to the Over; the lone Under coming by a single bucket in a game lined in the upper 150’s. They’ve had another COVID layoff since – the markets aren’t ‘white hot’ on Iona Overs right now. Their full season numbers won’t wow Over bettors – they’re ranked #163 in pace of play, based on possessions per game after a MAAC Tourney run that saw every one of their opponents try to slow them down. But when Iona faces another team that wants to push pace – like Nate Oats’ Crimson Tide, who rank #11 in the country in pace rating – you can expect real fireworks! Take the OVER.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:19 AM

Tony Finn

Event: (769) Ohio at (770) Virginia
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: March 20, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Virginia -7.0 (-110)
In nearly every situation over the last week, the Intel I have received on the Virginia crew that missed part or all of the ACC postseason tournament has been positive. The team has walked through and passed the necessary tests to receive the ok to continue their season. The rest of that season is the Big Dance, and the Cavs are ago today.
Ohio isn't as long or strong in the paint as the Cavs, and it shows up in many ways when the Bobcats have struggled this season, their casual attitude about 50-50 rebounds and loses balls.
Virginia takes the court on Saturday, having had nine days of R&R since defeating Syracuse and scoring 72 points in the process. The Cavs are savvy enough to know that Ohio will have to be lights-out from distance, or they have zero chance to compete with a Cavs team that has shot nearly 50 percent from beyond the arc in 11 of their 24 games. Wrap your arms around a rested Virginia group and lay the touchdown to the less-than Ohio Bobcats.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:19 AM

Gianni the Greek

Event: (765) Missouri at (766) Oklahoma
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: March 20, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Missouri +1.0 (-115)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:19 AM

Bryan Leonard

Event: (23) Arizona Coyotes at (24) Anaheim Ducks
Sport/League: NHL
Date/Time: March 20, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Arizona Coyotes -125
23 Arizona at Anaheim
Neither team has performed well in 5x5 G+-/60, with the Coyotes ranking 27th and the Ducks 29th. In xG/60 we find Arizona -0.25 and Anaheim -0.39.
On the Power Play in G+-/60 the Coyotes rank 24th and the Ducks dead last 31st. In xG/60 Arizona is +4.12 and Anaheim +5.41, so Anaheim should have some positive regression.
On the Penalty Kill Arizona ranks 9th and Anaheim 23rd in G+-/60. In xG/60 the Coyotes are -8.16 and the Ducks -6.09. So there is major regression for Anaheim in this matchup.
Last game of a seven game road trip for the Coyotes. Look for the visitor to save face with a rebound victory here.
PLAY ARIZONA

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:20 AM

Info Plays

Mar 20 '21, 8:30 AM in 10m
Soccer | Nottingham vs Brentford
Play on: Brentford -145 at Mirage

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Brentford -145

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:20 AM

Red Dog Sports

Mar 20 '21, 9:00 AM in 40m
Soccer | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda
Play on: Draw +177 at pinnacle

draw +177
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1
Arda 1
The free soccer play takes place in Russia on Saturday morning. They are expecting a low score with the total set at 2 and I think it ends 1-1.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:21 AM

Bobby Conn

Mar 20 '21, 11:15 AM in 2h
Soccer | Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo
Play on: Real Madrid -123 at linepros

1* Free Play on Real Madrid -123

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:21 AM

Steve Janus

Mar 20 '21, 12:00 PM in 3h
Soccer | Salzburg vs LASK Linz
Play on: Salzburg -103 at BetCris

1* Free Sharp Play on Salzburg -103

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 08:21 AM

Jesse Schule

Mar 20 '21, 12:15 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Georgetown vs Colorado
Play on: Georgetown +5 -105 at BetCris

This is a free play on Georgetown.
The Hoyas come into the NCAA Tournament as winners of the Big East Tournament, upsetting Villanova, Creighton and Seton Hall. Now they are getting a bunch of points in their first round matchup versus Colorado. The Buffaloes had won six straight prior to losing in the Pac12 Tournament Final to Oregon State. The Buffaloes are 0-4 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games, and they are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games as a favorite. This game has upset written all over it!
GL,
Jesse Schule

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-20-2021, 10:07 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis

March 20, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia

Tonight, the Meadowlands has 13 races ready to roll with the first post coming at 6:20 EST. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10 and it has a $50,000 guaranteed pool. The sequence does have a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

On Friday, Corey Callahan, Dexter Dunn and Mark MacDonald led the pilots with two wins. Edwin Quevedo was the top conditioner on the card with two trips to the winner's circle. In eight of the 13 races the leader at the top of the stretch did finish first. In the other five contests the winner was no more than about three lengths from the lead at the top of the lane.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

1-Yacht Seelster (10-1)-Almost beat #8 leaving from the 8-hole last week. Seems like this guy enjoys racing near the top of stack. Loses AMac but Brennan knows how to protect the rail and should offer a solid price.
5-Lexus Witha View A (7/2)-Aussie invader has been impressive in both Big M starts with a 2nd and a 1st place finish from the 8 and 9 post. Faces tougher but post draw is much better and it's best to respect. Won't be odds-on and will take a swing at this price.
8-Collossal Stride A (5/2)-Losses Dunn to #2 and was tempted to use because on paper that's a head scratcher. Zeron can work some magic from the 8-hole. Price should be better than it has been and is too good to leave off the ticket.

Race 11

3-The Candyman Can (3-1)-Dropped and popped in a very solid mile. It took a while but maybe Sodano has found the key to this 4-year-old. Paced the last half in .55 all on his own and it looked like the tank wasn't dry. Using and the price should be better than 7/5 this week.
6-Cliffhanger (7/2)-Qualified nicely, now makes 1st start for the Fusco barn and might fire hot off the bench. Makes 3rd start on Lasix and the 3rd start of the year. Dube is back between the pipes and he drove in the qualifier.

Race 12

4-So So De Vie (9/2)-Does need the right trip and the last one was a bumpy journey. Now draws better and Callahan should put in play early and race near the top of the stack. Could land on the engine without going to the half in 54.3.
5-Pokerface Bluehip (5-1)-Was used early and hard last time and now Dunn gets the assignment. A quick pace would help as may look to come off cover. Could be a player with the right steer but has only 4 wins in the last 39 starts.
7-My Alpha Rock N (5/2)-Beat this field last week at a square price with Gingras between the pipes. Could be a repeat candidate with a lively pace and there is a good chance of that happening.

Race 13

1-Passa-Grille Beach (3-1)-Drops to the softest spot of the meet and drawing the rail should also help. Hasn't been a big hit in East Rutherford going 2 for 32 but even so, it's best to not dismiss.
4-Thndrfrmthethron N (9/2)-Went off as the chalk last week versus better and didn't hit the board. Dunn sticks so looking for better and does know how to win at this level.
8-Palomar (5-1)-Did roll late at this class last week and just missed as the even money choice. This post should help the price and not sure it hurts this slow starter very much. At the morning line price, it makes sense to include but needs someone to press #1. A tepid pace kills chances for a picture.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,5,8/3,6/4,5,7/1,4,8
Total Bet=$27