Tuesday 3/23/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan

Event: (201081) Leyton Orient at (201082) Carlisle United
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: March 23, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: Carlisle United +107
We like Carlisle United to get the win at home here on Tuesday against Leyton Orient over in English League Two.
Carlisle's hopes for promotion are fading fast after a run of just one win over their last eleven games, and with the season winding down, this is must win territory for The Blues here on Tuesday night.
However, they do have three games in hand over the other current promotion playoff candidates, so with 9 points to claw back, it's entirely in Carlisle's hands here if they can make a push, but a win on Tuesday will be essential.
Leyton Orient have struggled on the road this season offensively, averaging just 0.88 goals per game away from home, and on Tuesday they face a Carlisle side who, despite their recent form, are averaging the 2nd most goals per game at home this season at 2.0 gpg.
With Orient averaging the most number of booking points in the league this season also, take Carlisle to return to form here and grab a much needed win at home against Leyton Orient on Tuesday.
PLAY: CARLISLE UNITED ML +107

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia

Event: (213333) Once Caldas at (213334) Santa Fe Bogota
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: March 23, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: Santa Fe Bogota -0.75 (-125)
Once Caldas, one of only three Colombian clubs ever to win the Copa Libertadores, continues to languish towards the bottom of the table in Colombia's Liga BetPlay. Former National Team coach Eduardo Lara is on board to try and spark a turnaround but hasn't had a lot of success. Coming off a tie against America de Cali after falling behind five minutes in, Once Caldas hasn't won in eight matches. It will lose again in Bogota against a Santa Fe side that is in the mix this season and hungry for all three points after an unexpected loss to Envigado following a draw with Deportivo Pasto. With a number of attacking options in place and Leandro Castellanos minding the net, look for Independiente Santa Fe to win here and lay the .75 goals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs

Will Rogers Downs - Race 2	Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50) / Superfecta (.10) Pick 4 (.50) (Races 2-3-4-5) / Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 52 • Purse: $13,860 • Post: 1:28P
FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. RUN FREE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * RUN FREE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. A FLICKER OFSILVER: Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. LASTCALLFORALCOHOL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	RUN FREE	7/2	4/1
6	A FLICKER OFSILVER	10/1	4/1
2	LASTCALLFORALCOHOL	6/5	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	RUN FREE	4	7/2	Front-runner	0	0	52.3	36.3	29.3
2	LASTCALLFORALCOHOL	2	6/5	Stalker	50	53	22.7	27.0	23.5
6	A FLICKER OFSILVER	6	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	57	40	44.4	34.1	25.1
3	SOONER SKUTA	3	2/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	24.6	43.6	38.1
5	SPECIAL FORTUNE	5	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	40.3	25.6	17.1
1	SON OF PREACHERMAN	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	57	23	33.1	20.7	12.7
7	CASTLE CREEK	7	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	24.6	12.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

Parx Racing - Race 10	Daily Double / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
SO $16,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 4:58P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR $16,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE FEBRUARY 23 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. POLITY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * POLITY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SAMB AM: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BOUNCING AROUND: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6	POLITY	7/2	5/2
9	SAMBAM	9/2	8/1
1	BOUNCING AROUND	5/2	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	POLITY	7	7/2	Front-runner	83	89	91.8	86.7	78.2
1A	CHAMPERS	5	5/2	Front-runner	80	73	77.6	68.9	59.4
7	JAYJAYDEE	8	10/1	Front-runner	76	78	62.6	68.5	53.0
3	ROYAL COUP	3	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	79	75	74.8	74.4	58.4
4	VERO SUN	4	8/1	Trailer	79	80	65.0	72.2	60.7
9	SAMBAM	10	9/2	Trailer	92	92	62.2	79.6	73.1
1	BOUNCING AROUND	1	5/2	Trailer	88	84	58.1	80.2	72.7
8	KNOKKE BY THE SEA	9	12/1	Trailer	81	76	47.6	69.4	56.9
5	BARINGER SPRING	6	5/1	Alternator/Trailer	85	88	63.4	73.8	68.3
2	ABDAA	2	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	78	76	53.8	58.1	43.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turf Paradise - Race #4 - Post: 2:48pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#5 PERFECT FANNY (ML=4/1)
#2 OFFICER OF WAR (ML=6/1)


PERFECT FANNY - Colt has shown some speed. This shorter trip should be better for him. Lets try to beat the probable favorites with this colt. Just missed last out, but ran a respectable race. This colt's last speed rating is lofty enough to prove victorious here, I'll bet on him back again this time. OFFICER OF WAR - Each one of this gelding's recent finish positions has been progressively better. This gelding is in fine form, having run a good race on March 8th, finishing first. Horse has improved at least two Equibase speed figure points in last two races. I look for that to continue in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ARUGULA (ML=3/1), #3 DAKOTA (ML=5/1), #8 COYSTER (ML=8/1),

ARUGULA - This mount ran a quite unimpressive speed rating in the last race. He shouldn't run much better and will probably lose in today's event running that figure. DAKOTA - This horse hasn't been in the money in either of his last two races. COYSTER - The effort last time around the track on Feb 9th probably won't hold up against stronger competition when they turn for home.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #5 PERFECT FANNY on top if we're getting at least 6/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 440y on the Dirt. Purse: $5300 Class Rating: 53

QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 COPPER SPEED ROCKET 5/2
# 5 IVORY GOLD 2/1
# 3 EASTER FOOLS 7/2

COPPER SPEED ROCKET is my choice. Keep this mare in your exotics as Ransom has given backers some double digit gains. Has been running quite well lately and ought to be on or close to the lead early on. Had one of the top speed figures of this field in her last affair. IVORY GOLD - Alvarez has a winning percentage of 20 over the last 30 days. Should be carefully examined - I like the figs from the last contest. EASTER FOOLS - Appears to be the type to be helped with second time Lasix here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #5 - Post: 2:36pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,800 Class Rating: 72

Rating:

#6 CONSILIUM (ML=3/1)
#4 SUNDAY DRIVE (ML=12/1)


CONSILIUM - Don't often see a favorable ROI like +55. This rider/conditioner tandem has done well together over the last year. Sullivan brings him right back. I recommend you stick with this live gelding. SUNDAY DRIVE - Richardville drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more from the horse's history to believe this one is in a good spot at this level.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DISCIPLE (ML=5/2), #7 MIKE IS READY (ML=7/2), #1 EXPRESS BOY (ML=9/2),

DISCIPLE - You should normally gamble against morning-line choices that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last two to three weeks. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will do much running in today's race. That last speed fig was substandard when compared with today's Equibase class figure. MIKE IS READY - Didn't come through as the favorite twice. Probably won't gain a winning effort today either. Last ran on March 9th at Mahoning Valley Race Cour, finishing seventh. Not likely to move up off of that effort in today's event. EXPRESS BOY - Common rating in the last race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this less than sharp equine will improve too much in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #6 CONSILIUM on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - SO - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 86

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 23 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 FAREWELL TIME 20/1
# 6 WONDER RUN 8/1
# 8 I WANT A PICTURE 9/2

I think FAREWELL TIME is a very strong choice and is a very good value-based wager given the 20/1 line. Some competitive numbers have been posted by this trainer's entries racing at this distance and surface. I WANT A PICTURE - This entrant has been consistently racing well lately. Over time, this handler has a quite good ROI at this distance/surface.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow

Mar 23 '21, 7:08 PM in 17m
NHL | Devils vs Flyers
Play on: UNDER 6 -113

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Devils/Flyers under 6 -113

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander

Mar 23 '21, 7:10 PM in 19m
NBA | Nuggets vs Magic
Play on: UNDER 217 -108

1* NBA - Nuggets/Magic *FREE PICK* on Under 217
Tuesday's free NBA pick is on the Denver Nuggets and Orlando Magic UNDER the total of 217. The UNDER has cashed in 4 of the Magic's last 5 games and it's easy to see why when you look at how much trouble they are having offensively. In their last 5 games they are scoring 96.8 ppg on a mere 42.5% shooting. Denver is Top 5 in the league in offensive efficiency, but they are also bottom two in pace of play. I just don't see the Nuggets being all that interested in flying up and down the floor against a bad team like the Magic. It's also their first road game in almost 10 days. Bet the UNDER 217!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Mar 23 '21, 7:40 PM in 49m
NBA | Lakers vs Pelicans
Play on: OVER 221 -110

Dave's Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Lakers/Pelicans OVER 221
The Key: This is a very low total for a Pelicans game. The Pelicans are 29-8 OVER in their last 37 games overall. The total has been set low because the Lakers are missing Lebron James and Anthony Davis. But that just means they will have to play more small ball, and they are definitely worse off defensively without Davis and James. The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 matchups in New Orleans. The OVER is 18-3 in Pelicans last 21 home games. Take the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Mar 23 '21, 7:40 PM in 49m
NBA | Lakers vs Pelicans
Play on: Pelicans -6 -104 at pinnacle

1* Free Sharp Play on Pelicans -6 -104
The Pelicans (-6) are worth a look here as a home favorite against the depleted Lakers in Tuesday's NBA action. No need to overthink this one. LA needs to be faded right now, as they are without both LeBron and AD. It's one thing for them to be missing one of these guys. It's a whole different story when both are out. LA just doesn't have the offensive fire-power to compete on most nights, especially against a top tier offensive team like the Pelicans. Until they start pricing the Lakers for the talent they have on the floor, you got to look the other way. Play the Pelicans -6!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Mar 23 '21, 7:40 PM in 49m
NBA | Wizards vs Knicks
Play on: Knicks -2½ -107 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Knicks -2.5
The New York Knicks are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. They will be coming in with a chip on their shoulder after losing three of their last four games all by 5 points or less to two of the top teams in the Eastern Conference. They lost to the Nets by 5 and to the 76ers by 1 and 3 points. Now they take a step down in class here against the Washington Wizards, who are just 1-6 SU in their last seven games overall. And the Knicks get some key players back from injury tonight and will be at nearly full strength for this one. The Wizards just lost one of their best big men in David Bertans, who averages 10.8 points per game. They have to rely way too much on Russell Westbrook and Bradley Beal to get their production because there just isn't much talent elsewhere on this team. The Knicks are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a loss. Give me the Knicks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Mar 23 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Pepperdine vs Bellarmine
Play on: Bellarmine +4½ -104 at pinnacle

1 Dimer on Bellarmine +4½ -104