Thursday 3/25/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369837

    #1

    Thursday 3/25/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369837

    #2
    IntPicks Thursday free pick:

    NBA
    Take NY Knicks -2
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369837

      #3
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

      Remington Park - Race 2
      Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) (.50 Cent Minimum)
      Maiden • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 71 • Purse: $17,100 • Post: 6:26P
      QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.
      Contenders
      Race Analysis
      P#
      Horse
      Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds

      Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BESO: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
      9
      BESO
      3/1
      4/5

      P#
      Horse (In Running Style Order)
      Post
      Morn
      Line
      Running Style
      Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure
      Finish Figure
      Platinum
      Figure
      2
      JUST B YOU
      2
      9/2
      Slow/Trouble-prone
      0
      0
      0.0
      0.0
      0.0
      5
      PEVS JUKEBOX
      5
      6/1
      Average/Trouble-prone
      0
      0
      0.0
      0.0
      0.0
      7
      GRANDFREIGHTTRAIN GL
      7
      4/1
      Average
      0
      0
      0.0
      0.0
      0.0
      9
      BESO
      9
      3/1
      Fast
      75
      62
      0.0
      0.0
      0.0
      10
      PEYTONS DREAMGIRL
      10
      10/1
      Average
      75
      39
      0.0
      0.0
      0.0
      Unknown Running Style: APOLLITICAL FOLLIES (15/1) [Jockey: Pulido Juan - Trainer: Rodriguez Raul], JETTIN TO MIDNIGHT (10/1) [Jockey: Raudales Rolando - Trainer: Capps Stacey L], FAVORITE RAMBLER (15/1) [Jockey: Wainscott Cody - Trainer: Norton Mallo
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369837

        #4
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sam Houston Race Park



        Sam Houston Race Park - Race 7
        WPS / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 7-8) Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)
        Claiming $25,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 4 and up CR: 77 • Purse: $21,500 • Post: 6:55P
        (PLUS UP TO $4,300 ATB) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.
        Contenders
        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds

        Race Type: Lone Trailer. BLUE DARTER is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BLUE DARTER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. BLACK AGNES: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surf ace. HUNNY HUSH: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. IGNIS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. GRACELY: Jockey/Trainer c ombination win percentage is at least 30.
        5
        BLUE DARTER
        10/1
        5/1
        10
        BLACK AGNES
        30/1
        7/1
        2
        HUNNY HUSH
        6/1
        8/1
        8
        IGNIS
        5/2
        8/1
        7
        GRACELY
        9/2
        8/1

        P#
        Horse (In Running Style Order)
        Post
        Morn
        Line
        Running Style
        Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure
        Finish Figure
        Platinum
        Figure
        10
        BLACK AGNES
        10
        30/1
        Front-runner
        85
        86
        82.9
        69.9
        59.4
        3
        HAWKEYE GIRL
        3
        20/1
        Front-runner
        84
        75
        69.1
        68.9
        55.4
        9
        KITCHEN MATCH
        9
        50/1
        Front-runner
        61
        66
        57.8
        41.7
        23.7
        8
        IGNIS
        8
        5/2
        Stalker
        70
        75
        86.5
        72.1
        60.6
        4
        AMARDINE
        4
        9/5
        Stalker
        72
        73
        70.1
        69.4
        55.9
        7
        GRACELY
        7
        9/2
        Stalker
        76
        77
        69.4
        74.4
        69.4
        2
        HUNNY HUSH
        2
        6/1
        Stalker
        76
        71
        55.7
        72.6
        65.6
        1
        NEON DREAMS
        1
        1/1
        Alternator/Stalker
        76
        75
        56.7
        62.5
        55.0
        6
        QUINN ELLA
        6
        8/1
        Alternator/Stalker
        73
        72
        37.6
        65.4
        54.9
        5
        BLUE DARTER
        5
        10/1
        Trailer
        79
        79
        54.8
        75.7
        63.7
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369837

          #5
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Grounds

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.




          Race 2 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $57000 Class Rating: 81

          FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE JANUARY 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. ONE SUCH RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE

          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 8 ALLIACEOUS 3/1
          # 2 FREDA'S SMOOTH AIR 3/1
          # 4 B'S TEN 5/2
          ALLIACEOUS has a very good shot to take this race. Alonzo has this filly travelling well and is a quite good pick based on the very good Equibase speed figs put up in route races recently. Has solid speed figs and has to be considered for a bet here. Earned a sound speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest. FREDA'S SMOOTH AIR - Will almost certainly compete solidly in the early pace contest which bodes well with this field. Should finish in the top three without any worries. B'S TEN - Shows signs of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 74 Equibase Speed Fig which is one of the top in this group. With a nice class rating average of 85, has one of the strongest class advantages in this field.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369837

            #6
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



            Turfway Park - Race #1 - Post: 6:15pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 79

            Rating:

            #5 THAT'STHEWAYTODOIT (ML=5/1)
            #1 LOVE THE POWER (FR) (ML=12/1)


            THAT'STHEWAYTODOIT - This mare is in fine physical condition. Finished third on March 12th. Possibly a peak effort for this mare today. Been getting closer and the finish with each recent start. Mare is a few starts into a return to racing here. Should give a top effort today. LOVE THE POWER (FR) - TrackMaster keeps good stats on this type of information. This mare always seems to perform well after a vacation.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ANSWER MY CALL (ML=3/1), #8 DRAMA RUN (ML=7/2), #3 JILLS PASSION (ML=9/2),

            ANSWER MY CALL - Should have at least finished in the money in the last two months in a short distance event to be worth it at minimal odds in a sprint. 3/1 is just not enough of a price to take on most any animal that has run poorly in back to back outings. DRAMA RUN - Tough to like the downward flow (69/62/59) of Equibase speed figs. Registered a substandard fig last out in a $5,000 Claiming race on March 12th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that number. JILLS PASSION - Difficult to wager on any thoroughbred to turn things around if there is no value to taking the chance.


            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #5 THAT'STHEWAYTODOIT on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,5]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            None
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369837

              #7
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



              Turf Paradise - Race #7 - Post: 4:28pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 79

              Rating:

              #8 WALK ON WATER (ML=7/2)
              #12 SOLID GOLD BAR (ML=5/1)
              #11 CONQUEST MOONMAD (ML=8/1)


              WALK ON WATER - When this jock and handler join forces you have to take a look. Valenzuela and Crotts have been wonderful together. I think this gelding could run back to his winning race from December 13th, when he won a $3,200 Claiming race, a higher class than today's race. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough efforts since the vacation and should be fit. SOLID GOLD BAR - Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. Popular angle - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. Should run big today. CONQUEST MOONMAD - After the event aboard this horse on Mar 10th, the rider is going to be acquainted with the gelding much better. Have to like the way Alcoverde has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Equine is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today. Coming off a fifth place finish at Turf Paradise, some may skip this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has respectable M/L odds today.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #10 LONE SHOTGUN RIDER (ML=5/2), #2 MAMA MIA'S ROSE (ML=5/1), #7 I BUY GOLD (ML=6/1),

              LONE SHOTGUN RIDER - Hard to invest in a less than sharp equine that lays up for a long time then doesn't land in the top three off the very long layoff. The Brain cautions me to stay away from thoroughbreds in short distance events that haven't hit the board in short distance contests of late. MAMA MIA'S ROSE - Never really did much at all last race out on Mar 5th. Hard to wager on in today's event. Tough to keep chasing this sort of 'hanger' horse. Won't be easy for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced equines list. I BUY GOLD - I'd like to see more hospitable recent efforts with morning line odds of 6/1.



              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #8 WALK ON WATER on top if we're getting at least 3/1 odds
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [8,11,12]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              Box [8,11,12] Total Cost: $6
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369837

                #8
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                Race 3 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $37000 Class Rating: 83

                FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 1, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000

                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 2 TUFF BIRD 9/2
                # 4 MADERA 7/5
                # 3 STUNNING MUNNINGS 3/1
                TUFF BIRD looks very good to best this field. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Carmouche ought to have this filly in excellent position to win the competition. Could best this field based on the speed rating - 81 - of her last outing. This equine has a terrific win percent in dirt sprints. MADERA - Could provide positive gains based on formidable recent Speed Figures with an average of 78. Rodriguez has one of the strongest winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. STUNNING MUNNINGS - Her 76 average has this filly with among the strongest Speed Figures for this race. Ought to compete soundly in the pace battle which bodes well with this field.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369837

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 3 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $37000 Class Rating: 83

                  FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 1, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 2 TUFF BIRD 9/2
                  # 4 MADERA 7/5
                  # 3 STUNNING MUNNINGS 3/1
                  TUFF BIRD looks very good to best this field. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Carmouche ought to have this filly in excellent position to win the competition. Could best this field based on the speed rating - 81 - of her last outing. This equine has a terrific win percent in dirt sprints. MADERA - Could provide positive gains based on formidable recent Speed Figures with an average of 78. Rodriguez has one of the strongest winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. STUNNING MUNNINGS - Her 76 average has this filly with among the strongest Speed Figures for this race. Ought to compete soundly in the pace battle which bodes well with this field.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369837

                    #10
                    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park


                    03/25/21, GP, Race 3, 2.08 ET
                    03/25/21,GP,3,5F [Turf] 00:53:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000 (includes up to $4,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $20,000, allowed 2 lbs.(If no three-year-olds are entered, weight will revert to 120 lbs.). (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at Five Furlongs) (Rail at 120 feet).
                    . . . .
                    Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                    After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
                    100.0000 2 Mudslide Wicked 3/1 Arroyo A S Mejia Maria Ines FEWL 72 40.28 1.31/$1
                    098.7926 6 Alluring Rumba 5/2 Jaramillo E Tessore Bruno J 72 40.28 1.31/$1
                    097.5817 4 Seamialaugh 2/1 Zayas E J McDonald Michael K. S 70 45.71 1.28/$1
                    097.4928 5 Luckytohavemyvicki 5/1 Vasquez M A Yates Michael T 103 38.83 1.24/$1
                    097.1304 1 Bad Pay 15/1 Maragh R Fennessy John 103 38.83 1.24/$1
                    095.7659 7 Sweet Lady Mary 20/1 Meneses M Iglesias Diosdado 27 48.15 1.40/$1
                    095.4803 3 Choose to Be Happy 4/1 Lebron V Plesa. Jr. Edward C 123 36.59 1.12/$1
                    Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 25.49, ROI 0.62/$1
                    Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.2074
                    [Category]Condition
                    [TurfMdnMClm]LastRaceWasSameJockey
                    If Race Is Off Turf

                    Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                    After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
                    100.0000 4 Seamialaugh 2/1 Zayas E J McDonald Michael K. F 85 37.65 1.16/$1
                    099.5853 6 Alluring Rumba 5/2 Jaramillo E Tessore Bruno JS 63 31.75 1.27/$1
                    099.1873 2 Mudslide Wicked 3/1 Arroyo A S Mejia Maria Ines WL 53 47.17 1.51/$1
                    097.2875 5 Luckytohavemyvicki 5/1 Vasquez M A Yates Michael T 63 31.75 1.27/$1
                    095.7706 3 Choose to Be Happy 4/1 Lebron V Plesa. Jr. Edward EC 63 31.75 1.27/$1
                    094.5111 7 Sweet Lady Mary 20/1 Meneses M Iglesias Diosdado 63 31.75 1.27/$1
                    093.3177 1 Bad Pay 15/1 Maragh R Fennessy John 63 31.75 1.27/$1
                    Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 25.00, ROI 0.52/$1
                    Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.4147
                    [Category]Condition
                    [DirtMdnMClm]LastRaceWeightIsNotGreaterThanToday
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369837

                      #11
                      Brandon Lee

                      Mar 25 '21, 7:00 PM in 26m
                      NCAA-B | NC State vs Colorado State
                      Play on: NC State -1½ -110 at linepros

                      FREE PICK - NC State Wolfpack -1.5
                      RATING: 30*
                      ROT#: 613
                      I can't help myself here with NC State as a mere 1.5-point favorite against Colorado State in Thursday's Quarterfinal matchup in the NIT. I was a bit surprised when the Rams received one of the four No. 1 seeds in the NIT this year.
                      Colorado State put together a nice record, but they only played 4 non-conference games. Only one of those was against a team that finished ranked in the Top 140 at KenPom. That was St Mary's and they lost to the Gaels by a score of 33-53.
                      They got credit for finishing 3rd in what looked like a strong Mountain West Conference, but turns out that might not have been the case. The MWC sent both San Diego State and Utah State to the NCAA Tournament. Both teams lost in the opening round with the Aztecs losing by 16 to UCLA and Utah State losing by 12 to Texas Tech.
                      NC State got off to a miserable start in ACC play, going just 4-8 in their first 12 conference games, but they closed the season strong. The Wolfpack won their final 5 regular-season games. They did lose to Syracuse in the ACC Tournament, but that loss doesn't look near as bad with how good the Orange have looked in reaching the Sweet 16.
                      I was a bit concerned with NC State not showing up for the NIT, but they came out and made easy work of Davidson in their first game beating the Wildcats 75-61. I just feel that the Wolfpack are the far superior team here. Give me NC State -1.5!
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369837

                        #12
                        Totals Guru

                        Mar 25 '21, 7:08 PM in 34m
                        NHL | Islanders vs Bruins
                        Play on: OVER 5 -125

                        Free Total Annihilator On Islanders vs Bruins over 5 -125
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369837

                          #13
                          Jeff Siegel's 2021 Florida Derby-G1 Workout Analysis/Commentary

                          March 24, 2021

                          (runners listed according to post position)

                          1 – Nova Rags (12-1)
                          March 21, 2021, Payson Park, 3f, :38.3b Grade: B+
                          Commentary: In company outside Hachure (same time) for W. Mott and was hard held and sharp as the proverbial tack, breaking off a length behind and then finishing about a half-length in front at the wire before galloping out eagerly around the clubhouse turn, splits of :12.3 and :38.3 before coasting out a half in :52.3 while remaining under a tight hold while drawing clear from his workmate. Form suggests he’ll need considerable improvement to be a major factor in the Florida Derby-G1; certainly is headed in the right direction.
                          *

                          5 – Known Agenda (5-1)
                          March 13, 2021, Palm Beach Downs, 4f, :49.4b Grade: B
                          Commentary: Breezed from the three furlong pole all the way around to the six furlong pole In company outside Tallis (same time) for T. Pletcher, splits on our watches in :12.3, :36.2 (to the wire) and 1:01.3 for a full five furlongs before coasting out to the 5/8ths pole in 1:15.2, basically stride-for-stride throughout. Was under very mild hand coaxing while appearing plenty fit; certainly not a speed type but rather a one-pace grinder and probably needs every bit of nine furlongs (or more) to act with best in his division.

                          *

                          7 – Greatest Honour (6/5)
                          March 21, 2021, Payson Park, 4f, :50.2b Grade: B+
                          Commentary: This time breezed outside usual workmate Or’effice (4f, :50.3b) and was keener today than last time while proving clearly best under wraps, splits of :12.2, :38 flat and :50.3 from the 3/8ths pole to the 7/8 pole, moving fluidly and effortlessly throughout. Spot on for the Florida Derby-G1, suspect he’ll run at least as good as his previous two winning outings.

                          March 13, 2021, Payson Park, 4f, :50 1b Grade: B-
                          Commentary: Breezed inside Or’effice (same time) for C. McGaughey III and was slightly second best at the wire though never asked and merely galloping late (workmate hard held and clearly more eager), splits of :12 flat, :24.1 and :50.2 on our watches before galloping out with plenty left while ticking over for the Florida Derby two weeks hence. Usually a lazy sort in the a.m., probably will get a more serious sharpener next time.

                          *

                          9 – Collaborate (6-1)
                          March 14, 2021, Gulfstream Park, 4f, :47b Grade: B+
                          Commentary: In company inside Sound Machine (same time) for S. Joseph, Jr., breaking off with workmate while hard held and dropping back after the opening quarter mile to be a length behind at the top, then responded to very light coaxing (workmate breezing) to finish stride-for-stride at the wire, splits of :12.2, :23.4 and :46.4 on our watches, sharp through the lane before galloping out in good style. Won his maiden on the lead but doesn’t necessarily strike us as a need-the-lead type and may settle into a stalker’s role depending upon how much pressure materializes inside him in the Florida Derby-G1.

                          *

                          10 – Spielberg (4-1)
                          March 21, 2021, Santa Anita, 4f, :59.2h Grade: B
                          Commentary: In blinkers, broke off outside Laurel River (same time) at the five furlong pole and prompted workmate to the head of the lane, then was allowed to kick on through the stretch and responded in decent style while showing again ta endency to lean in, splits of :12.1, :23.3, :35.1 and :59.2 to the wire (a neck in front of breezing ‘River) before continuing out under mild coaxing in 1:12.3 to the 7/8 for a full six furlongs on our watches. Plenty fit, always been a cut below the good ones but should run his race in the Florida Derby-G1.

                          March 13, 2021, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.1h Grade: B
                          Commentary: In blinkers, in company outside Ginja (same time) for B. Baffert and did well enough under some late coaxing and leaning in a tad in the upper stretch, splits of :12.1 :24.1 and :48.1 (slightly best), then was allowed to continue out to 7/8 pole in 1:01 flat for a full five furlongs. Never has been all the impressive in the morning but he appears to be holding his form and showed some spark when a willing (though distant) runner-up to Essential Quality in the Southwest S.-G3 at Oaklawn Park in late February. May be most effective when held up early and allowed to run late.
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369837

                            #14
                            Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

                            Fair Grounds - Race #4
                            Picks Notes
                            #9 Everlovinghand He has enough speed to find a good spot from this draw, and the pedigree suggests the move to the turf shouldn't be much of an issue.
                            #11 Smarty Alex He brought a better effort last out, and the hope is that he won't take a step back off that try. Repeat of that keeps him in the mix.
                            #6 Ballinonabudjet He's the one to beat, but I don't totally trust him to back up that last one, and the price is not going to be too attractive here.
                            Race Summary Everlovinghand figures for a pressing run, and he's interesting on the move to the grass with some turf influence on both the top and bottom sides.

                            Fair Grounds - Race #7
                            Picks Notes
                            #3 Darling Joanna She should offer a bit better price this time around, and she may not have cared for the sloppy going last time out. Blinkers on gives her enough upside to make her interesting.
                            #7 Sincerity She finished ahead of most of these in that March 5 common race, but she has also been knocking around at this level for quite some time. Wouldn't want too short a price today.
                            #6 Breezin Bye You She was no match for Sincerity when they met, but that was an otherwise decent run on the hike out of bottom-level claiming company.
                            Race Summary Darling Joanna is a fresh face after many of these finished behind Sincerity last out, and I'm willing to let her have a pass on the run in the slop last out.

                            Fair Grounds - Race #8
                            Picks Notes
                            #10 Differentbutok She turned in a pretty good debut run when flashing speed and staying on well enough for fourth, and she draws well to prompt the issue from the outside.
                            #6 Skinny Dip Turf debut comes here, and that's the big question, but there are some tough customers in the company lines, and those fast races may transfer well to the turf. Pedigree says no problem.
                            #9 Dynamite Gift The two turf sprint tries were solid, so she has some rebound potential on the surface switch. Something like the 5/1 ML price would seem fair with this group.
                            Race Summary Differentbutok won't need to come forward much in order to land this, and after showing speed in the debut run, the inside-out post move might work in her favor.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369837

                              #15
                              Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

                              The Meadows - Race #1
                              Picks Notes
                              #6 SOLARCTIC Grinded first-over in finals of series, weakened, gets Wrenn.
                              #4 REMEMBER THE BEACH 4yo continues to pile up the checks and is proven at this level.
                              #1 MANKAT Second from the rail two back, acclimated locally now.
                              Race Summary Solarctic broke the single-file alignment at the half-mile marker, ranged up alongside the 3-to-5 favorite and flattened out in deep stretch in the pacing series finale. Play 6-1 and 6-4 exactas.

                              Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1
                              Picks Notes
                              #3 COLD FREEZE Finished on both sides of photo finish recently, gets favorable post switch.
                              #7 LADY AKILA Couldn't keep pace with the favorites after rallying for second in prior race.
                              #6 SCOTIAN'S SHADOW Made middle move to the lead, held third in improved try.
                              Race Summary Cold Freeze rallied first over for a win and a second from a second-tier starting spot and appears rounding to another good race in his fourth start of the year. Play 3-6 and 3-7 exactas.

                              Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #4
                              Picks Notes
                              #2 ARRAKIS Took money, took aim 3-wide for stretch drive, lacked punch.
                              #8 FLUFF ME UP Won 3 of her last 5 starts and remains popular at claim box.
                              #7 MONTALBANO BI Finished second in last three starts and 25 times overall.
                              Race Summary Arrakis got off the rail near the half-mile marker, bid 3-wide around stalled cover near the top of the stretch but lacked late kick. He can move forward in her second start after he was scratched two weeks ago. Play a 2-ALL exacta.
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