Saturday 3/27/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

Mar 27 '21, 9:10 PM in 5h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Jazz
Play on: Jazz -10 -105 at pinnacle

8-1 last 9 free plays!
Rocketman Sports FREE NBA play Saturday 3-27-21
Memphis @ Utah (9:10 PM EST)
Play On: Utah -10
The Memphis Grizzlies travel to Utah to take on the Jazz on Saturday night. Memphis is 21-21 SU overall this year while Utah comes in with a 33-11 SU overall record on the season. Utah is 18-2 SU and 15-5 ATS this year when playing at home. Utah is 14-3 ATS this year after 3 or more consecutive wins. Memphis is 4-10 ATS last 14 road games against a team with a winning home record. Utah is 14-3 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite. Utah is 4-1 ATS last 5 games when playing with no rest. Utah is 24-10 ATS last 34 games as a favorite. Utah is 43-21-1 ATS last 65 games after a SU win. We'll recommend a small play on Utah tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Mar 27 '21, 9:10 PM in 5h
NBA | Celtics vs Thunder
Play on: Thunder +9 -110 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Thunder +9 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Mar 27 '21, 9:55 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Syracuse vs Houston
Play on: Syracuse +6½ -105 at BetCris

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on Syracuse +6.5
The Key: Jim Boeheim has another double-digit Syracuse team making a run in the NCAA Tournament. They have made at least a Sweet 16 run each of the last 3 times that they have been a double-digit seed, including one trip to the Final Four. The Orange are now 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when seeded 9 through 12 in the NCAA Tournament. And the Orange have saved their best basketball for last this season in going 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall with their only loss coming by 3 to Virginia on a last-second 3-pointer in the ACC Tournament. You could say Jim's son Buddy Boeheim is feeling it, averaging 28.3 PPG in his last 4 games overall. He has scored at least 21 points in 7 of his last 9 games overall. Houston was fortunate to survive a 63-60 win over Rutgers last round and will struggle to put Syracuse away, too. The Orange are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as underdogs, including 6-0 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games as underdogs. Take Syracuse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Mar 27 '21, 10:08 PM in 6h
NHL | Jets vs Flames
Play on: Jets +108 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on Jets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Mar 27 '21, 10:08 PM in 6h
NHL | Jets vs Flames
Play on: OVER 5½ -135

Saturday NHL Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Winnipeg and Calgary at 10:05 pm et on Saturday.
We missed the mark with the 'over' in the front half of this back-to-back set in Calgary last night but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Saturday night. Note that things did open up a bit in the third period of last night's contest with three goals scored on 22 shots. Tonight we may see a battle of backup goaltenders and there is certainly a considerable downgrade in talent from Hellebuyck to Brossoit and Markstrom to Rittich. While I'm playing this total at 5.5 at the time of writing, I would still recommend a play on the 'over' at 6 goals as well. Take the over (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow

Mar 27 '21, 10:10 PM in 6h
NBA | 76ers vs Clippers
Play on: Clippers -3 -112 at Draft Kings

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Clippers -3 -112

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Mar 27 '21, 10:10 PM in 6h
NBA | Cavs vs Kings
Play on: Kings -7 -107 at Draft Kings

1* on Kings -7 -107

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander

Mar 27 '21, 10:10 PM in 6h
NBA | Cavs vs Kings
Play on: Kings -7 -107 at Draft Kings

1* NBA - Cavs/Kings *FREE PICK* on Kings -7
Saturday's free pick is on the Sacramento Kings as a 7-point home favorite against the Cleveland Cavaliers. I know this line is probably inflated a little bit, but I'm going to ride this Kings money train. Sacramento has won 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. They are also 5-1 ATS during this stretch. The injury to Marvin Bagley ended up being a bit of a blessing, as it's allowed rookie Tyrese Haliburton to blossom as a starter. They are also playing an awful Cavs team that will be on rest after playing the defending champs in LA last night. Bet the Kings -7!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

621VILLANOVA -622 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

623ORAL ROBERTS -624 ARKANSAS
ORAL ROBERTS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots in the current season.

623ORAL ROBERTS -624 ARKANSAS
ARKANSAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

623ORAL ROBERTS -624 ARKANSAS
ORAL ROBERTS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 5 straight games in the current season.

625OREGON ST -626 LOYOLA-IL
OREGON ST is 13-0 ATS (13 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog in the current season.

627FLORIDA ST -628 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals in the current season.

629MEMPHIS -630 COLORADO ST
MEMPHIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

631MISSISSIPPI ST -632 LOUISIANA TECH
LOUISIANA TECH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games in the current season.

647SYRACUSE -648 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, March 27

NCAA Tournament

Saturday’s games

Villanova (5) vs Baylor (1)
Villanova (18-6)
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #146
— Continuity: #7
— Villanova PG Gillespie is out for year; they beat Winthrop/North Texas to get here.
— Villanova is 7-5 in last dozen games, after an 11-1 start.
— Wildcats get 37.3% of their points on arc (#39)
— Wildcats’ bench plays #300 minutes; injuries are costly.
— Since 2005, Villanova is 4-2 in Sweet 16 games.

Baylor (24-2)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #157
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #32
— Baylor is 7-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
— Bears are shooting 41.5% on the arc (#1)
— Baylor forces turnovers 24.7% of time (#3)
— Bears are grabbing 36.7% of their missed shots (#6)
— Under Drew, Baylor is 2-2 in Sweet 16 games.

— Last five tournaments, #1-seeds are 11-3 ATS vs 4/5-seeds in Sweet 16.

Oral Roberts (15) vs Arkansas (3)
Oral Roberts (18-10)
— ranked #128 by KenPom
— Tempo: #46
— Experience: #250
— Continuity: #272
— Oral Roberts won its last seven games, scoring 82.7 ppg.
— ORU lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, 14 at Oklahoma, 11 at Arkansas.
— Oral Roberts is shooting 38.2% on arc (#14), 82.4% on line (#1)
— ORU is 2nd #15-seed to get this far; their bench played total of only 53:00 in their two wins last week, which were both by 3 points.
— This is Oral Roberts’ first NCAA Tournament since 2008.

Arkansas (24-6)
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #17
— Experience: #239
— Continuity: #339
— Arkansas won 11 of its last 12 games.
— Arkansas is 10-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #274)
— Razorbacks gave up 78+ points in all six of their losses.
— Razorbacks were down 14 in first half to Colgate in 1st round, still won by 17.
— Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#38)
— Musselman is 4-3 in NCAA Tournament games.

— Oral Roberts lost 87-76 at Arkansas December 20; ORU was up 41-31 at the half.
— ORU is 2nd #15-seed to get this far; Florida Gulf Coast (+13) lost 62-50 to Florida in this round, eight years ago.

Oregon State (12) vs Loyola Chi (8)
Oregon State (19-12)
— ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #67
— Continuity: #154
— Oregon State won five in row, eight of its last nine games.
— Oregon State is getting 21.3% of its points on foul line (#44)
— Beavers are shooting 47.0% inside arc (#275)
— OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time, after they were 5th in regular season.
— Beavers’ wins last week were their first tournament wins since 1982.

Loyola Chi (26-4)
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #36
— Continuity: #11
— Loyola won eight in row, 19 of last 20 games.
— Loyola is shooting 57.7% inside arc (#4).
— Ramblers are 6-3 vs top 100 teams.
— Loyola lost by 14 to Wisconsin, by hoop to Richmond, beat Ga Tech/Illinois.
— Ramblers are #2 team in country on defensive boards.
— Loyola made Final Four in 2018, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

— This is only 2nd #8-12 seed game ever in Sweet 16; 12-seed Missouri (+1) beat UCLA in 2002.
— Rhode Island (-8.5) beat 13-seed Valparaiso 74-68 in only 8-13 game, in 1998.

Syracuse (11) vs Houston (2)
Syracuse (18-9)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #234
— Continuity: #67
— Syracuse won eight of their last 11 games.
— Orangemen are 5-7 vs teams in the top 50.
— Syracuse is a bottom 20 team in country on defensive boards.
— Orangemen made 29-58 on arc in their two wins last week.
— Since 2003, Syracuse is 4-4 SU in Sweet 16 games.

Houston (25-3)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #325
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #107
— Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are shooting 29.3% on arc (#12)
— Cougars won their last nine games, six of them by 24+ points.
— Houston finished last game on 13-2 run to nip Rutgers 63-60.
— Since 1997, Sampson is 2-2 in Sweet 16 games.

— Since 2012, #11-seeds are 6-2 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

NIT tournament

Memphis vs Colorado State
Memphis (18-8)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #48
— Experience: #323
— Continuity: #78
— Memphis won 12 of its last 15 games.
— Tigers have #5 eFG% defense in country.
— Memphis is turning ball over 22.0% of time (#316)
— Tigers are shooting only 60.9% on foul line (#341)
— Memphis is 8-3 outside the AAC (non-conf schedule #197)

Colorado State (20-6)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #133
— Experience: #308
— Continuity: #36
— Rams won eight of their last ten games.
— Colorado State is shooting 55.6% inside arc (#12).
— Colorado State is shooting 79.5% on foul line (#7)
— 43.3% of shots they take are 3’s (#43)
— Rams are 5-1 outside Mountain West, losing at Saint Mary’s.

Louisiana Tech vs Mississippi State
Louisiana Tech (23-7)
— ranked #76 by KenPom
— Tempo: #119
— Experience: #61
— Continuity: #116
— Bulldogs won seven of their last eight D-I games.
— Louisiana Tech has three senior starters.
— Bulldogs have the #11 eFG% defense- they’re #34 on defensive boards.
— Tech lost at LSU, beat Ole Miss, their two SEC games this year.
— Tech was held to 55-48 points in last two losses.

Mississippi State (17-14)
— ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #301
— Experience: #313
— Continuity: #253
— Bulldogs are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— Miss State is grabbing 36.2% of their missed shots (#8)
— Bulldogs have #43 eFG% defense in country.

— Tech made 10-16 on arc, won 74-67 at Miss State last season.
— Miss State beat North Texas by 6, in their one C-USA game.
— Miss State starts three sophs and a freshman; they’re using these games to help build for next season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, March 27

Trend Report

Oral Roberts @ Arkansas
Oral Roberts
No trends to report
Arkansas
Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oral Roberts

[Can'tPickAWinner]

533DETROIT -534 WASHINGTON
DETROIT is 151-192 ATS (-60.2 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.

535HOUSTON -536 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

537NEW YORK -538 MILWAUKEE
NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

539CHICAGO -540 SAN ANTONIO
CHICAGO is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game in the current season.

543BOSTON -544 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 93-73 ATS (12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

545MEMPHIS -546 UTAH
UTAH is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

547CLEVELAND -548 SACRAMENTO
CLEVELAND is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, March 27

Detroit @ Washington
Pistons (12-32)
— Detroit lost 13 of its last 17 games
— Pistons are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games overall.
— Under is 13-7 in Detroit’s last 20 games.

Wizards (15-28)
— Wizards lost nine of last 11 games (4-7 ATS)
— Washington is 6-4 ATS in its last ten road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Over is 3-1 in their last four home games

— Wizards won four of last six series games.
— Detroit is 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Washington.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

New York @ Milwaukee
Knicks (23-22)
— New York won three of its last four games.
— Knicks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
— Under is 4-1 in New York’s last five games.

Bucks (29-15)
— Milwaukee won 13 of its last 15 games
— Bucks are 6-5 ATS in last 11 home games.
— Over is 8-2 in Milwaukee’s last ten home games.

— Bucks won eight of last ten series games.
— Knicks are 0-4-1 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Last three series games went over the total.

Houston @ Minnesota
Rockets (12-32)
— Houston lost 22 of its last 23 games (3-20 ATS).
— Rockets are 2-8 ATS in last ten road games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Timberwolves (11-34)
— Minnesota is 4-5 SU since All-Star break.
— Wolves are 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall.
— Over is 9-5 in their last 14 games.

— Rockets lost 107-101 here last night.
— Houston won five of last six series games (4-2 ATS)
— Rockets are 3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Minnesota.
— Over is 6-5 in last 11 series games.

Chicago @ San Antonio
Bulls (19-24)
— Chicago lost four of its last five games SU.
— Bulls are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.

Spurs (22-20)
— San Antonio lost its last four games.
— Spurs are 4-6 ATS in last ten home games.
— Under is 7-4 in Spurs’ last 11 games.

— Spurs won five of last seven series games.
— Bulls are 2-2 ATS in last four trips to the Alamo.
— Under is 5-4-1 in last ten series games.

Dallas @ New Orleans
Mavericks (23-20)
— Mavericks split their last eight games.
— Mavericks are 5-4 ATS in last nine road games.
— Under is 11-4 in last 15 Dallas games.

Pelicans (19-25)
— New Orleans won four of its last seven games.
— Pelicans are 3-1 ATS in their last four home games.
— Over is 23-8-2 in their last 33 games.

— Dallas won last five series games.
— Mavericks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to New Orleans.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Boston @ Oklahoma City
Celtics (22-23)
— Boston is 3-6 SU since the All-Star break.
— Celtics are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games.
— Over is 5-0 in their last five road games.

Thunder (19-24)
— Thunder are 4-4 SU since the All-Star break.
— OKC is 4-5 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Over is 6-0 in their last six home games.

— Boston won five of last six series games.
— Celtics are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Memphis @ Utah
Grizzlies (21-21)
— Memphis won four of its last six games.
— Grizzlies are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games overall.
— Under is 13-6 in their last 19 games.

Jazz (33-11)
— Utah won its last four games overall.
— Jazz is 14-2-1 ATS in its last 17 home games.
— Under is 4-2 in Utah’s last six games.

— Utah beat Memphis 117-114 here last night.
— Jazz won last four series games (3-1 ATS).
— Grizzlies are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Utah.
— Over is 6-5 in last 11 series games.

Philadelphia @ LA Clippers
76ers (32-13)
— 76ers won 15 of their last 18 games.
— Sixers are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
— Under is 6-1 in Philly’s last seven road games.

Clippers (30-16)
— Clippers won five of their last six games.
— Clippers are 7-2 ATS in last nine home games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

— Philly won five of last six series games.
— 76ers are 4-1 ATS in last five series games played here.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Cleveland @ Sacramento
Cavaliers (17-28)
— Cleveland is 3-6 SU since the All-Star break.
— Cavaliers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games.
— Five of last seven Cleveland games went over the total.

Kings (20-25)
— Sacramento is 6-3 SU since the All-Star break.
— Kings are 3-7 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Under is 6-3 in Sacramento’s last nine games.

— Kings won last four series games.
— Cavaliers are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Sacramento.
— Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, March 27

Trend Report

Detroit @ Washington
Detroit
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit

New York @ Milwaukee
New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

Houston @ Minnesota
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Houston

Chicago @ San Antonio
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Antonio
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Memphis @ Utah
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing on the road against Utah
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis

Dallas @ New Orleans
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 18 of New Orleans's last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas

Boston @ Oklahoma City
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

Philadelphia @ LA Clippers
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Cleveland @ Sacramento
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

33NY RANGERS -34 PHILADELPHIA
NY RANGERS are 22-12 ATS (17.5 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

35BUFFALO -36 BOSTON
BUFFALO is 1-16 ATS (-15.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

37VEGAS -38 COLORADO
VEGAS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) revenging a road blowout loss versus opponent by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

39COLUMBUS -40 DETROIT
DETROIT is 10-42 ATS (-26.7 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

41TAMPA BAY -42 CAROLINA
TAMPA BAY is 43-19 ATS (15.1 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

43EDMONTON -44 TORONTO
DAVE TIPPETT is 14-7 ATS (6.3 Units) in road games vs. winning teams (Coach of EDMONTON)

43EDMONTON -44 TORONTO
EDMONTON is 14-7 ATS (12.7 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

45NY ISLANDERS -46 PITTSBURGH
NY ISLANDERS are 9-0 ATS (9.3 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

47FLORIDA -48 DALLAS
DALLAS are 3-15 ATS (-15 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

49NASHVILLE -50 CHICAGO
NASHVILLE is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.